An Introduction to Risk Management for Diversified Producers in Central Appalachia Virginia Tech Beginning Farmer and Rancher Coalition Webinar Series, June 5, 2013 Jennifer Lamb Fellow Appalachian Sustainable Development MS Agricultural and Applied Economics Virginia Tech Who we are • www.asdevelop.org • Non-profit (501c3) based in Abingdon, VA • Founded in 1996 • Four Focus Areas: • Agriculture • Operate Appalachian Harvest Food Hub based in Duffield, VA • Coordinate the Appalachian Farmers Market Association • Produce annual Local Food Guide • Rooted in Appalachia Consumer education/restaurant delivery service • General agricultural education • Food Access • Sustainable Forestry • Youth education Purchasing local produce at the Abingdon Farmers Market Image: www.asdevelop.org Why is a non-profit working on Risk Management? • Appalachian Sustainable Development has received several grants from the Risk Management Agency to work on improving the production environment for producers • Based upon losses experienced by several of our growers in the Appalachian Harvest network • In 2012, ASD applied for a grant to look more closely at crop insurance and to develop a web GIS • ASD has no vested interest in whether farmers purchase policies, want to equip producers with information and tools to make the best decisions they can for their farms The Risk Management Agency (RMA) United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) http://www.rma.usda.gov/ “RMA provides economic protection and risk management tools to America’s farmers and ranchers primarily through federally sponsored crop insurance delivered and serviced by private insurance companies” RMA also issues grants, like the one that funded this ASD project! History and Current State of US Farm Programs for Risk Management • US farm programs came out of the Dust Bowl in the 1930’s, 1938 Federal Crop Insurance Corporation established • Up to the 1990’s mostly programs for row crops and commodities • Crop insurance is growing as one of the largest areas of farm spending • Moving away from disaster assistance and direct payments to crop insurance • Imperative that beginning producers and specialty crop producers join this conversation to contribute to the design of effective policies Image source: www.iptv.org A Brief Introduction to Risk Management • Different types of risk in operating an agricultural business • Production Risk-weather, pest, disease • Marketing Risk-prices, rising input costs • Financial Risk—ex. farm policy on your buildings/livestock • Legal Risk—ex. liability insurance • Human Resource Risk—relationships that affect your business • Assessing your risk: http://farm-riskplans.rma.usda.gov/index.aspx?action=riskman.home • Designing a risk management program adapted for your operation takes all of these factors into account (Some) Risk Management Options Federally Subsidized Crop Insurance • APH (Actual Production History) • • • • Protects against yield loss Not available in many SWVA counties Check here: http://www.rma.usda.gov/tools/ Go to actuarial information browser, tools, click current year • Revenue Insurance • • Revenue protection (price and yield) Whole Farm Revenue Insurance • Index Insurance • Loss determined by area—hay/forage • Request for written agreement • Make a special request if a policy is not available in your county NAP Non-Insured Crop Disaster Assistance Program • • Not crop insurance $250/crop, up to $750 for an operation Map source: www.rma.usda.gov/data/cropprograms.html Managing production risk through AGR Lite Crop Insurance • Subsidized whole farm revenue crop insurance • Not commodity based • Means that you can be growing different crops, expanding, or experimenting • Can insure both crops and livestock in one policy (only federally subsidized crop insurance policy which does this) • Allows organic/local producers to incorporate price premiums they receive into their projected revenue calculation • Purchased through private insurer, underwritten by federal government (USDA RMA) • Provides producer with a payment when revenue falls below loss inception point while incurring at least 70% of average costs • Covers a wide range of risks which would cause low revenue • Weather, low prices, pest, and disease etc. • Not neglect or mismanagement National AGR Lite Coverage How AGR Lite works: • Adjusted Gross Revenue (AGR) is calculated based