SKRINING SAWITRI V POPULASI perkembangan dari sehat menjadi sakit yang berbeda derajat beratnya Populasi total AT RISK!! Sakit Mencari pengobatan Rawat inap Meninggal SKRINING UJI DIAGNOSTIK A study accurate test Comparing with GOLD STANDAR Program Dx dini penyakit di komunitas Terapi Mencegah penularan Mencegah kecacatan PENELITIAN SKRINING (UJI DIAGNOSTIK) Skema Uji DIAGNOSTIK “Healthy Sample” Negative Confirm Dx Not sick TRUE NEGATIVE Positive SCREENING TEST Confirm Dx Sick, FALSE NEGATIVE Sick, TRUE POSITIVE Not Sick FALSE POSITIVE AKURASI 1. VALIDITAS Sensitivitas Spesifisitas Nilai Prediktif Likelihood Ratio 2. RELIABILITAS Persentase (%) • Sensitivitas Kemampuan tes untuk menunjukkan secara benar orang-orang yang benarbenar sakit TP TP + FN • Spesifisitas Kemampuan tes menunjukkan secara benar orang-orang yang benar-benar tidak sakit TN TN + FP STANDAR BAKU S K R I N I N G POSITIVE NEGATIVE TOTAL DISEASE NO DISEASE TRUE POSITIVE FALSE POSITIVE (TP) (FP) FALSE NEGATIVE TRUE NEGATIVE (FN) (TN) TP + FN FP + TN JUMLAH TP + FP FN + TN N NILAI PREDIKTIF 1. Positif 2. Negatif • PV positif: Proporsi orang yang benar-benar sakit setelah mendapatkan hasil tes positif = TP TP + FP PV Negatif – Proporsi orang yang benar-benar tidak sakit setelah mendapatkan hasil tes negatif TN = TN + FN Faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi nilai prediktif • Sensitivitas dan spesifisitas • Prevalensi penyakit yang asimtomatis semakin tinggi prevalensi penyakit, nilai prediktif positif akan semakin tinggi TES DENGAN DATA KONTINYU (INTERVAL) CUT OFF POINTS • Tes dengan > 2 kategori hasil • Contoh: Glaukoma • Tes X : – 1. GLAUCOMA – 2. Tidak GL. • Test Y: – 1. TIO > 26 – 2. TIO 22 – 26 – 3. TIO < 22 Lanjutan …..Cutoff points SENS? SENS? SPEC? SPEC? Healthy Sick 22 Intra Occular Pressure 26 MENINGKATKAN AKURASI • SEQUENTIAL (2-STAGE) TESTING – Melakukan tes tambahan pada hasil yang sudah positif – Meningkatkan spesifisitas • SIMULTANEOUS TESTING – Melakukan dua tes secara bersamaan pada populasi – Meningkatkan sensitivitas RELIABILITAS • Kemampuan alat untuk menunjukkan hasil yang konsisten ketika digunakan lebih dari satu kali pada individu yang sama pada situasi yang sama • Jika suatu tes Valid : pasti reliabel Reliabel : tidak selalu valid Tidak reliabel : pasti tidak valid Contoh : Roni dengan hasil BSN/GTT (standar) telah didiagnosis diabetes Tes Urine: Px 1 (-) Px 2 (+) Px 3 (+) Px 4 (-) Tes Urine: Px 1 (-) Px 2 (-) Px 3 (-) Px 4 (-) TIDAK RELIABEL RELIABEL TAPI TIDAK VALID Faktor-faktor: • Variasi tes – Stabilitas reagen – Fluktuasi sample atau spesimen • Variasi pengamat – Inter observer – Intra observer PROGRAM SKRINING • Population-based screening is where a test is offered systematically to all individuals in the defined target group within a framework of agreed policy, protocols, quality management, monitoring and evaluation. • Opportunistic case-finding occurs when a test is offered to an individual without symptoms of the disease when they present to a health care practitioner for reasons unrelated to that disease WHO PRINCIPLES OF EARLY DISEASE DETECTION Condition • The condition should be an important health problem. • There should be a recognisable latent or early symptomatic stage. • The natural history of the condition, including development from latent to declared disease should be adequately understood. Test • There should be a suitable test or examination. • The test should be acceptable to the population. Treatment • There should be an accepted treatment for patients with recognised disease. Screening Program • There should be an agreed policy on whom to treat as patients. • Facilities for diagnosis and treatment should be available. • The cost of case-findings (including diagnosis and treatment of patients diagnosed) should be economically balanced in relation to possible expenditure on medical care as a whole. • Case-findings should be a continuing process and not a ‘once and for all’ project. Skema PROGRAM SKRINING “Penduduk sehat” Negatif “SEHAT” Positif Tes Skrining Konfirmasi Dx Sakit, TRUE POSITIVE Tidak sakit FALSE POSITIVE CRITERIA TEST TO BE MET • is highly sensitive and is highly specific. • is validated and safe. • has a relatively high positive predictive value and has a relatively high negative predictive value. • is acceptable to the target population including important sub groups such • as target participants who are from culturally and linguistically diverse • backgrounds, people from disadvantaged groups, and people with a disability. • There are established criteria for what constitutes positive and negative test results, • where a positive test result means that the person needs further investigations, and a negative test result means the person is rescreened at the usual interval, where applicable. TES MANA YANG HARUS DIPILIH? • SENSITIVITAS DAN SPESIFISITAS • SUMBER DAYA YANG TERSEDIA • DAMPAK TES MANA TIDAK TERBUKTI EFEKTIF? • http://www.racgp.org.au/redbook/15 PROGRAM SKRINING SEDERHANA • Skrining depresi usila GDS 15 • Obesitas IMT • ????