SLABSTOCK FLEXIBLE FOAM MARKET REVIEW • General economic outlook • 2000 - slabstock production volumes • The main markets EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 • Upholstered furniture • Bedding • Automotive W. Dupont EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ’99 & ’00 SLABSTOCK MARKET INDICATORS 1999 2000 GDP-growth + 2.4% +3.4% Raw materials price index ether ester - 4.0% +13.0% - 6.0% + 8.0% Slabstock market ether volume + 3.2% +4.7% ester volume + 3.8% +3.5% Upholstered furniture market Bedding market + 2.0% +1.8% + 0.9% +0.5% Car/LCV market + 1.8% +0.3% EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 SLABSTOCK MARKET REVIEW USA- JAPAN - EU KEY ECONOMIC INDICATORS GDP Growth (%) ’99 ’00 ’01 Inflation (%) ’02 ’99 ’00 1.8 ’01 ’02 Unemployment rate (% lab.f.) ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 USA 4.2 5.2 3.5 3.3 2.5 2.1 2.2 4.2 4.0 4.2 4.5 Japan 0.2 1.9 2.3 2.0 -0.5 -0.5 0.0 -0.1 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 2.7 2.7 9.1 8.2 7.6 7.2 Euro zone 2.4 3.4 Source : EOCD & EC (04/01) EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 1.4 2.1 2.3 2.1 SLABSTOCK MARKET REVIEW ECONOMIC OUTLOOK MACRO-ECONOMIC STRUCTURAL CHANGES • Implementation of the monetary union & EURO (12) • Enlargement of the EU(15): +12 countries • Information society • Immigration • Active labour force vs retired population changing • Increase in age group (65+): +27 Mio people in 25 years •Source: OECD EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 SLABSTOCK MARKET REVIEW ’99 & ’00 POLYETHER FOAM PRODUCTION EUROPE 1999 2000 EU-15 + 3.8% + 4.3% Non EU-member states + 0.5% + 6.5% Q1, 2001 * B/F/D/I/NL/SP Source : Europur EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 + 1.2% * SLABSTOCK MARKET REVIEW ’00 POLYETHER FOAM PRODUCTION EUROPE Europur members in metric tonnes EU15 +N+CH 1998 393,120 Non EU-member states (Eastern E.)* 58,350* Total *Estimated Source : Europur EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 451,470 1999 2000 416,197 433,795 106,950* 113,860* 523,147 547,655 SLABSTOCK MARKET REVIEW ’00 POLYETHER FOAM PRODUCTION BY COUNTRY Italy Other 14% 22% Germany 13% Spain 5% NL France 6% 11% Belgium 8% Poland 11% Source : Europur EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 UK 11% SLABSTOCK MARKET REVIEW POLYESTER FOAM PRODUCTION WEST-EUROPE 70 63 65 68 71 60 in '000 tonnes 50 40 in tonnes Growth : Source : Europur EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 '97 '98 '99 62.813 65.139 67.610 +3.7%+ 3.8% + 8.6% '00 70.623 +4.5% SLABSTOCK MARKET REVIEW MAIN MARKETS : UPHOLSTERED FURNITURE • • INDUSTRY PROFILE Production value ’00 : 12.2 billion EURO Employment : 135,000 • Key players : Welle,Schieder,Hukla,Steinhoff (Germany) Natuzzi (Italy) Christy Tyler (UK) Dumeste (Cauval Ind.,FR) Source : UEA EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 UPHOLSTERED FURNITURE MARKET SEGMENTATION • • • 2/3 fabric, 1/3 leather High end Medium Low end Volume 10% 35% 55% Value 15% 45% 40% Contract furniture only 2-3% of total EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 UPHOLSTERED FURNITURE PRODUCTION EU TOTAL • MM Euro Value % variation 1998 1999 2000 11,300 11,582 12,220 2.5% 5.5% 2.7% • In volume terms : 43.2 million armchair equivalents • Volume growth is only 1/3 of value growth Source: UEA EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 UPHOLSTERED FURNITURE PRODUCTION ’00 BY COUNTRY Others 20% Italy 31% Spain 8% France 8% UK 14% Germany 19% Over the last 2 