Normal Distribution To understand the normal distribution To be able to find probabilities given the Z score To be able to find the Z score given the probability •Most commonly observed probability distribution •1800s, German mathematician and physicist Karl Gauss used it to analyse astronomical data •Sometimes called the Gaussian distribution in science. Normal Distribution • Occurs naturally(e.g. height, weight,..) • Often called a “bell curve” • Centres around the mean Normal Distribution • Spread depends on standard deviation • Percentage of distribution included depends on number of standard deviations from the mean Properties of Normal Distribution • Symmetrical • Area under curve = 1 Standard Normal Distribution • Mean (=0 • Standard deviation ()=1 Standard Normal Distribution •Tables are provided to help us to calculate the probability for the standard normal distribution , Z • Z-scores are a means of answering the question ``how many standard deviations away from the mean is this observation?'' Tables give us P(Z<z) It is vital that you always sketch a graph Find P(Z<1.25) P(Z<1.25) = 0.8944 Tables give us P(Z<z) It is vital that you always sketch a graph Find P(Z>1.25) P(Z>1.25) = 1- 0.8944 = 0.1056 It is vital that you always sketch a graph a) Find P(Z < 1.52) b) Find P(Z > 2.60) c) Find P(Z < -0.75) d) Find P(-1.18 < Z < 1.43) SOLUTIONS a) Find P(Z < 1.52) P(Z < 1.52) = 0.9357 SOLUTIONS b) Find P(Z > 2.60) P(Z > 2.60) = 1 - 0.9053 = 0.0047 SOLUTIONS c) Find P(Z < -0.75) P(Z < -0.75) = P(Z > 0.75) P(Z > 0.75) = 1 – P(Z < 0.75) P(Z > 0.75) = 1 – 0.7734 = 0.2266 SOLUTIONS d) Find P(-1.18 < Z < 1.43) P(Z<1.43) = 0.9236 P(Z>1.18) = 1-0.881 P(Z>1.18) = 0.119 P(-1.18<Z<1.43) = 0.9236 - 0.119 = 0.8046 Reversing the process Given the probability find the value of a in P(Z<a) P(Z<1.25) = 0.8944 P(Z<-0.25) = 0.4013 If the probability is >0.5 then a is positive If the probability is <0.5 then a is negative It is vital that you always sketch a graph a) P(Z < a) = 0.7611 b) P(Z > a) = 0.0287 c) P(Z < a) = 0.0170 d) P(Z > a) = 0.01 ASK ABOUT THIS ONE SOLUTIONS a) P(Z < a) = 0.7611 0.7611 a = 0.71 SOLUTIONS b) P(Z > a) = 0.0287 0.9713 a = 1.9 0.0287 SOLUTIONS c) P(Z < a) = 0.0170 0.0170 < 0.5 so a is negative 0.9830 z = 2.12 so a = -2.12 0.0170 SOLUTIONS d) P(Z > a) = 0.01 Use percentage points of normal distribution table which gives P(Z>z) a = 2.3263 Normal distribution calculator