Summer Educational Event Capital and Finance Market Trends July 29, 2013 Donald J. Persinski Managing Director PNC Capital Markets LLC Presented to: MSRB G-17 Disclosure Donald J. Persinski Managing Director Health Care John G. Bartolini Analyst Health Care Three PNC Plaza, 4th Floor 225 Fifth Avenue Pittsburgh, PA 15222-2707 Three PNC Plaza, 4th Floor 249 Fifth Avenue Pittsburgh, PA 15222-2707 412-762-6227 T 412-762-5129 F donald.persinski@pnc.com 412-762-0254 T 412-762-5129 F john.bartolini@pnc.com PNC Capital Markets (“PNCCM”) is providing the information contained in this document for discussion purposes only in anticipation of serving as an underwriter to the issuer to whom this document is addressed. The information provided herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as “advice” within the meaning of Section 15B of the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.. The following disclosures are required by Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board (“MSRB”) Rule G-17, as PNCCM proposes to serve as an underwriter, and not as a financial advisor, municipal advisor or fiduciary to any person or entity, in connection with the issuance and sale of securities for the issuer to whom this is addressed: (i) MSRB Rule G-17 requires an underwriter to deal fairly at all times with both municipal issuers and investors. (ii) An underwriter’s primary role is to purchase securities with a view to distribution in an arm’s-length commercial transaction with an issuer; and an underwriter has financial and other interests that differ from those of such an issuer. (iii) Unlike a municipal advisor, an underwriter does not have a fiduciary duty to an issuer under the federal securities laws and is, therefore, not required by federal law to act in the best interests of that issuer without regard to its own financial or other interests. (iv) An underwriter has a duty to purchase securities from an issuer at a fair and reasonable price, but must balance that duty with its duty to sell those securities to investors at prices that are fair and reasonable. (v) An underwriter will review the official statement, if any, for those securities in accordance with, and as part of, its responsibilities to investors under the federal securities laws, as applied to the facts and circumstances of the transaction. 2 Portfolio Management Debt Portfolio Fixed Rate Variable Rate Short-Term (working capital line) Long-Term (PP&E) Derivatives Public Debt Bank Loans Investment Portfolio Cash/Money Market Funds Fixed Income – Corporate Fixed Income – US Treasury Equity – US Equity – International Equity – Mutual Funds Alternative Investments Strategies Diversification Risks Duration Liquidity 3 Sources of Capital Operations – Cash Flow Reserves – Balance Sheet Philanthropy / Capital Campaign / Grants Asset Monetization – Sale of Non Core Assets (Land, Skilled Nursing Facility, etc.) Partnerships, Joint Ventures, Mergers Capital Markets (Tax-exempt and Taxable Rates) Fixed Rate Bonds Variable Rate Demand Bonds supported by a Letter of Credit Floating Rate Notes Direct Bank Placement Construction Loan Line of Credit (Working Capital or Project Financing) Leases (Capital and Operating) Derivative Products and Strategies 4 Decade of Municipal Bond Finance ($000) 2004 Total 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 $359,747.60 $408,282.80 $388,838.30 $429,893.70 $389,631.80 $409,688.50 $433,268.80 $287,718.40 $379,302.80 $175,451.70 13,614 13,959 12,766 12,659 10,830 11,721 13,828 10,574 13,102 6,373 29,103.70 38,797.40 40,346.50 49,820.50 61,094.10 46,151.80 31,440.70 26,763.50 37,276.30 14,226.10 Development Education Public Facilities Transportation Utilities General Purpose Tax Exempt Taxable Minimum Tax Build America Bonds Other Stimulus New Money Refunding 7,813.40 96,607.70 9,569.70 32,560.60 32,691.30 114,646.40 312,319.50 24,122.00 23,306.10 0 84.3 228,919.00 88,405.30 9,410.20 124,322.80 15,228.30 45,246.30 31,158.70 100,441.80 352,131.50 25,751.70 30,399.60 0 42.6 221,207.30 130,916.30 4,823.30 106,241.20 14,806.90 42,362.00 33,188.50 86,649.50 323,226.10 30,131.30 35,480.90 0 39 258,362.70 79,170.30 8,604.90 107,257.40 13,203.50 41,946.00 36,012.50 114,751.10 362,481.10 29,381.90 38,030.70 0 63.9 274,285.00 75,874.40 8,696.00 89,941.80 15,222.40 47,560.40 37,594.50 81,724.10 341,264.40 24,252.30 24,115.10 0 11.1 208,225.00 108,603.60 7,242.20 91,470.30 12,913.40 48,775.20 40,037.90 128,806.20 323,442.40 84,666.70 1,579.40 64,151.50 3,441.70 261,331.60 86,455.90 10,954.00 100,801.50 11,281.70 66,895.00 44,619.10 119,421.80 275,553.10 151,877.80 5,837.90 117,347.10 16,787.80 279,770.80 98,515.80 12,040.20 74,470.00 7,245.60 32,931.70 31,738.20 79,300.80 247,670.80 31,926.40 8,121.20 