Issues in the Aging HIV-Infected Population Joseph B. Margolick, MD, PhD Professor of Molecular Microbiology and Immunology The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. IAS–USA Slide #2 HIV and Aging Proportion of HIV/AIDS population that is >50 • • • • 13.4% in 2001 15.2% in 2004 35% in 2011 50% in 2015 CDC, 2006, 2011 From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. Slide #3 Similarities between HIV Infection and Aging At the biological level • T-lymphopenia, decreased cellular immunity • Replicative senescence of T-lymphocytes • pro-inflammatory markers (IL-6, TNF-α, IFN-γ) At the clinical level • Sarcopenia, weight loss, wasting • Cognitive disorders, dementia • Rheumatologic disorders, decrease in bone mineral density • Frailty-like clinical presentation, disability, and death • (treated) Apparent earlier onset of chronic diseases associated with aging From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. Age Issues in Effect of HIV/HAART Slide #4 HIV as a “chronic disease” • Age-related co-morbidities/toxicities (malignancies, metabolic, cardiovascular, kidney, liver, neurologic) • Interaction of HAART with age-related morbidities HIV/HAART and age-related immunologic decline • • • • • Decreased T-cell replacement, esp. naive CD4 Decreased cellular response to HAART Dysregulation leading to impaired responses Residual immune activation on HAART Frailty (may have immunologic component even in HIV-) Methodologic issues • Age as time axis for comparing by HIV serostatus • Appropriate comparison group ‒ At-risk HIV-negatives, not general population ‒ Age-adjusted From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. Slide #5 The Aging Phenotype and the Genesis of Geriatric Syndromes AGING Aging Phenotypes Changes in Body Comp Discrepancy Energy Production/Utilization Disease Susceptibility Reduced Functional Reserve Reduced Healing Capacity Unstable Health Failure to Thrive Homeostatic Dysregulation Neurodegeneration FRAILTY Cognitive Impairment Gait Disorders Falls Geriatric Syndromes Delirium Disability Sarcopenia From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. Sleep Disorders Urinary Incontinence Decubitus Ulcers Courtesy L Ferrucci - unpublished (do not cite) Slide #6 Resting Energy Expenditure and Covariates in HIV+ and HIV- Subjects HIV-infected subjects, n = 259 Estimate (β) R2 P value FFM (kg) 25.2079461 0.649 <.0001 Respiratory Quotient (CO2 prod/O2 consumption) −654.23617 0.665 .004 Dietary carbohydrate (g) .43184009 0.674 .027 CT VAT (cm2) .68024196 0.689 .004 Control subjects, n = 119 Estimate (β) R2 FFM (kg) 22.6017946 0.722 <.0001 CT VAT (cm2) .99145624 0.806 <.0001 Total body fat (kg) 12.541516 0.812 .048 CT SAT (cm2) −.6914458 0.818 .051 P value BMR= 108± 1% Predicted (p<.0001) BMR= 98± 1% Predicted Fitch et al, Metabolism: Clinical and Experimental 2009; 58:608-15 From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. Slide #7 Changes in Immune Activation Markers after HAART in the MACS sCD27 sCD27 sCD30 sCD30 800 140 120 sCD27 U/mL sCD30 U/mL 600 100 80 60 400 40 200 20 T1 T2 IL-6 T3 T4 HIV- IL6 Plot 1 8 5 6 CRP ug/mL IL6 pg/mL 4 3 CRP C-Reactive Protein 4 2 2 1 0 0 From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. Regidor D et al, AIDS. 2011;25:303-14. Slide #8 Risk of Incident Diabetes Mellitus in the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study (1999-2003) 4 fold increased risk of DM in HAART-treated men p= 0.001 * Adjusted for age and BMI at study entry From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. Brown et al, Arch Int Med, 2005 Slide courtesy of T. Brown Slide #9 Homeostatic Systems Disrupted in HIV Infection System Untreated T-cell X Neurological X Treated X X Glucose Hemoglobin Fat Muscle X minimal X X X X X X “functional” homeostasis Even if a system looks normal, need to know: how hard it is working to maintain that appearance! if it can recover after a stress or injury From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. Frailty: A Brief Overview Slide #10 Definition “A central definition of frailty in geriatric medicine is that it is a clinical state of vulnerability to stressors, […] resulting from aging-associated declines in resiliency and physiologic reserves and a progressive decline in the ability to maintain a stable homeostasis.” [1] Frailty is a predictor of poor outcomes - Falls - Hospitalization - Institutionalization - Disability - Mortality [2] time LP,MD, et PhD, al. 2005 Fried LP et20,al, 2001 From[1] JB Fried Margolick, at New [2] York, NY: March 2012, IAS–USA. Slide #11 Theorized and validated components of phenotype of frailty with