Contributions In Aid of Construction Mark Beauchamp Business & Finance Workshop Utility Financial Solutions 616-393-9722 Objectives Types of Line Extension Policies Consideration when developing a line extension policy Risk of investments How much is a new customer worth? How to determine the value and example calculations Other Considerations when developing a line extension policy Examples of Electric Line Extension Policies Based on Annual Revenues Some charge the difference between underground and overhead Some contribute a per foot maximum amount Some provide it free of charge Some charge customers a System Development Charge Types of Line Extension Polices Many policies are not based on economics and do not consider the financial impact to existing rate payers. Examples: Investing $15,000 to connect a residential customer Using a times revenue policy for a 15 mW Ethanol plant Not contributing to expansion of hospital that will increase electrical use Considerations in developing a line extension policy Often power supply represents 65% 85% of the total revenue requirement for utilities. Power supply can represent 85% - 90% of a high load factor customers revenue requirement and only 60% for a residential or small commercial A times annual revenue policy will overvalue a high load factor customer Example Ethanol Plant (87% Load Factor) Five times annual revenue valued customer at over $5.0 Million actual value to electric utility is less than $500,000 Utility Investment per kWh by Load Factor Contribution Margin (kWh) by Load Factor NPV Contribution per $0.050 $0.045 $0.040 $0.035 $0.030 $0.025 $0.020 $0.015 $0.010 $0.005 $0.000 31% 36% 41% 46% 51% 56% 61% Load Factor 66% 71% 76% 81% 86% Risk of Investments in Customer Example: TransCanada Pipeline building line through rural areas of Nebraska substantial investment were needed to service pumping stations Investments of over $5.0 million were required by some utilities, kWh usage from the pipeline would more than double sales to utility Risks: over-estimating sales in determination of line extension contribution Bankruptcy Stranded investments could substantially increase rates to utility Contribution margins from distribution amounted to only $200,000 per year Wholesale providers ratchet clause in rates Value of a Customer? Many Utilities are moving toward policies that places a value on a customer Reviews the contribution margin a customer will provide to the system Amount of risk of investing money to serve the customer Objective Help ensure the investment to connect customer is a good investment for the utility and will benefit existing customers of the system Growth should be good for the system Steps to Value a Customer Determine variable cost to serve each customer class Determine contribution margin (net revenue) from each class Convert contribution margin of each customer class to a per kWh, kW, kVa or HP basis Present value the contribution margin over an appropriate time (considering risk) assuming a discount rate = rate of return Determination of Contribution Margin by Class Class Residential Small Gen. Service Medium Gen. Service Large Gen. Service - Non-TOU Small Ag Irrigation Large Ag. Irrigation - w/o AFC Cost of Service Revenues $ 42,987,045 6,594,016 8,297,661 11,385,141 775,153 550,948 Power Supply Contribution Costs Margin $ 23,350,822 $ 19,636,223 3,945,071 2,648,945 5,746,617 2,551,044 8,200,790 3,184,350 460,391 314,762 375,104 175,844 Determination of Contribution Margin on a billable basis Rate Class Combinations Residential Small Gen. Medium Gen. Large Gen. Small Ag Large Ag. Class Residential Contribution to Margin $ 19,636,223 2,648,945 2,551,044 3,184,350 314,762 175,844 KWH, KW or KVA for each class 651,453,311 165,382 144,749 111,762 10,876 15,350 Costof Service Power Contribution Revenues SupplyCosts Margin $42,987,045 $23,350,822 $19,636,223 Contribution to Margin per KWH, KW, or KVA 0.0301 16.02 17.62 28.49 28.94 11.46 Basis KWH KVA KVA KVA KVA KVA Types of Billable Basis kWh Average kWh projected for customer kW projected for customer kVa of installed capacity Variable Costs = Power Supply costs from Cost of Service Study Present Value Contribution Margin Recovery Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Disc. Rate Utility Invest. Basis Residential Residential Three Year Residential Five Year Small Gen. Service 0.0301 0.0301 0.0301 0.0301 0.0301 0.0301 0.0301 0.0100 0.0201 0.0301 0.0301 0.0301 0.0301 0.0301 0.0060 0.0121 0.0181 0.0241 0.0301 0.0301 0.0301 16.02 16.02 16.02 16.02 16.02 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% $0.162 kWh $0.135 kWh $0.110 $ kWh Medium Gen. Service Large Gen. Service Large Non-TOU Industrial Small Ag Irrigation Large Ag. Irrigation w/o AFC 17.62 17.62 17.62 17.62 17.62 28.49 28.49 28.49 3.61 3.61 3.61 28.94 28.94 28.94 28.94 28.94 11.46 11.46 11.46 11.46 11.46 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 65.67 kVa $72.26 kVa $74.77 kVa $9.47 kVa $118.66 kVa $46.97 kVa - Present Value Contribution Margin Average Contribution per Customer Customer Class Residential $ 0.162 Residential Subdivision Three Year Phase In 0.135 Residential Subdivision Five Year Phase In 0.110 Small Gen. Service 65.67 Medium Gen. Service 72.26 Large Gen. Service - Non-TOU 74.77 Small Ag Irrigation 118.661 Large Ag. Irrigation - w/o AFC 46.970 Average Usage 16,722 16,722 16,722 38 217 873 18 640 Maximum Investment per Customer $ 2,716 2,258 1,839 2,518 15,658 65,287 2,123 30,041 Basis Estimated based on KWH Estimated based on KWH Estimated based on KWH Estimated based on KVA Estimated based on KVA Estimated based on KVA Estimated based on KVA Estimated based on KVA Present Value Contribution Margin Customer Class Residential Residential Subdivision Three Year Phase In Residential Subdivision Five Year Phase In Small Gen. Service Medium Gen. Service Large Gen. Service - Non-TOU Small Ag Irrigation Large Ag. Irrigation - w/o AFC Maximum Investment $ 2,716 2,258 1,839 65.67 72.26 74.77 118.66 46.97 Basis Per Connection Per Connection Per Connection Per KVA Installed Capacity Per KVA Installed Capacity Per KVA Installed Capacity Per KVA Installed Capacity Per KVA Installed Capacity Key Assumptions Discount Rate Typically equal to Rate of Return Target for Utility Length of time to recover investment Based on perceived risk of investment Residential 5-9 years Commercial 4-5 years Industrial 3 years Perceived Risks Company going out of business Facility burning down Co-Generation Wind Mills/Solar/Fuel Cells Alternative fuels Other Considerations Second customer connecting to line paid by another customer Customer above certain size should require a special analysis Existing customer expands facilities Residential average not representative of the new customers usage Risk to utility