GRiSP: does it meet expectations and where do we go next? Bas Bouman, Director GRiSP, IRRI Seminar, Nov 20, 2014 Reminder… • A CGIAR Research Program • A global partnership led by IRRI • Coordinating and founding partners: IRRI, AfricaRice, CIAT, CIRAD, IRD, and JIRCAS • Shared vision, goals, objectives, R&D • For a value of ≈100 M $/year (CGIAR only) • Current phase: 2011-2015 Content • What works well (2x) • What can be strengthened (2x) • Towards GRiSP II What works well: value adding 1: Alignment and synergies Leveraging global knowledge Pathology Markers Belgium -University -University Abiotic stress -IRD - CIRAD Germany Abiotic stress France USA - Cornell U. - U. Arizona -Duke U. JAPAN -NIAS - NICS - JIRCAS Markers Donor Pathology AfricaRice IRRI Genomics Germplasm Breeding lines Markers, etc NARS CIAT Embrapa Breeding lines - Shuttle Breeding - Breeding TF - Hub M Wopereis, GRiSP OC meeting November, 2014 Breeding lines China Breeding Task Force Africa Internal Breeding Program IRRI Promising lines Internal Breeding Program CIAT Internal Breeding Program NARS in Africa Promising lines Promising lines Internal Breeding Program AfricaRice Fixed breeding lines with data supporting performance Africa Wide Rice Breeding Task Force (MET) Country decision to release Breeding Task Force Annual Meeting 2014, Feb 25-26, 2014 Cotonou, Benin Promising lines Nominations for MET Breeding Task Force presentation, M Sie, STRASA meeting, Senegal, 2013 ARICAs nominated in 2014 Breeding Line Ecology Appealing point Lowland Fe toxicity tolerance Lowland Irrigated Fe toxicity tolerance Burkina Faso Ghana Lowland Irrigated Cold tolerance Senegal WAT 1046-B-43-2-2-2 Lowland Irrigated Fe toxicity tolerance Guinea Burkina Faso Cote d'Ivoire SIM2 SUMADEL Lowland Irrigated Cold tolerance Mali Senegal WAS 200-B-B-1-1-1 Lowland Irrigated Cold tolerance Mali Senegal Mangrove Salt tolerance Gambia IR75887-1-3-WAB1 WAS 21-B-B-20-4-3-3 IR 63275-B-1-1-1-3-3-2 Country Guinea Ghana Cote d'Ivoire AfricaRice Science Week 2014, Cotonou, February 24- 27, 2014 Hybrid Rice Consortium Latin America IRRI to CIAT => partners Original females pre HRDC New CMS pairs Selection of R Lines Selection of B lines CIAT to IRRI CT Elite Lines for testing at IRRI Two hybrids included in HRDC MYT R lines Testing in Santa Rosa GRiSP Phenotyping Network Anaerobic Chem YP, Chem, Aerobic rice Panicle structure YP flooded rice YP aerobic & upland Analytics Heat Cold, YP, phenology YP, Heat YP, photosynthesis, YP Aerobic rice, anatomy, Panicle structure Chem Aerobic Hi-altitude (ORYTAGE) Chem Dissecting GxE using ORYZA2000 High stem biomass translocation to the panicles after flowering C. Rebolledo, D. Jimenez, CIAT, September 2014 High biomass production after flowering Predicting yield loss due to BLB current and future climates A230 A250 RICEPEST and EPIRICE A1B30 A1B50 B130 B150 Tanzania Crop management advice IRRI AfricaRice Rice mapping IRRI AfricaRice 2: Strong outcome orientation From mission… • Reduce poverty and hunger • Improve human health and nutrition • Reduce the environmental footprint and enhance the ecosystem resilience of rice production systems …to objectives… To increase rice productivity through development of improved varieties and other technologies along the value chain To foster more sustainable rice-based production systems that use resources more efficiently To improve the efficiency and equity of the rice sector through better and more accessible information and strengthened delivery mechanisms …to development outcomes… 1. Increased production that meets local and global demand 2. Increased profitability producers and affordability consumers 3. Increased efficiency and value added along value chain 4. Increased sustainability and reduced environmental footprint 5. Increased health and nutrition from rice and diversification 6. Increased capacity and resilience in the rice sector 7. Increased gender equity, …to full IP and Theory of Change IDOs increased food security reduced poverty, increased, sustainability Increased productivity Large numbers of farmers adopt Large scale dissemination Collaborative partner adopters, and benefits seen Pilot site farmer adopters, and benefits seen Assumptions and risks Assumption: product actually delivers its benefits Assumption: product responds to a need on large scale; benefits accrue to adopters Risk: practices are not adopted Assumptions: partners disseminate product; benefits accrue to adopters Risk: products not adopted Assumption: product responds to farmers’ needs Risk: product not adopted Product Enabling actions See early action at development of improved practice Awareness campaigns, demonstration fields, marketing by private sector, penetrate remote areas (identification of target domain – see below) Involvement of partners in product development; capacity building of partners; development of business models; demonstrated benefits to adopters Conduct of Needs and Opportunities Assessments; target domain identification, involvement of farmers in development of product (participatory approaches); develop technologies with local R&D partners, scientific evidence that porduct ‘works’ Impact at three scales GRiSP enabling actions Global National District, province Local research Interm ediate users Action site End users (farmers, valuechain actors) GRiSP products and services GRISP OUTCOME OUTCOME INDICATOR 1. Food security – Rice Production National: rice production, consumption, and import/export volumes; rice area; yield; yield gap; domestic rice price