aging, related in an adverse feedforward cycle Fried, L.IAS–USA. P. et al. From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 2009 64A:1049-1057 Slide #12 Theoretical Pathogenesis of Frailty [1] Aging-associated energy dysregulation syndrome • Phenotype is a vicious cycle • Triggered at multiple points in cycle • Triggered by many diseases as a final common pathway ‒ E.g., CHF, COPD, diabetes, cancers, renal impairment, HIV, possibly others • Greater number of abnormal physiologic systems associated nonlinearly with increased risk of frailty (emergent property) [1] Fried LP et al, J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 2009 64A:1049-1057 From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. Slide #13 Frailty: How Is It Recognized? Definition of frailty phenotype: An individual is “frail” if ≥ 3 components of these 5 are present [1]: - Physical shrinking (unintentional weight loss) - Weakness (grip strength) - Exhaustion (self-reported) - Slowness (time to walk 15 feet) - Low physical activity level (weighted score of kcal/week) Validated phenotype and medical syndrome [2] [1] Fried LP, et al. J. Gerontol. A Biol. Sci. Med. Sci. 2001; 56:M146-56. [2] Bandeen-Roche K, et al, J. Gerontol. A Biol. Sci. Med. Sci. 2006; 61:262-66. From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. Slide #14 Frailty in HIV Infection: Why Is It Important? Associated with adverse outcomes in nonHIV populations, and probably in HIV+ Associated with untreated HIV, but may persist even after HAART and viral suppression • Treatment may contribute to frailty development May be treatable or preventable Better understanding of mechanisms would inform treatment and studies of non-HIV frailty From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. Slide #15 Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study (MACS) Longitudinal study with semi-annual follow up • Pittsburgh, Baltimore/DC, Chicago, Los Angeles Enrolled 6972 men who have sex with men • 4954 in 1984-5, 668 in 1987-90, 1350 in 2001-3 Behavior, neuropsychological, social, quality-of-life measures Medical history and physical examination • Timed walking and hand-grip strength instituted in 2006 Laboratory tests and blood storage • T-cells, HIV RNA, hepatitis serology, liver and kidney function, lipid panel, urine protein/creatinine ratio Clinical outcomes assessed continuously • Confirmed by review of medical records From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. Slide #16 Frailty in the MACS (1994-2005) Definition of a frailty-related phenotype (FRP) ▪ The FRP definition was based on the frailty phenotype of Fried et al. ▪ Components of the frailty phenotype: ▪ FRP in the MACS - Physical shrinking (unintentional weight loss) - available - Weakness (grip strength) - not available * - Exhaustion (self-reported) - available - approximated (SF-36) * - Slowness (time to walk 15 feet) - Low physical activity level (a weighted score of kilocalories/week) - approximated (SF-36) Exhaustion: During the past 4 weeks, as a result of your physical health, have you had difficulty performing your work or other activities (for example, it took extra effort)? Slowness: Does your health now limit you in walking several blocks? Low physical activity: Does your health now limit you in vigorous activities, such as running, lifting heavy objects, participating in strenuous sports? * Grip strength and walking speed assessed directly in the MACS since 2006 Desquilbet L et al, From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 2007; 62:1279-86 Slide #17 Studies of a Frailty-Related Phenotype (FRP) in the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study (MACS) 4954 MSM (HIV- as well as HIV+) followed semiannually since 1984 The FRP was present if ≥ 3 of the above 4 components were answered “yes” (#1 and #2) or “yes, limited a lot” (#3 and #4) Covariates: age, education, ethnicity, CD4 cell count, HIV RNA Study population • MACS individuals enrolled before 1996 • Seroconverter and seroprevalent men • ≥ 1 measurement of CD4 cell count between visit 21 and visit 41 Visits: • All HIV+ visits between visit 21 and visit 41 Final study population: N = 1045 (N person-visits = 12,916) • 98 men had no measurement of CD4 count From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. Slide #18 Frailty-Related Phenotype (FRP) and Duration of HIV Infection (Pre-HAART Era) Odds ratio [95% CI] to manifest the FRP* 13.0 [6.6-25.4] 30 14.7 [7.6-28.4] 25 Same FRP prevalence between a 20 15 10 5 55-year old man infected < 4 years 3.4 [1.2-9.1] and a >65-year old uninfected man Ref 0 0 0-4 4-8 8 - 12 Duration of HIV infection (years) *Logistic regression models (GEE) Desquilbet L, et al, J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 2007; 62:1279-86. From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. Slide #19 Relationship Between CD4 T-Cell Count and Prevalence of Frailty-Related Phenotype (FRP), by Calendar Period 20 % FRP (95% CI) 15 ------- 1994-1995 1996-1999 _____ 2000-2005 ____ 10 5 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 CD4 T-cell count (cells/µl) Desquilbet L et al, 2009; J. Acquir. Immune Def. Syndr. 