Preferences What properties would we expect preferences to exhibit? Which of these properties allow us to derive an indifference curve? What will that indifference curve look like? More importantly, what is not ruled out? What else do we need to assume about properties to generate the nice indifference curves required to produce sensible demand curves? Axioms of Consumer Theory • This presentation covers the lectures on the Axioms of Consumer preference. There are some changes compared to the coverage in the lectures. Continuity has been moved up the order to a more appropriate and I have simplified the coverage on Convexity. Terminology The bundle containing x1 and y1 ( x1 , y1 ) ( x2 , y2 ) is strictly preferred to (better than) the bundle containing x2 and y2. ( x1 , y1 ) ( x2 , y2 ) (x1, y1) is weakly preferred to (at least as good as) (x2, y2) . ( x1 , y1 ) ~ ( x2 , y2 ) the individual is indifferent between the two bundles. Assumptions about Preferences 1. Complete - either ( x2 , y2 ) ( x1 , y1 ) or or both, i.e 2. Reflexive - ( x1 , y1 ) ( x2 , y2 ) ( x1 , y1 ) ~ ( x2 , y2 ) ( x1 , y1 ) ( x1 , y1 ) 3. Transitive - if ( x1 , y1 ) ( x2 , y2 ) and ( x2 , y2 ) ( x3 , y3 ) then transitivity => ( x1 , y1 ) ( x3 , y3 ) Fundamental Axioms of Consumer Theory 1.Completeness 2. Reflexivity 3. Transitivity Known as the Three Fundamental Axioms of consumer theory. These allow consumers to arrange bundles in order of preference. If we have the three axioms above we can rank all bundles in the x,y space we have drawn below. For example, if we take any bundle (x1, y1) then we can establish the bundles which satisfy the two relationships: ( x1 , y1 ) ( x2 , y2 ) ( x1 , y1 ) ( x2 , y2 ) y1 x1 If we have the three axioms above we can rank all bundles in the x,y space we have drawn below. For example, if we take any bundle (x1, y1) then we can establish the bundles which satisfy the two relationships: ( x1 , y1 ) ( x2 , y2 ) ( x1 , y1 ) ( x2 , y2 ) The boundary of the set is the indifference curve y1 x1 Could indifference curves ever cross? Units of good Y 30 20 10 u1 0 0 10 Units of good X 20 30 u2 Units of good Y Could we get this? Ans: No 20 Proof by Contradiction 10 u1 0 0 10 Units of good X 20 30 Units of good Y Consider points a,b and c And assume a is preferred to c 20 a b 10 c u1 0 0 10 Units of good X 20 30 Claim: a is preferred to c Units of good Y u2 20 a b Indifference curve u1 implies that Point a is indifferent to b And u2=> point b is indifferent to c => a is indifferent to c 10 Contradicts Claim c u1 0 0 10 Units of good X 20 u2 Units of good Y 30 Crossing Indifference curves lead to a logical contradiction, so indifference curves can never cross 20 a 10 b c u1 0 0 10 Units of good X 20 So what other properties must Indifference curves have? • Well thus far - none. • Almost anything goes. y y x x (a) (b) y y (c) x (d) x Or even these cases here: y y x (e) x (f) What does case (a) mean? y u2 u1 u2 u0 u0 (a) u1 x Continuity • For any given bundle, the set of bundles which are weakly preferred to it, and the set of bundles to which it is weakly preferred, are closed sets (that is, they contain their own boundary). • Closed set: Football Pitch, Tennis Court • Open set: Rugby Pitch, Cricket Effectively means that points on the indifference curve are ‘close’ to one another and that there are no gaps. y1 x1 4. Continuity • For any given bundle the set of bundles which are weakly preferred to it, and the set of bundles to which it is weakly preferred, are closed sets (that is, they contain their own boundary). • Closed set: Football Pitch, Tennis Court • Open set: Rugby Pitch, Cricket 5. Monotonicity • The next assumption we need is called the assumption of monotonicity or nonsatiation. It says that if x2 x1 and y2 y1 and either x2 x1 or y2 y1 then ( x2 , y2 ) ( x1 , y1 ) What does this mean? y2 y1 y1 x2 x1 x1 y1 y2 Shaded area is the set of points where motonocity holds and ( x2 , y2 ) ( x1 , y1 ) y1 x2 x1 x1 y2 y1 y1 So up here is definitely better than x2 x1 Down Here x1 So up here is definitely better than y1 Down Here So the indifference curve cannot go through either of these areas x1 So up here is definitely better than y1 u1 Down Here So it must slope down x1 Assumption 5. • Monotonocity • Gives us downward sloping indifference curves • Are we out of the woods yet • NO! All these satisfy properties 1-5 y y x y x y x x Lets take the third case first y1 u1 x1 y1 u3 u1 u0 Why is this case a problem? u2 y1 u3 u1 u2 u0 Let’s draw in a budget constraint y1 u3 u1 u2 u0 So now we have two equilibria or two demands for x at this set of prices px The Demand Curve will look like this x px Why would that be a problem? x px Why would that be a problem? Suppose that we observed this data