Comparing Mutually Exclusive Alternatives

advertisement
Lecture No.18
Chapter 5
Contemporary Engineering Economics
Copyright © 2010
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th
edition, © 2010
Comparing Mutually Exclusive Projects – Basic
Terminologies
 Mutually Exclusive Projects
Alternative vs. Project
 Do-Nothing Alternative
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th
edition, © 2010
Revenue versus Service Projects
Revenue Projects
Service Projects
 Projects whose revenues
 Projects whose revenues do
depend on the choice of
alternatives
 Revenue and cost streams
vary with the choice of
alternatives.
not depend on the choice of
alternatives
 Fixed (or constant) revenues
for all alternatives
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th
edition, © 2010
Analysis Period versus Required
Service Period
Analysis Period
Required Service Period
 The time span over which
 The time span over which
the economic effects of an
investment will be
evaluated (study period or
planning horizon).
the service of an equipment
(or investment) will be
needed.
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th
edition, © 2010
Road Map – A Process of Making a Choice
among Mutually Exclusive Alternatives
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th
edition, © 2010
Comparing Mutually Exclusive Projects
 Principle: Projects must be compared
over an equal time span.
 Rule of Thumb: If the required service
period is given, the analysis period should
be the same as the required service period.
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th
edition, © 2010
Case 1
 Analysis Period Equals
Project Lives
 What to do: Compute the
NPW for each project over its
life and select the project
with the largest NPW.
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th
edition, © 2010
Comparing projects requiring different levels of
investment
Assume that the
unused funds will be
invested at MARR.
This portion
of investment
will earn a 10%
return on
investment.
PW(10%)A  $4,000  $450( P / F ,10%,1)  $600( P / F ,10%,2)
$4,493( P / F ,10%,3)
 $283
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th
edition, © 2010
Analysis Period Implied in Comparing Mutually
Exclusive Alternatives
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th
edition, © 2010
Case 2 – Ex. 5.10
Project Lives Longer than
the Analysis Period
 What to do:
 Estimate the salvage
value at the end of the
required service period.
 Compute the NPW for
each project over the
required service period.
 PW(15%)A = -$362
 PW(15%)B = -$364
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th
edition, © 2010
Case 3A – Service Projects – Ex. 5.11
 Project Lives Shorter than
the Analysis Period
 What to do:
Come up with
replacement projects
that match or exceed the
required service period.
Compute the NPW for
each project over the
required service period.
 PW(15%)A = -$34,359
 PW(15%)B = -$31,031
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th
edition, © 2010
Case 3B – Revenue Projects – Ex. 5.12
 Analysis Period Coincides with
the Project with the Longest Life in
the Mutually Exclusive Group
 What to do:
 Compute the NPW of each
project over its analysis
period, assuming that no
cash flows after the service
life for the shorter-lived
project.
 PW(15%)Drill = $2,208,470
 PW(15%)Lease = $2,180,210
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th
edition, © 2010
Case 4 – Ex. 5.13
 Analysis Period Is Not
Specified
 What to do:
 Come up with
replacement projects
that serve out the least
common multiple period
(LCM).
 Compute the NPW for
each project over the
LCM.
 PW(15%)A = -$53,657
 PW(15%)B = -$48,534
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th
edition, © 2010
Summary




Present worth is an equivalence method of analysis in
which a project’s cash flows are discounted to a lump
sum amount at present time.
The MARR or minimum attractive rate of return is the
interest rate at which a firm can always earn or borrow
money.
MARR is generally dictated by management and is the
rate at which NPW analysis should be conducted.
Two measures of investment, the net future worth and
the capitalized equivalent worth, are variations to the
NPW criterion.
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th
edition, © 2010
 The term mutually exclusive means that, when one of several






alternatives that meet the same need is selected, the others
will be rejected.
Revenue projects are those for which the income generated
depends on the choice of project.
Service projects are those for which income remains the same,
regardless of which project is selected.
The analysis period (study period) is the time span over which
the economic effects of an investment will be evaluated.
The required service period is the time span over which the
service of an equipment (or investment) will be needed.
The analysis period should be chosen to cover the required
service period.
When not specified by management or company policy, the
analysis period to use in a comparison of mutually exclusive
projects may be chosen by the individual analyst.
Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th
edition, © 2010
Download