upon tax records for past 5 years • Average expenses calculated for past 5 years • When revenue falls below loss inception point due to causes other than neglect or mismanagement and average expenditures are made, a payment is triggered Source: AGR Lite Wizard, 2013 Do you qualify? • Must have had the same farm for 7 years, producing 5 years and able to supply farm income tax records • For 2014 enrollment, need 2008-2012 tax records • Have less than 2 million in Farm Income (1 million in liability) • Targeted toward organic and mixed/diversified producers • Minimum of 1-3 commodities based on coverage level • Tends to be the ‘best value’ when producers have between 3-10 commodities • Important exemptions: • Does not cover any value-added activities • Ex: making apple cider from apples • Can still use, but need to adjust revenues down for value added • No more than 50% income from resale • No more than 83.35% potatoes Determining whether AGR Lite is right for you! • AGR Lite Wizard • https://www.agrlitewizard.com • Developed and tested with farmers (NCAT, 2012) • Web and CD based tool • Create a secure, individualized account • Work through two real farm examples from Southwest Virginia based upon data entered into the AGR Lite Wizard Steps to work through AGR Lite Wizard 1. Determine eligibility 2. Enter your revenue history (taxes 2008-2012) 3. Enter your planned production---Need help with prices/volume? Try here: http://asdevelop.org/resources/ “Market Income Calculator” includes an organic and conventional farmers market and restaurant price survey 4. Choose your level of coverage and calculate your premium 5. Walk through various loss scenarios 6. Search for an appropriate insurance provider in you area 7. Print necessary forms to take directly to an insurance provider Market Income Calculator http://asdevelop.org/resources/ *Market Income Calculator was produced as part of another USDA RMA Grant!* Appalachian Harvest Farm Example 1-AGR Lite Wizard • Diversified Organic/Sustainable farm • Lee County, Virginia • Greenhouse crop • 1 acre Organic Tomatoes • 1 acre Organic Squash • 1 acre Organic Turnips • 3 head Grass Fed Cattle Flood Loss Scenario • • • • • • Lose about 1/3 of greenhouse crop and all tomatoes Projected income: $94, 800 Actual income: $69,980 Loss inception point: $75, 840 Loss payment: $5,860 (90% of loss below inception point) Premium: $2,692 Source: AGR Lite Wizard, 2013 Flood Loss-Comparison to NAP Policy NAP AGR Lite Coverage 55% of the loss below 50% of expected production .50 x .55 = 27.5% 90% of loss below 72% of AGR Loss payment (Tomatoes only) 27.5% x $3,400 =$935 $5,860 Less Premium -$750 -$2,692 Net: $185 $2898 Income: $70,065 $72,878 Severe Loss Scenario-Pest Infestation • • • • • • 50% yield loss on greenhouse, tomatoes, squash, and turnips Projected income: $94,800 Actual income: $49,500 Loss inception point: $75,840 Loss payment: $23,706 (90% of loss below inception point) Premium: $2,692 Source: AGR Lite Wizard, 2013 Pest loss-Comparison to NAP Policy NAP AGR Lite Coverage 55% of the loss below 50% of expected production .50 x .55 = 27.5% 90% of loss below 72% of AGR Loss payment $0—no single crop loss exceeds 50% $23,706 Less Premium $750 $2,692 Net: -$750 $21,014 Income: $48,750 $70,514 Choosing Your Coverage Comparing Revenues Between NAP and AGR Lite at Different Coverage Levels Flood for AH Grower 90000 80000 72,127 70000 69,980 70,165 69,230 69,086 69,374 72,562 69,259 Dollars 60000 50000 Total revenue 40000 Loss Payment Producer Premium 30000 20000 10000 4,395 0 0 0 935 0 0 840 5274 1,008 NAP 50/55 AGR 65/75 AGR 65/90 AGR 75/75 AGR 75/90 AGR 80/75 AGR 80/90 Coverage Options (Percent of Revenue Insured/Payment Rate) Choosing Your Coverage Comparing Revenues Between NAP and AGR Lite at Different Coverage Levels Pest Infestation for AH Grower 120000 100000 70,514 67,211 64,254 80000 Dollars 67,007 57,840 59,514 60000 Total revenue 49,500 48,750 Loss Payment Producer Premium 40000 20000 16,200 0 0 0 0 750 NAP 50/55 9,090 10,908 750 894 AGR 65/75 AGR 65/90 1446 AGR 75/75 19,440 19,755 1729 2248 AGR 75/90 AGR 80/75 Coverage Options (Percent of Revenue insured/payment rate) 23,706 2692 AGR 80/90 Fall Crops and Cattle Producer Example 2-AGR Lite Wizard • Diversified Conventional Producer of fall crops and cattle • Carroll County, Virginia • • • • 40 acres of pumpkins 25 acres of pie pumpkins 15 acres of