Exponential Growth
Discrete Compounding
Suppose that you were going to invest $5000 in an IRA earning interest at an annual rate of 5.5%.
How much interest would you earn during the 1st year? How much is in the account after 1 year?
Exponential Growth
Interest after 1 year: i
1
.
055
$ 275
P r
Account value after 1 year:
F
1
.
055
5000
1 .
055
P i
1
$ 275
What would happen during the 2 nd year?
$ 5275
Exponential Growth
Interest made during the 2 nd year: i
2
.
055
$ 290 .
13
F
1 r
Value of account after 2 nd year:
F
2
F
1
i
2
.
055
$ 290 .
13
5275
1 .
055
$ 5,565.13
What about for the 3 rd year?
Exponential Growth
Interest made during 3 rd year: i
3
.
055
$ 306 .
08
F
2 r
F
3
Value of the account after 3 rd year:
5565
F
2
i
3
.
13
$ 306 .
.
08
5565 .
13
1 .
055
$5,871.21
Exponential Growth
Summarizing our calculations:
P
F
1
5000
5000
1 .
055
F
2
F
3
$ 5 , 275
5000
1 .
055
1 .
055
5565 .
5000
1 .
055
2
1 .
055
5000
1 .
055
2
5000
1 .
055
3
$5,565.13
$5,871.21
Exponential Growth
From our calculations, a $5,000 investment into an account with an annual interest rate of 5.5% will have a value of F after t years according to the formula:
F t
5000
1 .
055
t
Exponential Growth
In general, P dollars invested at an annual rate r, has a value of F dollars after t years according to:
F t
P
1
r
t
Notice that the interest was paid on a yearly basis, while our money remained in the account. This is called compounding
annually or one time per year.
Exponential Growth
What would happen if the interest was paid more times during the year?
Suppose interest is collected at the
end of each quarter, (interest is paid four times each year). What would happen to our investment?
Exponential Growth
Since the annual interest rate is 5.5% this rate needs to be adjusted so that interest is paid on a quarterly basis.
The quarterly rate is: r
1
4
r n
5 .
5
1 .
375 %
4
Exponential Growth
Interest made during 1 st quarter: i
1
4
5000
P
0 .
055
r
1
4
$68.75
Value of account after 1 st quarter:
F
1
4
P
5000
0 .
055
5000
0 .
055
4
$5,068.75
i
1
4
Exponential Growth
Interest made during the 2 nd quarter: i
2
4
F
1
4
0 .
055
r
1
4
$69.70
F
2
4
Value of account after 2 nd quarter:
F
1
4
5068.75
0 .
055
i
$69.70
2
4
5068.75
0 .
055
4
$5,138.45
Exponential Growth
F
3
4
Interest made during the 3 rd quarter: i
3
4
F
2
4
0 .
055
r
1
4
$ 70.65
Account value after 3 rd quarter:
F
2
4
5138.45
0 .
055
i
$70.65
3
4
5,138.45
0 .
055
4
$5,209.10
Exponential Growth
F
4
4
Interest made during the 4 th quarter: i
4
4
F
3
4
0 .
055
r
1
4
$71.63
Account value after 4 th quarter:
F
3
4
5209.10
0 .
055
i
$71.63
4
4
5209.10
0 .
055
4
$5,280.72
Exponential Growth
Summarizing our results for 1 year:
P
5000
F
1
4
5000
0 .
055
4
$5,068.75
F
2
4
5068
F
1
4
0 .
055
4
5000
1
0 .
055
4
2
$5,138.45
F
3
4
F
2
4
0 .
055
4
5000 1
0 .
055
4
3
$5,209.10
F
4
4
F
3
4
0 .
055
4
5000
1
0 .
055
4
4
$5,280.72
Exponential Growth
Notice that the exponent corresponds to the number of quarters in a year:
So for 1 year there are 4 quarters
So for 2 years there are 8 quarters
So for 3 years there are 12 quarters
So for 4 years there are 16 quarters
So for t years there are 4t quarters
Exponential Growth
So the value of a $5,000 investment with an annual interest rate of 5.5%
compounded quarterly after t years is given by:
F t
5000
0 .
055
4
4 t
Exponential Growth
In general, P dollars invested at an annual rate r, compounded n times per year, has a value of F dollars after t years according to:
F
P 1 r n nt
Exponential Growth
From the last slide, we can also say:
nt r
P
F 1 n
In other words, we can find the present value (P) by knowing the future value (F).
Exponential Growth
Notice for each of the 3 years the account that is compounded quarterly is worth more than the one compounded annually
n=1 n=4 t F F
1 $5,275.00 $5,280.72
2 $5,565.13 $5,577.21
3 $5,871.21 $5,890.34
Exponential Growth
It would seem the larger n is the more an investment is worth, but consider:
n=52 n=365 t F F
1 $5,282.55 $5,282.68
2 $5,581.07 $5,581.34
3 $5,896.45 $5,896.89
Exponential Growth
Notice value of the investment is leveling off when P, r, and t are fixed, but n is allowed to get really big.
n
This suggests that
r n
is leveling off to some special number
Exponential Growth
There is a clever technique that allows us to find this value. We let m
= n/r, so that n = m r. For any value of r, m gets larger as n increases.
We rewrite the expression:
F
P r rm mrt
P
1
1 m m
rt
Exponential Growth
As m gets big,
1
1 m m
2 .
7182818284 5905
e m
10
100
1000
10000
100000
1000000
10000000
100000000
1
1 m
m
2.59374246
2.704813829
2.716923932
2.718145927
2.718268237
2.718280469
2.718281694
2.718281786
Exponential Growth
So as m gets large,
F
P r rm mrt
P
1
1 m
Pe rt
This is for continuous compounding
In Excel, use the function EXP(x) m
rt
Exponential Growth
So P dollars will grow to F dollars after t years compounded
continuously at r % by the equation:
F
Pe rt
We can also find P by knowing F as follows:
P
Fe
rt
Exponential Growth
How do we compare investments with different interest rates and different frequencies of compounding?
Look at the values of P dollars at the end of one year
Compute annual rates that would produce these amounts without compounding.
Annual rates represent the effective annual yield
Exponential Growth
In our current example when we compounded quarterly, after one year we had:
F
1
5000
0 .
055
4
4
1
$ 5280 .
72
Notice we gained $280.72 on interest after a year. That interest represents a gain of 5.61% on $5000: y
280 .
72
5000
0 .
0561
Effective
Annual
Yield (y)
Exponential Growth
Effective annual yield (Discrete):
find the difference between our money after one year and our initial investment and divide by the initial investment.
Therefore, interest at an annual rate
r, compounded n times per year has yield y: y
P r n
P n
P
1 r n n
1
Exponential Growth
You may need to find the annual rate that would produce a given yield. n
Need to solve for r : y
1 r n
1
This tells you the annual interest rate r that will produce a given yield when compounding n times a year.
Note: This is only for
Discrete Compounding y
1
1 r n
n
y
1
1 / n
1
r n
y
1
1 / n n
y
1
1 / n
1
1
n
r r
Exponential Growth
Effective Annual Yield (Continuous): y
P
e r
P
e r
1
P
Annual interest rate: r
ln
y
1
Exponential Growth
Ex. Find the final amount if $10,000 is invested with interest calculated monthly at 4.7% for 6 years.
Soln.
F
P
1
r
nt
10 , 000 n
1
0 .
047
12
12
6
$ 13 , 250 .
49
Exponential Growth
Ex. Find the annual yield on an investment that computes interest at
4.7% compounded monthly.
Soln.
y
1
r n
n
1
1
0 .
047
12
12
1
1 .
048025794
1
0 .
0480
About 4.80%
Exponential Growth
• Ex. Find the rate, compounded weekly, that has a yield of 9.1%
• Soln.
r
52 n
1
1
y
1
/ n
0 .
091
1
/ 52
1
0 .
087167685
1
About 8.72%
Exponential Growth
Examples that use the word
continuous to describe compounding period mean you use:
F
Pe rt
Ex. How much would you have after 3 years if an investment of $15,000 was placed into an account that earned
10.3% interest compounded continuously?
Exponential Growth
Soln.
F
Pe rt
15 , 000 e
0 .
103
$ 20 , 430 .
94
Exponential Growth
Ex. Find the annual rate of an investment that has an annual yield of 9% when compounded continuously.
Soln.
r
ln ln
y
0 .
09
1
1
0 .
0862
Approx 8.62%
Exponential Growth
Where else can compound interest be used?
Financing a home
Financing a car
Anything where you make monthly payments (with interest) on money borrowed
Exponential Growth
The average cost of a home in Tucson is roughly around $225,000.
Suppose you were planning to put down $25,000 now and finance the rest on a 30 year mortgage at 7% compounded monthly. How much would your monthly payments be?
Exponential Growth
For a 30 year mortgage, you’ll be making
360 monthly payments.
At the end of the 360 months we want the
present value (P) of all the monthly payments to add up to the amount you plan to finance, e.g. $200,000
The $200,000 is called the principal
Exponential Growth
Let’s say that P k represents the present monthly value k months ago.
Then after 360 months, we want:
200 , 000
P
1
P
2
P
3
P
360
Exponential Growth
Since we’re borrowing money here, each P k can be expressed as
k r
P k
F 1 n
But where F represents the future
value for P k
. In other words, F is your monthly payment.
Exponential Growth
Remember we want:
200 , 000
P
1
P
2
So if we insert:
P k
P
3
F 1 r
P
360
k n
We have instead:
1
200 , 000
F r n
F
1 r n
2
F n r
360
Exponential Growth
Now for a little algebra (factor out F):
200 , 000
F
1 r n
1
1 r n
2
1 r n
360
Divide both sides by the stuff in [ ]
200 , 000
F
1 r n
1
r n
2
r n
360
Exponential Growth
The last result will tell us our monthly payment F:
1 r n
1
200 , 000
2 r
n r n
360
F
Notice that all we need to is figure out how to add up the numbers in the bottom. This is where we use Excel.
Exponential Growth
Since we’re compounding monthly at
7%, r = 0.07 and n = 12
So:
1
0 .
07
12
1
1
200 , 000
2
0 .
07
12
1
0 .
07
12
360
F
Exponential Growth
We’ll do the rest of our calculation in
Excel
So our monthly payments F:
F
1
0 .
07
12
1
200 , 000
150.3076
1330 .
60
200 , 000
2
0 .
07
12
0 .
07
12
360
Exponential Growth
Now that we know what F is we can figure out what each P k is.
Again, each P k will tell us what F dollars was worth k months ago
We’ll again use Excel to answer this question.
Exponential Growth
In Excel:
This number tells us that our monthly payment of $1330.60 was worth $1322.89 one month ago.
Notice that as we descend down the table the values get smaller because we’re going farther back in time.
This number tells us how much of the monthly payment is for interest. Notice that as we descend the table the interest goes up. This tells us that in the beginning of a payment plan a lot of the monthly payment is toward interest and only a small portion is going toward principal while the reverse is true at the end.
End
Start
Exponential Growth
What your outstanding balance looks like with each monthly payment?
Balance
250000
200000
150000
100000
50000
0
-50000
0 100 200
Months
300 400
Balance
Exponential Growth
Things to notice:
After 360 months of payments of
1330.61, you’re really paying
$479,019.60 on $200,000 borrowed.
The mortgage company has made
139% profit on your borrowing
$200,000.