432.9 5,264.30 146,220.40 90,392.10 8,851.20 93,450.00 10,069.50 55,340.20 45,424.90 100,922.80 333,488.50 32,779.20 13,035.10 0 1,576.30 146,246.20 157,985.30 7,207.30 55,079.60 4,741.90 21,098.00 18,594.90 40,644.80 146,507.50 24,232.90 4,711.30 0 386.4 70,605.80 70,411.50 Fixed-Rate Variable-Rate (Short Put) Variable-Rate (Long/No Put) 260,781.50 47,018.50 5,864.30 306,200.20 61,799.90 2,772.80 288,946.90 55,899.00 6,115.90 320,515.80 50,391.50 13,177.10 262,634.30 116,345.90 6,440.10 362,120.20 32,333.90 8,565.80 392,149.10 24,969.80 3,593.70 256,082.50 14,384.00 2,572.00 345,298.90 15,005.50 2,530.10 160,639.50 3,235.60 1,395.00 Linked-Rate Auction-Rate Bank Qualified Bond Insurance Letters of Credit Standby Purchase Agreements 227.4 42,228.50 16,644.60 194,895.30 23,623.50 3,429.00 0 33,053.20 18,511.50 232,976.10 27,050.90 12,980.50 0 32,131.20 17,392.80 191,326.20 21,520.20 14,057.10 0 38,769.20 16,312.70 201,017.80 20,732.30 17,722.20 328.4 0 15,302.60 72,181.10 71,520.60 28,061.60 1,982.10 0 33,147.90 35,401.20 20,434.40 4,071.70 9,062.20 0 36,876.50 26,857.40 11,817.10 3,469.30 12,093.40 0 18,821.20 15,256.50 9,891.60 1,688.20 14,216.20 0 25,093.60 13,272.70 6,076.60 1,974.70 9,263.20 0 11,785.10 5,626.40 805.2 566.4 Number of Issues Health Care 5 Municipal Bond Issuance – Year-to Date Comparison (June 30) 2013 2012 Volume in millions Number of issues TOTAL Volume in millions Number of issues Change from previous period 175,451.7 6,373 195,348.5 6,991 -10.20% January February March April May June 26,807.5 24,426.3 32,248.0 37,144.3 29,467.7 25,357.9 887 1,016 985 1,184 1,311 990 17,438.6 27,027.8 34,746.0 34,833.2 37,876.6 43,426.3 723 1,053 1,257 1,229 1,496 1,233 53.7 -9.6 -7.2 6.6 -22.2 -41.6 First Quarter Second Quarter 83,481.8 91,969.9 2,888 3,485 79,212.4 116,136.1 3,033 3,958 5.4 -20.8 Health Care 14,226.1 248 18,017.2 277 -21.0 Tax-Exempt Taxable 146,507.5 24,232.9 5,602 714 178,091.1 12,768.4 6,382 551 -17.7 89.8 New-Money Refunding 70,605.8 70,411.5 2,893 2,875 70,154.1 87,110.7 2,881 3,506 0.6 -19.2 160,639.5 3,235.6 9,263.2 6,034 75 58 183,105.7 5,543.9 4,374.7 6,776 101 60 -12.3 -41.6 111.7 5,626.4 805.2 566.4 561 23 7 7,697.4 3,654.8 833.4 700 63 11 -26.9 -78.0 -32.0 Fixed-Rate Variable-Rate (Short Put) Linked-Rate Bond Insurance Letters of Credit Standby Purch Agreements 6 Municipal Bond Issuance – State Rankings State California Texas New York New Jersey Illinois Florida Ohio Massachusetts North Carolina Pennsylvania 2013 Volume in Rank millions 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2012 Volume in Rank millions 26,971.80 16,178.70 15,382.40 9,334.70 7,360.10 7,129.40 7,104.70 5,138.10 5,136.00 5,040.50 2 3 1 12 4 5 8 13 16 10 7 22,430.90 16,072.50 25,295.10 5,280.20 8,863.30 7,924.90 6,822.30 5,165.60 4,029.80 6,477.10 Change from previous period 20.2 0.7 -39.2 76.8 -17 -10 4.1 -0.5 27.5 -22.2 Healthcare Bond Issuance Billions The volume of Health Care bond issuance has declined in recent years. Factors contributing to this decline include: uncertainty due to healthcare reform; a tightened credit market; fewer refunding opportunities; and significant growth in bank direct placements. $60 61.1 $50 49.8 46.2 $40 38.8 40.3 37.3 $30 31.4 29.1 26.8 $20 14.2 $10 $0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Note: 2013 data is through June 30. 8 Healthcare Bond Issuance: January 1, 2013 – June 30, 2013 Total Par Amount: $195,200,000 St. Luke’s Health System Doylestown Hospital Catholic Health East Hanover Hospital The Washington Hospital 9 Recent Fixed Rate Healthcare Bond Issues Obligor Rating1 Award Date Call Provision Spread to Yield % MMD (bps) (Final Maturity) Gross Revenue Pledge? DSRF? Mortgage? Baa1/nr/BBB+ 32.995 7/18/2013 2023 at par +160 5.34 (2033) Yes No Yes Baa1/BBB+/BBB+ 140.430 7/16/2013 2023 at par +160 5.24 (2031) Pledged Assets No Yes Aa2/AA/nr 68.950 7/10/2013 2023 at par +90 4.84 (2039) Springing No No Methodist Hospitals of Dallas Aa3/AA-/nr 189.065 7/10/2013 2023 at par +107 5.08 (2043) Yes No No St. Joseph Health System (CA) A1/AA-/AA- 324.840 7/9/2013 2023 at par +122 5.05 (2037) No No No A1/A+/nr 56.745 7/3/2013 2023 at par +123 4.20 (2026) No No No nr/nr/BBB 47.555 6/21/2013 2023 at par +202 5.80 (2043) Yes Yes Yes nr/A-/A- 50.000 6/19/2013 2023 at par +145 4.96 (2041) Yes No Yes A3/BBB+/nr 25.000 6/19/2013 2023 at par +149 4.75 (2033) Yes No Yes Yavapai Community Hospital Association (AZ) Palmetto Health (SC) Cook Children's Medical Center (TX) New Hanover Regional Medical Center (NC) Palisades Medical Center (NJ) Cape Cod Healthcare (MA) St. Luke's Hospital of Bethlehem (PA) Ascension Health (WI) Par ($MM) Aa2/AA/AA+ 100.000 6/12/2013 2023 at par +113.5 4.625 (2043) Yes No No Fairfield Medical Center (OH) Baa2/nr/nr 96.600 