Nexus Consulting NCGA 20112 © Securing Your Future Throughout the World Current Pirate Threats, Emergence of Maritime Terrorism & What’s next?? Maritime Security Division Presented by: Kevin C. Doherty, President, Nexus Consulting Nexus Consulting PO Box 6434 Arlington, VA 22206 info@ncga.us VA Security License 11-6290 Nexus Consulting NCGA 2012 © Oil Trade Routes http://szamko.wordpress.com/the-somalia-dossier Nexus Consulting PO Box 6434 Arlington, VA 22206 info@ncga.us VA Security License 11-6290 Nexus Consulting NCGA 2012 © Oil Trade Routes Significant Piracy Incidents http://szamko.wordpress.com/the-somalia-dossier/death-squads-for-oil-on-the-somalian-frontier-march-2006/ Nexus Consulting PO Box 6434 Arlington, VA 22206 info@ncga.us VA Security License 11-6290 Nexus Consulting NCGA 2012 © Petroleum Related Incidents and Costs February 18, 2006, MEND seized a barge operated by the American oilservices company Willbros and took nine hostages and detonated a bomb at an oil pipeline, a gas pipeline, and a tanker-loading terminal, forcing Shell to suspend 477,000 barrels a day in exports. WORLD OIL PRICES JUMPED $3.79 IN TWO WEEKS Feb 17, 2006 $59.88 - Feb 24, 2006 $62.91 - Mar 3, 2006 $63.67 “US oil giant Chevron has halted onshore oil production at its Escravos oilfield after an attack on a pipeline. - 21 June 2008 The loss could equate to about 120,000 barrels per day, about 6.6% of Nigeria's total daily crude production. “ November 2008, Sirius Star hijacked $100 million in crude oil, oil prices jump $1 the same day http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Africa/2011/1030/Move-over-Boko-Haram-Nigeria-s-MEND-rebels-set-to-restart-oil-war-in-Niger-Delta Nexus Consulting PO Box 6434 Arlington, VA 22206 info@ncga.us VA Security License 11-6290 Nexus Consulting NCGA 2012 © The Threat… 2.0 and counting… Nexus Consulting PO Box 6434 Arlington, VA 22206 info@ncga.us VA Security License 11-6290 Nexus Consulting NCGA 2012 © Securing Your Future Throughout the World “Al-Qaida eyed oil tankers as bombing targets” By EILEEN SULLIVAN, MATT APUZZO 5/20/11 “Washington, DC (AP) — Osama bin Laden's personal files revealed a brazen idea to hijack oil tankers and blow them up at sea last summer, creating explosions he hoped would rattle the world's economy and send oil prices skyrocketing, the U.S. said Friday. William S. Stevens / NVNS via AP The newly disclosed plot showed that while bin Laden was always scheming for the next big strike that would kill thousands of Americans, he also believed a relatively simpler attack on the oil industry could create a worldwide panic that would hurt Westerners every time they gassed up their cars.” www.msnbc.msn.com/id/43115189/ns/us_news-security/t/al-qaida-eyed-oil-tankers-bombing-targets Nexus Consulting PO Box 6434 Arlington, VA 22206 info@ncga.us VA Security License 11-6290 NCGA 2012© Nexus Consulting “A Ship is Safe in Harbor, But That’s Not What Ships Are For” – William Sheddi Naval Capabilities “GoA is 1,000,000 sq miles and we just can’t cover it” EUNAVFOR hits critical mass for CTF 150,151, 152 anti-piracy operations 2011 West Africa Heating Up Natural Resources Becoming More Difficult to Secure delta Philippines waters require War Hull insurance Unrest in the Middle East France, Greece, Ireland face debt crisis Baltic Index all time low Commercial Needs Nexus Consulting PO Box 6434 Arlington, VA 22206 info@ncga.us VA Security License 11-6290 NCGA 2012 © Nexus Consulting So What’s Next?? Civil Unrest • • • • • Egypt Philippines Yemen Libya Bahrain No Real-time Intel • Porous countries with weak security and law enforcement will continue to complacently or worse, support pirates. • West Africa next hot spot • Tugs in Asia Nexus Consulting PO Box 6434 Arlington, VA 22206 info@ncga.us VA Security License 11-6290 NCGA 2012 © Nexus Consulting Securing Your Future Throughout the World Case Study: Security WORKS Pirated Vessel vs. Evaded Attack M/V LONGCHAMP vs. M/V POLARIS Pirated • • • • • • Not registered with UKMTO No fire hoses set No lookouts Complacent crew No attempt to speed up or conduct evasive maneuvers