Diabetes – A 21st Century Epidemic Diagnosis and what is it A common disease An expensive disease A serious disease A treatable disease A preventable disease Diagnosis and what is it Glucose Tolerance Categories FPG 2-Hour PG on OGTT Diabetes Mellitus Diabetes Mellitus 126 mg/dL 100 mg/dL 7.0 mmol/L Impaired Fasting Glucose Normal 5.7 mmol/L 200 mg/dL 140 mg/dL 11.1 mmol/L Impaired Glucose Tolerance 7.8 mmol/L Normal Adapted from The Expert Committee on the Diagnosis and Classification of Diabetes Mellitus. Diabetes Care. 1997;20:1183-1197. What is it ? Diabetes is a Vascular Disease % Affected Background Retinopathy 100 125 150 175 200 Fasting Plasma Glucose Natural History of Type 2 Diabetes Post-meal glucose 350 Gluco 300 250 se (mg/d 200 150 L) 100 Diabetes IGT Fasting glucose -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 125 Relative 100 Functio 75 n (%) 50 25 0 15 20 25 Insulin resistance ß-cell -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 Years of Diabetes Adapted from: International Diabetes Center (Minneapolis, 15 20 25 Etiologic Classification of Diabetes Mellitus Type 1 b-cell destruction with lack of insulin Type 2 Insulin resistance with insulin deficiency Other specific types Genetic defects in b-cell function, exocrine pancreas diseases, endocrinopathies, drug- or chemicalinduced, and other rare forms Gestational Insulin resistance with b-cell dysfunction Adapted from The Expert Committee on the Diagnosis and Classification of Diabetes Mellitus. Diabetes Care. 1997;20:1183-1197. Diabetes in the U.S. • 23.6 million (10.7% ≥ 20 y.o) at a cost of $174 billion in 2007 – 57 million with prediabetes • 6th disease specific cause of death. • Leading cause of: – Kidney failure. – Adult blindness. – Nontraumatic limb amputation. – Cardiovascular disease. ADA. Diabetes Care 31:596-615, 2008 Diabetes is a Common Disease : Estimated Prevalence of Diabetes in the US: Adult Men and Women Percent of Population 30 Men Women 21.1 20.2 20 17.8 17.5 12.9 12.4 10 6.8 6.1 1.6 1.7 0 20-39 40-49 Harris, et al. Diabetes Care. 1998;21:518-524, with permission. 50-59 Age (y) 60-74 75+ Estimated Prevalence of Diabetes in the US: Breakdown by Ethnicity 10 9.3 Diagnosed Percent of Population 8.2 Undiagnosed 8 6 4.8 4.5 3.6 4 2.5 2 0 Non-Hispanic White Data from Harris, et al. Diabetes Care. 1998;21:518-524. African American Hispanic American Diabetes – An expensive disease Direct and indirect costs of diabetes estimated to be $174 Billion annually in the USA in 2007 Costs to most health systems is 2-3 fold greater annually for patients with diabetes 1997 Per Capita Health Care Costs: Persons With and Without Diabetes 25 23.5 Diabetes Annual Costs ($1000s) No diabetes 20 15 12.2 10 5 0 2.5 Inpatient 1.5 Outpatient Services 0.7 0.4 ER Data from American Diabetes Association. Diabetes Care. 1998;21:296-309. 0.7 0.4 Office Visits 0.7 0.2 Outpatient Drugs Diabetes – A serious but treatable disease Microvascular complications Blindness, renal failure and nerve dysfunction Macrovascular complications Atherosclerosis –MI, Stroke and amputations Hypertension - Stroke, CHF, CAD The Arterial Tree in Diabetes Conduit Artery Resistance Arterioles Atherosclerosis Hypertension Precapillary Capillaries Arterioles Retinopathy Neuropathy Nephropathy Framingham Heart Study 30-Year Follow-Up: CVD Events in Patients With Diabetes (Ages 35-64) 10 10 9 Men 8 Risk ratio Women 11 6 4 30 19 38 9 20 2 6 3* 0 Total CVD CHD Cardiac failure Intermittent Stroke claudication Age-adjusted annual rate/1,000 P<0.001 for all values except *P<0.05. Wilson PWF, Kannel WB. In: Hyperglycemia, Diabetes and Vascular Disease. Ruderman N et al, eds. Oxford; 1992. Women, Diabetes, and CHD • Diabetic women are at high risk for CHD • Diabetes eliminates relative cardioprotective effect of being premenopausal – risk of recurrent MI in diabetic women is three times that of nondiabetic women • Age-adjusted mean time to recurrent MI or fatal CHD event is 5.1 yr for diabetic women vs 8.1 yr for nondiabetic women Kannel WB. Am Heart J. 1985;110:1100-1107. Abbott RD et al. JAMA. 1988;260:3456-3460. Atherosclerosis in Diabetes • ~80% of all diabetic mortality – 75% from coronary atherosclerosis – 25% from cerebral or peripheral vascular disease • >75% of all hospitalizations for diabetic complications • >50% of patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes have CHD National Diabetes Data Group. Diabetes in America. 