gourds 80 head feeder cattle Moderate Loss Scenario-“Wet Year” • • • • • • Lose 50% of pumpkins, 33% of gourds and pie pumpkins Projected income: $248,800 Actual income: $172,800 Loss inception point: $199,040 Loss payment: $23,616 (90% of loss below inception point) Premium: $8,320 Source: AGR Lite Wizard, 2013 Wet year-Comparison to NAP Policy NAP AGR Lite Coverage 55% of the loss below 50% of expected production .50 x .55 = 27.5% 90% of loss below 72% of AGR Loss payment $0—no single crop loss exceeds 50% $23,616 Less Premium $750 $8,320 Net: -$750 $15,296 Total income: $172,050 $188,096 Severe Loss Scenario- Hail • • • • • • Lose 75% of pumpkins, pie pumpkins, and gourds Projected income: $248,800 Actual income: $120,800 Loss inception point: $199,040 Loss payment: $70,416 (90% of loss below inception point) Premium: $8320 Source: AGR Lite Wizard, 2013 Hail loss-Comparison to NAP Policy NAP AGR Lite Coverage 55% of the loss below 50% of expected production 90% of loss below 72% of AGR Loss payment Pumpkins Cover 25% of loss at 55% level = $15,400 Pie Pumpkins Cover 25% of loss at 55% level= $5,156 Gourds Cover 25% of loss at 55% level =$ 3093.75 Total = $23,650 $70,416 Less Premium -$750 $8320 Net $22,900 $62,096 Total Income $143,700 $182,896 Choosing Your Coverage Comparing Revenues Between NAP and AGR Lite at Different Coverage Levels "Wet Year" Scenario--Pumpkin Grower 250000 185,101 200000 178,711 172,800 172,050 170,483 188,096 179,720 170,025 Dollars 150000 Total revenue Loss Payment 100000 Producer Premium 50000 0 0 NAP 50/55 AGR 65/75 AGR 65/90 AGR 75/75 AGR 75/90 AGR 80/75 AGR 80/90 Coverage Options (percent covered/payment rate) Choosing Your Coverage Comparing Revenues Between NAP and AGR Lite at Different Coverage Levels Hail Scenario--Pumpkin Grower 300000 182,896 250000 174,700 172,541 165,711 200000 154,853 Dollars 149,173 143,700 Total revenue 150000 Loss Payment 120,800 Producer Premium 100000 50000 0 0 NAP 50/55 AGR 65/75 AGR 65/90 AGR 75/75 AGR 75/90 AGR 80/75 AGR 80/90 Coverage Options (percent covered/payment rate) Enrollment Deadlines: AGR Lite and NAP AGR Lite • Use the Wizard to: • Search for an insurance agent licensed to sell AGR Lite insurance • Print out the forms to take directly to your agent • Sign up for AGR Lite in a given year is typically by March 15 Non-Insured Crop Disaster Assistance Program (NAP) Virginia FSA Deadlines Crop Most grasses/forages All sod Aquaculture Christmas Trees Corn Elephant Garlic Flowers Fruits (unless otherwise listed) Ginseng Grapes Herbs Honey Maple Sap Mushrooms Small grains Soybeans Strawberry Trees/bushes (apples, peach, pear, cherry, blueberry, caneberry) Vegetables Application Closing Date 15-Feb 1-Sep 1-Sep 1-Sep 15-Feb 1-Sep 1-Sep 15-Feb 1-Sep 20-Nov 15-Feb 1-Dec 1-Dec 1-Sep 30-Sep 15-Feb 20-Nov 20-Nov 15-Feb Any date other than a Feb 15 date sign-up is in the calendar year prior to the year of coverage. For example, a policy for 2014 grapes must be purchased by 11/20/2013. Connecting to your options: ALL Federally Subsidized Crop Insurance • Purchased through a private insurer, policies underwritten by the federal government • Agent locator: http://www.rma.usda.gov/tools/agent.html Disaster Assistance • NAP Purchased through the Farm Service Agency • Sign up in your county office • Locate your county office: http://offices.sc.egov.usda.gov/locator/app?s ervice=page/CountyMap&state=VA2&stateNa me=Western%20Virginia Need crop insurance or NAP to qualify for federal farm disaster assistance Available Additional Resources: RMA Risk Management Check Sheet: http://farm-risk-plans.rma.usda.gov/index.aspx?action=riskman.home AGR Lite fact sheet http://www.rma.usda.gov/pubs/rme/agr-lite.pdf NAP fact sheet http://www.fsa.usda.gov/Internet/FSA_File/nap_august_2011.pdf Encourage you to try the online AGR Lite wizard https://www.agrlitewizard.com National Center for Appropriate Technology (NCAT) ATTRA Hotline 1-800-346-9140 (English) 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Central Time https://attra.ncat.org/ask.php Contact ASD: asd@asdevelop.org Thank you!!!! Appalachian Sustainable Development would sincerely appreciate your feedback about today’s webinar and experiences with Risk Management Post Webinar Survey: (will remain open indefinitely) http://stellarsurvey.com/s.aspx?u=D88C87DB-DFFB4BDD-906B-4A59BD0D82A5& Funding for this ASD project is supported by USDA RMA