Acton site: yield; yield gap; adoption rates of improved rice varieties and practices to close yield gap; adoption rates of practices and machinery to reduce postproduction losses 2. Poverty (producers income, consumers expenses) National: rice price; economic producer and consumer surplus (modeled) 4. Sustainability and environmental footprint National: ?? Action site: cost of production; local rice price; farmer profitability; adoption rates of improved rice varieties, production and post-production practices Action site: Increased resource use efficiencies (water, nutrients, etc); reduced emission of greenhouse gases, pesticide residues, water and air pollution; adoption rates of improved practices Yield gap simulations Crop modeling like this is complicated, but more powerful than statistical or empirical methods. It is an excellent platform for food security scenarios, yield gap analysis, targeting. The map on left is the actual yield per province. The map on right is the obtainable yield. It also shows yield histograms for different management and environmental situations within each province. A Nelson, IRRI BOT meeting November, 2014 Rice Sector Development Hubs, Africa 2.1 1.7 1.6 4.0 2.4 1.9 Irrigated lowland Rainfed lowland M Wopereis, GRiSP OC meeting November, 2014 Rainfed upland What can be strengthened? 1: GRiSP themes Disciplinary Themes constrain interdisciplinary research. Current themes too “technocratic”? Collaboration across continents and centers can still be strengthened Theme leaders need to be better resourced and empowered; clarity on role global Theme Leader 2: Partnerships Capturing outcomes by GRiSP partners: • Little reporting of NonCGIAR center achievements; • Capturing boundary partner achievements Documentation of value adding • Strength of partnerships; 900+? • Enhanced collaboration and synergy • Results of this Designing improvements GRiSP adaptations now Improve empowerment theme leaders: more resources, clarify roles and responsibilities Thematic workshops started in 2014: foster collaboration and generation of ideas Theme leader meetings => inter theme collaboration Engage nonCGIAR partners in reporting; internal workshops for enhanced visibility Mapping partnerships by Institutional Learning and Change Initiative (ILAC) in 2015 GRiSP Extension Proposal 2016 Approval by Fund Council November, 6, 2014 Builds on Impact Pathways, Theories of Change, IDOs, indicator framework T4 => T2, T3, T6 T3 => rice value chain A strong GRiSP II 2017-20.. Agreement to develop a strong GRiSP II Looking forward: Drivers of change and foresight => what does this mean for GRiSP II? Respond to priorities, goals, objectives, outcomes of CGIAR (Strategy and Results Framework); strong donor input Respond to rice sector development priorities of our partner countries and stakeholders Typical CGIAR center ‘niche’ (plus partners) Focused agenda; strategic use of W1,2 funds GRiSP II R&D structure Two R&D structures for further exploration: 1. Current Themes 2. Themes that are less disciplinary; maybe production/cropping systems basis, socio-economic agro-ecologies Value-chain approach; vertical integration Use Theory of Change and Impact Pathway; implement strong M&E; feed back loops Rice value chains in Africa Products & Services: Suitability, Reliability, Affordability… M Wopereis, GRiSP OC meeting November, 2014 Partnerships / MSPs: Trust, Win-Win, Equity… Planning GRiSP II – next steps • • • • • Dec/Jan 2015: CIAT Rice planning Jan 26-30: IRRI planning February 9-12: AfricaRice planning Cirad, IRD, JIRCAS February 23-27: LAC Rice Conference Brazil: PPMT bring results together • Senior research management meeting (Theme leaders, focal persons) Stakeholder engagement (continues process) • • External review: preliminary report July 2015, final report October 2015 Thanks for your attention Example: Rice deltas Foresight: population increase; urbanization; megacities; urban poverty and food security; demand high quality & diverse food; rural labor scarcity; mechanization; land consolidation; private sector presence; market-oriented farming; env. issues: CC => sea level rise; land loss; water scarcity and degradation; ecosystem services Example: Rice deltas GRiSP research domain: “Coastal zones and inland deltas”: rice main crop; rice production (volume); high quality and value added; low GI rice; export orientation; value-chain connection; PH losses; low rice price for consumers; env. protection (water, energy, nutrients, greenhouse gas reduction); complement private sector in R&D; engage private sector for technology dissemination Example: Forgotten Hinterlands Foresight: areas lagging behind; rural poverty and home-food security; harsh environment; little private sector; little advisory services; limited markets; NGOs; especially vulnerable to climate change effects; resilience needed; classical agricultural growth motor of economic growth Example: Forgotten Hinterlands GRiSP research domain: “Unfavorable environments”: improved technologies as stepping stone out of poverty (vicious cycle); multiple crops; stress tolerant varieties (drought, flood,st salinity, etc); enhanced IRRI DG: Finish 1 Green Revolution nutrition irt home consumption; CC adaptation; enhancing resilience (insurance); market information; seed system development; strengthen NARES capacity all-round; support SMEs as engine of growth; POORMINA R-RF-68 R-RF-69 IR 70215-70-CPA-3 IR 74371-70-1-1 DGI 307 IR 74371-54-1-1 R-RF23 IR 70844-10-SRN-43-1-B IR 72667-16-1-B-B-3 AR B-6 IR 5541904 IR 74371-46-1-1