Key Trends in US Intermediary-Sold Fund Distribution Dennis Bowden Assistant Director of U.S. Research dbowden@sionline.com US Intermediary-Sold Distribution Landscape Sales by Distribution Channel as a Percentage of Total Sales 45% 40% 2010 2011 % Change 2009 - 2011 35% % of Total Gross Sales 2009 +9% -1.5% 30% +1.0% 25% -0.7% 20% +0.7% 15% 10% 5% 0% Wrap/Fee Nat'l BDs Indep/Reg'l Investment Based BDs Only DC* Advisory* *Only among firms providing breakdowns of Wrap/Fee-Based Advisory and Investment Only DC sales, respectively. Note - these sales may span multiple standalone channels. Source: SI Fund Sales Survey RIAs Pure Inst'l/ Bank BDs Insurance Other Agents Distribution Channel Sales Growth 2011 – Fee-Based Programs Continuing Rapid Growth; RIA, IODC Leading Standalone Channels in 2011 Sales by Channel: Annual Sales Growth (%) 35% 35% 2011 2010 30% 30% 25% 25% 20% 20% 15% 15% 10% 10% 5% 5% 0% 0% -5% -5% Wrap/Fee Based Advisory RIAs Source: SI Fund Sales Survey IODC Indep/Reg'l Pure Inst'l/ Insurance Nat'l BDs Bank BDs BDs Other Agents Wrap / Fee-Based Advisory Programs Key driver of growth across expanding segments on the intermediary-sold marketplace Fee-based sales grew faster than any standalone channel during each of the past three years Opportunities but also challenges Widening competitive landscape – to include many traditionally directsold firms, as well as ETFs Fund profitability challenges within an evolving economic reality Rising distribution costs + increasing demand for lowest-cost share class Secular increase in asset velocity and longevity risk - Centralized decision-making vs. more heterogeneous FA/investor pools - Implications around growing discretionary advisor community Platform Redemption Patterns – Balancing Sales Growth with Asset Stability & Profitability Considerations National BD Platforms - Monthly Redemption Rates January 2008 - June 2011 18% Total Industry (ICI) Rep as PM Rep as Advisor Home Office Model Commission-Based 16% 14% 12% 18% 16% 14% 12% 8% 8% 6% 6% 4% 4% 2% 2% 0% 0% Jul-0 9 Sep-0 9 Nov09 Jan-1 0 Mar10 May10 Jul-1 0 Sep-1 0 Nov10 Jan-1 1 Mar11 May11 10% Jan-0 8 Mar08 May08 Jul-0 8 Sep-0 8 Nov08 Jan-0 9 Mar09 May09 10% Source: Coates Analytics Distribution Management System / ICI / SI Analysis National BDs vs. Independent/Reg’l BDs – Post Crisis Growth via Independent BDs Outpacing Nationals as More Firms Continue to Diversify Distribution Footprint National BD vs. Independent/Reg'l BD Annual Sales Growth (%) 30% 30% National BD Independent/Reg'l BD 25% 25% 20% 20% 15% 15% 10% 10% 5% 5% 0% 0% -5% -5% -10% -10% -15% -15% -20% -20% 2007 Source: SI Fund Sales Survey 2008 2009 2010 2011 RIAs – Fastest Growing Standalone Channel In Three* of the Past Four Years, Although Still from a Small Base for Many Firms Annual Sales Growth (%): RIA Channel vs. Aggregate Across All Channels 30% 30% RIA Channel All Channels 25% 25% 20% 20% 15% 15% 10% 10% 5% 5% 0% 0% -5% -5% -10% -10% -15% -15% 2007 Source: SI Fund Sales Survey 2008* 2009* 2010 2011* RIA Channel – Continued Potential Opportunity, but Inherent Challenges Remain Fastest-growing standalone channel since 2007 among our peer group of traditionally BD-focused fund managers Challenges for sustaining growth within RIA channel remain Unique investment needs and sophistication Geographic and philosophical diversity Existing allegiances to specialized and boutique managers Higher preference for ETFs And more… For many firms, still ongoing process in evolving to proactive rather than reactive engagement of RIAs But increasing number of firms progressing in building longer-term trust and lasting presence New Data Coming from SI to Help You Better Assess the Intermediary-Sold Marketplace – Including RIA Demand Trends by Category vs. Other Channels, Overall Industry RIA Channel Top Five Net Inflow Lipper Classifications - YTD April 2012 $5.3 Emerging Markets $5.3 $21.3 RIA Channel $4.0 Large-Cap Growth $4.0 $6.7 Overall Industry $4.0 High Current Yield Intmdt Inv Grade $2.3 Equity Income $2.1 $0 $5$1 $4.0 $26.1 $2.3 $30.7 $2.1 $13.1 $10 $2 $15 $3 $20 $4$25 ($Billions) Flows ($Billions) Net Flows Net Source: Access Data, a Broadridge company / Strategic Insight / SI Analysis $5 $30 $6 $35 As Well As ETF Usage by Category Across Industry Segments – Similarities, Differences by Channel and/or Individual Distributor? RIA Channel - Mutual Fund vs. ETF Flows within Top Five Net Inflow Lipper Classifications - YTD April 2012 % of Net Flows to Mutual Funds % of Net Flows to ETFs 100% 18% 90% 80% 31% 39% 35% 51% 70% 60% 50% 82% 40% 30% 69% 61% 65% 49% 20% 