Chapter 2 An Introduction to Forwards and Options FINA0301 Derivatives Faculty of Business and Economics University of Hong Kong Dr. Huiyan Qiu 1 Chapter Outline Basic derivatives contracts • Forward contracts • Call options • Put options Types of positions • Long / Short position Graphical representation • Payoff / Profit diagrams 2 Forward Contracts Forward contract: a binding agreement (obligation) to buy/sell an underlying asset in the future, at a price set today Today Expiration date 3 Forward Contracts A forward contract specifies • The features and quantity of the asset to be delivered • The delivery logistics, such as time, date, and place • The price the buyer will pay at the time of delivery Futures contracts are the same as forwards in principle except for some institutional and pricing differences. 4 Low of the day High of the day The open price Reading Price Quotes Index futures Settlement price Daily change Open interest Expiration month 5 Hang Seng Index Futures Hang Seng Index Futures Daily market report on January 27, 2012. Source: www.hkex.com.hk HSI - HANG SENG INDEX FUTURES HK$50 PER INDEX POINT Contract Month Open Price Daily Daily Settle- Chg in Contract Contract Volume Open Change High Low ment Setl High Low Interest in OI Price Price JAN-12 20,340 20,606 20,340 FEB-12 20,388 20,620 20,381 MAR-12 20,337 20,560 20,337 JUN-12 19,950 20,200 19,950 20,594 20,614 20,558 20,196 +180 +179 +172 +177 20,606 20,620 22,590 20,200 17,780 74,019 33,520 -22,356 18,276 49,911 76,335 +25,553 16,050 1,021 5,884 +2 17,220 179 2,458 +18 All Contracts Total 125,130 118,197 +3,217 6 Payoff and Profit Payoff for a contract is its value at expiration. Payoff diagrams show the gross value of a position at expiration. Profit for a position in a contract is net value at expiration of all relevant cash flows. Forward: (1) zero cash flow at initiation, (2) pay forward price at expiration, (3) get asset (value ST) at expiration For forward contract, payoff = profit 7 Payoff on a Forward Contract Example: S&R (special and rich) index Today: Spot price = $1,000 6-month forward price = $1,020 In six months at contract expiration: Case 1: Spot price = $1,050 • Long position payoff = $1,050 – $1,020 = $30 • Short position payoff = $1,020 – $1,050 = – $30 Case 2: Spot price = $1,000 • Long position payoff = $1,000 – $1,020 = – $20 • Short position payoff = $1,020 – $1,000 = $20 8 Payoff Diagram for Forwards S&R (special and rich) index Today: Spot price = $1,000 6-month forward price = $1,020 9 Forward vs. Outright Purchase Outright purchase: • Invest $1,000 in index and own the index. Forward: • Invest zero, sign the contract • Invest $1,020 at expiration and own the index. Same outcome: own the index at expiration. Why investing $1,000 now results in the same outcome as investing $1,020 later? Price indication? 10 Forward vs. Outright Purchase Forward payoff Bond payoff Forward + bond = Spot price at expiration – $1,020 + $1,020 = Spot price at expiration Figure Comparison of payoff after 6 months of a long position in the S&R index versus a forward contract in the S&R index. 11 Additional Considerations Type of settlement • Cash settlement: less costly and more practical • Physical delivery: often avoided due to significant costs Credit risk of the counter party • Major issue for over-the-counter contracts • Credit check, collateral, bank letter of credit • Less severe for exchange-traded contracts • Exchange guarantees transactions, requires collateral 12 Call Options A non-binding agreement (right but not an obligation) to buy an asset in the future, at a price set today Preserves the upside potential ( ), while at the same time eliminating the unpleasant ( ) downside (for the buyer) The seller of a call option is obligated to deliver if asked Today Expiration date or at buyer’s choosing 13 Definition and Terminology Definition: A call option gives the owner the right but not the obligation to buy the underlying asset at a predetermined price during a predetermined time period Terminology: • Strike (or exercise) price: the amount paid by the option buyer for the asset if he/she decides to exercise • Exercise: the act of paying the strike price to buy the asset • Expiration: the date by which the option must be exercised or become worthless 14 Exercise Style Exercise style: specifies when the option can be exercised • European-style: can be exercised only at expiration date • American-style: can be exercised at any time before expiration • Bermudan-style: Can be exercised during specified periods Focus: European-style options. 