2nd ed. NIH;1995. 4S: Major CHD Event Reduction in a Patients With Diabetes 1.00 5.00 0.90 4.00 0.80 Proportion 3.00 32% without 0.70 major CHD 2.00 event Diabetic, simvastatin - P=0.002 0.60 1.00 Diabetic, placebo 0.50 0.00 Nondiabetic, placebo 55% Nondiabetic, simvastatin 0 1 2 3 - P=0.0001 4 Yr since randomization Pyörälä K et al. Diabetes Care. 1997;20:614620. 5 6 The Arterial Tree in Diabetes Conduit Artery Resistance Arterioles Atherosclerosis Hypertension Precapillary Capillaries Arterioles Retinopathy Neuropathy Nephropathy UKPDS Blood Pressure Control blood pressure control reduced risk for Any diabetes-related endpoint diabetes-related deaths stroke microvascular disease heart failure retinopathy progression deterioration of vision 24% 32% 44% 37% 56% 34% 47% p=0.0046 p=0.019 p=0.013 p=0.0092 p=0.0043 p=0.0038 p=0.0036 Diabetes and CHD • HOPE Study – 9297 pts >55y.o. with DM or vascular disease + 1 CVD risk factor (~3578 DM ) – Placebo or Ramipril 10 mg qd followed ~ 4 yrs – Significant reductions in cardiovascular events (MI, stroke and CV death) – Changes seen in both DM and non-DM groups MICRO-HOPE • No clinical proteinuria, CHF or diminished EF and not on ACE. • 3577 patients with DM and either known CHD or one additional risk factor. • Ramapril 10 mg/d or placebo. • Study stopped at 4.5 yrs by DSMB ACE Inhibition in DM H o p e T ria l R a m ip ril P la ceb o (n = 1 8 0 8 ) (n = 1 7 6 9 ) P C o m b in ed 277 351 .0 0 0 4 MI 185 229 .0 1 S tro k e 76 108 .0 0 7 C V D ea th 112 172 .0 0 0 1 The Arterial Tree in Diabetes Conduit Artery Resistance Arterioles Atherosclerosis Hypertension Precapillary Capillaries Arterioles Retinopathy Neuropathy Nephropathy Glucose Control Study Summary The intensive glucose control policy maintained a lower HbA1c by mean 0.9 % over a median follow up of 10 years from diagnosis of type 2 diabetes with reduction in risk of: 12% 25% for any diabetes related endpoint for microvascular endpoints 16% 24% for myocardial infarction for cataract extraction 21% 33% for retinopathy at twelve years for albuminuria at twelve years p=0.029 p=0.0099 p=0.052 p=0.046 p=0.015 p=0.000054 Quality of Life: Effect of Improved Glycemic Control 0.4 P<.001 Improved 0.3 P<.01 P<.01 P<.05 0.2 0.1 0 -0.1 -0.2 Worsened -0.3 Quality-of-Life Mental Analog Rating Health Cognitive Function Testa & Simonson, JAMA, 1998;280;1490-1496. General Perceived Health Symptom Distress Placebo Extendedrelease glipizide Glucose Control and Costs of Care A 6 year comparison between patients who improved glucose control (decline in HgbA1C >1%) or not has shown that improved glycemic control reduced annual health care costs for affected individuals Reductions due to fewer physican and emergency room visits Cost saving of $600-1000 annually. Diabetes a preventable disease Several trials of diabetes prevention have been conducted for type 1 diabetes using vaccine strategies. None have yet been successful For Type 2 diabetes, multiple trials successfully demonstrated that both lifestyle changes and pharmacologic interventions can delay or prevent diabetes among individuals at high risk Prevention of DM 2 F/U DM Incidence Risk Reduction Study Control Da Qing 6 Yr 68% Diet Exercise 44% DPS 4 Yr 23% 11% 58% DPP 3 Yr 29% 14% 58% 31% Prevention of Diabetes with Lifestyle Modification Effect of Metformin and Lifestyle Modification on New Onset Diabetes - Lifestyle changes work better as we age % Decline in Diabetes Incidence 80 70 60 50 Metformin Lifestyle 40 30 20 10 0 25-44 44-59 Subject Age >59 Okinawa • • • • • 161 island archipelago, most live on main island, pop 1.3 m “Galapagos of the East” Lowest age-adjusted mortality (CHD, stroke, cancer) Longest disability-free life expectancy of 47 Japanese prefectures (states) Highest centenarian prevalence Centenarians in the World (by prevalence) Willcox DC et al AGE 2006 Diabetes – A model for intervention in chronic disease • As the population ages: – Diabetes becomes more common – Diabetes itself is more preventable by a healthy lifestyle – Complications of diabetes while common can be prevented Ushi Okushima 106 Years Young and Still Diggin’ Life Domo Arigato! Thank you !