Systematic reviews of genetic association studies Robert Walton Fiona Fong 15 March 2013 Outline of session • Reasons for doing a systematic review • Differences in methods between genetic systematic review and conventional • Assessment of bias • Meta analysis • A practical example of a genetic systematic review in progress – Fiona Fong Why do a genetic systematic review? • Identify genes previously studied and positive or negative associations with different outcomes • Standardise statistical analysis • Make sub group analyses • Plan future work • Make grant applications • Publish! Genetic systematic reviews are generally well cited in the literature The genetic basis for smoking behavior: a systematic review and meta-analysis Marcus R Munafò, Taane G Clark, Elaine C Johnstone, Michael FG Murphy, Robert T Walton Cited by 213 Human Genome Epidemiology Network • Provides online resources – links to suitable papers • Guidelines for performing and writing genetic systematic reviews • Center for disease control - Atlanta What's so different about a genetic systematic review? Genetic systematic reviews are very similar to systematic reviews of observational studies • Very important to work out the question fully and precisely • Abstract reviewing paper selection and data extraction are the same • Meta analysis is very similar need to consider the genetic question carefully too • Interpretation of the results may need to take into account an understanding of how genes work Specific genetic factors to consider when performing a review • Linkage disequilibrium • Hardy Weinberg equilibrium • Different models of gene action Assessment of bias • Selection bias – Extreme vs unselected cases – Use of prevalent cases – Using a phenotypic test – Biased selection of controls – Differential participation and dropout Assessment of bias • Information bias – – – – – – Misclassification of genotype Were the laboratory staff blind? Using a phenotypic test Biased selection of controls Differential participation and dropout Genotyping error Assessment of bias • Confounding – Population stratification • Family studies TDT • Genomic controls • But how much of a problem is it really? – Other Meta analysis of genetic studies • Useful not just for summary estimate but to investigate heterogeneity • Meta regression • Odds ratios, differences in means and standardised mean differences • Choice of genetic model • Sensitivity analysis – Hardy Weinberg deviation • Use of individual patient data A practical example of a genetic systematic review in progress An example • Our topic: Genetic factors and pre-eclampsia • Register with PROSPERO • Our new topic: Genetics factors and complications of pre-eclampsia Design • • • • • Protocol Comprehensive search Data extraction Validity of studies Meta-analysis Inclusion criteria Case control/cohort studies Complications of pre-eclampsia Medline Maternal Embase genotype(s) tested Can extract data into 2x2 table Cochrane 2 independent reviewers rd reviewercriteria Exclusion of references 3Handsearching if discrepancy Genome wide association from reviews / includedstudies No gold standard! studies Study design – Newcastle HuGENavigator Ottawa Scale Genetically ‘sound’ – STREGA (STrengthening the REporting of Genetic Association Studies) Additional elements – Data extraction Traditional meta-analysis Intervention Genetic meta-analysis Control TT Observe Pre-eclampsia CC Observe No pre-eclampsia Intervention TC Pre-eclampsia Control No pre-eclampsia CCCC + TC Outcome 1 Outcome 1 Outcome 2 Outcome 2 Dominant Recessive TTTT + TC Which genetic model? • 3 groups+ – Dominant (CC + TC vs TT) – Recessive (CC vs TT + TC) – Co-dominant (CC vs TT, CC vs TC, TT vs TC) • Choose a model based on previous evidence • Look at control group genotype frequencies to determine minor allele (ie aa) Additional elements – STREGA STrengthening the REporting of Genetic Association studies To enhance transparency of reporting – Methods variables • Population stratification (eg ethnicity) • Nomenclature system • Genotyping errors – Data sources ie DNA processing – Hardy Weinberg Equilibrium Additional elements - HWE Hardy Weinberg Equilibrium A concept of population genetics p2 + 2pq + q2 =1 p2 = genotype AA 2pq = genotype Aa q2 = genotype aa Our methodological quality assessment table Processing the results What does this lead to? • Successful systematic reviews of genetic studies can collate evidence across all studied genetic variants for a phenotype to form genetic association evidence databases. – Alzheimer disease (Alzgene database) – Parkinson disease (PDGene database) – Schizophrenia database (SzGene database) The systematic review process Formulate research question Design search strategy Nomenclature Further selection of primary studies using inclusion criteria Extract data Genetic model (dominant?) Retrieve papers Quality appraisal Search bibliographic databases HUGE Identify possible papers from titles/abstracts Synthesis STREGA Formulate research / policy conclusions Useful resources • HuGENet handbook – http://www.medicine.uottawa.ca/public-healthgenomics/web/assets/documents/HuGE_Review_Handbook_V1_0.pdf • STREGA – http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00439-008-0592-7 • PROSPERO – http://www.crd.york.ac.uk/Prospero/ • Hardy Weinberg Equilibrium calculator – http://www.tufts.edu/~mcourt01/lab_protocols.htm