2. Demand, Supply, & Market Equilibrium 1 What is a Market? Market is a mechanism through which buyers and sellers (individuals, firms, agents or dealers) of a good (or service) interact to determine price and quantity of a product. • Physical or virtual • DD and SS are the 2 major forces that determine market conditions 2 Demand What is demand? Effective desire Essential for the creation, survival and profitability of a firm Knowing the strength & stability of demand is crucial for expansion of production facilities and entering new market 3 Demand Attributes of demand: Price Point of Time Market Quantity 4 Types of Demand Durable and non durable goods Demand for Non durable Goods - Can be used only once - Utility is exhausted in a single use. - Have a recurring demand - Producers’ Non durables : Raw materials, packing items, fuel, power - Consumers’ Non durables :Food, soap, cooking fuel, cosmetics 5 Durable goods Durable Goods • Total utility is not exhausted in a single or short • • • • term use Can be used over a long time period Wear & tear over a period of time; so needs replacement Generally used by more than 1 person (fridge) Purchased at irregular intervals 6 Types of Demand Durable goods • More volatile demand as they can be stored • Strongly dependent on macro economic conditions • Need to consider both new and replacement demand • Style, convenience, technological innovations are important • Producers’ Durables (plants, building, machinery) Consumer Durables (car, fridge) 7 Individual & Market Demand Market demand is derived by adding up all individual demands at a given price Individual demand refers to a single consumer- Theory of demand is based on Individual demand- Helps in understanding various dimensions of demand analysis But seller is interested in market demand and analysis 8 Table 3: Market demand curve Price A B C Market Demand(=A +B+C) 100 45 18 10 63 200 35 12 7 54 300 28 7 3 38 400 22 3 1 26 500 18 1 0 19 600 13 0 0 13 9 Types of Demand Direct and Derived Demand • Direct Demand: Goods demanded as they are. When a commodity is demanded for its own sake by the final consumer ; Satisfaction is derived by the final consumer without any further value addition: Food, clothes, house, medicines. 10 Types of Demand • Derived Demand: A commodity that is demanded for use either as raw material or as an intermediary for value addition in any other good -Demand for a commodity arising because of demand for some other “parent” commodity: Demand for land, fertilizer, agricultural tools, steel, cement, capital goods. e.g., demand for cement is derived from the demand for new buildings 11 Types of Demand Complementary & Competing Demand • Complementary Demand: Goods that create joint demand; so demand for one good depends on demand for the other • Competing Demand : Substitutes- Goods that compete with one another to satisfy any particular want. 12 Demand Curve • Demand curve shows the relationship between the price of a good and quantity demanded, Ceteris paribus • Has negative slope because of the inverse relationship between P and Q 13 Law of Demand Law of Demand (Marshall) Other things remaining constant, (Ceteris paribus ), when the price of a commodity rises, the demand for the commodity falls and when the price of a commodity falls, the demand for the commodity rises Quantity demanded and price are inversely related. 14 Demand Schedule and Derivation of DD curve Price (Rs) 100 Quantity Demanded 45 200 35 300 28 400 22 500 18 600 13 15 Demand Curve 16 Explaining the Negative Relationship Why does demand rise when there is a fall in price ? - New/ more uses of the good - New consumers who could not afford it earlier buy it 17 Explaining the Law of Demand Substitution Effect: • When price of a commodity falls, the consumer tries to substitute it in the place of other commodities whose price has remained unchanged (as the substitute becomes relatively more expensive) 18 Explaining the Law of Demand Income Effect: When price of a commodity falls, the consumer’s real income (and purchasing power) increases 19 Explaining the Law of Demand Law of Diminishing marginal Utility: The utility derived from every additional unit (marginal unit) of a commodity goes on falling as the consumer consumes additional units of a commodity, So, consumer will equate MU with P and stop buying additional units of the commodity when MU=P. Why? 20 Exceptions to the Law • • • • • Giffen goods (Inferior goods) Veblen goods (snob value) Demonstration effect Future expectations regarding prices Insignificant portion of income spent(Low value and limited use products) • Goods with no substitutes 21 Sum A fruit seller wants to sell 20 kg of apples. There are 3 customers whose individual demand functions are given below: • D1= 25 - 1.0P • D2= 20 - 0.5P • D3= 15 - 0.5P • Determine the market demand equation for the fruit seller. Find out the price at which he can sell all the apples 22 Solution • Dm= D1+ D2+D3 = (25-1.0P)+ (20-0.5P)+ (15-0.5P) Dm= 60-2.0P (Market DD Function) As he wants to sell 20 kg, price will be: 20= 60- 2.0P Solving the equation, we get P=20 Respective DD for each consumer will be D1= 5kg; D2= 10 kg; D3= 5kg 23 Determinants of Demand Price of good X Price of related good Y Consumer Income Tastes and Preferences Advertising * Consumer expectations of future price & income Size and distribution of population Growth of Economy 24 Advertising & Buying Behavior • According to a 2006 survey of rural India, 73% of consumers felt promotion had no or moderate effect on their buying behavior. • For edible oils and soft drinks, 54% and 75% said they were influenced by ads. • Purchase of watches and bicycles did not show any impact of ads; but friends, family members and village retailers were the influencers of these purchases. 25 Demand Function Dx= f (Px, Y, Py, T, A, Ef, N) • Multivariate • Linear- non linear • Coefficients can be positive or negative • In order to assess the effect of one of the variables, we have to assume that all other variables are constant (partial regression coefficient) 26 Movement and Shift Change along a curve (Movement) Contraction or Expansion refers to a change along the demand curve. • A movement occurs when a change in the quantity demanded is caused only by a change in price, • Due to a change in price, demand moves along the same demand curve- contraction or expansion in quantity demanded 27 28 Shift in Demand Curve • A shift in a demand curve occurs when a good's quantity demanded changes even though price remains the same. E.g., if the price for a bottle of beer was $2 and the quantity of beer demanded increased from Q1 to Q2, then there would be a shift in the demand for beer. • Shifts in the demand curve means that quantity demanded is affected by factors 29 other than price. Shift in Demand Curve • When factors other than price change, demand curve shifts to its right or left. Indicates that consumers will buy more or less at the same price 30 Shift in Demand Curve 31 SUPPLY Supply and Law of Supply • SS is the quantity of a good or service that a producer or seller is willing and able to provide at a price, at a given point of time, ceteris paribus. • DD side is represented by buyers; SS side is represented by sellers • Market supply is the aggregate of individual supplies 32 Supply and Law of Supply • Supply Function represents the quantity of a commodity that will be provided at a price, levels of technology, input price and all other factors • Sx= f( Px, C, T, G, N) 33 Determinants of Supply • Price of commodity: Positively related • Cost of production: SS is reduced if Cost of production increases • State of technology: Improved technology reduces cot of production per unit , enhances productivity and increases SS • Number of Firms: If entry is unrestricted, more SS • Government policies: Taxes & subsidies 34 Supply and Law of Supply Law of Supply: Other things remaining constant, supply of a product increases with increase in price and decreases with decrease in price. • Supply Schedule represents quantity of a product supplied at different prices. • Graphic representation of supply schedule indicates an upward moving curve: 35 36 Market Equilibrium • Equilibrium is a state of balance from which there is no tendency to change • Market is at equilibrium when quantity demanded equals quantity supplied. The equilibrium price or clearing price is established here 37 Market Equilibrium Price DD SS Market Condition Effect on P 100 63 6 shortage Rise 200 54 10 shortage Rise 300 38 18 shortage Rise 400 26 26 Equilibrium stable 500 19 39 Surplus Fall 38 Equilibrium • When supply and demand are equal (i.e. when the supply curve and demand curve intersect) the economy is said to be at equilibrium. • At this point, the allocation of goods is at its most efficient because the amount of goods being supplied is exactly the same as the amount of goods being demanded. • Everyone (individuals, firms, or countries) is satisfied with the current economic condition.. 