Deworming and adjuvant interventions for children in low and middle income countries: systematic review and network meta-analysis Vivian Welch, Chris Cameron, Shally Awasthi, Chisa Cumberbatch, Robert Fletcher, Jessie McGowan, Shari Krishnaratne, Salim Sohani, Peter Tugwell, George Wells 1 Acknowledgements • Canadian Institutes of Health Research Knowledge Synthesis 2 Geohelminths and schistosomiasis Ascaris lumbricoides (roundworm) Necator americanus and Ancylostoma duodenale (hookworm) Schistosomiasis Trichuris Trichiura (whipworm) 3 Infection Process Light Infection Symptoms swallows food Often no Ascaris symptoms lumbricoides or soil Necator Americanus absorbed through skin. diarrhea, cramps and weight loss that can lead to anorexia. Ancylostama Duodenale contact of skin with soil contaminated with larvae Ingestion of eggs Light infection causes abdominal pain, loss of appetite Often no symptoms Trichuris trichiura Schistosomia swimming or playing in sis infected water. Heavy Infection Approximate Symptoms # of people infected Cough, fever, 800 million discomfort passing worms anaemia 500-600 million protein deficiency or iron-deficiency anaemia iron-deficiency anaemia, Vitamin A loss. anaemia, stunting and reduced ability to learn 100 million 500-600 million 243 million 4 5 6 The greatest burden of STH occurs in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). This map shows the predicted distribution of STHs in SSA with Ascaris Lumbricoides. Source: Global Atlas of Helminth Infections 7 WHO Guidelines for Deworming, 2011 • For soil-transmitted helminths, annual treatment in areas where prevalence rate of soil-transmitted helminthiases is between 20% and 50%, and, a bi-annual treatment in areas with prevalence rates of over 50%. • For schistosomiasis, annual treatment with praziquantel in high risk communities (>50%), once every two years in medium risk (>10% and <50%), twice during primary school in low risk communities (<10%) 8 What do we know about effects of deworming? 9 Deworm the World • School-based deworming identified as one of the most efficient and cost-effective solutions to the global challenges facing us today (Copenhagen Consensus Meeting) • School-based deworming proven to reduce school absenteeism by 25%, and can lead to an additional year of attendance for only $3.50. • Children regularly dewormed are shown to earn over 20% more and work 12% more hours as adults • Children less than one year old at the time of school-based deworming in their communities are shown to have large cognitive improvements equivalent to half a year of schooling. • Source: www.Dewormtheworld.org; Kremer and Miguel 2004, Ozier 2011, Baird 2011 10 11 Taylor-Robinson et al 2012, Cochrane • Aimed to summarize the effects of deworming to children to treat soil-transmitted intestinal worms (nematode geohelminths) on weight, haemoglobin, and cognition; and the evidence of impact on physical well being, school attendance, school performance, and mortality • 42 randomized and quasi-randomized trials satisfied eligibility criteria • Author’s conclusion: “it is probably misleading to justify contemporary deworming programmes based on evidence of consistent benefit on nutrition, haemoglobin, school attendance or school performance as there is simply insufficient reliable information to know whether this is so” 12 DEVTA- “largest trial ever” • 1 million children in India, aged 1-6 years • No difference in mortality (deaths per childcare centre at ages 1·0–6·0 years during the 5-year study were 3·00 (SE 0·07) albendazole versus 3·16 (SE 0·09) control, difference 0·16 (SE 0·11, mortality ratio 0·95, 95% CI 0·89 to 1·02, p=0·16)) 13 Why such discordant conclusions? 14 Possible reasons for discordance… 1. Spillover effects/positive externalities 2. All intestinal worms are not the same 3. Not all intestinal worms respond to the same deworming medication. 4. Only moderate and heavy intestinal helminth infections typically cause measurable disease. 