50 years of Pharmaceutical Technology and Its Impact On The Beef We Provide To Consumers AUTHORS Thomas E. Elam, Ph.D. Rodney L. Preston, Ph.D. THEME Technology Is a Key Factor in Keeping Beef Competitive in the Consumer’s Food Basket PHARMACEUTICAL TECHNOLOGY Applied to the beef industry over the past 55 years is one of the major contributors to providing the consumer with affordable and wholesome beef None of these technologies alone is solely responsible But, together, they have revolutionized the U.S. beef production system DOMESTIC BEEF PRODUCTION/HEAD, TOTAL JAN. 1 CATTLE HERD Domestic Beef Production/Head, Total Jan. 1 Cattle 1955-2003 Actual, 2004-2005 Forecast Herd 1955-2003 Actual, 2004-2005 Forecast 2011 Actual = 289 Lbs. 300 200 Trend Equation: Beef/Head = 131.58 + 2.3364*Time R2 = 94.23% 150 100 +119% improvement! 50 2005f 2003 2001 1999 1997 1995 1993 1991 1989 1987 1985 1983 1981 1979 1977 1975 1973 1971 1969 1967 1965 1963 1961 1959 1957 0 1955 Pounds/Head 250 750 0.450 700 0.400 650 0.350 600 0.300 550 0.250 500 450 +50% increase in carcass weight +36% increase in head harvested per head inventory 400 0.200 0.150 0.100 Estimated Carcass Pounds/Head of Domestic Cattle Harvest Harvest/Head Inventory Harvest/Jan. 1 Cattle Inventory Carcass Weight, Pounds/Head, Domestic Slaughter CARCASS BEEF POUNDS/HEAD AND HARVEST/HEAD OF JAN. 1 TOTAL INVENTORY 2011 WHICH HAS ALLOWED US TO… More than double total beef production From about the same herd size as in 1955 Reduce real consumer beef prices Reduce our impact on the environment And increase the quality of beef by grain feeding a higher proportion of cattle Pounds Beef/Head Harvested COMPARISONS OF BEEF & VEAL PRODUCTION PER HEAD OF INVENTORY, 2011 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 WHAT IF TECHNOLOGY WERE FROZEN IN 1955? Lower beef production/consumption Higher cost/pound of beef produced Higher cattle/beef prices Larger cattle herd, but lower beef production Greater environmental impact More waste produced More land needed for pasture and feed Higher retail price/pound of beef Greater market share for alternative meats TOTAL HEAD OF CATTLE REQUIRED TO PRODUCE THE DOMESTIC BEEF SUPPLY 2011 200,000 175,000 125,000 100,000 75,000 Total Cattle (1955 Productivity) 2003 2000 1997 1994 1991 1988 1985 1982 1979 1976 1973 1970 1967 1964 1961 1958 50,000 1955 Head (000) 150,000 Total Cattle (actual) 200 183 million cattle would need About 500 million additional acres (at current stocking rates) That is more than the combined area of: Texas Arizona NM Kansas Colorado Clearly, this amount of additional land would be expensive, and entail environmental consequences Unrealistic? Brazil is the same size as the U.S., produces beef at about our 1955 level, uses 190 million head, and has cleared rain forest for pasture % Change in Feedlot Performance and Feed Use, 1955-2005 % Change 1955-2005 Feed Conversion Ratio 100 lbs. fed beef production/acre corn 100 lbs. of fed beef production/acre roughage -23% 218% 700% Feedlot LW pounds of beef produced Bushels corn consumed by fed cattle Acres of corn required for all fed cattle Value of corn used ($1982-84) Tons of roughage consumed by fed cattle Acres of roughage required for all fed cattle Value of roughage used ($1982-84) Total acres used for corn and roughage Value of corn and roughage used ($1982-84) 199% 229% -6% -20% -36% -63% -69% -16% -28% -200% -100% 0% 100% 200% 300% 400% 500% 600% 700% SOURCES OF TECHNOLOGY CHANGE Animal Health; Pharmaceuticals Genetics Nutrition & management Grain yields & feed costs PHARMACEUTICAL TECHNOLOGY Antibiotics Implants Ionophores Repartitioning agents Parasiticides Vaccines Estrus regulation ESTIMATES OF PERFORMANCE GAINS FROM KEY PHARMACEUTICAL TECHNOLOGIES 1955 2004 % difference Improvement from: Implants Ionophones Antibiotics Estrus Control Parasiticides Feed Efficiency, Feedlots 8.0 6.2 -23% 10% 6% 7% 5% n/a Average Daily Feed Average Daily Gain, pounds, Efficiency, Gain, pounds, Feedlots Stockers Stockers 2.2 n/a n/a 3.5 n/a n/a 59% n/a n/a 17% 3% 7% 5% n/a 7% 10% n/a n/a n/a 12% 10% n/a n/a n/a Weaning Weights, pounds, Calves 400 500 25% 20 n/a n/a n/a 30 Beta agonists yield ~15-25 pounds of added carcass weight on same days and feed. GENETICS Beef cattle genetics is a mixed bag Small frame (1950) vs. large frame English vs. exotic breeds Dairy genetics has greatly increased milk production/cow; fewer dairy cows Quantitative genetic measures (EPD) and gene marker technology will identify gene combinations for improved growth, efficiency & eating qualities of beef NUTRITION Research has defined the nutrient requirements of cattle (NRC) Feeding for optimum breeding performance in large frame cattle Pasture & stocker cattle supplemented to maximize roughage utilization Predicted gains, efficiency and final weight of feedlot cattle facilitate breakevens & hedging to lock in profit GRAIN (CORN) YIELDS While not exactly beef technology, corn yields and relative price have had a major influence on the U.S. beef production system, beef technology application, and the cost of beef to the consumer CORN PRICES - ACTUAL AND INFLATED 1955 $10.00 $9.00 $8.00 $6.00 $5.00 $4.00 $3.00 $2.00 $1.00 58 19 61 19 64 19 67 19 70 19 73 19 76 19 79 19 82 19 85 19 88 19 91 19 94 19 97 20 00 20 03 19 55 $- 19 $/Bushel $7.00 Actual Price Inflated 1955 Price Beef from Grain-Fed & Non-Fed Cattle Million Pounds, Carcass Weight 30,000 25,000 3,607 20,000 Beef from Non-Fed Cattle Beef from Fed Cattle 15,000 10,000 5,000 5,723 22,882 7,490 1955 2005 BEEF QUALITY USDA grades are the industry’s standard of quality measurement For several reasons, their relation to the eating quality of beef is marginal Little change in grain-fed beef quality over last 50 years No strong relation between use of pharmaceutical technologies and fed beef quality Overall beef quality has increased due to higher proportion of grain-fed beef CONCLUSIONS Over the past 55 years, efficiency of U.S. beef production has improved over 100% Several technologies have played important roles in efficiency gains Without these improvements, environmental impact would be greater Pharmaceutical technologies are an integral part of the efficiency improvement Technology has kept beef competitive in the consumer’s food basket By helping to increase cattle feeding, technology has improved beef quality