Jim Ziolkowski

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Ohio

Duke Energy Ohio

2012 Electric Security Plan

Duke Energy Ohio

June 29, 2012

Jim Ziolkowski, Rates Manager

Agenda

 Duke Energy Ohio Electric Security Plan Standard

Service Offer (ESP-SSO) and Distribution Rates

Overview of ESP

Auction

Generation Riders

Other Items

 Transmission (Not Part of ESP)

Move to PJM

New Riders

 Price To Compare

Ohio

2

ELECTRIC SECURITY PLAN OVERVIEW

Ohio

 Duke Energy Ohio filed a 9-year 5-month Electric Security

Plan (ESP) in June 2011. The previous ESP terminated after

December 31, 2011.

 Settlement was reached in October 2011 with intervening parties.

 Hearing held during November 2011.

 ESP was approved by the PUCO in November 2011.

 ESP effective January 1, 2012, through May 31, 2015.

3

ELECTRIC SECURITY PLAN OVERVIEW

 Major rate provisions of the new ESP include:

Retail generation Standard Service Offer load to be procured through an auction. The cost of this auction-procured load will be recovered through

Riders RC and RE. True-ups addressed through

Rider SCR.

DE OH will move its legacy generation plants to a non-regulated affiliate by 12/31/14.

DE OH will collect $110 million per year for three years through a new non-bypassable charge (Rider

ESSC).

All previous generation-related charges terminated after December 31, 2011 (base generation, FPP,

AAC, SRT, CD, shopping credit).

Ohio

4

AUCTION SCHEDULE

Ohio

5

Details of Auction

Ohio

 First auction held on December 14, 2011.

Three products:

January 2012 – May 2013

January 2012 – May 2014

January 2012 – May 2015

 Descending-price clock auction

 Charles River Associates was the auction manager. Boston

Pacific monitored for the PUCO.

 Auction was for capacity and energy.

 Blended auction price was $52.68 per MWh for the January

2012 through May 2013 delivery period.

6

Auction Schedule

ESP Period 3 years and 5 months

Auction

Date

Auction 1

Dec 2011

Tranches

33

33

34

Auction 2

May 2012

17

Auction 3

Nov 2012

16

17

Auction 4

May 2013

16

Auction 5

Nov 2013

TOTAL TRANCHES

Delivery Period Beginning

1/1/2012 - 17 months 6/1/2013

33

33

34

33

34

6/1/2014

34

100

17

16

100

17

16

17

16

100

Ohio

7

2012 ELECTRIC SECURITY PLAN

RATE STRUCTURE AND IMPACTS

Ohio

8

GENERATION RATES - 2012

Ohio

 The Price To Compare (bypassable) components of the ESP-

SSO are:

Rider RC (Retail Capacity)

Rider RE (Retail Energy)

Rider SCR (Supplier Cost Reconciliation)

Rider AERR (Alternative Energy Recovery)

Rider RECON (Reconciliation Rider)

Rider RTO (Regional Transmission Organization)

 Other Generation-related riders that are non-bypassable:

Rider ESSC (Electric Security Stabilization Charge)

Rider LFA (Load Factor Adjustment)

Rider UE-GEN* (Uncollectible Expense – Generation)

* Bypassable if CRES opts out of PAR 9

Old ESP to 2012 ESP Rate Changes – Non-Residential

PTC - BG

•Base generation

PTC – AAC

•Environmental

•Homeland Security

•Taxes

PTC-FPP

•Fuel, Purchased Power,

Allowances

•RECs

SRA-SRT

•System Reliability

SRA-CD (Rider SC)