6/12/2013 2023 at par +169 5.18 (2043) Yes Yes Yes Beaver Dam Community Hospitals (WI) nr/BBB-/nr 42.995 6/12/2013 2023 at par +210 5.30 (2034) Yes Yes Yes nr/nr/nr 30.330 6/6/2013 2023 at par +258.5 5.875 (2043) Yes Yes Yes Day Kimball Healthcare (CT) Memorial Hospital (WY) Nanticoke Memorial Hospital (DE) St. Luke's Warren Hospital (NJ) Riverside Health System (IL) nr/BBB/nr 26.790 6/4/2013 2023 at par +150 4.59 (2037) Net Revenues Yes No nr/BB+/BBB- 45.645 5/30/2013 2023 at par +203 4.85 (2032) Yes Yes Yes A3/BBB+/nr 37.410 5/22/2013 2023 at par +98 4.00 (2043) Yes No Yes A2/A+/nr 32.000 5/16/2013 2022 at par +131 4.28 (2042) Unrest. Rcvbles No No Cleveland Clinic Health System (OH) Aa2/AA-/nr 62.650 5/15/2013 2023 at par +107 4.04 (2042) Yes No No Carolinas HealthCare System (NC) Aa3/AA-/nr 127.260 5/15/2013 2023 at par +65 3.56 (2039) Yes No No Skagit Regional Health (MO) Baa2/nr/nr 27.360 5/15/2013 2023 at par +150 4.35 (2037) Yes Yes Yes Beacon Health System (IN) nr/AA-/AA- 162.835 5/9/2013 2023 at par +134 4.23 (2044) Yes No Yes nr/A/nr 42.260 5/8/2013 2023 at par +112 3.80 (2035) Yes No Yes Bowling Green-Warren County Community Hospital (KY) MedStar Health (MD) A2/A-/A 149.760 5/7/2013 2023 at par +101 3.78 (2038) Pledged Revs No Yes A1/nr/AA 64.030 5/2/2013 2023 at par +100 3.50 (2033) Yes Yes Yes Genesis HealthCare System (OH) Ba1/BB+/nr 295.000 4/23/2013 2023 at par +230 5.20 (2048) Yes Yes Yes Hanover Hospital (PA) nr/BBB-/nr 15.610 4/16/2013 2023 at par +180 3.66 (2024) Yes Yes Yes OhioHealth Corporation (OH) Aa2/AA+/AA 226.000 3/27/2013 2023 at par +104 4.15 (2043) No No No Doylestown Hospital (PA) Baa2/BBB/nr 26.595 3/13/2013 2023 at par +164 4.19 (2029) Yes No Yes Baa2/nr/BBB+ 14.570 1/29/2013 2023 at par +152 3.77 (2028) Yes No Yes Maine Health & Higher Ed (pool) (ME) The Washington Hospital (PA) 10 Segmenting Market Risk Fixed Rate Bonds Hospital Rating Variable Rate Debt Bonds with Bank Direct Bank Facility Placement/Loan Synthetic Fixed Rate Debt Bonds with Bank Direct Bank Facility Placement/Loan Interest Rate Risk Risk of change in cost of funding due to fluctuation of interest rates a Trading Spread Risk Risk that the interest rate widens from its relative index due to change in investor perception of credit facility provider (bank or self-liquidity) a a Put Risk Risk that investors will put the bonds back to the credit provider or trustee a a Bank Renewal Risk Risk that the pricing of the credit facility increases or the credit facility is unable to be renewed a a a a Counterparty Risk Risk of bankruptcy or deteriorating financial position of a swap counterparty a a Termination Risk Risk that a cancellation option is exercised by a counterparty a a Basis Risk Risk of change in interest rates and the payment/receipt on swaps due to the value of tax exemption or market disruption a Tax Risk Risk that changes in U.S. Tax Code could adversely affect trading of bonds a 11 a a Financing Option – Fixed Rate Bonds Most conservative structuring alternative; Eliminates ongoing interest rate risk Issue with a maturity of up to 40 years; Bonds typically not callable for 10 years Bonds issued based solely on the credit strength of the borrower Security, covenants and disclosure may include all, or most of the following: Revenue pledge, mortgage, debt service reserve fund Tightened liquidity and capital structure covenants – additional ratios have emerged, including variable rate and short term debt ratios/measures Quarterly disclosure Credit rating from multiple agencies Steepening yield curve 1-year yield has not changed Current 30-year yield 164 basis point increase since the low on November 30, 2012 (approximately 8 months) 100+ basis point increase since May 15, 2013 (2 months) 4.50 4.14 4.00 3.50 3.00 2.50 2.00 07/19/13 1.50 07/08/13 1.00 05/15/13 0.50 11/30/12 0.00 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 12 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Current and Historical MMD Rates AAA MMD 10, 20 and 30-Year Maturity Historical Rates July 2011- July 2013 AAA MMD 30-Year Maturity Historical Rates January 7, 2013 to Present 5.00 10 Yr MMD 4.50 20 Yr MMD 4.13 4.50 3.96 30 Yr MMD 4.00 4.00 4.14 3.50 3.83 3.00 3.52 3.50 2.50 3.00 2.00 1.50 2.79 2.50 1.00 0.50 • Municipal Market Index (MMD) "Municipal Market Data," is a proprietary yield curve for municipal market (tax-exempt) issues published daily by Thomson Financial Services and widely used as a benchmark for determining interest rates on new issue and secondary market taxexempt issues. • In November 2012, the 30-year MMD maturity fell to its historic low of 2.47%. As of July 19, 2013, the 30-year MMD maturity was 4.14%. 