50:299-306 From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. Prognostic Effect of FRP on HAART Response (AIDS-free at HAART Initiation) Slide #20 % Alive without clinical AIDS 100 No FRP before HAART 80 Logrank p-value < 0.01 60 FRP before HAART 40 20 N Events Adjusted HR No FRP before HAART 436 69 (16%) 1 FRP before HAART 36 13 (36%) 1.6 [0.9-3.1] 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 Time since HAART initiation (years) Desquilbet L et al, From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. J. Gerontol A Biol. Sci. Med. Sci., 66A:1030-1038, 2011. Slide #21 Impact of FRP in the 3 years before HAART initiation on subsequent clinical AIDS or death among 596 men enrolled in the MACS, using multivariate Cox models AIDS-free at HAART (N=472) Exposures at HAART initiation AIDS at HAART (N=124) aHR1 (95% CI) P-value aHR2 (95% CI) P-value Education ≥ college 1·01 (0·64 - 1·62) 0·96 0·87 (0·42 - 1·79) 0·70 Ethnicity = White non Hispanic (vs others) 1·32 (0·65 - 2·68) 0·45 0·64 (0·24 - 1·71) 0·38 Age (per 10 years increase) 1·43 (1·03 - 1·99) 0·03 1·31 (0·77 - 2·22) 0·32 Nadir CD4+ T-cell count (per 100 cell/mm3 increase)3 0·85 (0·72 – 1·00) 0·05 0·94 (0·73 - 1·20) 0·61 Maximum plasma viral load (per 1 log10 copies/ml increase)3 2·08 (1·35 - 3·21) < 0·01 1·31 (0·71 - 2·42) 0·38 Proportion of FRP visits before HAART (for a 25% increase)3 1·35 (1·01 - 1·80) 0·04 1·63 (1·25 - 2·13) <0·01 FRP, frailty-related phenotype; aHR, hazard ratios adjusted for variables listed in the table; CI, confidence interval; 1 adjusted hazard ratios for AIDS/death; 2 adjusted hazard ratios for death only; 3 within the 3 years before HAART Desquilbet L et From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. al, J. Gerontol A Biol. Sci. Med. Sci., 66A:1030-1038, 2011. Slide #22 Frailty-Related Phenotype (FRP) in MACS HIV-1 infection associated with >10-year earlier occurrence of FRP [1] Risk of FRP increased nonlinearly with decreasing CD4 cell count, especially <~400/mm3 [2] After adjusting for age and CD4 cell count, FRP prevalence decreased after the introduction of HAART [2] Older age, lower educational level, and clinical AIDS were independently associated with FRP among HIV+ men [1] Proportion and number of visits with FRP in 3 yrs before starting HAART independently predicted risk of AIDS or death after HAART, even in those with HIV suppression [3] [1] Desquilbet L et al, J. Gerontol A Biol. Sci. Med. Sci. 62:1279-1286, 2007. [2] Desquilbet L et al, J. Acquir. Immune Def. Syndr. 50:299-306, 2009. [3] Desquilbet L et al, J. Gerontol A Biol. Sci. Med. Sci. 66A:1030-1038, 2011. From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. Slide #23 Prevalence of Frailty Phenotype (%) Prevalence of Frailty Phenotype by Age and HIV Status (MACS, 2009-10) 80 60 40 33 20 19.9 14.8 0 - Age (years) <40 FP events 7 8.4 5.2 4.4 HIV Total p-v 24 + - + - 40-49 7 27 158 136 321 38 487 10 8.1 7.8 + 50-59 44 75 546 508 From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. - + 60-69 35 - + >70 32 18 5 351 161 75 15 Slide #24 Prevalence Ratio of Frailty Phenotype for HIV+ HAART vs. HIV- , by Age (MACS, 2009-10) Prevalence Ratio of Frailty Phenotype for HIV+ / HIV- All HIV+ Person-Visits 4.0 HIV+ Person-Visits (VL < 50 c/mL) 4.0 p=0.01 3.5 p<0.01 3.0 3.0 p=0.03 2.5 2.5 2.0 1.2 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.5 1.0 p=0.03 3.5 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 <40 40-49 50-59 60-69 >70 Age (years) From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. 