Using HAZUS for the Flood Risk Assessment Dataset within FEMA Risk MAP Studies 2011 ASFPM Annual National Conference Louisville, KY Dr. Shane Parson, PE, CFM, URS (RAMPP Team) Agenda Overview Average Annualized Loss (AAL Study) Risk MAP – Flood Risk Assessment Dataset • Process • AAL Data • Refined HAZUS Data • Composite Data • Flood Risk Products Use: Database, Report, Map 2 Flood Risk Assessment Data Purpose and Intended Uses Identify Areas and Communicate Relative Flood Risk: • Flood-prone areas • Vulnerable people and property Provide Flood Risk $: • Potential damage severity for different flood frequencies • Identify locations with possible cost effective mitigation options Improve Estimates for Flood Risk $: • Losses from Average Annualized Loss (AAL) Study • Refined losses from new flood study depth grids 3 AAL Study 2010 HAZUS-MH Flood Average Annualized Loss Estimation (AAL) was performed for continental U.S. using MR4 Inputs: • County-wide study regions • 30 meter DEM • Default Census data Final Output included: • Total exposure • Average Annualized Loss • Annualized Loss Ratio 4 AAL Usability for Risk MAP Initial study focused on providing state and watershed based results As Risk MAP looks to use more detailed results (census block level), an AAL Usability Analysis was conducted to better understand its limitations and refine AAL results as appropriate. 5 Flood Risk Assessment Inputs, Outputs, and Delivery Inputs: • HAZUS AAL Data • Draft flood depth grids • Enhanced data Source: FEMA Source: Flood Depth Grid Analysis Source: Discovery / Local, State, Fed. GIS Outputs: • Flood Risk Assessment dataset – HAZUS AAL Data – Refined HAZUS Data – Composite Data (includes data used for Flood Risk Report and Map) Delivery: • Drafts presented at Resilience Meeting • Final delivered after Flood Risk review and discussions • Incorporated within Flood Risk DB, Report, and Map 6 Development of the Flood Risk Assessment Dataset in Risk MAP 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Enhanced Flood Risk Assessment Analyses Enhancements could include: • Risk Assessments at site-specific locations • Incorporation of locally-provided inventory data (first-floor elevations and/or parcel data) • Additional sources of flood depth grids • Supplemental HAZUS analyses or other types of analyses 26 Refined HAZUS Data – Content Scalability Flood Risk Assessment HAZUS analysis for reaches with new or updated studies where depth grids can be generated Should include 10%, 4%, 2%, 1%, and 0.2% annual chance events and Annualized Loss HAZUS GBS Losses (dollar losses, percent damage, business disruption) Enhancements Additional events Additional HAZUS loss calculations (infrastructure, critical facilities, userdefined facilities) Use of local data to updated/supplement HAZUS data Non-HAZUS analysis methods (needs to be able to produce the required output to populate the associated tables in the flood risk database) 27 Composite Data – Content Scalability Flood Risk Assessment HAZUS Combination of AAL and Refined HAZUS Data Should include 10%, 2%, 1%, and 0.2% annual chance events and Annualized Loss (may include more events) HAZUS GBS Losses (dollar losses, percent damage, business disruption) Enhancements Only included if results to be show in Flood Risk Report or Flood Risk Map 28 Flood Risk Assessment Delivered 29 Flood Risk Map Elements 30 Flood Risk Report Elements 31 32