13 07/15/2013 07/08/2013 07/01/2013 06/24/2013 06/17/2013 06/10/2013 06/03/2013 05/27/2013 05/20/2013 05/13/2013 05/06/2013 04/29/2013 04/22/2013 04/15/2013 04/08/2013 04/01/2013 03/25/2013 03/18/2013 03/11/2013 03/04/2013 02/25/2013 02/18/2013 02/11/2013 02/04/2013 01/28/2013 01/21/2013 01/14/2013 06/27/2013 05/27/2013 04/27/2013 03/27/2013 02/27/2013 01/27/2013 12/27/2012 11/27/2012 10/27/2012 09/27/2012 08/27/2012 07/27/2012 06/27/2012 05/27/2012 04/27/2012 03/27/2012 02/27/2012 01/27/2012 12/27/2011 11/27/2011 10/27/2011 09/27/2011 08/27/2011 07/27/2011 06/27/2011 01/07/2013 2.00 0.00 Credit Spreads – Tax-exempt Healthcare Bonds Healthcare Credit Spreads Municipal Market Data High-Grade Yield Curve 30-year maturity spread to Bloomberg's 30-year AAA General Obligation Index Industry standard (Both Buy Side and Sell Side) Represents where high-grade, natural Aaa paper is trading 4% The MMD curve serves as a benchmark for municipal bonds just as Treasury bonds do for corporate bonds 3% 5% 2% 1% 0% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 AA Rated Healthcare Spread BBB Rated Healthcare Spread Source: Bloomberg 14 A Rated Healthcare Spread 10YR AAA MMD versus 10YR US Treasury Yields 5/2 MMD: 1.66 UST: 1.62 102% 15 7/12 MMD: 2.66 UST: 2.58 103% Municipal Fund Flows vs 20 year MMD Funds Flow 20Y MMD 6,000.00 5.00 4,000.00 4.50 2,000.00 4.00 3.50 0.00 3.00 (2,000.00) 2.50 (4,000.00) 2.00 (6,000.00) 1.50 (8,000.00) 1.00 (10,000.00) 0.50 (12,000.00) 0.00 Jul-13 Jun-13 May-13 Apr-13 Mar-13 Feb-13 Jan-13 Dec-12 Nov-12 Oct-12 Sep-12 Aug-12 Jul-12 Jun-12 May-12 Apr-12 Mar-12 Feb-12 Jan-12 Dec-11 Nov-11 Oct-11 Sep-11 Aug-11 Jul-11 Jun-11 May-11 Apr-11 Mar-11 Feb-11 Jan-11 Dec-10 YTD 2013: $8.5B outflows June 2013: $10.7B outflows *MMD is graphed at monthly average 16 Variable Rate Alternatives – Key Differentiating Factors Variable Rate Demand Bonds • Letter of Credit (LOC) or Standby Bond Purchase Agreement (SBPA) • Renewal Risk • Basel III Regulatory Risk Bank Purchased Bonds Public Floating Rate Notes (FRN) • Priced as spread to percent of LIBOR or SIFMA • Limited Put Risk • Longer Tenor than Letter of Credit • Newest Product • Priced as a spread to LIBOR or SIFMA • No LOC or SBPA required 17 Billions Municipal Bond Issuance $500 Fixed Rate $450 $400 408.3 97.6 389.6 388.8 359.7 $350 $300 433.3 429.9 94.1 37.6 27.2 123.1 95.3 373.1 42.9 102.3 287.7 Variable rate issuance has declined following the events of 2008 which heightened awareness of certain risks. 29.0 $250 $200 $150 Total municipal issuance peaked in 2010 followed by a sharp decline in 2011. Variable Rate 409.7 310.7 264.4 294.7 366.8 327.6 175.5 395.6 345.9 266.5 13.9 258.7 $100 161.6 $50 $0 Billions 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 $50 2011 $45 2012 2013 $40 $35 $30 $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 $0 Dec-10 Feb-11 Apr-11 Jun-11 Aug-11 Oct-11 Dec-11 Feb-12 18 Apr-12 Jun-12 Aug-12 Oct-12 Dec-12 Feb-13 Apr-13 Jun-13 History of Municipal Variable Rate Bond Issuance 140,000,000,000 VRDB Issuance $124,870,154,000 120,000,000,000 % Change 07-08 142% increase 100,000,000,000 80,000,000,000 % Change 08-09 67% decrease 60,000,000,000 $51,410,123,000 % Change 09-10 27% decrease $41,502,630,000 40,000,000,000 $30,212,967,000 % Change 10-11 19% decrease $24,447,686,000 % Change 11-12 2% decrease $23,809,480,000 % Change 12-13 48% decrease 20,000,000,000 $12,387,902,448 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 19 2011 2012 2013 Annualized Total VRDN Market Size ($000) VRDN Market Size $450,000,000 $430,000,000 $424,254,920 $417,181,468 $410,000,000 $390,000,000 $395,934,747 $391,844,805 $373,230,665 $370,000,000 $350,000,000 $344,078,555 $330,000,000 $310,000,000 $301,454,364 $290,000,000 $270,000,000 $250,000,000 Mar-08 Aug-08 Jan-09 Jun-09 Nov-09 Apr-10 Sep-10 20 Feb-11 Jul-11 Dec-11 May-12 Oct-12 Mar-13 Financing Option – Variable Rate Bonds with Bank Letter of Credit Variable Rate Demand Obligation (VRDO) with Direct-Pay Letter of Credit (LOC) Short-term multi-mode interest rate reset (daily, weekly, monthly, etc.) Exposure to interest rate risk Produces lower cost of debt when yield curve is normal (upward sloping) Provides the most flexible redemption options The bonds will be sold on the credit strength of the bank providing the LOC LOC terms can be extended 3 to 5 years with annual renewal provisions Interest rates at historically low levels Successful remarketing each week Bank letters of credit may be challenging to procure Fewer options due to credit deterioration throughout the industry Bank renewal concern Pricing may be tiered to rating and/or financial performance Ancillary business may be required 21 SIFMA Index SIFMA – Median, Maximum and Minimum Rates 8% (2000 to Present) 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Ma x 5.840 4.480 1.850 1.360 1.990 