years • market share Italy rose by 3% • market share Germany decreased by 3% Source: UEA EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 UPHOLSTERED FURNITURE EXPORTS Extra 35% Intra 65% Total : 3.9 billion EURO Growth : 19 % in 1998-2000 period Source: UEA EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 UPHOLSTERED FURNITURE IMPORTS ( Intra & Outside EU ) • Growth : + 13.9 % in 1998-2000 period • Total ´00 : 3.0 billion EURO Source: UEA EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 UPHOLSTERED FURNITURE AVERAGE MANUFACTURING COST STRUCTURE YEAR 2000 Raw materials Variable & fixed production 49% 51% Source : UEA EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 Wood 18% Fabrics 25% Leather 20% Foam 16% Other 21% MAIN MARKETS : BEDDING • European Bedding Industries Association (EBIA) founded 1st semester 2000 • Member countries : • Better statistical data available now EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 Austria Belgium France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain BEDDING 2000 MATTRESS MARKET SIZE # of units % of total Austria 760,000 3% Belgium 770,000 3% France 4,850,000 19% Germany 7,500,000 29% Italy 4,350,000 17% Netherlands 1,200,000 5% Spain 2,580,000 10% UK 3,650,000 14% 25,660,000 EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 Market: Spring Mattresses 2000 Total volume: 13.439.000 units A 2% E 19% NL 3% I 23% EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 B 1% F 11% D 41% A B F D I NL E Market: FPF Mattresses 2000 Total volume : 5.710.000 units E A 1% 3% NL 11% B 7% I 13% D 19% EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 F 46% A B F D I NL E Market: Latex Mattresses 2000 Total volume : 2.715.000 units NL 6% E 2% B 5% A 10% I 18% F 26% D 33% EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 A B F D I NL E Mattress Market (2000) Volume (in ‘000) Spring Value in mio € 13.500 61% FPF 5.800 Latex Others Total EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 Average Price in € 1.100 56% 82 26% 400 20% 69 2.700 12% 400 20% 148 220 1% 75 4% 343 22.220 100% 1.975 100% BEDDING ANNUAL VOLUME GROWTH 97/98 + 2.8% EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 98/99 + 0.9% 99/00 + 0.5% MAIN MARKETS : AUTOMOTIVE MARKET SIZE DEVELOPMENT West-European assembly % 120 Volume 2000 110 100 Cars 14,634,000 LCV 1,680,000 Truck/bus 90 443,000 16,757,000 80 '97 '98 EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 '99 '00 AUTOMOTIVE CAR ASSEMBLY BY COUNTRY West-Europe Other 5% Belgium Italy 6% 10% Germany 31% UK 11% Spain 17% EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 France 20% 2000: 14.634.000 cars Source: J.D. Power AUTOMOTIVE MARKET SIZE DEVELOPMENT East-European market (CZ,HU, PL, RO, RU, SK, SL, TU) % 125 115 108 104 100 118 Volume 2000 110 106 100 100 Cars LCV 2,717,000 333,000 3,050,000 75 '97 EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 '98 '99 '00 AUTOMOTIVE CAR ASSEMBLY BY COUNTRY East-Europe Slovenia Slovakia 7% 4% Hungary 5% Russia Turkey 38% 12% Czechia 13% EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 Poland 21% 2000: 2.717.000 cars Source: J.D. Power EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2001 FORECAST 2000 2001 + 3.4% +2.7% ether + 13% +3.5% ester + 8% +3.2% + 4.7% + 3.5% + 1.0% + 2.5% Upholstered furniture market + 1.8% + 1,0% Bedding market + 0.5% +0,75% Car market + 0.3% -1.5% GDP-growth Raw materials price index Slabstock market EUROPUR General Assembly Cascais, June 14 & 15, 2001 ether volume ester volume