Campylobacter jejuni Epidemiology and Evolution Veterinary Training Research Initiative Food-borne zoonotic pathogens: Transmission, pathogen evolution and control Lancaster University University of Liverpool Howard Leatherbarrow, Tony Hart, Malcolm Bennett Health Protection Agency Paul Fearnhead, Edith Gabriel, Peter Diggle Andrew Fox, Steve Gee, Sam James John Cheesbrough, Eric Bolton Funding: DEFRA (Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, UK Government) Characterisation of C. jejuni infection • Epidemiology • Evolutionary history • Population genetics • Source of human cases Foodborne illness in the UK Food Standards Agency figures for 2000 Salmonella 16,987 20.9% Campylobacter 62,867 77.3% 1,147 1.4% Clostridium perf. 166 0.2% Listeria 113 0.1% E.coli O157 Total 81,280 $8bn Annual cost to US economy Buzby et al. JID (1997) Cases and controls Poisson point process Significance Risk Seasonal patterns 25.4% reduction year-on-year Harmonic regression MLST: Multi-locus sequence typing 477bp aspA 477bp glnA 1.6 million bp genome MLST: 3300 bp in total (0.2%) 402bp gltA 498bp pgm tkt 459bp 489bp uncA Multi-locus sequence typing (MLST) glyA 507bp st cc aspA glnA gltA glyA pgm tkt uncA freq 21 21 2 1 1 3 2 1 5 116 104 21 2 1 1 3 7 1 5 54 53 21 2 1 21 3 2 1 5 40 50 21 2 1 12 3 2 1 5 38 19 21 2 1 5 3 2 1 5 24 140 120 21 257 100 Abundance 48 80 104 45 53 60 50 19 40 61 574 20 0 21 257 48 104 Multi-locus sequence typing (MLST) 45 53 Se que nce Type 50 19 61 574 ST 50: 2 1 12 3 2 1 5 ST 104: 2 1 1 3 7 1 5 ST 21: 2 1 1 3 2 1 5 ST 21: 2 1 1 3 2 1 5 Genetic inhomogeneity in Campylobacter jejuni Figure 1. Number of nucleotide diff erences betwee n each pairs of alleles at the seven loci. When C. coliderived alleles are removed, the red portion of the histogram disappears. Common ancestor Campylobacter jejuni Campylobacter coli gene flow Putatative Putatative isolates isolates Campylobacter jejuni ST Campylobacter coli aspA glnA gltA glyA pgm tkt uncA ST aspA glnA gltA glyA pgm tkt uncA 21 2 1 1 3 2 1 5 825 33 39 30 82 113 47 17 257 9 2 4 62 4 5 6 826 33 39 30 114 104 35 17 66 2 4 5 2 7 1 5 832 33 39 30 79 113 43 17 61 1 4 2 2 6 3 17 868 81 104 81 113 143 119 67 ST aspA glnA gltA glyA pgm 257 825 21 61 233 9 1 139 2 4 130 4 2 62 382 2 113 2 4 6 tkt 147 5 3 uncA 17 517 6 Allele frequency C. C.jejuni jejuni 0.13 0.33 0.07 0.01 0.22 0.01 0.14 0.08 0.01 0.15 0.05 0.01 0.18 0.2 0.23 0.05 0.06 0 0.29 0.07 0.18 0 0.29 0.17 0.04 C. C. coli coli 0.64 0 0.49 0 0.62 0.01 0 0.46 0.01 0 0.18 0 0.15 0.01 0 0.48 0 Population Structure: identifying hybrids C. jejuni – C. coli hybrids 3 sequence types, 20/881 isolates (2.2%) Population Structure: identifying hybrids Common ancestor Campylobacter jejuni Campylobacter coli gene flow aspA-33 pgm-93 uncA-17 QuickTime™ and a decompressor are needed to see this picture. Coalescent modelling with ABC QuickTime™ and a decompressor are needed to see this picture. 1592 (1772 -1305) MRCA uncA-17 1966 pgm-93 1998 2000 2002 aspA-33 Campylobacter jejuni Campylobacter coli Common ancestor 4 500 BC (1 500 10 000 BC) Domestic pig domestication in the Paris Basin, circa 4000 BC Larson et al. PNAS (2007) gene flow present Campylobacter jejuni aspA-33 pgm-93 uncA-17 Campylobacter coli 9.9 m 24 m 6.6 m 32 m 9.8 m 51 m 7.5 m years BIRD SHEEP CATTLE CHICKEN ENVIRONMENT PIG BIRD SHEEP CATTLE CHICKEN ENVIRONT PIG HUMAN CATTLE CHICKEN BIRD ENVIRONMENT SHEEP PIG cattle beef offal or meat calf cows milk calf faeces cattle faeces chicken chicken offal or meat chick wild bird starling goose faeces turkey goose duck starling faeces sand (bathing beach) environmental waters soil potable/drinking water sheep lamb offal or meat lamb sheep faeces pig pork offal or meat piglet 212 47 12 11 1 1 222 153 17 172 71 25 22 12 7 4 52 28 3 2 84 74 10 2 35 10 1 284 392 313 85 170 46 broiler environment cat dog farm slurry gazelle giraffe goat horse human blood culture human stool human unspecified marmoset ostrich other animal rabbit unspecified 17 3 5 10 1 1 5 1 57 1684 102 2 1 25 3 144 Haplotype structure in sequences of known origin from pubMLST origin PIG SHEEP ENVIRONMENT BIRD CHICKEN CATTLE Haplotype structure in human isolates key NOVEL PIG SHEEP ENVIRONMENT BIRD CHICKEN CATTLE Haplotype structure in human isolates key NOVEL PIG SHEEP ENVIRONMENT BIRD CHICKEN CATTLE Attributing novel genotypes ST 574: 7 53 2 10 11 3 3 Human-specific, but similar to... ST ST ST ST 305: 9 53 2 10 11 713: 12 53 2 10 11 728: 4 53 2 10 10 2585: 7 2 3 10 11 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 All these found in chicken, so the likely source is chicken BIRD SHEEP CATTLE CHICKEN ENVIRONMENT PIG BIRD SHEEP CATTLE CHICKEN ENVIRONT PIG HUMAN Model C: unlinked Does it work? Empirical cross-validation Split sequences of known origin into two groups. Treat one group as having unknown origin (pseudohuman cases) Infer the proportion of pseudo-human cases drawn from each source population Repeat 100 times to study the performance of the method Simulation and empirical cross-validation Results: Linked model Predicted Correct Actual Correct Coverage Bias CATTLE CHICKEN BIRD ENVIRONMENT SHEEP PIG Combined CATTLE CHICKEN BIRD ENVIRONMENT SHEEP PIG Unlinked model 0.86 0.56 22 85 81 63 16 89 18 -0.13 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 0.16 0.01 Linked model 0.66 0.58 100 82 100 99 98 94 95 0.00 -0.05 -0.02 0.00 0.06 0.00 Case-by-case: probability of source PIG CATTLE SHEEP ENVIRONMENT WILD BIRD CHICKEN Gene flow between source populations Tracing the source of infection: results Tracing the host species of human food-borne infections Infected meat principal source (97%) No evidence for environment or wild birds as a major transmission route Prevention strategies: Enhanced on-farm biosecurity Interrupting transmission chain