Not on Vulnerable Shipping List (VSL) Evaded Pirating • • • • • • Coordinated transit with UKMTO Broadcasting AIS Lookouts posted Active crew Conducted evasive maneuvers Made contact and coordinated with Coalition Units Nexus Consulting PO Box 6434 Arlington, VA 22206 info@ncga.us VA Security License 11-6290 Nexus Consulting NCGA 2012 © So How do we Deal with Piracy? Best Management Practices (4th edition) Know the Risks Areas– Based on defined “High Risk Waters” Asses the Risks– Based on vessel and route particulars Know the pirates TTP’s (Tactics, Techniques and Procedures)– Know how to Report– Planning – Company Level Ship Master Level Ship Protection Measures– If Pirates Take Control – If Military Intervenes – Post Incident Reporting – Nexus Consulting PO Box 6434 Arlington, VA 22206 info@ncga.us VA Security License 11-6290 Nexus Consulting NCGA 2012 © Every BMP (and other creative options) have SUCCEDED… •Zhenhua 4 fends off boarded pirate with Moltov Cocktails Nexus Consulting PO Box 6434 Arlington, VA 22206 info@ncga.us VA Security License 11-6290 Nexus Consulting NCGA 2012 © BMP’s Reviewed… What’s Working? Best Management Practices' Effectiveness Reviewed Self Protection Measures (SPMs) Cost Evasive Maneuvers Secure Door Hatches Dummy Watchstanders physical barriers robust razor wire barrier coating with ‘anti-climb’ paint water spray / foam monitors flare guns Safe Muster Points/Citadels $0 up to $5000 up to $5000 up to $5000 up to $5000 up to $5000 up to $500,000 $50 up to $25000 Unarmed Security Detail up to $25000 Armed Security Detail up to $55000 Nexus Consulting PO Box 6434 Arlington, VA 22206 info@ncga.us VA Security License 11-6290 NCGA 2012 © Nexus Consulting BMP’s Reviewed… What’s Working? Best Management Practices' Effectiveness Reviewed Self Protection Measures (SPMs) Cost Verdict? Evasive Maneuvers Secure Door Hatches Dummy Watchstanders physical barriers robust razor wire barrier coating with ‘anti-climb’ paint water spray / foam monitors flare guns Safe Muster Points/Citadels $0 up to $5000 up to $5000 up to $5000 up to $5000 up to $5000 up to $500,000 $50 up to $25000 DEFEATED: Thor Spring - HIJACKED DEFEATED: Beluga Nomination - HIJACKED DEFEATED: Carmencita - HIJACKED DEFEATED: Carmencita - HIJACKED DEFEATED: Thor Spring - HIJACKED DEFEATED: Jahan Moni - HIJACKED DEFEATED: Thor Spring - HIJACKED DEFEATED: Carmencita - HIJACKED DEFEATED: Beluga Nomination - HIJACKED Unarmed Security Detail up to $25000 DEFEATED: Biscaglia - HIJACKED DEFEATED: New York Star - HIJACKED Armed Security Detail up to $55000 ATTACK REPELED: VALERIE - No Time Deviation ATTACK REPELED: MAERSK ALABAMA - No Time Deviation ATTACK REPELED: VOGE DIGNITY - No Time Deviation ATTACK REPELED: BRATTINGSBORG - No Time Deviation ATTACK REPELED: CAPRICORN - No Time Deviation Nexus Consulting PO Box 6434 Arlington, VA 22206 info@ncga.us VA Security License 11-6290 NCGA 2012 © Nexus Consulting Securing Your Future Throughout the World Summary •Pirate Attacks (PA’s) are increasing in attempts but success rate is dropping •PA’s are following Pirate Support System (PSS) , emerging as serious coastal threats •Tankers are increasingly being targeted •PA’s with firearms and RPG’s have dramatically increased •PA’s are becoming increasingly violent + •West Africa is next and Asia is heating up as well… •More and more security firms will flood the market… One will lose in a pirate attack •NAVFOR support will diminish 2011-2012 = “The pirate threat isn’t going away, but you can manage risk with proper planning” Nexus Consulting PO Box 6434 Arlington, VA 22206 info@ncga.us VA Security License 11-6290 NCGA 2012 © Nexus Consulting Securing Your Future Throughout the World Authorized Flag States Questions???? Mailing Nexus Consulting PO Box 6434 Arlington, VA 22206 info@ncga.us 703-474-6571 Fax: 703-224-8801 DDTC Export Registration Code: M26660 Headquarters Nexus Consulting 2331 Mill Rd., Suite 100 Alexandria, VA 22314 info@ncga.us 703-224-8984 Fax: 703-224-8801 VA Security License: 11-6290 Nexus Consulting PO Box 6434 Arlington, VA 22206 info@ncga.us VA Security License 11-6290