CHAPTER 5 ALTERNATIVE THEORIES OF TRADE Intra-industry trade One major set of facts about actual trade that may require theory beyond comparative advantage is the substantial trade among industrialized countries, much of which involves exchanges of very similar products. 2 Intra-industry trade Inter-industry trade ─ a country’s exports and imports are in different product classification categories. Traditional trade theory dealt only with inter-industry trade, but intra-industry trade clearly constitutes an important segment of international trade. Countries that export and import items in the same product classification are engaging in intra-industry trade. 3 Intra-industry trade A country’s trade can be divided into the part that is net trade (or inter-industry trade) and the part that is intra-industry trade. Net trade is the value of the difference between exports and imports for the product. 4 Intra-industry trade Intra-industry trade is the part of total trade that is not net trade ─ the part that is matched exports and imports. X M IITshare 1 X M 5 Intra-industry trade If all trade is inter-industry, the IIT share is 0. If all trade involves matched exports and imports (X=M) for each industry, the IIT share is 1. If some trade is net trade and some trade is intra-industry trade, the IIT share will have a value between 0 and 1. The size of IIT share indicates the importance of the intra-industry trade. 6 The Significance of Intraindustry Trade About one-fourth of world trade consists of intra-industry trade. Intra-industry trade plays a particularly large role in the trade in manufactured goods among advanced industrial nations, which accounts for most of world trade. 7 8 Intra-industry trade 9 Intra-industry trade The major explanation for intra-industry trade is product differentiation. Product differentiation refers to products that are seemingly the same good but which are perceived by the consumer to have real or imagined differences. 10 Inter-industry trade & intraindustry trade Main differences between inter-industry and intra-industry trade: Inter-industry trade reflects comparative advantage, whereas intra-industry trade does not. The pattern of intra-industry trade itself is unpredictable, whereas that of inter-industry trade is determined by underlying differences between countries. The relative importance of intra-industry and inter-industry trade depends on how similar countries are. 11 Why Intra-industry Trade Matters Intra-industry trade allows countries to benefit from larger markets. Gains from intra-industry trade will be large when economies of scale are strong and products are highly differentiated. 12 Economies of scale Economies of scale, or increasing returns to scale, exist if increasing expenditures on all inputs (with input prices constant) increases the output quantity by a larger percentage. Therefore, the average cost of producing each unit of output declines, as output increases. 13 Economies of scale 14 Economies of scale Scale economies are internal if the expansion of the size of the firm itself is the basis for the decline in its average cost. Scale economies external to the individual firm relate to the size of the entire industry within a specific geographic area. The average cost of the typical firm declines as the output of the industry within this area is larger. 15 Economies of scale Economies of scale can be either: External The cost per unit depends on the size of the industry but not necessarily on the size of any one firm. An industry will typically consist of many small firms and be perfectly competitive. Internal The cost per unit depends on the size of an individual firm but not necessarily on that of the industry. The market structure will be imperfectly competitive with large firms having a cost advantage over small. Both types of scale economies are important causes of international trade. 16 Monopolistic competition and trade The monopolistic competition model can be used to show how trade leads to: A lower average price due to scale economies The availability of a greater variety of goods due to product differentiation Imports and exports within each industry (intra-industry trade) 17 18 19 Monopolistic competition and trade 20 Monopolistic competition and trade 21 The basis of trade Product differentiation ( intra-industry trade ) Comparative advantage ( inter-industry trade ) 22 Trade gains with intra-industry trade The increase in varieties Lower prices for the domestic varieties Modifying the well-being of different groups in the country 23 Trade gains with intra-industry trade The implications of trade for the well-being of different groups in one country: If most trade is intra-industry, then there may be little pressure on factor prices caused by inter-industry shifts in factor demand. The gains from increased variety reduce the loss to factors that suffer income losses due to Stolper-Samuelson effects. 24 External scale economies Economies of scale that occur at the level of the industry instead of the firm are called external economies. There are three main reasons why a cluster of firms may be more efficient than an individual firm in isolation: Specialized suppliers Labor market pooling Knowledge spillovers 25 The Theory of External Economies Specialized Suppliers In many industries, the production of goods and services and the development of new products requires the use of specialized equipment or support services. An individual company does not provide a large enough market for these services to keep the suppliers in business. A localized industrial cluster can solve this problem by bringing together many firms that provide a large enough market to support specialized suppliers. This phenomenon has been extensively documented in the semiconductor industry located in Silicon Valley. 26 The Theory of External Economies Labor Market Pooling A cluster of firms can create a pooled market for workers with highly specialized skills. It is an advantage for: Producers They are less likely to suffer from labor shortages. Workers They are less likely to become unemployed. 27 The Theory of External Economies Knowledge Spillovers Knowledge is one of the important input factors in highly innovative industries. The specialized knowledge that is crucial to success in innovative industries comes from: Research and development efforts Reverse engineering Informal exchange of information and ideas 28 External scale economies and trade 29 Free trade with external economies of scale The importing countries gain from trade, even if local production ceases, because consumers benefit from the lower prices of the imported product. A key difference from the standard model is that with external scale economies consumers in the exporting country also gain surplus as trade leads to lower costs and prices, because production is concentrated in few locations that can better achieve the external economies. 30 Free trade with external economies of scale Producers of the product in an exporting country tend to gain producer surplus as a result of the expansion of industry output, although the decline in price will mitigate the gain. Producers in importing countries lose producer surplus. 31 Results from external scale economies and trade In industries that can reap external economies (e.g., knowledge spillovers from firm to firm), a rise in demand triggers a great expansion of supply and lowers costs and price. Therefore, increasing trade brings gains to all consumers (home-country and foreign alike) as well as to the exporting producers. Corollary: Among nations having the same initial factor endowments, cost curves, and demand curves, whichever nation moved first to capture its export market would gain a cost advantage in this product. 32 Figure 5.6 33 Question 1 For major product categories, international trade between the industrial countries and the rest of the world in 1999 looked something like this (in billions of dollars): 34 Products Exports (X) by the industrial countries to the rest of the world Imports (M) into the industrial countries from the rest of the world Food, beverages, and tobacco 65 76 Petroleum and other fuels 21 127 Chemicals 114 34 Machinery and transport equipment 481 341 Clothing 15 101 35 a. b. c. Calculate the intra-industry trade share for each individual product category. Calculate the net trade for each product category as a percentage of total trade (X+M) in the category. Which product categories have the highest intra-industry trade share. Why might this be? What might explain the pattern of net trade (net exports or net imports) across the categories that show substantial net trade as a percentage of total trade? 36 Question 2 Evaluate the relative importance of economies of scale and comparative advantage in causing the following: a. Most of the world’s aluminum is smelted in Norway or Canada. b. Half of the world’s large jet aircraft are assembled in Seattle. c. Much of the world’s best wine comes from France. 37 Question 3 The global market for household dishwashers is monopolistically competitive. It is initially in a free-trade equilibrium, with 40 models offered, and a price of $600 for a typical dishwasher. In your answer use graphs like those shown in Figure 6.5 and 6.6. There is now a permanent increase in global demand for dishwashers generally, so the global market size increases by about 15 percent. 38 a. b. c. Show graphically and explain whether the typical firm earns an economic profit or a loss, in the short run just after the general increase in demand occurs. Show graphically the effect on the number of dishwasher models offered, after the global market has adjusted to a new long-run equilibrium. Explain the process of adjustment to this new long-run equilibrium. Show graphically and explain the situation for the typical firm in the industry. 39