3.510 3.970 3.950 7.960 0.670 0.340 0.290 0.260 0.180 Mi n 2.930 1.100 1.010 0.700 0.870 1.480 2.930 3.090 0.850 0.220 0.150 0.070 0.060 0.050 Medi a n 4.190 2.380 1.350 1.060 1.075 2.515 3.475 3.610 1.820 0.380 0.270 0.175 0.160 0.100 10yr Rol l i ng Avg 3.415 3.237 3.097 2.958 2.799 2.665 2.667 2.663 2.535 2.246 1.863 1.621 1.500 1.488 22 Liquidity and Letter of Credit Trends After spiking in early 2009, liquidity and LOC pricing has declined considerably Depending on Credit Profile, Term and Structure LOC pricing at 150+ basis point in early 2009, now as low as 60 – 125 basis points Multi-year commitments now available (1 Year LOCs were common in 2008 and 2009) Incremental business expectations have lessened, but continue Greater variation in remarketing rates based on liquidity or LOC provider Variation has settled somewhat, but market extremely sensitive Fewer acceptable names causing greater concentration Money market eligibility Greater interest in self liquidity issues Exclusion of “Auction Rate Mode” Inclusion of a “Bank Mode” Takes advantage of bank qualification Can include “draw down” provisions Especially beneficial for long construction projects Conversion into public market may require additional work Rating, Disclosure document, Remarketing agreement Inclusion of an “Index Mode” 23 Access to Commercial Bank LOC’s • Highly Rated, Relationship Banks = Best Partner/Provider – One-off transactions may not prove to be reliable long term (i.e., renewal/extension concerns) • Pending Regulations – Bank capital reserve requirements – Direct Bank Placements may be offered as an alternative • Increased Awareness on Covenants and Other Terms/Conditions – More restrictive covenants – Increased focus on term out provisions, expiration dates (i.e., long-term balance sheet classification) – Grid pricing, rating triggers – Yield protection language • Ancillary Requirements • Capacity/Hold Limits 24 US Banks’ Municipal Holdings – Cost Basis 2012 254.0 2011 207.8 2010 179.6 2009 As of December 31 1993 to 2012 Increase of $175.3 billion 222.7% increase 2012: 22.3% 2011: 15.7% 2010: 13.7% 158.0 2008 154.6 2007 144.2 2006 137.0 2005 124.3 2004 112.2 2003 109.3 2002 101.9 2001 97.7 2000 93.6 1999 92.0 1998 86.6 1997 76.5 1996 75.0 1995 73.8 1994 78.1 1993 78.7 0 50 100 150 200 25 250 300 What is a Direct Bank Placement/Loan? A Direct Bank Loan is a financing structure in which debt is purchased by a financial institution instead of being publicly sold / remarketed in the capital markets Purchaser - Buys debt from Issuer under Credit Agreement - Holds debt at a variable index rate plus a fixed spread for a specified period Bank Loan Proceeds Bank Loan Issuer / Borrower - Proceeds from bank loan used to finance tender of existing bonds or for new money purposes - Pays a fixed spread over variable index rate for initial purchase period Tax-exempt Direct Bank Loan structures have been used with increasing frequency over the past two years due to decreased bank capacity for letters of credit and significant number of expiring letters of credit on variable rate bonds Driven by borrowers’ desire to shed bank trading risk and lock in a fixed spread 26 Direct Bank Loan Structures Similar to variable rate bonds – Direct Bank Loan is treated as another mode – Requires a Trust Indenture – Allows bonds to be converted to variable rate with letter of credit – Requires a Bond Trustee – Provides additional flexibility allowing borrower to convert to other modes in the future – Bank covenants and terms in separate document (i.e. Bondholder Agreement, Funding Agreement– similar to Reimbursement Agreement) Alternative structure – No Trust Indenture – Bank covenants typically in Loan Agreement – Assumes debt will remain in Direct Bank Loan form 27 Bank Loan as an Alternative to a Public Offering Direct Bank Loans have become an attractive alternative to public offerings of fixed or variable rate bonds Bonds are usually placed with a long-term maturity and can have periodic puts/renewals (e.g., 3, 5 or 7 years) Can be structured as variable or fixed rate (conventionally fixed based on cost of funds or interest rate swap) Variable rate are priced at a spread to LIBOR and adjusted by a tax factor – The credit/loan spread is determined by the credit profile of the borrower – Tax factor is typically 65-70% – Pricing may look like (70% of 1 Month Libor) + credit spread 28 Upfront Cost Comparison Direct Bank Loan Capital Markets Official Statement/Disclosure Requirements NO YES Rating Agency NO YES Indenture YES YES Tax-Exempt Opinion YES YES Underwriter NO YES Underwriters’ Counsel NO YES Bank Counsel YES NO Bond/Tax Counsel YES YES 29 Direct Bank Loan vs Direct-Pay Letter of Credit Benefits of a Direct Bank Loan Reduce remarketing