set x px If we assumed it was a straight line demand curve we would get x px But the true demand curve is: And if you told the boss it’s the red one, your fired x px S0 S1 Since determining equilibrium is a problem and supply curve shifts even more so x y1 u1 So how do we rule this case out? This is known as a convex curve y1 We want the indifference curve to look like this Concavity and (Quasi-) Convexity • In the lectures I tried to simplify this topic compared with previous years and feel in the circumstances I may have made things worse. I have confined the material here to the essential concept of what is called quasiconvexity. More detailed coverage of the topic is contained in a separate presentation Concavity and Quasi-convexity y If we look at a map of the utility mountain then a nice, well behaved indifference curve should look like this. We say it is Quasi-convex because the cross-sections look convex looking from the x,y origin x What does Quasi-convex mean? • Suppose we take a weighted average of two bundles on the same indifference curve and compare the utility we get from this new bundle compared with the utility we got from the originals. • If it is higher we say that the function is quasi-convex. Formerly we can state this as: A function is quasi-convex iff U(x 3 , y3 ) U(0.5x 10.5x 2 ,0.5y10.5y 2 ) 1 1 U(x 1, y1 ) U(x 2 , y 2 ) U(x 1, y1 ) 2 2 Where U(x1,y1) = U(x2,y2) y U(x1,y1) = U(x2,y2) y1 U(x2,y2) y2 x1 x2 x Consider a new bundle: (x3, y3) where y U(x1,y1) y1 x3= half of x1 and x2 and y3= half of y1 and y2 y3 U(x2,y2) y2 x1 x3 x2 x What is the utility associated with this U(x1,y1) new bundle? y y1 y3 U(x2,y2) y2 x1 x3 x2 x y y1 U(x3,y3) y3 y2 x1 x3 x2 x y If y1 1 1 U(x 3 , y3 ) U(x 1, y1 ) U(x 2 , y 2 ) 2 2 Then we say the indifference curve is quasi-convex y3 U(x3,y3) y2 x1 x3 x2 x U(x 3 , y 3 ) y 1 1 U(x 1, y1 ) U(x 2 , y 2 ) 2 2 U(x 1, y1 ) U(x 2 , y 2 ) y1 y3 y2 x1 x3 x2 x y U(x 3 , y 3 ) U(x 1, y1 ) y1 y3 y2 x1 x3 x2 x Note The bundle need not be x3, y3, but any point on the red line. That is, we could use any fraction l instead of 1/2. If the indifference curve is quasiconvex the condition y y1 would still hold y3 U(x 4 , y 4 ) U(x 1, y1 ) y2 x1 x3 x2 x y But this indifference curve is convex, since y1 y3 y2 x1 x3 x2 x 1 1 U(x 3 , y3 ) U(x 1, y1 ) U(x 2 , y 2 ) 2 2 U(x 1, y1 ) y y1 U(x3,y3) y3 But not Strictly convex y2 x1 x3 x2 x Strict Convexity • So we really need Strict convexity • And it is STRICTLY convex if U( lx1(1 - l )x 2 , ly1(1 - l )y 2 ) lU(x 1, y1 ) (1 l ) U(x 2 , y 2 ) U(x 1, y1 ) Where l lies between 0 and 1 1 1 U(x 3 , y3 ) U(x 1, y1 ) U(x 2 , y 2 ) 2 2 y y1 Strictly Convex y3 y2 x1 x3 x2 x Strict Convexity rules out every case here except case (b) y y x x (a) (b) y y (c) x (d) x Why is case (b) troublesome? • Because it has a pointy bit where there can be an equilibrium for more than one price: y u1 x Differentiability • To rule out case (b) we assume that the indifference curve is differentiable everywhere. That is, the function is smooth and has no corners. y y • => x x Axioms of Consumer Theory 1.Completeness 2. Reflexivity 3. Transitivity 4. Continuity 5. Monotonicity 6. Convexity 7. Differentiability • Conditions 1-5 allow us to write a utility function: u = u(x,y). • E.g. u=x1/2y1/2 • Formally, if ( x2 , y2 ) ( x1 , y1 ) then u is a mathematical function such that u( x2 , y2 ) u( x1 , y1 ) • Utility is ordinal, I.e.the function merely orders bundles the actual number associated with u is irrelevant. • E.g. If u(x2,y2)=4 and u(x1,y1)=2, then the x2, y2 bundle is preferred to the x1, y1 bundle, but we can’t say it is twice as good. • That is, utility is not Cardinal • Since utility is ordinal I can change the function as long as it does not change the ordering of the the bundle: • So I can change u(x2, y2) to 2u(x2, y2) so that • u(x2, y2)=4 and u(x1, y1)=2 becomes • 2u(x2, y2)=8 and 2u(x1, y1)=4 • But the initial condition still holds: ( x2 , y2 ) ( x1 , y1 ) We say that a utility function is unique up to any positive monotonic transformation PMT Positive Monotonic Transformation • If u(x2,y2) > u(x1,y1), then any Positive Monotonic Transformation of u, say f (u), implies that • f [u(x2,y2)] > f [u(x1,y1)] Consider utility from each bundle below Bundle 1 Bundle 2 Bundle 3 Bundle 4 A 15 16 20 40 Eg of PMT : B = A +3 Bundle 1 Bundle 2 Bundle 3 Bundle 4 A 15 16 20 40 B 18 19 23 43 Eg2 of PMT: C=2.5A Bundle 1 Bundle 2 Bundle 3 Bundle 4 A 15 16 20 40 B 18 19 23 43 C 37.5 40 50 100 Eg 3 of PMT: D=2 A+4 Bundle 1 Bundle 2 Bundle 3 Bundle 4 A 15 16 20 40 B 18 19 23 43 C 37.5 40 50 100 D 34 36 44 84 Eg of NOT a PMT: E=100/A Bundle 1 Bundle 2 Bundle 3 Bundle 4 A 15 16 20 40 B 18 19 23 43 C 37.5 40 50 100 D 34 36 44 84 E 6.67 6.25 5 2.5