39 Market Equilibrium 40 Market Equilibrium Imbalance between DD and SS causes either shortage or surplus. 1. Excess Supply If the price is set too high, excess supply will be created within the economy and there will be allocative inefficiency. 41 Disequilibrium: S>D 42 Excess Supply • At price P1, Q2 is the quantity of goods that the producers wish to supply. But consumers want to consume only Q1, (less than Q2). Because Q2 is greater than Q1, too much is being produced and too little is being consumed. Suppliers are producing more goods, in order to sell and increase profits, but consumers purchase less because the price is too high. 43 Disequilibrium: D >S • Excess Demand Excess demand is created when price is set below the equilibrium price. Because the price is so low, too many consumers want the good while producers are not making enough of it. 44 Disequilibrium: D >S 45 Disequilibrium: D >S • At price P1, the quantity of goods demanded by consumers is Q2 while quantity of goods that producers are willing to produce at this price is Q1. Thus, there are too few goods being produced to satisfy the wants (demand) of the consumers. 46 Market Equilibrium • However, as consumers have to compete with one other to buy the good at this price, the demand will push the price up, making suppliers want to supply more and bringing the price closer to its equilibrium. • In a free market economy disequilibrium itself generates conditions of equilibrium 47 Market Equilibrium Law of One price• Identical goods sell at virtually identical price in different markets. • Market forces drive price towards equality • Higher prices in one market attract sellers; lower prices attract buyers • The law also holds because of arbitrage: buying where price is low and selling where price is high 48 Defining the Market • Procter & Gamble: New Product Launch Debate on common European detergent • Defining the market • Should Europe be defined as one market or should each country be distinctly designated as a separate market? – 49 P&G executives discussed the following: • Having a single detergent would be less costly but… • Washing temperature preferences • Hand wash • European washing machines are front loading –American, top loading • High penetration of TVs in UK, but only 45% in Portugal and Spain 50 • European machines have smaller water capacity and much longer wash cycles • Business Laws differ among countries • In Finland and Holland, phosphate levels in detergent are limited • In Germany, coupons and refunds are not allowed • In some countries, package weight and labeling are regulated 51 • Eurobrand failed • P&G failed to define the market appropriately 52 • In each case there is a trade-off- Choosing Eurobrand with a single formula, single manufacturing structure as well as single marketing campaign would be less costly but has the potential problem of defining market too broadly • Choosing the individual market approach means higher marketing and production costs but products are in tune with individual markets 53 • Need for Cost benefit analysis for each action- unified approach vs distinct markets • P&G did not include options such as “Anglo” or ‘Franco” (Only “Euro” was discussed). • Need to have included both out-of–pocket expenses and what is foregone • 54 • So P&G changed its approach to globalisation by redefining marketssubsidiaries in each country and designing products and marketing campaigns for each subsidiary (Source: Boyce, The New Managerial Economics, pp34-35) 55 Estimating Demand 1. Suppose the relationship between Qd and P is represented by Q= -500P +200 I -400 C+0.01 A, where P= Price I=Income C=Price of complementary good A= Expenditure on advertising, Find the Qd when P= 600, I=Rs.15000, C= Rs.300, A= Rs.40,000 56 REDO sums Equilibrium P, D and S Market equilibrium will be achieved when Dx=Sx Dx=A-aP Sx=B+ bP Where A and B are constants a and b are coefficients P is price 57 Equilibrium P, D and S • Dx= 61.5 - 2Px • Sx= 1.5+2Px • Qd and Qs can be found by substituting the value of P in the respective equations: Dx = 61.5 - 2Px OR = 61.5 – (2* 15) =31.5 mn packets Sx= 1.5+2Px Sx= 1.5+ (2 *15) =31.5 mn packets 58 Equilibrium P, D and S 2. Suppose market demand is represented by Qd=3,000,000-700P and