2.5 – Modeling Real World Data: 2.5 – Modeling Real World Data: Using Scatter Plots Ex.1 The table below shows the median selling price of new, privately-owned, one-family houses for some recent years. Ex.1 The table below shows the median selling price of new, privately-owned, one-family houses for some recent years. Year 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 Price ($1000) 122.9 121.5 130 140 152.5 2000 169 Ex.1 The table below shows the median selling price of new, privately-owned, one-family houses for some recent years. Year 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 Price ($1000) 122.9 121.5 130 140 a. Make a scatter plot of the data. 152.5 2000 169 Years Since 1990 Price Years Since 1990 Price ($1000) Years Since 1990 Median House Prices Price ($1000) Years Since 1990 Median House Prices Price ($1000) 0 Years Since 1990 Median House Prices Price ($1000) 0 2 4 6 8 Years Since 1990 10 Median House Prices Price ($1000) 0 2 4 6 8 Years Since 1990 10 Median House Prices Price ($1000) 120 0 2 4 6 8 Years Since 1990 10 Median House Prices Price ($1000) 140 120 0 2 4 6 8 Years Since 1990 10 Median House Prices Price ($1000) 140 120 0 2 4 6 8 Years Since 1990 10 Median House Prices Price ($1000) 140 120 0 2 4 6 8 Years Since 1990 10 Median House Prices Price ($1000) 140 120 0 2 4 6 8 Years Since 1990 10 Median House Prices Price ($1000) 140 120 0 2 4 6 8 Years Since 1990 10 Median House Prices Price ($1000) 140 120 0 2 4 6 8 Years Since 1990 10 Median House Prices Price ($1000) 140 120 0 2 4 6 8 Years Since 1990 10 Median House Prices Price ($1000) 140 120 0 2 4 6 8 Years Since 1990 b. Make a line of fit. 10 Median House Prices Price ($1000) 140 120 0 2 4 6 8 Years Since 1990 b. Make a line of fit. 10 Median House Prices Price ($1000) 140 120 0 2 4 6 8 Years Since 1990 b. Make a line of fit. 10 c. Find a prediction equation for line of fit. c. Find a prediction equation for line of fit. *Use the best two ordered pairs from b. to find the slope for the line! c. Find a prediction equation for line of fit. *Use the best two ordered pairs from b. to find the slope for the line! (4, 130) and (8, 152.5) c. Find a prediction equation for line of fit. *Use the best two ordered pairs from b. to find the slope for the line! (4, 130) and (8, 152.5) m = y2 – y1 x2 - x1 c. Find a prediction equation for line of fit. *Use the best two ordered pairs from b. to find the slope for the line! (4, 130) and (8, 152.5) m = y2 – y1 = 152.2 – 130 x2 - x1 8–4 c. Find a prediction equation for line of fit. *Use the best two ordered pairs from b. to find the slope for the line! (4, 130) and (8, 152.5) m = y2 – y1 = 152.2 – 130 = 22.5 x2 - x1 8–4 4 c. Find a prediction equation for line of fit. *Use the best two ordered pairs from b. to find the slope for the line! (4, 130) and (8, 152.5) m = y2 – y1 = 152.2 – 130 = 22.5 ≈ 5.63 x2 - x1 8–4 4 c. Find a prediction equation for line of fit. *Use the best two ordered pairs from b. to find the slope for the line! (4, 130) and (8, 152.5) m = y2 – y1 = 152.2 – 130 = 22.5 ≈ 5.63 x2 - x1 8–4 4 *So use x1 = 4 c. Find a prediction equation for line of fit. *Use the best two ordered pairs from b. to find the slope for the line! (4, 130) and (8, 152.5) m = y2 – y1 = 152.2 – 130 = 22.5 ≈ 5.63 x2 - x1 8–4 4 *So use x1 = 4, y1 = 130 c. Find a prediction equation for line of fit. *Use the best two ordered pairs from b. to find the slope for the line! (4, 130) and (8, 152.5) m = y2 – y1 = 152.2 – 130 = 22.5 ≈ 5.63 x2 - x1 8–4 4 *So use x1 = 4, y1 = 130, and m ≈ 5.63 c. Find a prediction equation for line of fit. *Use the best two ordered pairs from b. to find the slope for the line! (4, 130) and (8, 152.5) m = y2 – y1 = 152.2 – 130 = 22.5 ≈ 5.63 x2 - x1 8–4 4 *So use x1 = 4, y1 = 130, and m ≈ 5.63 y – y1 = m(x – x1) c. Find a prediction equation for line of fit. *Use the best two ordered pairs from b. to find the slope for the line! (4, 130) and (8, 152.5) m = y2 – y1 = 152.2 – 130 = 22.5 ≈ 5.63 x2 - x1 8–4 4 *So use x1 = 4, y1 = 130, and m ≈ 5.63 y – y1 = m(x – x1) c. Find a prediction equation for line of fit. *Use the best two ordered pairs from b. to find the slope for the line! (4, 130) and (8, 152.5) m = y2 – y1 = 152.2 – 130 = 22.5 ≈ 5.63 x2 - x1 8–4 4 *So use x1 = 4, y1 = 130, and m ≈ 5.63 y – y1 = m(x – x1) y – 130 = 5.63(x – 4) y – 130 = 5.63(x) – 5.63(4) y – 130 = 5.63x – 22.52 y = 5.63x + 107.48 d. Predict the price in 2020. d. Predict the price in 2020. 2020 means when x=30 (yrs after 1990) d. Predict the price in 2020. 2020 means when x=30 (yrs after 1990) *Plug 30 in for x! d. Predict the price in 2020. 2020 means when x=30 (yrs after 1990) *Plug 30 in for x! y = 5.63x + 107.48 d. Predict the price in 2020. 2020 means when x=30 (yrs after 1990) *Plug 30 in for x! y = 5.63x + 107.48 y = 5.63(30) + 107.48 d. Predict the price in 2020. 2020 means when x=30 (yrs after 1990) *Plug 30 in for x! y = 5.63x + 107.48 y = 5.63(30) + 107.48 y = 168.9 + 107.48 d. Predict the price in 2020. 2020 means when x=30 (yrs after 1990) *Plug 30 in for x! y = 5.63x + 107.48 y = 5.63(30) + 107.48 y = 168.9 + 107.48 y = 276.38 d. Predict the price in 2020. 2020 means when x=30 (yrs after 1990) *Plug 30 in for x! y = 5.63x + 107.48 y = 5.63(30) + 107.48 y = 168.9 + 107.48 y = 276.38 So, in 2020 the price will be $276,380.