Competition Tips and Pharmacoeconomic Basics
David E. Matthews, PharmD
2012 P&T National Finalist
OSU Academy of Managed Care Pharmacy
November 25, 2013
Presentation Outline
History of the chapter in the competition
Tips for the competition
Introduction to pharmacoeconomics
P&T Competition: OSU AMCP Chapter
Many appearances at nationals, especially mid ’00s
Highest finish 2 nd place nationally:
2007: Amanda Bain, Jessica Dell’Omo, Laura Koop, Philip Schwieterman
2008: Laura Koop, Eleni Lekas, Negin Soufi-Siavash, Dennis Sperle
Last appearance at nationals was 2012
2007 OSU Team
2 nd Place Nationally
Laura Koop (P1), Jessica Dell’Omo (P3), Amanda
Bain (P4), Philip Schwieterman (P3)
2014 AMCP P&T Competition: Eylea®
Project components
Questions A-D
Drug monograph
Presentation
Questions A-D
Recommendation: start on this first
Will help later when it comes time to start on the monograph
Brainstorm ideas together, but assign individual responsibility
Proofread each other’s work
Drug Monograph
Most time consuming element
Start early and aim to finish early
Allow time for plenty of proofreading
Divide responsibility but also collaborate
Look at sample monographs if available
Set aside plenty of time to meet as a team in the days prior to the due date
Google docs
Beware of formatting issues
Presentation
Finish monograph and written responses first
Will have ~1 week between monograph submission and due date for slides
Set aside plenty of time to meet as a team in the days prior to the due date
Rehearse many times before presenting
Anticipate possible questions and practice your response
How to divide up the work?
Clinical expert?
Economic expert?
Submission format expert?
Each teammate should have a basic understanding of your entire group’s work!
2012 P&T Team – National Finalists
Dave, P3
Vanessa, P1
Becky, P3
Anne, P2
AMCP format for dossier submission
Clinical trial evidence
Pharmacokinetics, drug interactions, monitoring
Pharmacoeconomic evidence and modeling
2013 P&T Team – Local Chapter Champions
Carolyn, P2 Dave, P4 Taylor, P1 Lisa, P3
Pharmacokinetics, drug interactions
Pharmacoeconomic evidence and modeling
AMCP format for dossier submission
Clinical trial evidence
What is Pharmacoeconomics?
Economics is the science of balancing best outcomes with limited resources
Pharmacoeconomics applies this concept to pharmacologic interventions
Types of Economic Analyses
Cost-minimization analysis
Cost-benefit analysis
Cost-effectiveness analysis
Cost-utility analysis
Cost-Minimization Analysis
Compares two interventions considered equally effective and tolerable
Determines which intervention costs less
Costs can include more than the price of medication
E.g. drug monitoring or other healthcare services
Cost-Benefit Analysis
Adds up costs associated with intervention
Compares to monetary benefits of intervention
Outcomes must be converted to dollars
Compares input dollars vs. output dollars
Determines whether benefits > cost
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
Determines the cost to produce an effect
Expresses cost of an effect as a ratio:
Numerator = cost ($)
Denominator = clinically appropriate marker, for example:
mm Hg blood pressure lowering
mg/dL of LDL lowering
Quality-adjusted life-years (cost-utility analysis: see next slide)
Cost-Utility Analysis
Subset of cost-effectiveness analysis
Determines the cost of adding one year of perfect health to a patient’s life
Calculates incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER)
Ratio of cost to effectiveness:
Numerator = cost ($)
Denominator = Quality-adjusted life-years
Cost-Saving ≠ Cost-Effective!
Cost-saving
An intervention that has a lower total cost than an alternative intervention
Cost-effective
An intervention that is sufficiently effective relative to its total cost when compared with an alternative intervention
Domination
Occurs when one treatment is cheaper AND more effective
The cheaper/more effective treatment “dominates” the alternative and is the preferred treatment
Cost-Effectiveness Plane cost DOMINATED
NW quadrant: more costly, less effective effect
NE quadrant: more costly, more effective
PERFORM
CEA effect
SW quadrant: less costly, less effective
SE quadrant: less costly, more effective
DOMINATES PERFORM
CEA cost
Adapted from: Smith KJ et al. In: Arnold, RJG, editor. Pharmacoeconomics from theory to practice. Boca Raton: CRC Press; 2010. p. 95-108.