•Capacity Dedication

Rider TCR

•MISO Transmission

Distribution rates and riders

RECs

Legend

Fully Avoidable

Avoidable with waiver

Unavoidable

Ohio

RC and RE

•Retail Capacity and Energy

•Derived from auction

SCR

•Supplier Cost Reconciliation

AERR

•Alternative Energy Recovery

RECON

Reconciles ESP riders

Rider RTO

•Various RTO costs

BTR

•Base transmission incl. NITS

ESSC

•Electric Security Stabilization

UE-GEN

Generation Uncollectibles

LFA

•Load Factor Adjustment

Distribution rates and riders

10

Old ESP to 2012 ESP Rate Changes – Residential

PTC - BG

•Base generation

PTC – AAC

•Environmental

•Homeland Security

•Taxes

PTC-FPP

•Fuel, Purchased Power,

Allowances

•RECs

SRA-SRT *

•System Reliability

SRA-CD

Capacity Dedication

Rider TCR

•MISO Transmission

Distribution rates and riders

* Conditionally avoidable only for aggregation customers

RECs

Legend

Fully Avoidable

Avoidable with waiver

Unavoidable

Ohio

RC and RE

•Retail Capacity and Energy

•Derived from auction

SCR

•Supplier Cost Reconciliation

AERR

•Alternative Energy Recovery

RECON

Reconciles ESP riders

Rider RTO

•Various RTO costs

BTR

•Base transmission incl. NITS

ESSC

•Electric Security Stabilization

UE-GEN

Generation Uncollectibles

LFA

•Load Factor Adjustment

Distribution rates and riders

11

RIDER RC (RETAIL CAPACITY)

Ohio

 Based on PJM RPM market capacity price for the delivery period.

 Converted into retail rates.

 Rider RC will be adjusted before each of the three delivery periods in the ESP.

 Rider RC is fully avoidable by shoppers.

12

RIDER RE (RETAIL ENERGY)

Ohio

 At the wholesale level, calculated by subtracting the capacity price for the delivery period from the blended auction price.

 Converted into retail rates by adjusting for losses, taxes, and seasonality / blocks (for some rates).

 Rider RE will be adjusted before each of the three delivery periods in the ESP.

 Rider RE is fully avoidable by shoppers.

13

RIDER ESSC (ELECTRIC SECURITY

STABILIZATION CHARGE)

 Collects $110 million per year for three years.

 Expires after 12/31/14.

 Will be trued up each year.

 Rider ESSC is non-bypassable.

Ohio

14

RIDER SCR (SUPPLIER COST

RECONCILIATION) Ohio

 Reconciles the Rider RE and Rider RC revenues received from retail customers with the payments owed to auction providers.

 Recovers costs associated with auctions (e.g., consultants, setting up CBP website, etc.)

 Will be adjusted quarterly.

 Normally bypassable for shopping customers, but Rider

SCR contains a non-bypassable provision.

15

RIDER SCR (SUPPLIER COST

RECONCILIATION) – “Circuit Breaker” Ohio

 Subject to Commission approval, Rider SCR becomes applicable to all retail jurisdictional customers in the Company’s electric service territory including those customers taking generation service from a CRES provider under the following circumstance:

The revenue balance within the SCR account becomes equal to or greater than ten percent of the Company’s total actual SSO revenues collected for the most recent twelve month period under Riders RE, RC, RECON, RTO, and AER-R. The total actual SSO revenue will be determined from data covering the most recent quarter for which it is available.

Duke Energy Ohio shall apply to the Commission for confirmation that the Company should modify the Rider such that it becomes non-bypassable regardless as to whether or not the balance in the Rider results from over- or under-recovery.

 For customers of CRES providers, Rider SCR will become bypassable again when, at the time of the quarterly filing, the Rider balance of over- or underrecovery falls below the ten percent threshold.

16

RIDER AERR (ALTERNATIVE ENERGY

RECOVERY RIDER)

 Recovers the cost of RECs associated with Standard

Service Offer (i.e., non-switched) load.

 Will be adjusted quarterly.

 Rider AERR is fully avoidable by shoppers.

Ohio

17

RIDER RECON (RECONCILIATION RIDER)

Ohio

 Rider RECON recovers costs necessary to true up revenue collected under Rider PTC-FPP and Rider SRA-

SRT with actual costs associated with each of these two riders through December 31, 2011.

 Rider RECON will terminate when the net over- and/or under-recovery balances for Rider PTC-FPP and Rider

SRA-SRT are eliminated but no later than two quarters after the filing of a final entry in the docket initiated by the

Commission for purposes of conducting a final audit of

Rider PTC-FPP and Rider SRA-SRT.

 Rider RECON is fully avoidable by shoppers.

18

RIDER UE-GEN (UNCOLLECTIBLE

EXPENSE - GENERATION)

 Recovers uncollectible accounts expense related to generation service including Percentage of Income

Payment (PIPP) customer installments not collected through the Universal Service Fund Rider.

Ohio

 Non-bypassable except it is bypassable for accounts that are not designated for Duke Energy Ohio’s Purchase of

Accounts Receivables program.

 Will be adjusted annually.

