Integrated Water Resources Management (IWRM) Scoping Study for

advertisement

National Action Plan for Climate Change

Support for the National Water Mission

SATLUJ PUNJAB –UPPER CATCHMENTS

Surface water resources inflow to Bhakra -major gap in information

To yr: 2050

Temperature + 2 degree C –higher in the upper catchment than on plains, may go higher

Precipitation and runoff some increase in precipitation, poor accuracy

Short term surface water –to 2020 no significant change; increased melt flows from glaciers, reduced melt from snow.

Medium to long term from 2020 o insufficient data to confirm trend o gradually effects of increased glacier and snow melts will affect inflows to Bhakra. o Bhakra can to an extent provide a buffer but glacier loss will be significant.

Require: glacier mass, snow and glacier melt response assessments

8000

7500

7000

6500

6000

5500

5000

10000

9500

9000

8500

SATLUJ PUNJAB –LOWER CATCHMENTS

By mid century: + 2 degree C

Precipitation:+ 10-15% mainly runoff, limited recharge

Evapotranspiration: little change

Increased variability of rainfall patterns o Groundwater 45% above sustainable levels o Sustainable GW-key to buffer against CC o Conjunctive SW and GW management

Joga Distributary: Simulated Changes in Groundwater Storage

Reference

120 day rice

Direct seeded rice

Reduced losses

Rice Area reduced

Year of simulation

KHIPRA SUB BASIN MADHYA PRADESH

Climate Change : To 2050 :

Temperature: + 2 degree C

Precipitation: + about 15% increase in annual rainfall +23% in monsoon rains some decline in the non monsoon rains.

Increased variability of rainfall patterns

Present Issues

WATER QUANTITY + WATER QUALITY o limited surface water, groundwater is key resource o groundwater overexploitation in some parts o yield of surface water /groundwater more than requirements, o Most water is lost during rainy season o WQ issues river and tributary streams very heavily polluted and go dry for periods-no base flow

CAUVERY DELTA TAMIL NADU

Climate Change to 2050 :

+2 Degrees C

No significant change in annual rainfall

South west monsoon would reduce by 10%

North east monsoon would increase by 10-

15%

Increased variability in rainfall patterns

Sea Level rise of 0.3 metres

PRESENT ISSUES limited surface water during SW monsoon

•erratic, very intense NE monsoon causes flooding.

•saline intrusion, low lying land is unable to drain.

•groundwater used to supplement surface water -issues of overexploitation and salinity intrusion.

•parts of the coast are eroding river mouths suffer from blockages causing problems for fishing and flooding

Q: How to plan for climate change?

• Need a systematic WR planning process for sub basins.

• Strategic Planning to follow IWRM, participative and iterative

• Plans must be mainstreamed into departments and districts for implementation

• CC. projections presently not adequate to make concrete planning decisions-but can support strategies and general direction.

IWRM UNIT

SPECIALIST INPUTS TO SUB-BASIN

PLANNING

-Climate Projections

-Hydrological Response at Basin Level to CC

-Basin Level Demand Assessment/Water

Balance

-Trans boundary Consultations

-Research

Strategic framework plan for three sub basins

Strengthen agriculture and marketing

Conjunctive water management conservation to reduce GW demand

Water resources and catchment management and GW recharge

Water quality, pollution

Satluj

Kshipra

Cauvery

√ √

Flood and Salinity Management

Soft coastal protection

Water supply and sanitation

Institutional development, regulatory and support measures

Reasearch Studies

√ √

Glaciers & snow,

Conjunctive use

Conjunctive use Hydrodynamic, GW and coastal modelling

Strategic framework plan for India Water Systems

CWC RBOs Institutes States Support consultants

Data Management

Specialist Inputs to

Sub Basin Planning

Sub Basin Framework

Planning

Integration of Sub

Basin Plans into Basin

Plans

Support for

Institutional

Framework, Capacity building awareness

Sub Project

Implementation and

Investment

Eight year programme

Project Preparation and Design

Project Implemenation Phases Project 1

Project 2

Project 3

Download