risk by moving outstanding debt out of the capital markets and placing directly with the bank – Avoid liquidity event caused by a failed remarketing Reduce bank counterparty risk in uncertain environment for bank ratings – Interest rate paid is tied to underlying index – Rate not affected by changes in bank rating or investor sentiment Reduce exposure to unexpected market shocks causing bonds to be “put back” by investors Possible longer tenor on facility, reducing renewal risk Possibly reduce annual costs by eliminating remarketing and trustee fees Benefits of Direct-Pay Letter of Credit Mature structure with full acceptance in the capital markets Potentially lower up-front costs when switching credit providers due to familiarity of structure and consistency of documentation across transactions. Up-front costs are becoming more comparable More conducive structure for bonds with bullet maturities – Direct bank loan may require some level of annual principal amortization Multi-year term-out provisions typical in the event of a failed remarketing – Term-out provisions are not typical with Direct Bank Loan structures – Full principal is typically due at the end of purchase period if facility is not renewed or replaced 30 Floating Rate Notes (“FRNs”) 2012 through 2013 Year to Date Number of Issues Issue Amount Total FRN Market 80 $17.5 Billion Healthcare 13 $1.3 Billion BBB Healthcare 3 $306.0 Million No bank support and no ongoing remarketing Float relative to an index, typically SIFMA, but can be priced as a percentage of LIBOR. The pricing spread is determined at the time of pricing and fixed for the duration of the Floating Rate Note Period The Floating Rate Note Period is typically 1 to 5 years in length, but PNCCM has observed periods as long as 10 to 15 years FRNs can be issued with either a hard put or a soft put. With a hard put structure, upon maturity or the mandatory tender date, outstanding principal is due and failure to pay is an event of default With a soft put structure, upon maturity or the mandatory tender date, failure to pay at the tender date constitutes a “failed remarketing” and can trigger interest rate escalation to a maximum rate and/or accelerated amortization. An FRN with a soft put could also be structured with an interest rate that gradually “steps up” to the max rate instead of directly defaulting to max rate at the time of the failed remarketing FRNs generally are not subject to optional redemption until six months prior to the end of the Floating Rate Note Period. If the FRNs are not retired at maturity or at the end of the Floating Rate Note Period, the FRNs may be remarketed into a new Floating Rate Note Period or refinanced by new FRNs, variable rate demand obligations (VRDBs), fixed rate bonds, or other obligations. Market Overview of FRNs The market for FRNs has grown significantly since the auction market collapse in 2008. Initial issuances involved highly rated issuers, but FRNs are now available as a tool for issuers in a broad range of credit quality The market initially expanded as a result of reduced capacity in the bank market. More recently, the market has grown as long-term municipal investors increase exposure to variable rate products to position for rising rates. FRNs serve as a non-bank alternative to a traditional VRDBs “Linked-rate” volume increased by 17.56% from 2011 to 2012. Volume increased 123% in the first quarter of 2013 over 2012, and we expect continued growth in this market FRN Market Stats 2012-2013YTD THOMSON-REUTERS SDC FINANCIAL REPORTED LINKED RATE ISSUANCE (000s) 1 # Issues 120 # Series 276 $16,000 Total Par $18.7 B $14,000 Ave Deal Size $156 MM $12,000 Max Deal Size $964 MM $10,000 Min Deal Size $1 MM $8,000 Ave Maturity Size $68 MM $6,000 Max Maturity Size $964 MM $4,000 Min Maturity Size $1 MM $2,000 Max Rating Min Rating w/ insurance Min Rating w/o insurance Aaa / AAA Baa3 *- / BBB- *BBB $14,326 $12,340 $9,303 $3,773 $0 2010 1 Ma rch 31, 2013 2011 2012 2013 FRN Considerations BENEFITS Third-party credit and liquidity support is not required – eliminating bank renewal risk, counter-party risk and ongoing remarketing risk During the Floating Rate Note Period, the bonds can not be tendered by investors Borrowers can select SIFMA, LIBOR, or a % of LIBOR as the underlying index. This may be beneficial if the borrower has existing swaps that they do not wish to terminate and can use as a hedge for an FRN with a matching index FRNs can be issued as part of a multi-modal issue providing flexibility at the end of the Floating Rate Note Period to refinance into a variety of alternate structures (or a subsequent Floating Rate Note Period) CONSIDERATIONS Interest rate risk is inherent to this structure and is based on the selected underlying