19

RIDER LFA (LOAD FACTOR ADJUSTMENT RIDER)

 Revenue neutral to Duke Energy Ohio.

 Will be adjusted quarterly.

 Rider LFA is non-bypassable.

 Rider LFA applies to customers taking service under

Rates DS, DP, and TS.

 Demand charge and kWh credit.

Ohio

20

OTHER ITEMS

Ohio

 Minimum stay rules eliminated for all customer classes.

 DE OH received approval to sell its generation plants to a non-regulated affiliate.

 Duke Energy Ohio will purchase accounts receivables from CRES providers at zero discount

 Rider LM has been re-opened to both shoppers and non-shoppers

 Funding provided to various community agencies serving low income customers.

 Filed an application in December for a new Distribution

Decoupling Rider. Will not apply to DS, DP, and TS.

21

TYPICAL BILL IMPACTS – RATE DS

Ohio

LINE RATE

NO.

HOURS CODE

14

15

16

17

10

11

12

13

18

1

8

9

6

7

4

5

2

3

200

300

400

500

300

400

200

300

500

200

300

400

200

300

400

200

267

400

DS

LEVEL of

DEMAND

(KW)

30

30

30

50

50

50

75

75

75

100

100

100

100

300

300

500

500

1,000

LEVEL of

USE

(KWH)

6,000

9,000

12,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

15,000

20,000

30,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

90,000

120,000

100,000

150,000

500,000

Dec-11

NON-SHOP

($)

$909

1,087

1,221

1,487

1,784

2,007

2,209

2,506

2,989

2,931

3,525

3,972

4,418

10,489

11,829

14,481

17,453

43,797

ESSC+

RC+LFA

$198

148

89

330

247

149

495

412

223

660

494

297

101

1,482

892

3,299

2,469

1,011

Retail Prices for Jan 2012-May 2013

RE

Bypassable

Total Bill

SSO Customer

Difference from 2011 SSO

$ %

$316 $741 -$168 -19%

1,053

474

632

526

790

790

1,053

1,579

$854

$959

$1,206

$1,395

$1,570

$1,788

$1,977

$2,333

(233)

(263)

(281)

(388)

(438)

(421)

(529)

(656)

-21%

-21%

-19%

-22%

-22%

-19%

-21%

-22%

1,053

1,579

2,106

2,632

4,738

6,317

5,264

7,896

26,321

$2,369

$2,748

$3,096

$3,445

$8,159

$9,204

$11,675

$13,569

$34,062

(561)

(777)

(875)

(973)

(2,331)

(2,625)

(2,807)

(3,884)

(9,734)

-19%

-22%

-22%

-22%

-22%

-22%

-19%

-22%

-22%

NOTES: EXISTING GENERATION RATE IS COMPRISED OF BASE GEN, FPP, AAC, SRT, AND CD.

22

TYPICAL BILL IMPACTS – RATE DP

Ohio

LINE RATE

NO.

HOURS CODE

DP

16

17

18

19

12

13

14

15

20

21

22

23

24

10

11

8

9

6

7

4

5

1

2

3

432

144

288

432

144

288

432

144

288

432

144

288

432

144

288

432

144

288

432

144

288

432

144

288

LEVEL of

DEMAND

(KW)

100

100

100

200

200

200

300

300

300

500

500

500

800

800

800

1,000

1,000

1,000

1,500

1,500

1,500

3,000

3,000

3,000

LEVEL of

USE

Dec-11

NON-SHOP

216,000

115,200

230,400

345,600

144,000

288,000

432,000

216,000

432,000

648,000

432,000

864,000

1,296,000

(KWH)

14,400

28,800

43,200

28,800

57,600

86,400

43,200

86,400

129,600

72,000

144,000

($)

$2,631

3,505

4,196

5,058

6,808

8,190

7,486

10,111

12,183

12,341

16,716

20,170

19,625

26,623

32,150

24,480

33,229

40,137

35,572

48,695

59,058

68,848

95,094

115,820

ESSC+

RC+LFA

$787

563

294

1,573

1,126

589

2,360

1,689

883

3,933

2,814

1,472

6,293

4,503

2,356

7,866

5,629

2,945

11,577

8,221

4,195

22,710

15,997

7,946

Retail Prices for Jan 2012-May 2013

RE

Bypassable

Total Bill

SSO Customer

Difference from 2011 SSO

$ %

$758

1,516

2,274

$2,280

$2,841

$3,357

($350)