1.6 1.5 1.0 0.92 1.9 1.2 0.9 <40 0.7 40-49 50-59 60-69 Age (years) >70 Slide #25 150 100 0 50 Number of men 200 FP Occurrence in the MACS (10/06-3/10) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Number of visits with FP From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. Age (years) HIV status HIVHIV+ Among HIV+ CD4+ count (cells/ul) HIV RNA (log10 copies/ml) Nadir CD4+ count (cells/ul) Peak HIV RNA (log10 copies/ml) History of AIDS, N (%) Currently on HAART, N (%) Ever FP (n=410) 52 (46 - 59) Never FP (n=1661) 50 (43 - 56) 174 (42%) 236 (58%) 913 (55%) 748 (45%) 449 (284 – 623) <1.7 (<1.7– 3.0) 240 (125 – 352) 5.1 (4.5 – 5.4) 56 (24) 549 (380 - 743) <1.7 (<1.7 – 2.8) 286 (177 -390) 4.9 (4.4 – 5.2) 75 (10) 179 (76) 573 (77) Multivariate Predictors of the Frailty Phenotype (MACS) Predictor Age (years) (50-54) <40 40-44 45-49 55-59 60-64 ≥65 Race/ethnicity (black vs. non-hispanic white) Education (≥ college degree vs. <) Cigarette smoking (yes vs no) Hepatitis C (yes vs no) HIV status (HIV-) HIV+, no history of AIDS HIV+, history of AIDS Comorbidities* Depressive symptoms History of diabetes Kidney disease From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at*NS: New York, March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. highNY: blood pressure, liver disease, cancer aOR 95% CI 0.73 0.69 0.95 1.36 1.77 3.32 1.28 0.74 1.45 1.87 0.44, 1.23 0.43, 1.12 0.64, 1.4 0.93, 1.97 1.14, 2.74 2.06, 5.36 0.92,1.79 0.56, 0.99 1.10, 1.93 1.20, 2.90 1.24 2.27 0.92,1.67 1.45, 3.54 2.89 1.84 1.52 2.25, 3.71 1.29, 2.61 1.09, 2.13 Slide #26 Slide #27 Age distribution in the AIDS and general populations. Follow-up time at risk for cancer in both the AIDS and general populations, by age, for regions covered by the HIV/AIDS Cancer Match Study (1996 to 2007). Shiels M S et al. Ann Intern Med 2010;153:452-460 ©2010 American College Physicians From JBby Margolick, MD, PhD, at of New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. Slide #28 Age at cancer diagnosis among persons with AIDS and the general population in the United States, 1996–2007. Points represent cases of cancer observed among persons with AIDS. Shiels M S et al. Ann Intern Med 2010;153:452-460 ©2010 American College Physicians From JBby Margolick, MD, PhD, at of New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. Slide #29 Directly Measured* Glomerular Filtration Rate by Age and HIV Status *By iohexol clearance, Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study; Margolick J et al, CROI 2012 From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. Conclusions Slide #30 Frailty phenotype (FP) is measurable in HIV+ men • Clinical impact of FP in HIV+ unknown, but FRP data suggest may be adverse (as in HIV- elderly) Longitudinal studies are needed to evaluate phenotypes, mechanisms, prognostic impact, treatment, and prevention of frailty, and the role of ART and HIV-associated comorbidities in HIV+ • Residual immune activation, chronic infections, aging itself • Perturbation of normal homeostatic mechanisms by HIV/ART • Interaction of HIV and aging may occur at intermediate ages • Organ-, cellular- and biochemical-level mechanisms of aging ‒ FP is only a phenotype, not a true definition of frailty Proper comparison groups critical for studies • Be wary of comparison to general population From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. Slide #31 Clinical Implications of Studies of Aging and Frailty in HIV Infection Frailty (phenotype) may be more reversible in HIV+ than in elderly HIVAttention to treatable or preventable coinfections and comorbidities • Hx of AIDS Intervention studies and longitudinal studies are still to be done in HIV+ • Reduction of HIV reservoirs • Anti-inflammatory Rx • Exercise, diet, quit smoking, mental health Restrain presumptions about “premature” or “accelerated” aging From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. Slide #32 “HIV and Premature Aging: A Field Still in Its Infancy” Although the hypothesis of premature aging in HIV infection is intriguing, we suggest that it remain a hypothesis—for now—and not become ingrained as a complication of HIV infection before its time. To mature this concept from hypothesis to fact will require considerably more research to develop consensus in definitions, valid epidemiologic studies to demonstrate potential examples of premature aging, and a much better understanding of the normal biological process of aging. The latter requirement is probably the hardest to achieve, but it is essential if we are to confirm or refute that HIV truly accelerates aging.[emphases added] -J Martin and P Volberding, Ann. Intern. Med. 2010; 153: 477-479 From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA. Slide #33 Acknowledgements Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study (MACS) • J. Phair (Chicago) • R. Detels, B. Jamieson, O. Martinez, D. Regidor (Los Angeles) • L. Jacobson, X. Li, K. Althoff, T. Brown (Baltimore) • C. Rinaldo, M. Holloway (Pittsburgh) Columbia Mailman School of Public Health • L. Fried Ecole Nationale Veterinaire d’Alfort • L. Desquilbet NIA • L. Ferrucci From JB Margolick, MD, PhD, at New York, NY: March 20, 2012, IAS–USA.