Determining Cost-Effectiveness
New intervention in NE or SW quadrant
Example:
Drug A is a new drug
Drug B is the current standard of care
Drug A works better than Drug B
Drug A is more costly than Drug B
Question:
Using Drug A instead of Drug B, how much does it cost us to add one year of perfect health onto the life of our patient?
Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratio (ICER)
Represents the amount of money spent to add one year of perfect health onto the life of our patient
KEY POINT:
The ICER is the single most important indicator of an intervention’s cost-effectiveness.
Its calculation can be complex, and will be the focus of the next several slides.
Terminology
Utility
Numerical estimate of quality of life (QOL) associated with a disease state or treatment
Perfect health = 1, Dead = 0
Anything else…somewhere in between
Measured using questionnaires
Terminology
Quality-Adjusted Life-Year (QALY)
Life expectancy adjusted based on utility
QALY = time in health state × utility of state
QALY Example
Consider 2 hypothetical chemo drugs
Standard of care vs. new therapy
Both prolong life
Both cause side effects which reduce QOL
QALY Example
Standard of care treatment:
Prolongs life by an average of 1 year
Estimated utility of 0.65 due to side effects
New treatment:
Prolongs life by an average of 1.5 years
Estimated utility of 0.5 due to side effects
Standard of Care QALYs
QALY = Life expectancy × utility
= 1 year × 0.65 utility
= 0.65 QALYs
The standard of care is expected to add 0.65 qualityadjusted life-years to our patient’s life.
New Treatment QALYs
QALY = Life expectancy × utility
= 1.5 years × 0.5 utility
= 0.75 QALYs
The new treatment is expected to add 0.75 qualityadjusted life-years to our patient’s life.
Calculating ICER
ICER = difference in cost difference in effectiveness
Or…
ICER = C2 – C1 $’s
E2 – E1 QALYs
Back to Our Chemo Drugs…
Suppose a full course of treatment costs…
$12,000 for standard of care
$15,000 for new treatment
ICER of Chemo Drugs
ICER = C2 – C1
E2 – E1
ICER = $15,000 – $12,000
0.75 QALY – 0.65 QALY
ICER = $30,000/QALY
Interpretation of ICER
On average, it costs us $30,000 to add one year of perfect health onto the life of our patient.
So is this considered cost-effective?
Threshold of Cost-Effectiveness
Subjective
$50,000/QALY commonly reported in studies
WHO recommends 3x per capita GDP for a given country
Would be around $150,000/QALY in USA
National Institute for Health and Clinical Experience
(NICE) recommends £30,000/QALY ($48,396/QALY)
Dasbach EJ et al.. In: Arnold, RJG, editor. Pharmacoeconomics from theory to practice. Boca Raton: CRC Press; 2010. p. 119-143.
World Health Organization. Available from: http://www.who.int/choice/costs/CER_thresholds/en/index.html
McCabe C et al.. Pharmacoeconomics. 2008;26(9):733-44. Review.
Much more complex than “averages” in the real world
Some people will tolerate the drugs better or worse than others
Patients do not remain in one health state
Each individual experiences different quality of life, incurs different costs, etc.
Markov Models
Common in pharmacoeconomic research
Used to calculate the entire cost and QALYs gained for a population
Uses a hypothetical cohort of patients
Patients move between health states
Each state has associated probabilities, costs, and utilities
Components of Markov Models
Expected health states
Probabilities related to treatment failure, side effects, etc.
Normally from probabilities seen in studies
Cycle length
How frequently would patients be expected to transition through health states?
