An Outlook on Land Reform 2012: Progress and impact on Food Security in Southern Africa 11TH AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK CONFERENCE 13 & 14 SEPTEMBER 2011 Dawie Maree Agri SA Food security • Definition • Types of food security – National – Household • Vision of government Food Security • G20 Plan of Action – Improve agricultural production and productivity RSA: MAIZE (COMMERCIAL) AREA PLANTED AND PRODUCTION ‘000 Ton ‘000 Ha 14000 Maize (Ha) 5000 Maize(Ton) 12000 4500 10000 4000 8000 3500 6000 3000 4000 2500 2000 2000 0 1500 2010/11 2009/10 2008/09 2007/08 2006/07 2005/06 2004/05 2003/04 2002/03 2001/02 2000/01 1999/00 1998/99 1997/98 1996/97 1995/96 1994/95 1993/94 1992/93 1991/92 1990/91 Source: DAFF 85 75 Index Volume index of agricultural production 135 125 115 105 95 65 Field Crops 55 Horticulture 45 Animal Production 35 2009/10 2007/08 2005/06 2003/04 2001/02 1999/00 1997/98 1995/96 1993/94 1991/92 1989/90 1987/88 1985/86 1983/84 1981/82 1979/80 1977/78 1975/76 Source: DAFF Food Security • G20 Plan of Action – Improve agricultural production and productivity – Increase market information and transparency – Strengthen international policy coherence and coordination – Improve and develop risk management tools – Improve functioning of agricultural commodities’ derivative markets South African Agriculture Property rights Food security Poor infrastructure Corruption Crime Input costs Labour dispensation Trade policy Service delivery Land Reform in South Africa • Contentious and emotive • Land reform since 1994 – 3-pronged approach – Target for 2014 – Progress and success??? – Reasons for failure International experience • Mexico – Ownership – Production – Dependancy • Tanzania – Ownership – Productivity • Brazil – Expropriation – Government support – Market-related strategies Green Paper on Land Reform, 2011 • Vision – 4-tier system of land tenure – Clearly defined property rights – Secure forms of long-term land tenure for resident noncitizens – Effective land use planning and regulatory systems • Improved trajectory – Improve past and current perspectives without substantially disrupting production and food security – Avoid/minimise redistribution and restitution which do not generate sustainable livelihoods, employment and incomes Green Paper on Land Reform, 2011 • Improved trajectory support by: – Recapitalisation and development programme – Single 4-tier tenure system • State and public land – Leasehold • Privately owned land – Freehold, with limited extent • Land owned by foreigners – Freehold, with obligations and conditions • Communally owned land – Communal tenure, with institutionalised use rights • An Australian example Green Paper on Land Reform, 2011 • Improved trajectory support by (continue): – Land Management Commission – Land Valuer-General – Land Rights Management Board, with local management committees – Properly aligned common property institutions – Tenure Security Bill, 2010 Green Paper on Land Reform, 2011 • Key challenges and constraints: – Entrenched vested interests – Poor coordination and integration – Poor capacity of organs of state to implement Expenditure Estimates: Land Affairs: Restitution and Land Reform 5000000 4500000 4000000 Restitution 3500000 Land Reform R'000 3000000 2500000 2000000 1500000 1000000 500000 Source: Estimates of National Expenditure, 2011 National Treasury * Medium-term expenditure estimate 2013/14* 2012/13* 2011/12* 2010/11 2009/10 2008/09 2007/08 2006/07 2005/06 2004/05 2003/04 2002/03 2001/02 2000/01 1999/00 1998/99 0 Is there still a future for the South African Farmer? Conclusion/Road forward • National Land Audit • More definite process for land reform and rural development • Critical debate • Expansion into Africa • Local focus on food security South African Farmers leaving Thank you