(665)

(839)

-13%

-19%

-20%

1,516

3,032

4,548

2,274

4,548

6,822

3,790

7,580

$4,357

$5,479

$6,511

$6,435

$8,117

$9,665

$10,589

$13,392

(701)

(1,329)

(1,679)

(1,051)

(1,994)

(2,518)

(1,752)

(3,323)

-14%

-20%

-21%

-14%

-20%

-21%

-14%

-20%

12,129

18,193

11,371

6,064

7,580

15,161

22,741

11,371

22,741

34,112

22,741

45,483

68,224

$15,973

$16,821

$21,306

$25,434

$20,975

$26,582

$31,742

$31,140

$39,550

$47,290

$61,632

$78,452

$93,933

(4,197)

(2,804)

(5,317)

(6,716)

(3,505)

(6,647)

(8,395)

(4,433)

(9,145)

(11,768)

(7,216)

(16,642)

(21,887)

-21%

-14%

-20%

-21%

-14%

-20%

-21%

-12%

-19%

-20%

-10%

-18%

-19%

23

TYPICAL BILL IMPACTS – RATE TS

Ohio

13

14

15

16

9

10

11

12

17

18

7

8

5

6

3

4

1

2

LINE RATE

LEVEL of

NO.

HOURS CODE DEMAND

(KVA)

TS 200

400

200

400

200

400

200

400

1,000

1,000

2,500

2,500

5,000

5,000

10,000

10,000

600

200

400

520

535

681

400

600

500

600

10,000

20,000

20,000

25,061

29,866

38,553

80,000

80,000

100,000

200,000

LEVEL of

USE

(KWH)

200,000

400,000

500,000

1,000,000

1,000,000

2,000,000

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

4,000,000

8,000,000

13,043,867

15,964,371

26,253,097

32,000,000

48,000,000

50,000,000

120,000,000

Dec-11

NON-SHOP

($)

$23,399

32,261

58,195

80,350

116,188

160,499

232,175

320,797

405,999

464,149

641,393

932,279

1,128,863

1,697,645

2,467,613

3,149,229

3,469,911

7,629,381

ESSC+

RC+LFA

$6,728

2,947

16,819

7,367

33,638

14,735

67,276

29,470

(9,345)

134,551

58,940

15,255

10,037

(96,603)

215,602

(94,916)

67,029

(287,685)

Retail Prices for Jan 2012-May 2013

RE

Bypassable

Total Bill

SSO Customer

Difference from 2011 SSO

$ %

$10,167

20,335

25,418

50,836

50,836

101,673

101,673

203,346

$18,412

$24,818

$45,728

$61,744

$91,254

$123,287

$182,308

$246,373

($4,987)

(7,442)

(12,467)

(18,606)

(24,934)

(37,212)

(49,867)

(74,424)

-21%

-23%

-21%

-23%

-21%

-23%

-21%

-23%

305,018

203,346

406,691

663,103

811,571

1,334,613

1,626,765

2,440,148

2,541,821

6,100,370

$309,429

$364,414

$492,544

$712,330

$862,096

$1,290,775

$1,949,416

$2,453,865

$2,743,601

$6,083,966

(96,570)

(99,735)

(148,849)

(219,949)

(266,767)

(406,869)

(518,197)

(695,364)

(726,310)

(1,545,415)

-24%

-21%

-23%

-24%

-24%

-24%

-21%

-22%

-21%

-20%

24

Alternative Energy, Energy Efficiency,

Peak Demand Reduction

Ohio

 ESP will not impact commitment to meeting alternative energy, energy efficiency, or peak demand reduction requirements.

 Duke Energy Ohio currently acquires RECs to meet alternative energy requirements.

 Duke Energy Ohio will continue to purchase RECs and also enter contracts to comply with alternative energy requirements.

 Duke Energy Ohio will continue energy efficiency and peak demand reduction programs.

25

ESP TERMINATION

Ohio

 The Electric Security Plan will be effective through May

31, 2015.

 The Company is required to make its next ESP filing by

June 1, 2014.

26

TRANSMISSION RIDERS

Ohio

27

RTO Membership

Ohio

 Duke Energy Ohio received FERC approval to realign RTO membership with PJM.

 Realignment effective January 1, 2012.

 Auction timeline designed to coordinate with PJM planning year.

