National Health Registers and Autism Research Avi (Abraham) Reichenberg, PhD Outline • Genetic and environmental factors in autism liability. • Finding and ruling-out environmental risk factors for autism: – Cross and multigenerational investigations. – Mega registry studies. • Building you own autism registry. A-B-C of twin studies A-B-C A. MZ twins share 100% of their genes B. DZ twins share 50% of their genes C. MZ/DZ ratio of a trait reflects etiological influences on that trait. Example: • Correlation between a trait (e.g., height) between two twins: • MZcorr=0.5 • DZcorr=0.2 • Heritability= 2X(MZcorr-DZcorr)=0.6 Strong genetic contribution to autism liability Lichtenstein et al. Am J Psychiatry. 2012 A new view on autism and related conditions Before After Slide: Joseph Buxbaum Genomic architecture of ASD Common genetic variations (SNPs) acting together can increase risk for ASD Related syndromes/ Chromosomal abnormalities Rare genetic mutations (CNVs) alone may be considered causative Common variants and ASD Devlin et al., 2012 Related syndromes Copy-number variation and ASD Devlin et al., 2012 Don’t forget the environment! Lichtenstein et al. Am J Psychiatry. 2012 The new view on autism and related conditions should also consider the environmental space The first (modern) register • The population register in Sweden dates back to the 17th century. • Requiring the names and dates of those born or passed away. • Created to increase the efficiency of tax collection and military recruitment. • According to the population census, the number of population in the country was 2,175,124, of whom 410,400 lived in the territory of Finland. • The population size was considerably lower than expected, and the information on population number was declared secret. MMR vaccination and autism Intrauterine growth Sandin et al. 2013 SSRI and pregnancy outcome SSRI and Autism Folic Acid and Autism The challenges Self report vs. Independent observations/measurement Advancing maternal age Sandin et al. JAACAP 2012 Advancing paternal age Hultman et al. Molecular Psychiatry (2011) 16, 1203-1212; doi:10.1038/mp.2010.121 International Collaboration for Autism Registry Epidemiology (ICARE) • ICARE combines data from 6 population-based registries of AD/ASD with additional demographic and familial/perinatal data. – – – – – – – Sweden Norway Denmark Finland Israel W Australia US (California) – coming soon! Registry I Registry II Registry III •Demographic •Mental health •Pregnancy information • ~ 31,000 cases of ASD. • ~ 20,000 cases of autism. • ~ 3,000,000 non-cases Schendel et al. JADD 2013 International Collaboration for Autism Registry Epidemiology Schendel et al. JADD 2013 International Collaboration for Autism Registry Epidemiology Schendel et al. JADD 2013 Federated database Schendel et al. JADD 2013 Cross generational effects •Medications in pregnancy •Environmental toxins •Impaired growth •Preterm birth Benjamin Franklin and Multigeneration Effects • Ran away from home • His son, William had problematic family relationships with his children. • His grandson……. Why study multigenerational effects? • Utilizing Quasi Experimental Designs Better understanding of confounding and causality. D'Onofrio et al. Child Dev. 2010 Lichtenstein et al. Am J Psychiatry. 2012 Why study multigenerational effects? • Some risk factor disease associations may not be limited to events in a single generation. The new new thing The new new thing Health Registry-based Triad+ • Reliable AND valid (but sometime just valid) case-identification registries allowing for continuous follow up. • Linkable other population based registers – – – – – Service Health Demographics Family relations Biological materials Cases • Analytic infrastructure – Epidemiologists – Psychologists/socielogists – Statisticians + Openness to collaborations + Access to data Other registers Analytics Unique identification number used by all data sources and allowing individual linkage Acknowledgments International Collaboration of Autism Registry Epidemiology (ICARE) Multigenerational FamIlial and Environmental Risk for Autism (MINERvA) Network • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Diana Schendel Sven Sandin Kim Carter Richard Francis Theres Grønborg Mady Hornig Anastesia Nyman Eric Parner Camila Stoltenberg Nina Gunnes Joseph Buxbaum Alexander Kolevzon David Hougaard Yudi Pawitan Emma Frans Christina Hultman Micki Bresnahan Ezra Susser Mika Gissler Raz Gross Amanda Langridge Helen Leonard Abdre Sourander Paul Surén Stephen Levine Jonathan Mill Jakob Christensen Mads Hollegaard Paul Lichtenstein Sebastian Lundstrom • Autism Speaks partner for ICARE: Michael Rosanoff NIH partners for MINERvA: Alice Kau, Deborah Hirtz, Cindy Lawler