Update on Use of Hazus for FEMA Risk MAP Flood Risk Products Shane Parson – RAMPP PTS (URS) Agenda Overview of Risk MAP Non-Regulatory Products and Datasets Flood Risk Assessment (FRA) Dataset • Process • AAL Data • Refined HAZUS Data • Composite Data • Summary Data FRA data in the Flood Risk Products • Flood Risk Database • Flood Risk Report • Flood Risk Map 2 Program Product Comparisons Traditional Regulatory Products DFIRM Database 3 Program Product Comparisons Non-Regulatory Flood Risk Products DFIRM Database 4 Flood Risk Products and Datasets Three Flood Risk Products Four Flood Risk Datasets • Flood Risk Database • Flood Depth & Analysis Grids • Flood Risk Report • Flood Risk Assessments • Flood Risk Map • Changes Since Last FIRM • Areas of Mitigation Interest Flood Risk Database Flood Risk Report Flood Risk Map Flood Risk Datasets 5 Flood Risk Assessment Data Purpose and Intended Uses Identify Areas and Communicate Relative Flood Risk: • Flood prone areas • Vulnerable people and property Provide Flood Risk $: • Potential damage severity for different flood frequencies • Identify locations with possible cost effective mitigation options Improve Estimates for Flood Risk $: • Losses from Average Annualized Loss (AAL) Study • Refined losses from new flood study depth grids • Refined general building stock data from local sources 6 Flood Risk Assessment Datasets Flood Risk Assessment Data • 2010 HAZUS Average Annualized Loss (AAL) Study Data • Refined HAZUS and Other Risk Analyses Data • Composite Data HAZUS MH Flood Risk Assessment 7 Scope of Flood Risk Assessment Dataset Discovery Meeting Regulatory Products Deployment Requirements Metrics Existing Hazus Studies Available Data and Funding 8 AAL Study 2010 HAZUS-MH Flood Average Annualized Loss Estimation (AAL) was performed for continental U.S. using MR4 Inputs: • County-wide study regions • 30 meter DEM • Default Census data Final Output included: • Total exposure • Average Annualized Loss • Annualized Loss Ratio 9 Flood Risk Assessment Data Refined HAZUS Analysis Overview • Depth Grids from new study areas imported into HAZUS • HAZUS run for each return period, losses estimated, and annualized • HAZUS results exported and stored in Flood Risk Database Estimation of Losses • Dollar Losses Residential Loss Commercial Loss Other Asset Loss • Percent Damage Evaluate Building Stock Structure and Content Considerations • Business Disruption 10 Development of the Flood Risk Assessment Dataset in Risk MAP 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Average Annualized Loss (AAL) 24 Refined HAZUS 25 Composite Data 26 Enhanced Flood Risk Assessment Analyses Enhancements could include: • Risk Assessments at site-specific locations • Incorporation of locally-provided inventory data (first-floor elevations and/or parcel data) • Additional sources of flood depth grids • Supplemental HAZUS analyses or other types of analyses 27 Coastal Considerations for Flood Risk Assessment AAL study used separate riverine and coastal flood modeling 1 % annual chance (100-yr) only required Refined analysis (due to availability of wave height data for BFE) Other return period losses could be estimate be deriving coastal depth grid based on stillwater elevations and estimates of wave height Hazus coastal loss modeling only needed in locations with wave heights 28 FRA: Risk MAP Phase of Delivery Flood Risk Assessment Results • Draft Results : Delivered during Phase C Data Development and Sharing • Final Results : Delivered during Phase G Preliminary NFIP Map Release 29 Flood Risk Assessment Delivered 30 Flood Risk Database Overview Primary Storage Device for all Flood Risk Data • Changes Since Last Firm (CSLF) • Risk Assessment • Flood Depth and Analysis Grids (DAGs) • Areas of Mitigation Interest (AOMIs) Stores Data to Create: • Flood Risk Report • Flood Risk Map Delivered Digitally to Stakeholders 31 Flood Risk Assessment in FRD L_RA_AAL: AAL Study data L_RA_Refined: Refined analysis data L_RA_Composite: Composite of AAL and Refined Data S_CenBlk_Ar: Feature class that contains census block exposure data L_Exposure: Community-based summaries of exposure data L_RA_Summary: Community-based summaries of loss data from composite 32 Flood Risk Report Overview Background: • Purpose, Methods • Risk Reduction Practices Project Results • Changes Since Last FIRM • Depth & Analysis Grids • Flood Risk Assessment • (enhanced analyses) e.g. Areas of Mitigation Interest Summarized by Locations • Communities and Watersheds 33 Flood Risk Report Content – Community Summaries 34 Flood Risk Report Section 3 Flood Risk Datasets – Risk Assessment Results 35 Flood Risk Map Background The FRM’s intent is to provide a geographic summary of risks within the project area The FRM is not a regulatory product, and is intended to focus on specifically-identified risk areas In most cases, the FRM is created along with the FRD as companion elements to the H & H study This integrated approach is to produce a map that requires little or no manual cartographic finishing 36 Flood Risk Map Flood Risk Data Census Blocks symbolized with Risk Assessment Data 37 Guidance for Non-Reg Datasets & Products Appendices to Guidelines and Standards for Flood Risk Analysis and Mapping • Draft: Appendix N – Flood Risk Data Development • Draft: Appendix O – Format and Standards for Non-Regulatory Flood Risk Products Operating Guidance • 1-11: Risk MAP Guidance for Incorporating Mitigation Planning Technical Assistance and Training into Flood Risk Projects • 2-11: Operating Guidance for Creation of Risk MAP Products • 3-11: Communicating Flood Risk with Risk MAP Datasets and Products • 4-11: Risk MAP Meetings Guidance • 6-11: User Guidance for Flood Risk Datasets and Products • Draft: Guidance for Additional Non-Regulatory Products for Coastal and Dam Flooding Analysis Procedure Memos • PM #65: Guidance for Additional Enhanced Dataset Definitions and Flood Risk Database Standards • PM #59: Guidance for Implementation of Watershed-Based Studies 38