28

Rider BTR and Rider RTO

Ohio

 Rider TCR (Transmission Cost Recovery) terminated after

December 31, 2011. Rider TCR was bypassable for shoppers.

 New transmission riders effective January 1, 2012:

Rider BTR (Base Transmission Rider). Non-bypassable, i.e., no longer part of the price to compare.

Rider RTO (Regional Transmission Organization Rider).

Fully bypassable. Currently zero.

29

Old ESP to 2012 ESP Rate Changes – Non-Residential

PTC - BG

•Base generation

PTC – AAC

•Environmental

•Homeland Security

•Taxes

PTC-FPP

•Fuel, Purchased Power,

Allowances

•RECs

SRA-SRT

•System Reliability

SRA-CD (Rider SC)

•Capacity Dedication

Rider TCR

•MISO Transmission

Distribution rates and riders

RECs

Legend

Fully Avoidable

Avoidable with waiver

Unavoidable

Ohio

RC and RE

•Retail Capacity and Energy

•Derived from auction

SCR

•Supplier Cost Reconciliation

AERR

•Alternative Energy Recovery

RECON

Reconciles ESP riders

Rider RTO

•Various RTO costs

BTR

•Base transmission incl. NITS

ESSC

•Electric Security Stabilization

UE-GEN

Generation Uncollectibles

LFA

•Load Factor Adjustment

Distribution rates and riders

30

PRICE TO COMPARE

2012

Ohio

31

How Do I Calculate My Price to Compare?

Compare:

DE OH’s Rider RC Charge

+ Rider RE Charge

+ Rider SCR Charge

+ Rider AERR Charge

+ Rider RECON Charge

+ Rider RTO Charge vs.

The CRES Provider’s price for electricity

Note: Price To Compare varies based on load factor

Ohio

32

Load Factor

Load Factor: kWh used during the month divided by hours in the month x monthly demand

Impact:

> The higher the load factor, the lower the rate per kWh

> The lower the load factor, the higher the rate per kWh

Ohio

33

Price To Compare Calculation

High Load Factor

Rate DP

Rider RC

Rider RE

Rider SCR

Rider AERR

Rider RECON

Rider RTO

Total

Billing kWh

Price To Compare (¢ per kWh)

Ohio

72% kWh kW

518,400

1,000

$ 1,649.53

27,289.61

-

201.14

-

-

$ 29,140.28

518,400

5.6212

34

Price To Compare Calculation

Low Load Factor

Rate DP

Rider RC

Rider RE

Rider SCR

Rider AERR

Rider RECON

Rider RTO

Total

Billing kWh

Price To Compare (¢ per kWh)

Ohio

21% kWh kW

518,400

3,456

$ 3,551.22

27,289.61

-

201.14

-

-

$ 31,041.97

518,400

5.9880

35

Recommendations

Ohio

Use twelve months of demand and energy to develop an “average annual price to compare” for the best price comparison

Compare competing offers using the same usage data

36

Annual Price To Compare (Example)

Ohio kW

1,000

1,240

1,450

1,850

2,200

2,850

3,458

3,512

1,888

1,450

1,100

1,098 kWh

518,665

625,120

650,000

689,000

750,000

812,000

518,000

822,000

651,030

525,012

518,665

612,000

7,691,492

Load

Factor

72.0%

70.0%

62.3%

51.7%

47.3%

39.6%

20.8%

32.5%

47.9%

50.3%

65.5%

77.4%

AERR, RTO, RECON, SCR

201.24

242.55

252.20

267.33

291.00

315.06

200.98

318.94

252.60

203.70

201.24

237.46

2,984.30

RC, RE

28,953.31

34,896.63

36,448.24

38,955.23

42,585.26

46,528.18

30,820.23

47,509.96

36,965.95

29,767.88

29,058.94

34,045.39

436,535.19

Total

29,154.55

35,139.17

36,700.44

39,222.56

42,876.26

46,843.24

31,021.22

47,828.90

37,218.55

29,971.58

29,260.18

34,282.85

439,519.48

Price To

Compare (¢)

5.62

5.62

5.65

5.69

5.72

5.77

5.99

5.82

5.72

5.71

5.64

5.60

5.71

37

Duke Energy Ohio Tariffs

DE OH’s tariffs can be found online at: www.duke-energy.com

Ohio

38

DE OH Standard Service Offer

Questions?

Ohio

39

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