One Sample t-test Hypothesis Testing: • Unknown Parameters Requires t-test • Comparison of One Sample Mean to a Specific Value M 0 M 0 t sM s/ n Anthony Greene 1 Outline Differences between t and z 1. 2. 3. 4. Unknown parameters Degrees Freedom Using the tables Hypothesis Testing Anthony Greene 2 What Is a t-test? • In most research situations, the parameters and are unknown because the test is novel • Estimates, based on sample statistics must be used in place of the parameters • Use of estimation reduces the certainty of the tests by a quantifiable probability which depends upon the size of the sample • For very large samples, the t-test and z-test are identical • t-tests are just like z-tests, except that they compensate for the increasing uncertainty of small sample sizes Anthony Greene 3 The larger the df is, the more closely the t distribution approximates a normal distribution. Anthony Greene 4 Use of t-test vs. z-test 1. z-test a) is known: b) Mx is computed c) M is known ( is known) 2. t-test a) is hypothesized or predicted (not computed and generally not known): b) Mx is computed c) M is unknown ( is unknown) : sM is computed d) Degrees freedom (d.f.) is computed as the one less than the sample size (the denominator of the standard deviation): df = n - 1 Anthony Greene 5 A Note On The Influence of Sample Size (slide 1 of 2) • For the z-test, sample size influences the shape of the sampling distribution; the larger the sample size, the more leptokurtic the sampling distribution because larger n means smaller M Platykurtic Leptokurtic Anthony Greene 6 A Note On The Influence of Sample Size (Slide 2 of 2) For the t-test, sample size has two effects: 1. Makes the sampling distribution more leptokurtic because larger n means smaller sM 2. t-distribution is more platykurtic than comparable z-distribution • The smaller the d.f. the more extreme the effect must be to be detected (rejecting the null hypothesis) • For df larger than thirty, the t-distribution is a very close approximation to the z-distribution (see Table B.1) Platykurtic Leptokurtic 7 The t-statistic M 0 M 0 t sM s/ n • This value is used just like a z-statistic: if the value of t exceeds some threshold or critical valued, t , then an effect is detected (i.e., the hypothesis of no difference is rejected) • Critical values t are found in Table B.2 Anthony Greene 8 Finding Critical Values A portion of the t distribution table Anthony Greene 9 Finding Critical Values The t-distribution for df = 3, 2-tailed α = 0.10 Anthony Greene 10 Finding Critical Values The t-distribution for df =15, 2-tailed α = 0.05 Anthony Greene 11 Finding Critical Values The t-distribution for df =15, one-tailed 2-tailed α = 0.05 Anthony Greene 12 The one-sample t-test for a population mean (Slide 1 of 3) Step 1 The null hypothesis is H0: = 0 (the real mean equals some proposed theoretical constant 0); the alternative hypothesis is one of the following: Ha: 0 Ha: < 0 Ha: > 0 (Two Tailed) (Left Tailed) (Right Tailed) Step 2 Decide on the significance level, Step 3 The critical values are ±t/2 -t +t (Two Tailed) (Left Tailed) (Right Tailed) with df = n - 1. Anthony Greene 13 The one-sample t-test for a population mean (Slide 2 of 3) Anthony Greene 14 The one-sample t-test for a population mean (Slide 3 of 3) Step 4 Compute the value of the test statistic M 0 M 0 t sM s/ n Step 5 If the value of the test statistic falls in the rejection region, reject H0, otherwise do not reject H0. Anthony Greene 15 Criterion for deciding whether or not to reject the null hypothesis Anthony Greene 16 Summary of hypothesis-testing The null hypothesis H0: = 0 Type z-test t-test Conditions Test Statistic M 0 M 0 / n μ0 is known σ is known z μ0 is hypothesized σ is unknown M 0 M 0 t sM s/ n Anthony Greene M 17 Sample Problem • Given a multiple choice test where each question has 4 choices, I want to know if a sample of 24 students did better than chance • M = 37, s = 14 • What is µ0? Anthony Greene 18 Sample Problem • Given a multiple choice test where each question has 4 choices, I want to know if a sample of 24 students did better than chance • M = 37, s = 14 M 0 t sM Anthony Greene 19 Sample Problem • Given a multiple choice test where each question has 4 choices, I want to know if a sample of 24 students did better than chance • M = 37, s = 14 M 0 12 t 4.2 14 sM 24 Anthony Greene 20 Second Sample Problem You are conducting an experiment to see if a given therapy works to reduce test anxiety. A standard measure of test anxiety is known to produce a µ = 20. In the sample you draw of 81 the mean M = 18 with s = 9. Anthony Greene 21 Second Sample Problem You are conducting an experiment to see if a given therapy works to reduce test anxiety. A standard measure of test anxiety is will known to produce a µ = 20. In the sample you draw of 81 the mean M = 18 with s = 9. 9 sM 1 81 Anthony Greene 22 Second Sample Problem You are conducting an experiment to see if a given therapy works to reduce test anxiety. A standard measure of test anxiety is will known to produce a µ = 20. In the sample you draw of 81 the mean M = 18 with s = 22. 9 sM 1 81 18 20 t 2 1 Anthony Greene 23 Third Sample Problem You are conducting an experiment on ESP. People who claim to be high in ESP are asked to guess which of four cards an experimenter draws from a deck. Anthony Greene 24 Third Sample Problem µ = 0.25 tcrit = 1.83 X X2 0.220 0.048 0.220 0.048 0.220 0.048 0.230 0.053 0.240 0.058 0.240 0.058 SS n 1 0.270 0.073 0.260 0.068 s n 0.220 0.048 0.240 0.058 SS X s sM t 2 2 X n M sM Σ 2.360 M= 0.236 Σ SS= 0.003 s= 0.018 sM= 0.006 t= -2.492 0.560 Anthony Greene 25