5. Reinfection 6. Underlying host and environment factors 7. Non-standard measures of school attendance and cognitive performance 8. Heterogeneity within and between studies 15 Mechanism of action of selected drugs Name of drug Mechanism of Action Target Disease Praziquantel Allows rapid entrance of Calcium ions into cell membrane of worm. Leads to parasitic death • Schistosomiasis Levamisole Causes muscle paralysis and parasitic death • Ascariasis Pyrantel Causes paralysis in worms. They detach from the host’s intestinal walls. • Ascariasis • Necatoriasis • Trichinosis Ivermectin Disrupts the permeability of the cell membrane to chloride ions. Leads to paralysis then death of parasite • Onchocerciasis • Strongyloidiasis • Soil-transmitted helminths Mebendazole Gradually kills the larvae secreted by adult worms More effective when used in combination therapy Albendazole Inhibits assembly of tubulin into microtubles , inhibits uptake of glucose, worm immobilized, then dies • Ascariasis • Necatoriasis 16 Campbell review on deworming: a network meta-analysis IDCG review 17 Research questions 1. Effect of deworming according to the WHO guidelines compared to placebo (or control)? 2. Effect of deworming for STH vs. schistosomiasis vs. combined approaches? 3. Effect of adding hygiene education, sanitation, micronutrients or feeding programs compared to deworming alone 4. What factors contribute to heterogeneity of effect (e.g. endemicity, child age, baseline nutritional status, infection intensity)? 18 Vectors: • soil • drinking water • washing water Hygiene promotio n and/or sanitatio n • feces • hands • food Target Population Reduced reinfection Deworming (STH treatment +/ or schistoso-miasis treatment) Children (1-16 yrs) in worm endemic areas [Ascaris Decreased worm burden in treated children 1 lumbricoides Trichuris trichura Ancylostoma duodenale,Necator americanus, and Schistosoma] Spillover decreased worm burden in control children 2 Reduced symptoms 3 Improved longer Effects of improved (eg. diarrhoea, abdominal term outcomes health outcomes pain, general malaise, • Reduced • Improved weakness, intestinal blood proportion overall well-being loss, anemia, fever, dysuria, of wasted children • Increased intestinal obstruction, • Improved weight school haematuria, and organ damage) and height attendance • Improved social, and achievement Improved short term outcomes physical, • Improved labour • Improved emotional and market outcomes nutrient absorption cognitive • Improved functioning nutritional status Decreases the gap between the poor and least poor Nutritional therapy (eg. micronutrient, feeding, iron) Improves health equity LEGEND Risk factors/conditions for implementation and up-take: Individual anaemia, undernutrition, low socioeconomic status Environment high worm burden, high endemicity of other infectious disease, poor sanitation, poor hygiene, poverty Intervention supervision, dosage, time of day, place of administration Intermediary outcomes Final outcomes Interventions/ co-interventions Causal pathway Cyclical effect 19 Mixed treatment comparisons 1. Assessment of heterogeneity due to multiple components (i.e. hygiene, sanitation, micronutrients, feeding and type of deworming); 2. Identification of areas where evidence is limited 3. Meta-regression allows more complete consideration of covariates (such as age, study duration, nutritional status and intensity of worm infection) 20 What is a network meta-analysis? 