Utility and cost estimates for each state
Time horizon
Example
New treatment for a terminal illness
More costly, more effective than standard of care
Patients whose disease progresses incur greater costs
Hospitalizations
More treatments
Summary of Therapies to be Analyzed
Therapy Standard of care New treatment
Cost of treatment, one month
Progression from healthy to sick per month
Cost of tx + disease progression per month
Progression from sick to death per month
$800
8%
$2,500
20%
$1,500
4%
$3,200
10%
Example Markov Model
Cycles patients through health states based on preset probabilities
Example model:
Healthy
Sick
Dead
Each state is assigned its own utility and cost
Healthy
Sick
Dead
Healthy
0.08
Sick
0.20
Dead
0.92
0.80
Therapy Standard of care
8% Progression from healthy to sick per month
Progression from sick to death per month
20%
Healthy
0.04
Sick
0.10
Dead
0.96
0.90
Therapy New treatment
4% Progression from healthy to sick per month
Progression from sick to death per month
10%
Health State Utilities
Healthy
Utility = 0.8 (not 1.0 due to side effects)
Sick
Utility = 0.4
Dead
Utility = 0
Healthy
10,000 pts
0.04
Sick
0.1
Dead
0.96
0.9
After 1 month
Healthy
Sick
9,600 pts
400 pts
0.04
0.1
Dead
0.96
0.9
COST: 9,600 x $1,500
=$14.4M
QALY: 1/12 x 9,600 x 0.8
=640 QALY
COST: 400 x $3,200
=$1.3M
QALY: 1/12 x 400 x 0.4
=13 QALY
After 2 months
Healthy
Sick
Dead
9,216 pts
744 pts
0.04
0.1
40 pts
0.96
0.9
COST: 9,216 x $1,500
=$13.8M
QALY: 1/12 x 9,216 x 0.8
=614 QALY
COST: 744 x $3,200
=$2.4M
QALY: 1/12 x 744 x 0.4
=25 QALY
After 3 months
Healthy
Sick
Dead
8,847 pts
0.04
1,039 pts
0.1
114 pts
0.96
0.9
COST: 8,847 x $1,500
=$13.2M
QALY: 1/12 x 8,847 x 0.8
=590 QALY
COST: 1,039 x $3,200
=$3.3M
QALY: 1/12 x 1,039 x 0.4
=35 QALY
And so on until all patients are in the “absorbing state” (death)
Markov Model Results
Model continues until all patients in absorbing state or time horizon complete
Patients accrue QALYs and costs each cycle
Separate models run for new treatment and standard of care
Once complete, ICER is calculated
(difference in cost) / (difference in QALYs)
Markov Models in the Real World
Theoretically, models could be completed by hand
Real life models become much more complex
More health states
Ability to move more freely through states
Account for issues such as adverse events
Computers solve complex models
Real Life Example
Shaheen NJ et al. Gut. 2004 Dec;53(12):1736-44.
Problems with Markov Models
Complex models are difficult to understand
Validity of model depends upon utility and cost estimates
Sensitivity analysis to account for variability
Sensitivity Analysis
The scenario based off initial estimates is called the
“base case scenario”
Real life probabilities and costs may be higher or lower than predicted
Adjust assumptions upward and downward and recalculate ICER
Provides a range of possible economic outcomes
Conclusion
New interventions are usually more effective but at a higher price
Cost-effectiveness analysis helps determine if a new intervention is effective enough to be worth our limited resources
ICER is a numerical value that summarizes costeffectiveness
Markov models are used to calculate ICER
Questions?
References
McGhan WF. Introduction to pharmacoeconomics. In: Arnold, RJG, editor. Pharmacoeconomics from theory to practice. Boca Raton: CRC Press; 2010. p. 1-16.
Haycox A. What is cost-minimization analysis? In: Arnold, RJG, editor. Pharmacoeconomics from theory to practice. Boca Raton: CRC Press; 2010. p. 83-94.
Smith KJ and Robers MS. Cost-effectiveness analysis. In: Arnold, RJG, editor.
Pharmacoeconomics from theory to practice. Boca Raton: CRC Press; 2010. p. 95-108.
Dasbach EJ, Insinga RP, and Elbasha EH. Cost-utility analysis: a case study of a quadrivalent human papillomavirus vaccine. In: Arnold, RJG, editor. Pharmacoeconomics from theory to practice. Boca Raton: CRC Press; 2010. p. 119-143.
Beck JR. Markov modeling in decision analysis. In: Arnold, RJG, editor. Pharmacoeconomics from theory to practice. Boca Raton: CRC Press; 2010. p. 47-58.
World Health Organization. Choosing interventions that are cost-effective [Internet]. [Geneva]:
WHO; c2012 [cited 7 Oct 2012]. Available from: http://www.who.int/choice/costs/CER_thresholds/en/index.html
McCabe C, Claxton K, Culyer AJ. The NICE cost-effectiveness threshold: what it is and what that means. Pharmacoeconomics. 2008;26(9):733-44. Review.
Shaheen NJ, Inadomi JM, Overholt BF, Sharma P. What is the best management strategy for high grade dysplasia in Barrett's oesophagus? A cost effectiveness analysis. Gut. 2004
Dec;53(12):1736-44.