Global health statistics: living longer, living better, reducing inequalities Colin Mathers World Statistics Day, 20 October 2010 Global health statistics WHO is constitutionally mandated to "establish and maintain ….. epidemiological and statistical services" and "assist in developing an informed public opinion among all peoples on matters of health" (WHO Constitution 1947) 2| Global health observatory | April 9, 2015 Information & Evidence work at WHO Data Generation Norms and standards Classifications and terminology Methods and tools for data collection (including ethics) Multi-country data collection Population health surveys, vital registration Data Compilation Databases Surveillance Health information systems (including population surveys) Vital registration systems Core indicators and statistics Disease-specific: eg. HIV, TB, malaria Dissemination and use Flagship publications World Health Statistics Disease registers Registration data Data archive (surveys) Health and healthrelated statistics Life expectancy etc Comprehensive estimates Burden of disease (overall summary of lost healthy years) Health metrics network Global Health Observatory Health related MDGs Deaths by cause, age, sex Health research Country system and capacity building Analysis and synthesis of data Comparative risk assessment Systematic reviews of evidence and meta-analyses WHO website WHO Core Indicators (DRAFT October 4, 2010) Inputs & processes Health financing 1 2 Total health expenditure per capita Government expenditure on health as % of total government expenditure Health workforce 3 Health workers per 10,000 population Outputs Service access and readiness % deaths registered 7 8 9 5 11 National health strategy having the main attributes 12 Infrastructure 6 Health facilities per 10,000 population 4| 14 Antenatal care (4+) 13 Impact Health status 33 Life expectancy at birth Tracer medicines availability in health facilities 16 DPT3 Immunization coverage 34 Child mortality (under-5) 17 % need of family planning satisfied 35 Maternal mortality ratio Median price ratio for tracer medicines 18 Children with ARI taken to health facility Outpatient visits per person per year Service quality and safety 10 Governance Coverage of interventions 15 Skilled birth attendance Information 4 Outcomes TB treatment success rate (DOTS) 19 Children with diarrhoea receiving ORT 20 ITN use among children 21 ARV therapy 37 TB prevalence in adult population 22 ARV prophylaxis among HIV+ women 38 HIV prevalence 23 Cervical cancer screening (20-64 years) 39 Notifiable diseases (IHR) Risk factors and behaviours 30 day hospital case fatality rate acute myocardial infarction 24 Condom use at last higher risk sex 25 Access to safe water Waiting time to elective surgeries: cataract 26 Access to improved sanitation 27 Tobacco use (adults) Surgical wound infection rate 28 (% of all surgical operations) 29 Global health observatory | April 9, 2015 36 Deaths by cause,age,sex Low birth weight among newborns Exclusive breastfeeding for 6 mths 30 Obesity in adults (over 15) 31 Children under 5 who are stunted 32 Alcohol consumption (adults) Financial risk protection 40 Out of pocket as % of total health expenditure Global Health Observatory www.who/gho WHO's portal to data and analyses for monitoring global health. Direct access to major databases World Health Statistics online tables Critical data and analyses for key health themes and indicators Country profiles by theme: core health indicators, MDGs etc Interactive data tables and visualisations Indicator and Metadata Registry; standards for metadata Topical reports: Women and Health, Africa Resource inventory; web-based registry of country data reports 5| Global health observatory | April 9, 2015 Database example: the WHO Mortality Database http://www.who.int/healthinfo/morttables/en/ •Data are reported on an annual basis by country, year, sex, age and cause of death from civil registries • Causes of death are coded according to the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems (ICD) •Historical data since 1950 with data coded to ICD 6, 7, 8, 9 and 10th revision •ICD 11th revision currently in alpha draft (release 2011) 6| Global health observatory | April 9, 2015 Coverage of the WHO Mortality Database WHO Region No of Member States Afr Amr Emr Eur Sear Wpr TOTAL 46 35 21 53 11 27 193 Data % reported for Member at least one States of the years reporting 2004-2008 4 32 6 46 3 8 99 Coverage 90+ 75-89 50-74 <50 (sample) <50 na 9 91 29 87 27 30 51 Of the reporting countries, half are developed providing 75% of the deaths included, but only 33% of estimated global deaths 7| Global health observatory | April 9, 2015 Cardiovascular disease mortality trends Age standardized death rates (per 100 000) All CVDs - Male - 60 years and over 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 1950 8| 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 Australia/New Zealand Central Europe Eastern Europe Northern America Western Europe Eastern Asia and Mauritius Global health observatory | April 9, 2015 1995 2000 Latin America 2005 2010 Analysis and synthesis: maternal mortality Sources Civil Registration Number of surveys Number of country-years 1891 1891 105 819 Population Censuses 18 19 Other (eg special surveys, verbal autopsies, surveillance) 80 113 2094 2842 Surveys with Sibling Histories Total 24 countries had no nationally representative data that met inclusion criteria Trends for 172 countries 1990-2009 estimated by an interagency working group - input data sets, analysis programs, estimates and report on WHO website Maternal mortality ratios at country level www.who.int/maternal_health/en Is the pace of change sufficient? MDG 6: Combat AIDS, malaria and other diseases Prevalence of TB Incidence of HIV infection 3.5 350 3 300 2.5 per 100 000 population Number of people (in millions) 4 2 1.5 1 250 200 150 100 0.5 50 0 0 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Malaria: 38 countries on track to reduce the malaria-related burden of disease 9 African countries; 29 outside Africa The poorest are least likely to use health care: especially use of skilled care during childbirth Measles immunization coverage Skilled birth attendants 100 Percentage 80 60 40 20 0 Poorest 20% Data for 47 developing countries Middle 20% Least poor 20% Types of health statistics Unadjusted health statistics derived directly from primary data collection with no adjustments or corrections. Adjusted health statistics corrected to deal with known biases, use of indirect techniques. Predicted health statistics based on a model relating the quantity of interest to covariates. – Forecasting: past relationships to predict future – Farcasting: missing primary data 13 | Global health observatory | April 9, 2015 Comprehensive estimates: deaths by cause, age, sex Adult mortality rates by major cause group and region, 2004 Cardiovascular diseases High income Cancers Other noncommunicable diseases Western Pacific Injuries HIVAIDS Americas Other infectious and parasitic diseases Maternal and nutritional conditions Eastern Mediterranean South East Asia Europe Africa 0 2 4 6 8 10 Death rate per 1000 adults aged 15–59 years 12 Comparative risk assessment Percentage of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributed to 19 leading risk factors, by country income level, 2004 Addressing the challenges Assist Member States to build sound information systems that can generate high frequency data to monitor change Promote and assist countries to implement and scale up vital registration systems Work with research partners to develop innovative methods to collect information on mortality and cause of death in populations without vital registration (MOVE-IT) Develop improved methods for dealing with incomplete and biased health data to generate comparable estimates of core indicators across countries Improve transparency and replicability of statistics Improve dissemination and access (Global Health Observatory)