EVAT 554 OCEAN-ATMOSPHERE DYNAMICS LECTURE 20 THERMOHALINE CIRCULATION (CONTINUED) Meridional Overturning Circulation MORE REALISTIC MODEL (Marotzke et al, 1988) Assume the steady state horizontal momentum balance fv 1 ˆ a cos fu 1 ˆ a p / p / 2 u V z 2 2 v V z 2 Zonally averaging across a given basin yields, fv 0 p ( ) p ( ) E ˆ a cos W 2 u V z 0 2 2 fu 0 1 ˆ a p / 0 v V z 0 2 Meridional Overturning Circulation These can be combined to yield: f 2v 0 2 V v0 zzzz p ( ) p ( ) f E W ˆ a cos p V 0 yzz Ignore explicit rotation, approximating the meridional momentum equation as, 2 1 ˆ a p / A v 0 z 0 2 (Ad hoc “parameterization”) We then have, Av fv 0 0 zzzz p 0 yzz p ( ) p ( ) E ˆ a cos W 2 u V z 0 2 2 fu 0 1 ˆ a p / 0 v V z 0 2 Meridional Overturning Circulation These can be combined to yield: f 2v 0 2 V v0 zzzz p ( ) p ( ) f E W ˆ a cos p V 0 yzz Ignore explicit rotation, approximating the meridional momentum equation as, 2 1 ˆ a p / A v 0 z 0 2 (Ad hoc “parameterization”) We then have, Av Av 0 zzzz 0 zzz p p 0 yzz 0 yz Meridional Overturning Circulation Invoke hydrostatic relationship (will need convective adjustment!) p Av v 0z 0 zzz 0 zzz 0 g 0 g y g 0 A y Invoke linear equation of state (1 T S ) 0 v 0 zzz Av g A 0 zzz p T y 0 yz S y Meridional Overturning Circulation Define “meridional overturning” Streamfunction y w 0 z v zzzz g A T y 0 S y Note that there is no time dependence in this equation! The time dependence comes from the temperature and salinity equations v 0 zzz g A T y S y Meridional Overturning Circulation Define “meridional overturning” Streamfunction y w 0 z v zzzz g A T y 0 S y Note that there is no time dependence in this equation! The time dependence comes from the temperature and salinity equations 2 T / dt v dT / dy w dT / dz k 0 0 0 0 0 S / dt v dS / dy w dS / dz k 0 0 0 0 0 T 0 2 [ qconv ] 0 2 [ qconv ] z 2 S z The last term in each case represents explicit convective adjustment Meridional Overturning Circulation Define “meridional overturning” Impose Boundary Conditions and integrate forward in time Streamfunction y w 0 z v zzzz g A T y Equilibrate with restoring surface boundary conditions 0 S y Note that there is no time dependence in this equation! The time dependence comes from the temperature and salinity equations 2 T / dt v dT / dy w dT / dz k 0 0 0 0 0 S / dt v dS / dy w dS / dz k 0 0 0 0 0 T 0 2 [ qconv ] 0 2 [ qconv ] z 2 S z kv T/z=K[T(y)- Ts] kv S/z=K[S(y)- Ss] Meridional Overturning Circulation Define “meridional overturning” Impose Boundary Conditions and integrate forward in time Streamfunction y w 0 z v Equilibrate with restoring surface boundary conditions 0 kv T/z=K[T(y)- Ts] kv S/z=K[S(y)- Ss] Pole Equator Steady state circulation is symmetric under these boundary conditions Pole Meridional Overturning Circulation Define “meridional overturning” Impose Boundary Conditions and integrate forward in time Streamfunction y w 0 z v Switch over to mixed boundary conditions 0 kv T/z=K[T(y)- Ts] kv S/z=Q(y) Pole Equator Pole Symmetric circulation is unstable with respect to infinitesimal perturbations Meridional Overturning Circulation Even MORE realistic model (Wright and Stocker, 1991) Assume the steady state horizontal momentum balance fv 1 ˆ a cos fu 1 ˆ a p / p / 2 u V z 2 2 v V z 2 Zonally averaging across a given basin yields, fv 0 p ( ) p ( ) E ˆ a cos W 2 v 2 u V z 0 2 fu 0 1 ˆ a p / 0 V z 0 2 Meridional Overturning Circulation Even MORE realistic model (Wright and Stocker, 1991) •More realistic parameterization p ( ) p ( ) dp / d E W 0 •Resolve individual basins •Include surface windstress forcing •Non-linear equation of state •Equilibrate with mixed b.c.s Zonally averaging across a given basin yields, fv 0 p ( ) p ( ) E ˆ a cos W 2 v 2 u V z 0 2 fu 0 1 ˆ a p / 0 V z 0 2 Meridional Overturning Circulation Even MORE realistic model (Wright and Stocker, 1991) •More realistic parameterization p ( ) p ( ) dp / d E W 0 •Resolve individual basins •Include surface windstress forcing •Non-linear equation of state •Equilibrate with mixed b.c.s Meridional Overturning Circulation Even MORE realistic model (Wright and Stocker, 1991) Temperature Salinity Meridional Overturning Circulation The most realistic ocean model is the ocean general circulation models (OGCM) Some OGCMs support the instability of the THC to future climate change OGCM Meridional Overturning Circulation Collapse of Thermohaline Circulation in Response to High-Latitude Freshening Associated with High-latitude Ice Melt OGCM Meridional Overturning Circulation Possible “Ice Age” consequences? Collapse of Thermohaline Circulation in Response to High-Latitude Freshening Associated with High-latitude Ice Melt OGCM Meridional Overturning Circulation Possible “Ice Age” consequences? Meridional Overturning Circulation Possible “Ice Age” consequences? 2xC02 4xC02 GFDL COUPLED MODEL Meridional Overturning Circulation NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION For the hemisphere on the whole, the warming or cooling due to the NAO is probably a zero-sum game, but regional influences are large Explains enhanced warming in certain regions of Northern Hemisphere in past couple decades Meridional Overturning Circulation NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION North Atlantic Ocean and Atmosphere are Coupled Meridional Overturning Circulation NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION Positive NAO implies increase in THC Heat Flux and Surface Wind Anomalies Associated with Positive Phase of “NAO” Delworth, T.L., and Dixon, K.W., Implications of the Recent Trend in the Arctic/North Atlantic Oscillation for the North Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation, Journal of Climate: Vol. 13, No. 21, pp. 37213727, 2001. Meridional Overturning Circulation NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION Positive NAO implies increase in THC THC response to Imposed NAO anomaly Delworth, T.L., and Dixon, K.W., Implications of the Recent Trend in the Arctic/North Atlantic Oscillation for the North Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation, Journal of Climate: Vol. 13, No. 21, pp. 37213727, 2001.