21 Methods • Bayesian Mixed Treatment Comparison Network Meta-analysis using WinBUGS software • Normal likelihood model which allows for the use of multi-arm trials • Both fixed and random-effects Bayesian network meta-analyses were conducted • Choice of model was based on assessment of the Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) and comparison of residual deviance to number of unconstrained data points • Compared deviance and DIC statistics in fitted consistency and inconsistency models • Vague or flat priors were assigned for basic parameters throughout Bayesian analyses 22 PICO • Population: 6 months- 16 years of age • Intervention: Mass drug administration for chemoprevention of STH or schistosomiasis, alone or in combination with cointerventions • Comparison: placebo, control, active • Outcomes: anthropometry, educational status, cognition, well-being, adverse events 23 Eligible studies • Randomized and quasi-randomized controlled trials • Quasi-experimental studies which use statistical methods to account for confounding and sample selection bias 24 Search strategy Database name and coverage Search date Ovid MEDLINE(R) In-Process & Other NonIndexed Citations and Ovid MEDLINE(R) 1946 to Present Ovid Embase Classic+Embase 1947 to 2013 January 16 1946 to April 18, 2013 5664 1947 to April 18, 2013 April 18, 2013 1582 1982- April 18, 2013 April 18, 2013 95 316 April 18, 2013 2 April 18, 2013 11 April 18, 2013 1 April 18, 2013 4455 Wiley Cochrane Library , Issue 2 of 12, Feb 2013 EbscoHost CINAHL, 1982-March 2013 LILACS, Social Services Abstracts, Econlit, Public Affairs Information Service Global Health CABI and CAB Abstracts Total without Duplicates Total Retrieved 260 25 9790 PRISMA Flow diagram 9,790 identified through database searching 9790 screened for eligibility Studies retrieved in full text (n=171) Impact evaluation databases remain to be searched 9,619 Excluded 143 Excluded 7 awaiting data from authors RCTs included in quantitative synthesis (n=21) 26 Characteristics of studies • # arms: 14 two arm, 5 three arm, 2 four arm • Age range: < 6 months: 1; 12-60 month: 9; >60 month: 11 • Endemicity: low: 8; moderate: 5; high: 8 • Size of study: <100: 3; 100-500: 7; >500: 7; >1000: 4 • Study duration: <6 months: 3; 6 months-1 year: 11; > 1 year: 7 • # cluster RCTs: 7 out of 21 27 Evidence Network – Deworming-Weight gain (Kg) 21 RCTs 16 Treatments N=42,197 Results vs. Placebo – Weight gain in Kg Pyrantel Pamoate 0.19(0.01,0.37) 0.24(-0.43,0.92) Albendazole 0.15(0.11,0.19) 0.28(-0.01,0.57) Albendazole-high dose 0(-0.35,0.34) 0.09(-0.84,1.02) Albendazole+iron 0.06(-0.21,0.33) -0.07(-0.89,0.67) iron 0.09(-0.04,0.23) 0.12(-0.48,0.69) Mebendazole 0.02(-0.09,0.14) -0.08(-0.62,0.45) vitamin A 0.43(0.13,0.74) 0.38(-0.48,1.26) Albendazole + vitamin A 1.42(1.06,1.79) 1.38(0.12,2.64) Levamisole 0.93(0.71,1.16) 0.93(0.02,1.85) Piperazine 0.03(-0.32,0.37) 0.02(-0.92,0.97) Metronizadole (anti giardia) 0.22(-0.11,0.55) 0.22(-0.73,1.16) Piperazine+metronizadole 0.35(-0.31,1.01) 0.35(-0.75,1.44) Albendazole + Praziquantel 0.2(-0.22,0.62) 0.2(-0.78,1.18) Praziquantel (for schistosomiasis) 1.2(0.92,1.48) 1.2(0.27,2.13) Metrifonate (also for schistosomiasis) 1.4(1.09,1.7) 1.41(0.47,2.35) FE: Resdev=161 vs 51; DIC=60.65 RE: Resdev=52.7 vs 51; DIC=-35.9 29 Results vs. Placebo, RE Model– Weight gain in Kg Pyrantel Pamoate 0.24(-0.43,0.92) 0.20(-0.01,0.41), I2-na Albendazole 0.28(-0.01,0.57) 0.31(0.10, 0.53), i2, 94% Albendazole-high dose 0.09(-0.84,1.02) na Albendazole+iron -0.07(-0.89,0.67) 0.14 (-0.04, 0.32), I2=0% iron 0.12(-0.48,0.69) 0.10 (-0.07, 0.26), i2=0% Mebendazole -0.08(-0.62,0.45) -0.07 (-0.41, 0.28), i2=87% vitamin A 0.38(-0.48,1.26) 0.14 (-0.20, 0.49), i2=0% Albendazole + vitamin A 1.38(0.12,2.64) na Levamisole 0.93(0.02,1.85) 0.93 (0.71, 1.15), i2-na Piperazine 0.02(-0.92,0.97) 0.03 (-0.32, 0.37), i2=na Metronizadole (anti giardia) 0.22(-0.73,1.16) 0.22 (-0.11, 0.55), i2=na Piperazine+metronizadole 0.35(-0.75,1.44) 0.35 (0.02, 0.68), i2=na Albendazole + Praziquantel 0.2(-0.78,1.18) 0.20 (-0.21, 0.61), i2=na Praziquantel (for schistosomiasis) 1.2(0.27,2.13) 1.2(0.92, 1.47), i2-=na Metrifonate (also for schistosomiasis) 1.41(0.47,2.35) 1.40 (1.09, 1.71), i2=na Deworming 0.29 (0.13, 0.45) Overall I2=92% 30 Next steps • Hand searching reference lists, impact evaluation databases, contacting authors • Educational outcomes • Quasi-experimental studies • Risk of bias • Causal pathway analysis • Covariate analysis to explore heterogeneity and improve consistency of model 31 Questions? • Vivian.welch@uottawa.ca 32