ASFPM 2012
Next Generation Intelligent Cyber-Physical
System for Integrated Environment
Monitoring and Management
© 2012 IBM Corporation
Decision, Information and Knowledge
 We make decisions everyday. Decisions have consequences
– Cereal or waffle for breakfast
– Take IH-35 or IH-410
– Buy a house on the lake front or on the hills
– Close this low water crossing or not, time of closure
– Build this levee or not, height of the levee
 Knowledge + Information -> Decision
 Information is often embedded in the data
– Data could be “noisy”
 The information age is represented by our increasing capability of
collecting data, distilling information, so as to assist decision
making
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© 2012 IBM Corporation
Empowerment of Information
 Amazon.com: $48 billion revenue in 2011. Sell almost everything on earth
 Compared to traditional brick-and-mortar retailers on consumer
electronics
– Model selections, price, reviews, …
 Amazon is one of the biggest IT companies in the world. Estimated half
million servers in data centers around the world
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© 2012 IBM Corporation
Data Could Come from Unexpected Sources
 The next WorldView satellite has the resolution of 31cm (currently 46cm)
 Capable of revisiting same place on earth in about 1.1 days
 Constellation enables revisit of any location within 1 day
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© 2012 IBM Corporation
Smarter Planet
 Instrumented
– Data collection
 Interconnected
– Data in motion
 Intelligent
– Extract insight from data, effective data dissemination
Instrumented
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Interconnected
Intelligent
Smarter
© 2012 IBM Corporation
Instrumented: REON
Instrumented
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Interconnected
Intelligent
Smarter
© 2012 IBM Corporation
River and Estuary Observatory Network (REON)
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© 2012 IBM Corporation
Instrumented: Smart Levee
Instrumented
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Interconnected
Intelligent
Smarter
© 2012 IBM Corporation
Levee Experiment in 2008: 15+ sensor systems tested
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lwBrJi9ly5c
Collapse
Sat. 14:02
Orientation
sensor on
Friday
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© 2012 IBM Corporation
Levee Experiment 2009 + Live Operational Levee
Operational levee
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KbNpVip8aaI
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pTnXscZ9MEE
Infrared cam detects water saturation
Experimental
levee
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© 2012 IBM Corporation
Deep Analytics to Understand Data for Better Forecasting
 IBM Research & SPSS statistical
modeling, outlier detection and
forecasting
 IBM High Performance Computing
accelarating wave impact forecasting
model
 Partners for domain knowledge; hydrological and levee
stability forecasting (e.g. DHV, Deltares)
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© 2012 IBM Corporation
Interconnected: IBM InfoSphere Streams
Instrumented
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Interconnected
Intelligent
Smarter
© 2012 IBM Corporation
IBM InfoSphere Streams
 Large volume of data must be processed at high speed
 Avoids storing-retrieval-processing paradigm
 Data are constantly in motion
 Flexible and ease in reconfiguration to enable real time decision
making
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© 2012 IBM Corporation
Highlights of Streams
PE
PE
Source
PE
PE
PE
Source
Sink
Sink
Sink
PE
PE
Processing
Element
Container
Processing
Element
Container
Processing
Element
Container
Processing
Element
Container
Processing
Element
Container
Streams Data Fabric
TCP-IPTransport
/ Ethernet
x86
Blueblade
Gene
Node
x86
Blueblade
Gene
Node
x86
BlueBlade
Gene
Node
X86
Blueblade
Gene
Node
x86
Blueblade
Gene
Node
 Complete software environment for stream data processing
 Consume all types of streaming digital data with a flexible
programming model and powerful programming environment
 Complemented by IBM Research stream analytics research
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© 2012 IBM Corporation
Streams Example: Trend Calculation
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© 2012 IBM Corporation
Intelligent: Models
Instrumented
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Interconnected
Intelligent
Smarter
© 2012 IBM Corporation
Benefit of a Good Model
 A (mathematical) model is a compact and rigorous form on our
knowledge and understanding regarding a subject
 A model can help us to “connect the dots” (spatially) and “look into
the future” (temporally)
– Flooding at one location v.s. the other location
– Future forecast based on current and past observations
 Classic models in hydrology and
hydraulics
 Good Models require investment
– Flexibility of deployment
– Ride on the wave of Moore’s
law
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© 2012 IBM Corporation
SPRINT: Simulation Program for RIver NeTworks
 Collaboration between IBM Research and University of Texas Austin
Center of Research in Water Resources
 Objective:
– Address the computational bottle network of large scale river
basin simulation (regional or continental scale)
 Highlights:
– Extend the modeling capability from main stems to upstream
tributaries
– Use the latest computer science techniques and computer
hardware to achieve over 100x of real-time when simulating
large river basin
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© 2012 IBM Corporation
SPRINT: Demo
 Guadalupe-San Antonio River basin simulation
 Statistics:
– Over 3,500 reaches
– 15,000 km total length
– Modeled by 110K nodes
 Capable of simulating a
10-day event on a desktop
at the speed of over 100× of
real time
 Why we need faster model
simulation
– Model calibration
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© 2012 IBM Corporation
Calibration Challenge
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© 2012 IBM Corporation
Calibration Challenge
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© 2012 IBM Corporation
Intelligent: Intelligent Operations Center
Instrumented
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Interconnected
Intelligent
Smarter
© 2012 IBM Corporation
IBM Intelligent Operations Center for Smart Cities
provides integrated insight…
Smarter Operations – across
departments and agencies
Leverage information with
real-time visibility of key data
to drive better decisions
Anticipate performance to
identify, manage
and mitigate incidents that
impact operations
Coordinate resources and
processes to respond to
situations rapidly and effectively
…within a particular service area or
managing across many services
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© 2012 IBM Corporation
Emergency Management provides a central point to capture events
and provide responders with operational insight
Smarter
Emergency Management
Leverage accurate information to
create near real-time situational
awareness at the command center
level
Anticipate and proactively plan
to improve strategic collaboration
and tactical decision making
Planning and
Management
Human
Infrastructure
Coordinate responder resources to
enable a faster, more effective and
efficient response
Automated alerts notify
emergency personnel when
changes occur in the flood and
landslide forecast
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“In Rio de Janeiro, we are applying
technology to benefit the population and
effectively transitioning to a smarter city”
Mayor of Rio de Janeiro Eduardo Paes
© 2012 IBM Corporation
Multiple deployment choices that offer flexibility and agility
On Premise:
Shared Services:
Cloud Delivery:
 Build on workload optimized
platforms
 Work together across
multiple cities
 Log on to your smarter city
environment
 Leverage infrastructure
readiness services
 Share services using
preconfigured systems
 Customize interfaces,
reports and data inputs
“It’s about transforming the way we do business, so we
can invest that money in front-line service delivery”
Inspired By
Chief Superintendent Avon & Somerset Police
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© 2012 IBM Corporation
Final Remarks
 We need information to make sensible decisions. Information is
often embedded in the data
 IBM Research has long tradition as the premier research institution
on information technology
 We are actively working with partners on many aspects of data
collection, data processing, and modeling
– To provide more meaningful information in a timely manner to
the decision makers
Instrumented
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Interconnected
Intelligent
Smarter
© 2012 IBM Corporation