market supply is represented by Qs=1,000,000-400P, a) How do you determine the market price? b) Also find Qd and Qs 59 Supply, Demand & Market equilibrium • Car Market- Factors Affecting Demand Average income: An increase leads to increase in demand Population: Size Income distribution; More middle and higher income classes, more the purchases Price of related goods: Lower the price of petrol/diesel, more the car demand Substitutes: Availability and price 60 Supply, Demand & Market equilibrium Taste: SUV, red Ferrari Special Influences: Availability of alternative transport (buses, trains), safety of cars, better roads (Express Highway), Expectation of future price increases 61 Supply, Demand & Market equilibrium • Car Market- Factors Affecting Supply • Input prices: lower wages or machinery prices will reduce cost of production and increase supply • Prices of related goods being produced in the factory: If truck demand and its price increases, its SS will go up, entire assembly line will produce trucks resulting in lower SS of cars 62 Supply, Demand & Market equilibrium • Technology: Lowers production costs and increases supply • Government Policy: Pollution norms, minimum wages laws, government policy on electricity charges for industry may increase costs and reduce supply • Special Influences: Internet shopping will drive out high cost sellers out of the market 63 CONSUMER BEHAVIOUR Marshall’s utility Analysis: • Law of Diminishing Marginal Utility: Other things remaining the same, utility derived by the consumer from the consumption of additional units goes on decreasing • Utility is quantifiable and additive • consumption units are homogeneous • Income is limited 64 CONSUMER BEHAVIOUR A consumer is in equilibrium when he has 1. Maximised his satisfaction 2. Spent his entire income 3. Attained optimal allocation of expenditure 4. Consumed optimum quantity of each commodity 65 CONSUMERS’ BEHAVIOUR • Law of Equi- marginal Utility: Consumer distributes his income in such a way that marginal utility of each commodity per unit of expenditure is the same. MUx MUy MUz _______= _____ = _____ =MUm Px Py Pz 66 CONSUMERS’ BEHAVIOUR Hicks- Allen’s Indifference Curve Analysis: Ordinal instead of cardinal measurement Utility being subjective is rankable, not measurable Consumer is rational Tastes, preferences and income remain constant 67 CONSUMERS’ BEHAVIOUR Indifference Curve represents combination of goods X and Y that give the same level of satisfaction. Convex to the origin- consumer will sacrifice lesser quantity of Y for each additional unit of X It has a negative slope –For utility to remain constant, if demand for one commodity increases, the other one should decrease. 2 ICs can not intersect each other. Higher the indifference curve, higher the level of satisfaction. 68 Good Y CONSUMERS’ BEHAVIOUR IC3 IC2 IC1 Good X 69 CONSUMERS’ BEHAVIOUR Budget Line: • Represents all the combinations of the two goods that can be purchased with the given amount of money • The consumer has a constraint, namely limited income. • Position and slope of budget line is determined by the prices of the 2 goods. 70 CONSUMERS’ BEHAVIOUR Quantity of Y Budget Line x o Quantity of X 71 CONSUMERS’ BEHAVIOUR Quantity of Y • Consumer’s Equilibrium: Y A Qy E IC3 IC2 IC1 O Qx Quantity of X B X 72 Consumer’s Equilibrium • The consumer has a fixed income, all of which he spends. Given the market prices of 2 goods, he is constrained to move on the Budget Line. • The consumer will move along the Budget Line until reaching the highest attainable indifference curve. Hence equilibrium is at the point of tangency between IC and budget line. 73 Research on Consumer Behavior Market Researcher on Consumer Behaviour: • Law of demand is not the last word on consumer behaviour • A person who purchases high priced products -Perceives high quality difference -Is also cautious -Feels it is risky and uncertain to go for low quality products 74 Research on Consumer Behavior • A person who perceives himself as experienced in purchasing a product will generally choose a low priced item but an inexperienced person would choose the costlier option • Marketing executives think that a higher price is essential if the product’s real advantages have to get noticed. • Purchasing behaviour of consumer is mostly repetitive- as against the theory which says that consumer tries to optimise in every transaction and every time 75