A New Flood Inundation Modelling Gareth Pender School of Built Environment Heriot Watt University Contents Introduction to rapid flood spreading modellingprediction of flood depth and flood extent. A new conceptual model for maximum velocity prediction. IIIustration of application to an artificial digital elevation model. IIIustration of application to case studies. 1.1 Existing RFSMs RFSMs Heriot Watt University Halcrow HR Wallingford Martin Krupka and Yang Liu. ISIS Fast. Julien Lhomme et al. (1) Krupka M., Wallis S., Pender S., Neélz S., 2007, Some practical aspects of flood inundation modelling, Transport phenomena in hydraulics, Publications of the Institute of Geophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences, E-7 (401), 129-135. (2) Lhomme J., Sayers P., Gouldby B., Samuels P., Wills M., Mulet-Marti J., 2008, Recent development and application of a rapid flood spreading model, River Flow 2008, September. (3) Liu Y, Pender G (2010) “A new rapid flood inundation model”, the first IAHR European Congress, Edinburgh, UK. 1.2: Requirements for an RFSM Short time to run (Typically < 5s) A good overall agreement of the final water depth and flood extent predictions between SWEM and RFSM. A good overall agreement of the maximum velocity prediction over a flood cell between SWEM and RFSM. useful for application to catchment scale flood modelling and probabilistic flood risk analysis (e.g. Bayesian Analysis). 1.3 Basic RFSM algorithm RFSM flood cells DTM grid cells Pre-calculation An array of flood storage cells is constructed from DEM Inundation A specified volume of flood water is distributed across the storage cells. Real Floodplain Minimum Cell Plan area (Amin) Minimum Depth (Dmin) An example of pre-calculation process Volume (cubm) Water level (m) An example of constant extra head (source: Krupka et al. 2007) 1.4 Two different spreading algorithms Next active grid Current active grid (a) One-directional RFSM (b) Multi-directional RFSM 1.5 Our improved RFSM (1) (2) (3) Rules to provide accurate prediction: Water will spread from high location to lower locations (one directional or multiple directional spilling algorithms) with merging process. Dynamic Driving head based on inflow hydrograph Floodplain area with a high roughness uses a high driving head Area 2 discharge Area 1 = Area2 t Fig. Inflow Hydrograph 1.6 Model parameters and evaluation functions (1) (2) (3) 1.7 Application example Inflow hydrograph Inflow 3D plot 1.8 Compare RFSMs with ISIS2D Flood extent using ISIS2D after 10 hours Flood extent using MD-RFSM Flood extent using OD-RFSM Water depth of cross section comparison using ISIS2D and RFSMs 1.9 ISIS2D simulation 10 m grid resolution ISIS2D model will take about 1 hour to run. 1.10 One directional RFSM spilling process RFSM will take about 1 second to run. 2.1 Maximum Velocity prediction using a new conceptual model Volume = vol Inflow at time Area of a big flood cell outflow at time 2.2 Performance Comparison of the conceptual model and ISIS2D Maximum velocity using ISIS2D Average Maximum velocity for 17 regions using ISIS2D Average Maximum velocity predictions for 17 regions using our proposed model The conceptual model parameter C was calibrated using one ISIS2D simulation with peak inflow value= 150cubm/s for inflow hydrograph. 2.3 Performance statistics 2.4 Application to Thamesmead, London Thamesmead 2m resolution grid digital elevation data and inflow hydrograph. 2.5 Performance Comparison of the conceptual model and TUFLOW (a): Final water depth after 1hour using RFSM (c): Region average maximum velocity prediction using the new conceptual model (b) : Final water depth after 1hour using TUFLOW (d): Region average maximum velocity prediction using TUFLOW 2.6 Current work about 2005 Carlisle flood event 2.7 Flood extent predictions Using ISIS2D and RFSM Fig.2. Flood extent and water depth at 45.25 hours using RFSM. ( 5m grid resolution model will take 2 seconds to run) Fig1. Flood extent and water depth after 45.25 hours using ISIS2D. (15m grid resolution model will take more than 1 hour to run) 2.8 Performance statistics Future work (1) Test more locations. (2) Fast Rapid flood spreading Modelling using Cellular Automata. Thank you!