15 Reading Price Quotes S&P500 Index options Expiration month Strike price Option type “c” for call “p” for put 16 Hang Seng Index Options Hang Seng Index Options Daily market report on top-10 traded options on January 27, 2012. Source: www.hkex.com.hk HANG SENG INDEX OPTION HK$ 50 PER INDEX POINT TOP 10 TRADED (BY VOL) VOLUME O.Q.P. IV% CLOSE P JAN-12 20200 3301 17 17 C JAN-12 20600 3145 98 13 C JAN-12 21000 3142 14 16 P JAN-12 20400 2820 43 15 P FEB-12 19600 2570 185 23 C JAN-12 20800 2386 38 14 C JAN-12 20400 2076 231 14 C FEB-12 21400 1893 196 19 P JAN-12 20000 1816 7 19 C FEB-12 21200 1325 256 20 DAILY HIGH 46 119 15 123 227 45 237 199 44 261 DAILY OPEN O.Q.P. LOW INTEREST CHANGE 11 2069 -42 37 2438 +36 3 2922 +7 22 1322 -78 180 2974 -45 10 2467 +16 99 2022 +91 152 2517 +25 6 2043 -21 202 1550 +37 17 Example: S&R Index Today: • call buyer acquires the right to pay $1,000 in six months for the index, but is not obligated to do so • call seller is obligated to sell the index for $1,000 in six months, if asked to do so In six months at contract expiration: Spot price $1,100 $900 Buyer’s payoff $1,100 – $1,000 = $100 $0 Seller’s payoff $1,000 – $1,100 = ($100) $0 18 Example: S&R Index (cont’d) In six months at contract expiration, • If the spot price is higher than $1,000, the option will be exercised. • If the spot price is lower than $1,000, the option buyer will walk away and do nothing. • Payoff for buyer = Max [0, spot price – strike price] Why would anyone agree to be on the seller side? • The option buyer must pay the seller an initial premium of $93.81 (option pricing) • For a forward contract, the initial premium is zero 19 Payoff and Profit for the Buyer Payoff = Max [0, spot price at expiration – strike price] Profit = Payoff – future value of option premium Suppose 6-month risk-free rate is 2% • If index value in six months = $1,100 • Payoff = max [0, $1,100 – $1,000] = $100 • Profit = $100 – ($93.81 x 1.02) = $4.32 • If index value in six months = $900 • Payoff = max [0, $900 – $1,000] = $0 • Profit = $0 – ($93.81 x 1.02) = – $95.68 20 Diagrams for Purchased Call Payoff at expiration Profit at expiration 21 Payoff/Profit of a Written Call Call writer: the option seller • To receive the premium for option sold • To have the obligation to sell if requested Seller’s payoff and profit is opposite to the buyer • Payoff = - max [0, spot price at expiration – strike price] • Profit = Payoff + future value of option premium The payoff and profit diagram of a written call is the mirror image of a purchased call, symmetric with regard to the X-axis 22 Profit Diagram for a Written Call Figure: Profit for writer of 6-month S&R call with strike of $1000 versus profit for short S&R forward. 23 Put Options A put option gives the owner the right but not the obligation to sell the underlying asset at a predetermined price during a predetermined time period The seller of a put option is obligated to buy if asked Payoff/profit of a purchased (i.e., long) put • Payoff = max [0, strike price – spot price at expiration] • Profit = Payoff – future value of option premium Payoff/profit of a written (i.e., short) put • Payoff = – max [0, strike price – spot price at expiration] • Profit = Payoff + future value of option premium 24 Put Option Examples S&R Index 6-month Put Option • Strike price = $1,000, Premium = $74.20, 6month risk-free rate = 2% If index value in six months = $1,100 • Payoff = max [0, $1,000 – $1,100] = $0 • Profit = $0 – ($74.20 x 1.02) = – $75.68 If index value in six months = $900 • Payoff = max [0, $1,000 – $900] = $100 • Profit = $100 – ($74.20 x 1.02) = $24.32 25 Profit Table for Long Put Position Table: Profit after 6 months from a purchased 1000strike S&R put option with a future value of premium of $75.68. 26 Profit Diagram for a Long Put Position Figure: Profit on a purchased S&R index put with strike price of $1000 versus a short S&R index forward. 27 A Few Items to Note A call option becomes more profitable when the underlying asset appreciates in value A put option becomes more profitable when the underlying asset depreciates in value Moneyness of option: • In-the-money: positive payoff if exercised immediately • At-the-money: zero payoff if exercised immediately • Out-of-the money: negative payoff if exercised immediately 28 Summary on Forward & Option Table: Maximum possible profit and loss at maturity for long and short forwards and purchased and written calls and puts. 29 Summary on Forward & Option Figure: Profit diagrams for the three basic long positions: long forward, purchased call, and written put. (Long w.r.t. the underlying asset.) 30 Summary on Forward & Option Figure: Profit diagrams for the three basic short positions: short forward, written call, and purchased put. (Short w.r.t. the underlying asset.) 31 Summary on Forward & Option Table: Forwards, calls, and puts at a glance: a summary of forward and option positions. 32 Options and Insurance Homeowner’s insurance as a put option Figure: Profit from insurance policy on a $200,000 house. $25,000 deductible. 33 Example: Equity Linked CDs The 5.5-year CD promises to repay initial invested amount and 70% of the gain in S&P 500 index • Assume $10,000 invested when S&P 500 = 1300 • Final payoff = $ 10 , 000 1 0 . 7 max S final 1 0, 1300 • Where S final = value of the S&P 500 after 5.5 years 34 End of the Notes! 35