index (SIFMA, LIBOR, or a % of LIBOR) At the mandatory tender date or maturity, the borrower is subject to refinancing risk and potentially higher spreads to the underlying index based on a change in market conditions, changes in tax law, or the borrower’s credit profile If structured with a “hard put” the borrower may be required to fund the entire purchase price of the FRNs. If structured with a “soft put” the interest rate could escalate to the maximum interest rate and/or accelerated principal payments (if remarketing is unsuccessful) Optionality within the structure is achievable but the extent of optionality will be less than what is embedded within a typical VRDB solution Term on both put structures is getting longer, but price discovery is critical in this phase of the market’s development FRNs- Hard Put vs Soft Put Hard Put Soft Put A hard put can be incorporated in a structure with a mandatory tender or A soft put is typically structured as part of a term mode remarketing of maturity. Both structures typically incorporate a call date 6 months prior to the principal payment date multi-modal bonds, often with a call date 6 months prior to the soft put date In soft put structures, investors will also focus on refinancing risks and the An event of default occurs if the FRN is not funded on the date of the maximum rate in the case of a failed remarketing mandatory tender or maturity The primary concern for investors is the ability of the borrower to access the market at the mandatory tender date Call Date (6 months prior)* HARD PUT w/ maturity Soft puts can be structured with a step coupon, where at the time of failed remarketing the interest rate gradually steps up to increasingly penalizing rates until it reaches the max rate Maturity Index + Spread Nominal Call Date (6 months prior)* HARD PUT w/ mandatory tender Mandatory Tender Maturity -Fixed Rate Bonds -New FRNs Index + Spread -Alternative Variable Rate Structure -Bank Solution -Event of Default Call Date (6 months prior)* Nominal Maturity Mandatory Tender -Fixed Rate Bonds -New FRNs SOFT PUT Index + Spread -Alternative Variable Rate Structure -Alternative Mode -Bank Solution "Failed Remarketing Event" *This is feature, not a structural requirement -Refinance -Floating rate resets to failed remarketing rate (as defined in documents) -Accelerated Amortization (term out) Capital Structure Consideration Offering Documents Costs of Issuance Public Rating Optionality Term Market Access Risk BANK FRN (Direct Purchase) FIXED RATE BANK LOAN FRN PUBLIC OFFERING 67% of LIBOR FRN PUBLIC OFFERING SIFMA TAX-EXEMPT FIXED RATE NOTE VRDB with LETTER OF CREDIT* Not Required Not Required Required Required Required Required Bond Counsel + Bank Counsel Bond Counsel + Bank Counsel Full Full Full Full Not Required Not Required Required Required Required Required Full Prepayment Penalty Difficult Given Rating (Expensive) Difficult Given Rating (Expensive) Difficult Given Rating (Expensive) Difficult Given Rating (Expensive) Short Term Short Term Retained Retained Retained Retained Retained Retained Indicative Pricing 3 Years Floating Rate Note Public Offering 10 Years 5 Years Period Spread to Index 1 2014 + 5 bps 2 2015 + 15 bps 3 2016 +30 bps 4 2017 +45 bps 5 2018 +55 bps 6 2019 +65 bps 7 2020 +75 bps 8 2021 +85 bps 9 2022 +95 bps 10 2023 +105 bps 11 2024 +115 bps 12 2025 +125 bps 13 2026 +130 bps 14 2027 +135 bps Sources of Capital – Summary of Costs and Risks 30-Year Bond Yield AA Fixed Rate A Fixed Rate BBB Fixed Rate VRDB with LOC VRDB Self Liquidity 5.14% * 5.64% * 5.94% * SIFMA * 100 bps (3 year LOC) SIFMA * 10 bps SIFMA + 0.10% 70% 1M LIBOR + 1.25% Letter of Credit/Bank Rate Direct Bank Placement 70% 1M LIBOR + 125 bps 5.14% 5.64% 5.94% 10 bps SIFMA + 1.10% Put Risk No No No Yes Yes No Bank Renewal Risk No No No Yes No Yes Bank/Credit Risk No No No Yes Yes No Interest Rate Risk No No No Yes Yes Maybe Tax Risk No No No Yes Yes Maybe Borrower Downgrade No No No Yes Yes Yes Reserve Fund No Maybe Yes No No No Mortgage No Maybe Yes Maybe No No Annual Remarketing Cost of Capital Risks * 30-year Municipal Market Data on July 19, 2013 was 4.14%; SIFMA reset on July 24, 2013 at 0.06%. Note: Yields are indicative estimates. 36 Capital Structure & Bank Renewal Consideration Series Outstanding Par (000) Mode Average Cost Final Maturity LOC LOC Ratings Provider Expiration Call Date Call Price Swap Variable Receipt Out. Notional Swap Swap Amount (000) Fixed Rate Expiration Fixed Rate Series of 2012 $10,000,000 Bank Qualified 1.990% 1 12/2032 2 NR Series of 2010 $23,415,000 Bank Qualified 3.040% 1 12/2017 4 NR Series A of 2009 $19,040,000 Weekly VRDB 0.179% 3 12/2039 AA+/A-1 PNC Bank 07/2015 Any IPD 100% Series B of 2009 $19,040,000 Weekly VRDB 0.179% 3 12/2039 AA+/A-1 PNC Bank 07/2015 Any IPD 100% Series C of 2009 $20,000,000 Weekly VRDB 0.179% 3 12/2039 AA+/A-1 PNC Bank 07/2015 Any IPD 100% TOTAL $91,495,000 Variable Rate Bank Renewal Risk Fixed Rate Bank Loan 2 Bank has right to Put the note back on the 5th, 10th and 15th anniversaries 3 Average Remarketing Rate Since 7/23/2009 4 7 Year Maturity Date; 21 Year Amortization. 