Chapter 1 Slides

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Chapter 1

Introduction to Statistics

1-1 Overview

1- 2 Types of Data

1- 3 Abuses of Statistics

1- 4 Design of Experiments

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1-1

Overview

Statistics

(Definition)

A collection of methods for planning experiments, obtaining data, and then organizing, summarizing, presenting, analyzing, interpreting, and drawing conclusions based on the data

2

Definitions

 Population

The complete collection of all data to be studied.

 Sample

The subcollection data drawn from the population.

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Example

 Identify the population and sample in the study

A quality-control manager randomly selects 50 bottles of Coca-Cola to assess the calibration of the filing machine.

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Definitions

Statistics

Broken into 2 areas

Descriptive Statistics

 Inferencial Statistics

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Definitions

 Descriptive Statistics

Describes data usually through the use of graphs, charts and pictures. Simple calculations like mean, range, mode, etc., may also be used.

 Inferencial Statistics

Uses sample data to make inferences (draw conclusions) about an entire population

Test Question

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1-2

Types of Data

 Parameter vs. Statistic

 Quantitative Data vs. Qualitative Data

 Discrete Data vs. Continuous Data

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Definitions

Parameter

a numerical measurement describing some characteristic of a population population parameter

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Definitions

Statistic

a numerical measurement describing some characteristic of a sample sample statistic

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Examples

 Parameter

51% of the entire population of the US is

Female

 Statistic

Based on a sample from the US population is was determined that 35% consider themselves overweight.

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Definitions

 Quantitative data

Numbers representing counts or measurements

 Qualitative (or categorical or attribute) data

Can be separated into different categories that are distinguished by some nonnumeric characteristics

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Examples

 Quantitative data

The number of FLC students with blue eyes

 Qualitative (or categorical or attribute) data

The eye color of FLC students

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Definitions

We further describe quantitative data by distinguishing between discrete and continuous data

Discrete

Quantitative

Data

Continuous

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Definitions

 Discrete data result when the number of possible values is either a finite number or a ‘countable’ number of possible values

0, 1, 2, 3, . . .

 Continuous

(numerical) data result from infinitely many possible values that correspond to some continuous scale or interval that covers a range of values without gaps, interruptions, or jumps

2 3

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Examples

 Discrete

The number of eggs that hens lay; for example, 3 eggs a day.

 Continuous

The amounts of milk that cows produce; for example, 2.343115 gallons a day.

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Definitions

 Univariate Data

» Involves the use of one variable (X)

» Does not deal with causes and relationship

 Bivariate Data

» Involves the use of two variables (X and Y)

» Deals with causes and relationships

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Example

 Univariate Data

How many first year students attend FLC?

 Bivariate Data

Is there a relationship between then number of females in Computer Programming and their scores in Mathematics?

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Important Characteristics of Data

1. Center : A representative or average value that indicates where the middle of the data set is located

2. Variation : A measure of the amount that the values vary among themselves or how data is dispersed

3. Distribution : The nature or shape of the distribution of data

(such as bell-shaped, uniform, or skewed)

4. Outliers : Sample values that lie very far away from the vast majority of other sample values

5. Time : Changing characteristics of the data over time

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Uses of Statistics

 Almost all fields of study benefit from the application of statistical methods

Sociology, Genetics, Insurance, Biology, Polling,

Retirement Planning, automobile fatality rates, and many more too numerous to mention.

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1-3 Abuses of Statistics

 Bad Samples

 Small Samples

 Loaded Questions

 Misleading Graphs

 Pictographs

 Precise Numbers

 Distorted Percentages

 Partial Pictures

 Deliberate Distortions

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Abuses of Statistics

 Bad Samples

Inappropriate methods to collect data. BIAS

(on test)

Example: using phone books to sample data.

 Small Samples

(will have example on exam)

We will talk about same size later in the course.

Even large samples can be bad samples.

 Loaded Questions

Survey questions can be worked to elicit a desired response

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Abuses of Statistics

 Bad Samples

 Small Samples

 Loaded Questions

 Misleading Graphs

 Pictographs

 Precise Numbers

 Distorted Percentages

 Partial Pictures

 Deliberate Distortions

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Salaries of People with Bachelor’s Degrees and with High School

Diplomas

$40,000

$40,500

$40,000

$40,500

35,000 30,000

$24,400

30,000 20,000

$24,400

25,000 10,000

20,000

Bachelor High School

Degree Diploma

(a) (test question)

0

Bachelor High School

Degree Diploma

(b)

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We should analyze the numerical information given in the graph instead of being mislead by its general shape.

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Abuses of Statistics

 Bad Samples

 Small Samples

 Loaded Questions

 Misleading Graphs

 Pictographs

 Precise Numbers

 Distorted Percentages

 Partial Pictures

 Deliberate Distortions

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Double the length, width, and height of a cube, and the volume increases by a factor of eight

What is actually intended here? 2 times or 8 times?

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Abuses of Statistics

 Bad Samples

 Small Samples

 Loaded Questions

 Misleading Graphs

 Pictographs

 Precise Numbers

 Distorted Percentages

 Partial Pictures

 Deliberate Distortions

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Abuses of Statistics

 Precise Numbers

There are 103,215,027 households in the

US. This is actually an estimate and it would be best to say there are about 103 million households.

 Distorted Percentages

100% improvement doesn’t mean perfect.

 Deliberate Distortions

Lies, Lies, all Lies

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Abuses of Statistics

 Bad Samples

 Small Samples

 Loaded Questions

 Misleading Graphs

 Pictographs

 Precise Numbers

 Distorted Percentages

 Partial Pictures

 Deliberate Distortions

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Abuses of Statistics

 Partial Pictures

“Ninety percent of all our cars sold in this country in the last 10 years are still on the road.

Problem: What if the 90% were sold in the last 3 years?

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1-4

Design of Experiments

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Definition

 Experiment apply some treatment (Action)

 Event observe its effects on the subject(s) (Observe)

Example: Experiment: Toss a coin

Event: Observe a tail

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Designing an Experiment

Identify your objective

Collect sample data

Use a random procedure that avoids bias

Analyze the data and form conclusions

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Methods of Sampling

Random (type discussed in this class)

Systematic

Convenience

Stratified

Cluster

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Definitions

 Random Sample members of the population are selected in such a way that each has an equal chance of being selected (if not then sample is biased)

 Simple Random Sample

(of size n ) subjects selected in such a way that every possible sample of size n has the same chance of being chosen

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Random Sampling selection so that each has an equal chance of being selected

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Systematic Sampling

Select some starting point and then select every K th element in the population

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Convenience Sampling use results that are easy to get

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Stratified Sampling subdivide the population into at least two different subgroups that share the same characteristics, then draw a sample from each subgroup (or stratum)

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Cluster Sampling divide the population into sections (or clusters); randomly select some of those clusters; choose all members from selected clusters

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Definitions

Sampling Error the difference between a sample result and the true population result; such an error results from chance sample fluctuations.

Nonsampling Error sample data that are incorrectly collected, recorded, or analyzed (such as by selecting a biased sample, using a defective instrument, or copying the data incorrectly).

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Using Formulas

Factorial Notation

8! = 8x7x6x5x4x3x2x1

Order of Operations

1. ( )

2. POWERS

3. MULT. & DIV.

4. ADD & SUBT.

5. READ LIKE A BOOK

Keep number in calculator as long a possible

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