10% 0% Emerging Markets Large-Cap Growth High Current Yield Intmdt Inv Grade Source: Access Data, a Broadridge company / Strategic Insight / SI Analysis Equity Income Share Class Pricing Trends Reflective of Shifting Distribution Landscape – Profitability Challenges; Marketplace Eliminating Need for Remaking 12b-1? Sales by Share Class as a Percentage of Total Sales 60% 2009 55% 2010 2011 50% % of Total Gross Sales 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% No Load "A" at NAV* Level-Load "A" at 2-4% "A" at 4% "A" at below "B" Shares Load* or greater 2% Load* Load* *Only among firms providing breakdowns of "A" share sales. Source: SI Fund Sales Survey No Load Growth Spurred by Increasing “Retailization” of Traditionally Institutional Shares No Load Share Sales via Wrap Programs & IODC Plans as a Percentage of Total No Load Share Sales* Wrap/Fee-Based Advisory Programs IODC Plans Other 70% 70% 60% 47% 50% 40% 30% 60% 55% 51% 39% 34% 27% 50% 40% 30% 27% 23% 27% 21% 20% 17% 30% 20% 10% 10% 0% 0% 2008 2009 *Among the 24 firms in 2011, 26 firms in 2010, 22 firms in 2009 and 15 firms in 2008 providing breakdowns of No Load sales via Wrap and IODC. Source: SI Fund Sales Survey 2010 2011 Fee-Based Programs – Demand for Lowest-Cost Share Classes a Key Driver of Increasing No Load Sales Proportional Sales Through Wrap / Fee-Based Advisory Programs by Share Class 80% "A" Shares at NAV 67% 70% 60% 59% 57% 70% 60% 51% 49% 50% 40% 80% No Load Shares 50% 43% 41% 33% 40% 30% 30% 20% 20% 10% 10% 0% 0% 2008 2009 *Among the 20 firms in 2011, 21 firms in 2010, 17 firms in 2009 and 15 firms in 2008 providing breakdowns of No Load and "A" at NAV sales via Wrap/Fee-Based Advisory Programs. Source: SI Fund Sales Survey 2010 2011 Dominant Majority of Fee-Based No-Load Sales Coming via Shares without 12b-1 Fees – Accelerating Proportion of Total Shareholder Cost Migrating Outside of Fund TER No Load Shares Proportional Sales Breakout within Wrap / Fee-Based Advisory Programs 100% No Load Shares w/12b-1 Fee No Load Shares w/out 12b-1 Fee 90% 87% 83% 80% 100% 90% 80% 72% 70% 70% 60% 60% 50% 50% 40% 40% 30% 28% 30% 17% 20% 13% 20% 10% 10% 0% 0% 2009 2010 *Among the 22 firms in 2011, 25 firms in 2010 and 17 firms in 2009 providing such breakdowns of No Load share sales via Wrap/Fee-Based Advisory Programs. Source: SI Fund Sales Survey 2011 Investment Only DC Sales Also Increasingly Coming via No Load Shares Proportional Sales by Share Class Through Investment Only DC Plans "A" Shares at NAV No Load Shares Other Share Classes (Level-Load, etc) 70% 63% 57% 60% 58% 70% 60% 52% 50% 50% 40% 40% 30% 27% 26% 26% 22% 20% 17% 30% 24% 16% 13% 20% 10% 10% 0% 0% 2008 2009 *Among the 23 firms in 2011, 25 firms in 2010 and 22 firms in 2009 providing breakdowns of No Load and "A" at NAV share sales via IODC. Source: SI Fund Sales Survey 2010 2011 A Few Key Intermediary-Sold Distribution Considerations Moving Forward Continued expansion of fee-based sales – opportunities but also challenges Rising costs, shifting share class demand, shrinking holding periods contributing to evolving economic reality Increasing asset longevity risk – centralized decision-making vs. more heterogeneous FA/investor pools Increasing importance of diversified distribution footprint Decreasing reliance on handful of large (and often most expensive) distribution partners Accelerating demand for lowest cost share class Increasing migration of shareholder cost to outside fund expense ratio Fund profitability dilemma – managing retail distribution costs within shares priced for institutional use Regulatory implications – marketplace forces solving need for radical remake of Rule 12b-1? Coming to Simfund MF Q4’2012: Comprehensive Intermediary-Sold Distribution Data – Helping You to Navigate a More Complex Marketplace Monthly assets and net flows available by Distributor and by Distribution Channel for mutual funds and ETFs National BDs, Independent BDs, Regional BDs, RIAs, Bank BDs, Bank Trusts, and more Integrating new data into existing Simfund analytics to create a more powerful and comprehensive tool Holistic product + distribution data solution Ability to leverage existing classifications, performance, fee, and other data Unique strategic tool to help your firm identify opportunity and leverage data-driven analytics to advance strategic distribution initiatives © Copyright 2012 Strategic Insight, an Asset International company, and when referenced or sourced Morningstar Inc., Lipper Inc. and Coates Analytics. All rights reserved. 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