50,000,000 40,000,000 30,000,000 20,000,000 10,000,000 0 20 13 20 14 20 15 20 16 20 17 20 18 20 19 20 20 20 21 20 22 20 23 20 24 20 25 20 26 20 27 1 60,000,000 Series 2009 A Series 2009 B Series 2009 C Series 2010 Series 2012 Capital Structure & Interest Rate Risk Consideration Series Outstanding Par Fixed Rate Bonds Series 2009B Series 2010 Rate Mode $111,530,000 $27,150,000 $138,680,000 Variable Rate Bonds Series 2009A $34,585,000 Series 2009C Series 2009D Final Maturity* LOC Bank/ Insurer LOC Expiration Call Date Call Price Swap Variable Receipt Outstanding Notional Swap Fixed Rate Swap Expiration N/A N/A Fixed Fixed 2/1/2038 2/1/2018 Assured - 2/1/2019 Non-callable Par - N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Variable 2/1/2035 LOC 4/2/2014 At all times Par N/A N/A $55,700,000 (as of last audit) N/A N/A N/A 3.51% Through maturity N/A N/A $56,450,000 Variable 2/1/2033 LOC 5/13/2014 At all times Par (65% L) + 145 bps $18,615,000 Variable 2/1/2039 LOC 5/13/2013* At all times Par N/A $109,650,000 Total Outstanding $248,330,000 *EMMA indicates the LOC on Series 2009D expires May 2013 and LOC for Series 2009C expires in 2014. Bloomberg indicates both LOCs expire in 2013. Composition of Underlying Debt Fixed Rate $138,680,000 56% 0% 10% 20% 30% Variable Rate $109,650,000 44% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Interest Rate Exposure Fixed Rate, $138,680,000 56% 0% 10% 20% 30% Synthetically Fixed $56,450,000 23% 40% 50% 60% 70% Variable Rate $53,200,000 21% 80% 90% 100% Standard Disclosure PNC Capital Markets LLC ("PNCCM"), member FINRA and SIPC, is a wholly owned subsidiary of The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. PNCCM is an affiliate of PNC Bank, National Association; however, it is not a bank or a thrift and is a separate and distinct corporate entity from its bank affiliate. This document is for informational purposes only. No part of this document may be reproduced in any manner without the prior written permission of PNCCM. Under no circumstances should it be used or considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any of the securities or other instruments mentioned in it. The information contained herein is based on information PNCCM believes to be reliable and accurate, however, no representation is being made that this document is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Neither PNCCM nor its affiliates make any guaranty or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the data set forth herein. Opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. The securities or other instruments mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in some states or countries, nor suitable for all types of investors; and their value and the income they produce may fluctuate and/or be adversely affected by changes in exchange rates or interest rates or other factors. PNCCM and/or its affiliated companies may make a market or deal as principal in the securities mentioned in this document or in options or other derivative instruments based thereon. In addition, PNCCM and its affiliated companies, shareholders, directors, officers and/or other employees may from time to time have long or short positions in such securities or in options, futures or other derivative instruments based thereon. One or more directors, officers and/or employees of PNCCM or its affiliated companies may be a director of an issuer of securities mentioned in this document. PNCCM or its predecessors and/or affiliates may have managed or co-managed a public offering of or acted as initial purchaser or placement agent for a private placement of any of the securities for any issuer mentioned herein within the last three years, or may from time to time perform investment banking or other services for or solicit investment banking or other business from any company or issuer mentioned in this document. PNC Capital Markets is the marketing name used for investment banking and capital markets activities conducted by The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. through its subsidiaries PNC Bank, National Association and PNC Capital Markets LLC. Services such as public finance advisory services, securities underwriting, and securities sales and trading are provided by PNC Capital Markets LLC. Foreign exchange and derivative products are obligations of PNC Bank, National Association 39