Low Frequency Variability and Climate Regimes: A look at the Charney DeVore Model Josh Griffin and Marcus Williams Outline Brief History Introduction The CDV model From Holton From Charney Examples Stochastic forcing What are we talking about? We know that the climate is described as a basic state flow that is modified by eddy fluxes --needs better wording-- Low frequency variability describes these eddy fluxes that last on time scales longer than those of transient eddies Can be anywhere from 7-10 days to interannular variability These persistent anomalies can lead to climate regimes in the general circulation of the atmosphere These regimes are characterized be either a highindex or low-index state Define climate regime Graphic as an example What is the purpose of the CDV model? What does it look at? An extremely simplified model of a barotropic atmosphere. What does it hope to solve? Hoped to describe the persistance of large amplitude flow anomalies like blocking or recurring regional weather patterns What does it tell us? Examines the equilibrium mean states of the atmosphere when a damped topographic Rossby wave interacts with the zonalmean flow. --direct quote from holton Model tells us that there are multiple equilibrium solutions for the atmosphere. Both solutions are stable, however only one is seen. ??? Charney Who invented it? Hard to find something he didn’t do… His PhD thesis took up an entire journal in october 1947 Important for 2 reasons --list them Developed quasi-geostrophic approximations Helped proved the concept of numerical weather prediction was feasible and practical Helped come up with concept of barotropic instability ??? (“True” according to wikipedia) Helped explain formation of mid-lat cyclones Dishpan experiment DeVore One hit wonder… This is his only paper listed on the AMS website Apparently works for a company named Visidyne Let’s talk about models… Will be looking at two approaches First approach is from Holton Is a more ad hoc approach Less dynamical than the original CDV paper Actually feasible for us to derive… Second approach is from CDV Paper More dynamical Mathematically complex Holton’s approach Start with the barotropic potential vorticity equation DhT H V g f f 0 t Dt Explain terms Why use this equation? It is the simplest model of topographic Rossby waves Make the assumption that the upper boundary is fixed at a height H and the lower boundary is variable height ht(x,y) where ht <<H Now what? f 0 DhT u v g f t x v H Dt First step is to linearize u u u v v v v u x y Next we make some assumptions flow v 0 Zonal mean Take the zonal average 0 x And then… We then integrate the equation w.r.t y u f v 0 v hT t H By adding some “forcing??” terms, you arrive at the equation u t D u u U e Where This is defined as the barotropic momentum equation D u v f0 vhT H Now that we have an equation The barotropic momentum equation is dominated by two terms D(u) describes the forcing interaction between the waves and the mean flow -kappa(u-Ue) describes a linear relaxation toward an externally determined basic state flow, Ue Since we know D(u), we can plot the solution if we make some assumptions. assumptions Assume the streamfuction is composed of a single harmonic wave in the x and y direction. Doing this results in: x, y Re0 expikxcosly hT Reh0 expikxcosly where 0 We know that v x and 2 2 2 2 x y HK f 0 h0 2 K s i 2 Plug and chug After plugging the wave solutions, D(u) simplifies The eddy vorticity flux goes away The second term, the form drag, is all that remains Explain terms rK 2 f 02 h02 cos2 ly D u 2 2 2uH K 2 K S2 2 Graphical solution Explain the equilibrium points Why is one low-index and one high index? Transition slide into CDV paper CDV derivation The CDV model comprises a Rossby wave mode and uniform zonal flow over a mountain in a plane channel. The coriolis parameter f is approximated by The flow is restricted by lateral walls with width 0< y<Lx and length 0<x<Lx. The flow is also periodic in longitude so No normal transport at the boundaries requires to be constant at y= 0,Ly CDV Derivation The equation used in the model is the QGPV equation , *, To derive the low order spectral model you must expand orthonormal eigenfunctions of the Leplace operator. This derivation is very complex. I will show a more general representation by solving Leplace’s equation on a rectangle and introducing the concept of orthogonality. and h(x,y) into CDV Derivation Laplace equation 2 u 2 u u 2 2 x y Break the problem into four problems with each having one homogeneous condition u u1 u2 u3 u4 Next assume that u is a function of a product of x and y u( x, y) h( x) ( y) Separate the variable to get an ODE for x and y and set equal to an arbitrary constant. CDV Derivation Solve x dependent equation and y dependent equation. The equation with two homogeneous boundary conditions will provide you with your eigenvalues. d 2h h( x ) 2 dx h( L) 0 d 2 2 dy (0) 0 (H ) 0 Use boundary conditions to solve for the eigenfunction and orthogonality to solve for the inhomogeneous initial condition CDV derivation Orthogonality Whenever L A(x)B(x)dx 0 it is said that functions are orthogonal over the interval 0<x<L. The term is borrowed from perpendicular vectors because the integral is analogous to a zero dot product 0 0 nx mx sin dx 0 L L /2 L 0 L nx mx cos cos dx 0 L L L /2 L L sin m n m n m n m n 0 m n 0 CDV Derivation The process is similar in the derivation of the CDV model First you have to non-dimensionalize the QGPV equation.(A1,A2) 2 h D 2 J , 2 f o y f o E 2 * t H 2H Make the rigid lid approximation 0 and use the characteristic height, the timescale, the horizintal length scale, and the characteristic amplitude of the topography. 2 The non-dimensionalized QGPV becomes 2 J , 2 J , h C 2 * : A1 t x f h f D 0 0 , ,C 0 E H k 2H CDV Derivation Represent h(x,y) and in terms of sines and cosines(A4). * 1 y 2 co s(x ) sin 2 b * y 1 2 co s 0 b h ( x, y ) * Expand into three orthonormal modes(A3). 1 2 3 y b 1 11 1 2 cos y b y 33 3 2 sin(x ) sin b 2 22 2 2 cos x sin 3 CDV derivation Insert A3 and A4 back into the A1 and utilize the orthonomality of the eigenfunctions and let xi b , . f0h0 H i This leads to the following equations known as the CDV equations(A5). . x 1 b x3 C x1 x1 * 1 a b x1 x3 Cx2 2 . 1 1 x 3 a b x1 2 x2 2 a x1 Cx3 with 2b 3 3 a , , C C 2 1 b 4 2 4 2 . x 2 These equations define the low-order spectral model.The CDV equations are solved to find the equilibrium points CDV model As we found from holton, the system has three equilibrium point. One unstable and two stable(Show graphic again?) For arbitrary initial conditions the phase space trajectories always tend to one of the two stable equilibrium This is a drawback of the CDV model because there is no way to transition between the two stable equilibrium points. CDV model Example of a blocking climate regime in mid-lattitudes Stochastic slide 1 •As was shown earlier, there is no way to start a transition from one stable equlibria to another •Papers by Eggert (1981) and Sura (2002) discuss this transition between equilibrium through stochastic processes Stochastic slide 2 Obviously, since the points are equilibrium points, the solutions tend to go to one of those points and remain there in the CDV model By adding the stochastic white noise to the system, it generates a mechanism by which the system can switch between the equilibrium points Matlab examples Holton provides an example of a twomeridional-mode version of the CharneyDeVore model Now we’ll show a few examples of how topographic forcing alters the streamfunctions, both in structure and persistence.