Indonesia Economic Growth

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INDONESIAN TRADE
PROMOTION CENTER
BUDAPEST
The Indonesian Economy update
&
Trade Expo Indonesia
Indonesia: The Biggest Archipelago
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Land Area
: 1.904.443 sq km
Sea Area
: 3.116.163 sq km
Total Area
: 5.020.606 sq km
Coastal Line : 81.000 km
Population : 242 million people (4th biggest population)
Language
: Indonesian (Bahasa Indonesia)
3rd largest democratic country (after India and US)
2
Facts of Indonesia : Key Statistics Snapshot
GDP PPP
: USD 1,2 T
GDP PPP per capita
: USD 4944
Economic Growth
: 5,4 %
Investment Growth
: 27,3 %
Foreign Debt ratio
: 26,1 %
Inflation rate
: 8,3 %
Investment Ranking 2013
: Moody’s Baa3
Fitch BBB S&P BB +
Population
: 240 m (4th most population)
60% under 39 years old
Unemployment Rate
: 6,7 %
3
GDP Growth
Percentage (%) of GDP
10
5
0
4.7
4.12
2.62
3.61
0.79
5.69
5.5
4.78 5.06
4.5
4.67 3.64
3.79 5.03 4.66 5.25
4.2
2.83
2.33
6.35 6.01 4.63
5.35
2.7
6.22 6.49 6.23
5.19 3.91
3.18
5.78
6
3.7
2.9
-0.38
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
-5
-10
-15
-13.13
Indonesia GDP
World GDP
4
Indonesia Outlook
(Mr. CT version)
5
Looking to the long term,
Indonesia will become a high income country
PREPARATION
ACCELERATION
CONTINUATION
Indonesia becomes a high income
country with GDP per capita USD
14,250-USD 15,500
$46,900
$38,600
$30,400
$22,500
GDP Nominal per capita
$14,900
$3,005
$5,300
2010
2015
$9,000
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
GDP Nominal (US$ Billion)
1,335
2,416
711
4,257
6,793
9,706
Population (Million people)
237
253
269
12,98
9
16,57
8
286
302
319
336
353
IMF projects Indonesia to achieve the second fastest growth
amongst the world’s 18 largest economies during 2009-2015
GPD Nominal Growth (2009 – 2015)
Russia
15,7%
Indonesia
14,5%
China
12,4%
India
12,1%
Brazil
11,7%
South Korea
10,0%
Turkey
9,9%
USA
4,1%
Japan
4,0%
ASEAN (excl. Indonesia)
Source : International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2011
9,6%
Indonesia’s economy will become more dominant in ASEAN
and larger than several countries in Europe
Indonesia Economic Growth (nominal)
(USD Billion)
CAGR 14.5%
Indonesia’s economy as % of
ASEAN6
ASEAN
(Total 11
Countries)
40%
48%
53%
38%
46%
52%
European Countries:
Spain
50%
60%
91%
Netherlands
91%
105%
165%
Source:International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2011; Proyeksi Ekonomi Indonesia 2011 – 2045; Analisa Tim
Key economic driver
Demography
Natural resources
Infrastructure
Rise of consumer
Spending power
Indonesia’s Trade
10
Figure of Trade
Balance of Trade (Jan-Mar)
Balance of Trade
100,000.00
450,000.00
400,000.00
80,000.00
350,000.00
60,000.00
EXPORT
250,000.00
IMPORT
200,000.00
TOTAL
150,000.00
BALANCE
100,000.00
Million
Million USD
300,000.00
IMPORT
40,000.00
TOTAL
20,000.00
50,000.00
BALANCE
0.00
2013
0.00
-50,000.00
EXPORT
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
-20,000.00
Balance of Trade (Oil & Gas)
2014
Jan-Mar*
Balance of Trade ( Non Oil & Gas)
100,000.00
350,000.00
300,000.00
80,000.00
Import
40,000.00
Total
20,000.00
Balance
2009
Source : BPS
Export
200,000.00
Import
150,000.00
Total
100,000.00
Balance
50,000.00
0.00
-20,000.00
Million USD
Million USD
250,000.00
Export
60,000.00
2010
2011
2012
2013
0.00
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Bilateral Trade (Indonesia – Czech)
Trade (2009-2013)
Trade (January)
250,000
20,000
15,000
150,000
Total
100,000
Import
50,000
Export
0
-50,000
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Balance
Thousands USD
Thousands Euro
200,000
Total
10,000
Import
5,000
Export
Balance
0
2013
-100,000
-5,000
Year
Year
Percentage of import
Percentage of export
OxygenFunction amino
compounds
2%
Source : Eurostat
Non electrics
razzor
2%
Others
29%
Video recording
components
Coffee
2%
3%
Spark Ignitition
Capacitors
4%
5%
Natural rubber
37%
Parts of
electric
Toys motors
5%
6%
2014
Electric
Motors and
generatos
7%
Boards, panels
2% Toys
Taps,
3%
cocks,
valves Telephone sets
3%
3% Machine
Tubes & fittings
for
3%
textile
5%
Others
23%
Chemical wood
pulps
49%
Amnefunction
compounds
7%
Potential & Main products from Indonesia
13
1.
2.
3.
Investment
Product
Services
THE 10TH LARGEST FOREIGN
BUYERS BY COUNTRY
1. Agriculture Products
2. Furniture
3. Automotive and Components
4. Coffee
5. Food and Beverages
6. Textile and Textiles Products
7. Electric and Electronic Products
8. Household Appliances
9. Spices
10. Paper and Paper Products
1. Malaysia
2. South Africa
3. Japan
4. South Korea
5. USA
6. Australia
7. Bangladesh
8. United Arab Emirates
9. Saudi Arabia
10. Germany
THE 10TH LARGEST TRANSACTION
BY COUNTRY
1. China
2. Japan
3. Australia
4. South Africa
5. India
6. South Korea
7. USA
8. Zimbabwe
9. Malaysia
10. Saudi Arabia
BUYER´S BENEFIT
PRODUCTS
ON DISPLAY
PAVILION
ITPC – Budapest
H-1051 Budapest,
Bajcsy-Zsilinszky út 12
I/101
[email protected],
www.itpc-bud.hu
Indonesia Trade Promotion Center Budapest
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