Presentation on NHB RESIDEXStatus, Challenges and Way Forward NEW DELHI MAY 31, 2013 Formulation and updating RESIDEX NHB RESIDEX was launched in July, 2007 – India’s first official residential property index covering period upto 2005 taking 2001 as Base Year for 5 cities viz. Bangalore, Bhopal, Delhi, Kolkata and Mumbai Subsequently RESIDEX was updated to cover two more years i.e. up to Dec. 2007 with 2001 as base year. From the quarter January-March, 2010 NHB RESIDEX is being updated on quarterly basis with 2007 as Base Year as against the earlier half-yearly updation. RESIDEX Cont…. Expanded to 5 new cities from the quarter of January – March, 2012 taking the total number of cities covered to 20. The Index for Delhi includes property transactions of Gurgaon, Noida, Greater Noida and Ghaziabad thereby expanding its coverage to National Capital Region (NCR). In the ensuing Silver Year, we have added six new cities to the NHB RESIDEX taking the total number of cities covered to 26. The latest update of NHB RESIDEX for the quarter January-March, 2013 is for 26 cities including 6 new cities namely Chandigarh, Coimbatore, Dehradun, Meerut, Nagpur and Raipur. Chairman of UBI , CMD , NHB and other dignitaries in Nodal officers Meet at Kolkata Chairman of IOB and CMD , NHB in Nodal officers Meet at Chennai Scope and Coverage of the Index At present, NHB RESIDEX covers residential properties. NHB RESIDEX is a step in the direction of building up a large and reliable database of housing prices and related information on housing and housing finance. The Initiative, as it evolves will seek to bring greater transparency in the property market. Achievements under RESIDEX NHB RESIDEX is regularly covered in Economic Survey of GoI It has replaced the Cost of Construction Index for revising the Income limits of EWS/LIG households. MoHUPA used RESIDEX in assessing the inflation in housing sector. Latest releases of NHB RESIDEX are widely covered in the media And it is shared with all the stakeholders Uses of NHB RESIDEX The index will aid the home buyers in their purchase decisions by enabling comparison between cities, their localities and comparison of a price rise in a particular city and localities, over time. One of the major considerations in housing finance is the proper assessment of the value of property which is being financed by banks and HFCs. NHB RESIDEX can be a useful indicator to estimate the value of property to be financed and also assess the adequacy of security cover on the outstanding loan. 7 Uses of NHB RESIDEX Observers can also identify the potential markets from the movements of the NHB RESIDEX at the city level. Builders and developers may also benefit from the index by assessing the demand scenario in a locality, and mapping the housing needs in different parts of the country. NHB RESIDEX may be useful to policy makers, banks, housing finance companies, builders, developers, investors and individuals. 8 Data -Size The data size with which Index is constructed is improving with every quarter. The latest Index for the quarter January-March, 2013 was constructed with approximately 45,000 transactions provided by 12 HFCs and 11 Banks namely Allahabad Bank, Canara Bank, Oriental Bank of Commerce, Punjab National Bank, State Bank of India, United Bank of India, Bank of India, Punjab and Sind Bank, Indian Bank, State Bank of Patiala, Syndicate Bank 18 Public Sector Banks have appointed the Nodal officers as one-point contact for this exercise and will be working towards the submission of data . CITYWISE INDEX Cities Base Jan-Mar Apr – Year 2011 Jun (2007) 2011 July – Sept 2011 Oct– Dec 2011 Jan- Apr-June July-Sept Oct-Dec Mar 2012 2012 2012 2012 Jan-Mar 2013 Hyderabad 100 83 91 84 79 86 85 84 90 88 Faridabad 100 165 220 206 218 217 217 216 205 207 Patna 100 146 146 141 140 129 140 138 151 152 Ahmedabad 100 165 169 163 167 164 174 180 191 192 Chennai 100 218 248 271 296 304 309 312 314 310 Jaipur 100 67 64 65 64 80 78 85 87 112 Lucknow 100 157 160 154 165 164 171 175 189 183 Pune 100 148 150 169 184 181 200 201 205 221 Surat 100 128 149 139 152 144 145 138 150 140 Kochi 100 86 107 97 82 72 73 80 87 89 Bhopal 100 167 224 208 211 204 207 206 216 230 Kolkata 100 211 194 191 190 191 196 191 209 197 Mumbai 100 175 181 194 193 190 197 193 217 222 Bengaluru 100 88 92 93 100 92 100 98 106 109 Delhi 100 126 147 154 167 168 172 178 195 202 CITYWISE INDEX Cities Base Year (2007) Jan-Mar 2012 Apr-June 2012 July-Sept 2012 Oct-Dec 2012 Jan-Mar 2013 Bhubneshwar 100 161 164 168 172 197 Guwahati 100 157 159 158 166 153 Ludhiana 100 163 171 168 179 167 Vijayawada 100 184 186 181 185 184 Indore 100 208 203 196 194 195 Chandigarh 100 194 Coimbatore 100 184 Dehradun 100 183 Meerut 100 191 Nagpur 11 Raipur 100 163 100 156 LATEST PRESS RELEASE Rising Trend: Residential housing prices in 12 cities have shown increase in prices in this quarter ended March, 2013 (January-March, 2013) over the previous quarter ended December, 2012 (October-December, 2012). Maximum increase was observed in Jaipur (28.74%) followed by Bhubneshwar (14.54%), Pune (7.81%), Bhopal (6.49%), Delhi (3.59%), Bengaluru (2.83%), Mumbai (2.31%), Kochi (2.30%), Faridabad (0.98%), Patna (0.67%), Ahmedabad (0.53%) and Indore (0.52%). Declining Trend: 8 cities have shown decline in prices over the previous quarter with maximum fall observed in Guwahati (-7.84%) followed by Ludhiana (-6.71%), Surat (-6.67%), Kolkata (-5.75%), Lucknow (-3.18%), Hyderabad (-2.23%), Chennai (-1.28%) and Vijaywada (-0.54%). New Cities: All 6 new cities have shown increase in the prices compared to the Base Year 2007 with maximum increase witnessed in Chandigarh (94%) followed by Meerut (91%), Coimbatore (84%), Dehradun (83%), Nagpur (63%) and Raipur (56%). Way Forward To involve maximum number of HFIs and increasing the volume of transaction data to make the Index truly representative, broad based and robust. To explore the possibility of updating the Index on monthly basis To construct an aggregate level National Index Detailed analysis of the existing methodology and considering the possibility of shifting to a new BaseYear & new methodology The future proposal is to expand NHB RESIDEX to 63 cities which are covered under the Jawahar Lal Nehru National Urban Renewal Mission (JNNURM) to make it a truly national index. To do other related studies and research THANKYOU