Chapter Twenty-Three Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet with Derivative Securities McGraw-Hill/Irwin 8-1 ©2009, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet • Managers are increasingly turning to off-balancesheet (OBS) instruments such as forwards, futures, options, and swaps to hedge the risks their financial institutions (FIs) face – interest rate risk – foreign exchange risk – credit risk • FIs also generate fee income from derivative securities transactions McGraw-Hill/Irwin 23-2 ©2009, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet • A spot contract is an agreement to transact involving the immediate exchange of assets and funds • A forward contract is an agreement to transact involving the future exchange of a set amount of assets at a set price • A futures contract is an agreement to transact involving the future exchange of a set amount of assets for a price that is settled daily – futures contracts are marked to market daily—i.e., the prices on outstanding futures contracts are adjusted each day to reflect current futures market conditions McGraw-Hill/Irwin 23-3 ©2009, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Hedging with Forwards • A naïve hedge is a hedge of a cash asset on a direct dollar-for-dollar basis with a forward (or futures) contract • Managers can predict capital loss (ΔP) using the duration formula: R P D P (1 R) where P = the initial value of an asset D = the duration of the asset R = the interest rate (and thus ΔR is the change in interest) • FIs can immunize assets against risk by using hedging to fully protect against adverse movements in interest rates McGraw-Hill/Irwin 23-4 ©2009, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Hedging with Futures • Microhedging is using futures (or forwards) contracts to hedge a specific asset or liability – basis risk is a residual risk that occurs because the movement in a spot asset’s price is not perfectly correlated with the movement in the price of the asset delivered under a futures (or forwards) contract – firms use short positions in futures contracts to hedge an asset that declines in value as interest rates rise • Macrohedging is hedging the entire (leverageadjusted) duration gap of an FI McGraw-Hill/Irwin 23-5 ©2009, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Hedging with Futures • Microhedging and macrohedging – risk-return considerations • FIs hedge based on expectations of future interest rate movements • FIs may microhedge, macrohedge, or even overhedge – accounting rules can influence hedging strategies • in 1997 FASB required that all gains and losses from derivatives used to hedge must be recognized immediately • U.S. companies must report derivative related trading activity in annual reports • futures contracts are not subject to risk-based capital requirements impose by bank regulators (forward can be) McGraw-Hill/Irwin 23-6 ©2009, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Options • Many types of options are used by FIs to hedge – – – – exchange-traded options over-the-counter (OTC) options options embedded in securities caps, collars, and floors • Buying a put option on a bond can hedge interest rate risk exposure related to bonds that are held as assets – the put option truncates the downside losses – the put option scales down the upside profits, but still leaves upside profit potential • Similarly, buying a call option on a bond can hedge interest rate risk exposure related to bonds held on the liability side of the balance sheet McGraw-Hill/Irwin 23-7 ©2009, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Hedging with Put Options Payoff Gain Payoff for a bond held as an asset Net payoff function 0 Bond price X -P Payoff from buying a put on a bond Payoff Loss McGraw-Hill/Irwin 23-8 ©2009, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Options • Buying a call option on a bond – as interest rates fall, bond prices rise, and the call option buyer has a large profit potential – as interest rates rise, bond prices fall, but the call option losses are bounded by the call option premium • Writing a call option on a bond – as interest rates fall, bond prices rise, and the call option writer has a large potential losses – as interest rates rise, bond prices fall, but the call option gains are bounded by the call option premium McGraw-Hill/Irwin 23-9 ©2009, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Options • Buying a put option on a bond – as interest rates rise, bond prices fall, and the put option buyer has a large profit potential – as interest rates fall, bond prices rise, but the put option losses are bounded by the put option premium • Writing a put option on a bond – as interest rates rise, bond prices fall, and the put option writer has large potential losses – as interest rates fall, bond prices rise, but the put option gains are bounded by the put option premium McGraw-Hill/Irwin 23-10 ©2009, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Caps, Floors, and Collars • Buying a cap means buying a call option, or a succession of call options, on interest rates – like buying insurance against an (excessive) increase in interest rates • Buying a floor is akin to buying a put option on interest rates – seller compensates the buyer should interest rates fall below the floor rate – like caps, floors can have one or a succession of exercise dates • A collar amounts to a simultaneous position in a cap and a floor – usually involves buying a cap and selling a floor McGraw-Hill/Irwin 23-11 ©2009, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Contingent Credit Risk • Contingent credit risk is the risk that the counterparty defaults on payment obligations – forward contracts are exposed to counterparty default risk as they are nonstandard contracts entered into bilaterally – options traded OTC are exposed to counterparty risk – futures and options traded on organized exchanges are exposed to relatively less contingent credit risk • the exchanges act as guarantors in the transactions • the contracts are marked-to-market daily so losses (and gains) are realized daily McGraw-Hill/Irwin 23-12 ©2009, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Swaps • Swap agreements involve restructuring asset or liability cash flows in a preferred direction • The market for swaps has grown enormously in recent years – the notional value of swap contracts outstanding at U.S. commercial banks was more than $111 trillion in 2008 • There are several types of swaps – – – – – interest rate swaps currency swaps credit risk swaps commodity swaps equity swaps McGraw-Hill/Irwin 23-13 ©2009, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Swaps • Hedging with interest rate swaps: an example – a money center bank (MCB) may have floating-rate loans and fixed-rate liabilities • the MCB has a negative duration gap – a savings bank (SB) may have fixed-rate mortgages funded by short-term liabilities such as retail deposits • the SB has a positive duration gap – accordingly, an interest swap can be entered into between the MCB and the SB either: • directly between the two FIs • indirectly through a broker or agent who charges a fee to accept the credit risk exposure and guarantee the cash flows McGraw-Hill/Irwin 23-14 ©2009, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Swaps • (example cont.) – a plain vanilla swap is used—i.e., a standard agreement without any special features – the SB sends fixed-rate interest payments to the MCB • thus, the MCB’s fixed-rate inflows are now matched to its fixed-rate payments – the MCB sends variable-rate interest payments to the SB • thus, the SB’s variable-rate inflows are now matched to its variable-rate payments McGraw-Hill/Irwin 23-15 ©2009, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Swaps McGraw-Hill/Irwin 23-16 ©2009, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Swaps • Hedging with currency swaps: an example – consider a U.S. FI with fixed-rate $ denominated assets and fixed-rate £ denominated liabilities – also consider a U.K. FI with fixed-rate £ denominated assets and fixed-rate $ denominated liabilities – the FIs can engage in a currency swap to hedge their foreign exchange exposure • that is, the FIs agree on a fixed exchange rate at the inception of the swap agreement for the exchange of cash flows at some point in the future • both FIs have effectively hedged their foreign exchange exposure by matching the denominations of their cash flows McGraw-Hill/Irwin 23-17 ©2009, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Credit Risk and Swaps • The growth of the over-the-counter swap market was a major factor underlying the imposition of the BIS riskbased capital requirements – the fear was that out-of-the-money counterparties would have incentives to default – BIS now requires capital to be held against interest rate, currency, and other swaps • Credit risk on swaps differs from that on loans – netting: only the difference between the fixed and the floating payment is exchanged between swap parties – payment flows are interest and not principal – standby letters of credit are required of poor-quality swap participants McGraw-Hill/Irwin 23-18 ©2009, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Comparing Hedging Methods • Writing vs. buying options – writing options limits upside profits but not downside losses – buying options limits downside losses but not upside profits – CBs are prohibited from writing options in some areas • Futures vs. options hedging – futures produces symmetric gains and losses – options protect against losses but do not fully reduce gains • Swaps vs. forwards, futures, and options – swaps and forwards are OTC contracts, unlike options and futures – futures are marked to market daily – swaps can be written for longer time horizons McGraw-Hill/Irwin 23-19 ©2009, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Regulation • Regulators specify “permissible activities” that FIs may engage in • Institutions engaging in permissible activities are subject to regulatory oversight • Regulators judge the overall integrity of FIs engaging in derivatives activity based on capital adequacy regulation • The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) are the functional regulators of derivatives securities markets McGraw-Hill/Irwin 23-20 ©2009, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Regulation • The Federal Reserve, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) have implemented uniform guidelines that require banks to: – establish internal guidelines regarding hedging activity – establish trading limits – disclose large contract positions that materially affect the risk to shareholders and outside investors • As of 2000 the FASB requires all firms to reflect the marked-tomarket value of their derivatives positions in their financial statements • Swap markets are governed by relatively little regulation—except indirectly at FIs through bank regulatory agencies McGraw-Hill/Irwin 23-21 ©2009, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved