Modelling as a tool for groundwater protection

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Modelling as a tool for groundwater protection

Tomas Saks, Aija Dēliņa, Konrāds

Popovs, Jānis Jātnieks, Andis Kalvāns

INVESTING IN YOUR FUTURE

Outline

• MOSYS modelling system (PUMA project)

• Buried valleys of Latvia and Estonia

• Modelling examples

Scheme of integrated model system development

Information base

Geological data

Monitoring data

• input

• update

• storage

• access

• remote access(web)

Geometry model

Closed 3D spatial model, which includes geological structure and properties of geological materials

•Objects(layers, faults, materials)

• Automatic mesh generation

• Stratigraphy (hronological generation)

Hydrogeological model

• 3D mesh

• equations

• numerical method

• boundary conditions

• calibration

• solutions

• Result: groundwater flow in

BAB

The Baltic Basin

Area - 484000 km 2

Volume - 579000 km 3

Average thickness- 1.2 km

Basin scale groundwater model

Geometry generation – automated scripting

The construction of the geometric mesh is implemented by specially developed script in

Python.

Scripting has several advantages:

1.flexibility in choosing ways to build the structure;

2.parallelization in developing/updating of different structure elements;

3.documented and repeatable structure building path;

4.possibility to rebuild the structure with slight or significant modifications at any time;

5.possibility to build, and maintain several structures of different complexity simultaneously;

6.extension to the next stages of the model development – calculation of groundwater flows and mass transport and model

[auto]calibration.

Groundwater flow modelling

Steady state and transient groundwater flow models. The result of the model is spatial distribution of groundwater head (h(t)) and spatial distribution of groundwater flow (derived from the groundwater head field) .

Boundary conditions:

1.No-flow conditions are defined for the side boundaries.

2.No-flow boundary conditions were applied on the bottom of the model.

3.Infiltration conditions are applied on the surface (derived from regional climate model data)

4.Mean or time-dependent discharge values are applied for the water abstraction wells (where data was available)

Material properties are constant horizontal and vertical hydraulic conductivity (K) and specific storage (S s

) values for each layer, determined during the calibration

S s

 h ( t )

 t

  

K

 h ( t )

 q ( t )

Infiltration

Precipitation, mm/year

Data from regional climate models (RCM) from

ENSEMBLES project for time period 1961-2010 with spatial resolution of 25 km was used.

Spatially varying, time-averaged infiltration distribution was applied proportional to run-off from

RCM models (employing empirical calibration

constant).

Where infiltration amount results in heads above surface level, remaining water are considered not infilrating.

Run-off, mm/year

Groundwater flows are mainly determined by infiltration in large closed basins.

Evaporation, mm/year

Examples of results

Vilnius Rīga Kohtla-Järve

Distance, km O-S

Cm-V

Distribution of head, schematic flow arrows

Upper layers

Regional aquiclude D2nr

Lower Devonian aquifers

Burried valleys of Latvia and Estonia

• In total 38325 boreholes reaching the bedrock surface

• 2306 in paleoincisions

Burried valleys of Latvia and Estonia

• Boreholes as a source data

• Probably 4 genetic types

– Burried gullies

– Burried fluvial channels

– N channels

– N channels in old fluvial channels

Modelling example

Groundwater mineralization (TDS in g/l) in Middle and Lower

Devonian multiaquifer.

6550000

6500000

6450000

6400000

6350000

6300000

6250000

6200000

6150000

6100000

6050000

6000000

100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 600000 700000 800000

-1100

-1300

-1500

-1700

-1900

-2100

-2300

-2500

-2700

-2900

-3100

-3300

-3500

500

300

100

-100

-300

-500

-700

-900

5

2

20

10

1

0.5

0.2

0.1

100

50

The impact of the Burried valleys on the groundwater flow

Modelling example

Stable dO18

Isotopes in the Middle and Lower

Devonian multi-aquifer

The impact of the Burried valleys on the groundwater flow

Modelling example

Groundwater flow beneath the Scandinavian Ice sheet

(LGM) and residense time in the Middle and Lower Devonian multi-aquifer without Burried valleys

Modelling example

Groundwater flow beneath the Scandinavian Ice sheet and residense time in the Middle and Lower

Devonian multi-aquifer with Burried valleys

Summary

• Basin scale modelling is a start for an operational model

• Burried valleys are potentially a connecting conduid for aquifers and also a potentional recharge sites for the glacial meltwater intrusion into the deep aquifer systems

• Therefore good knowledge of distribution and depth of these erosional features are essential not only for groundwater safety, but also assessment of the resources

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