Microeconomics 2 John Hey Last 2 weeks of teaching • Today: lecture 33 on Public Goods. • Tomorrow: lecture 34 on Asymmetric Information. • Next Monday: last 11 questions on first specimen examination paper. • Next Tuesday: Question and Answer session. Please send me your queries and questions in advance. • In the two meetings next term I will go through the second specimen paper. • I will tell you the material strengthening the exam. Lecture 33: Public Goods • A public good is one that everyone can consume simultaneously; one person’s consumption of it does not reduce the consumption of others. • For example: a public park, a television channel, clean air, national defense. • There are not many examples of pure public goods, but we shall here assume one of them. • We can have “all or nothing” public goods. • And also variable-level public goods. • I don’t like the analysis of Public Goods. Why I do not like the economic study of public goods • Economic analysis seems totally negative: • It shows that private provision of public goods is either nonexistent or inadequate, because people free-ride on others and (have incentives to) hide their true preferences for the good. • Methods (which could be used by the state) to incentivise people to reveal their true preferences (such as voting or the GrovesClarke mechanism) have deep flaws. • We almost certainly end up with public/State provision. (What the state ‘should do’ takes us into Social Choice and the problems of aggregating preferences.) • Is this surprising? • Note there are very few examples of the private provision of public goods. (?? Clubs, closed societies of various forms.) A pretend experiment • Every one of you can contribute £10 or nothing. • I will count up the contributions and I will add an equal amount to the total contributed: this is the public fund. • This public fund will be distributed equally to all of you. • Let us play this – but pretend it is for real. • When I ask you, you should put up your hands if you want to contribute £10. Two examples • • • • • • • • • • First example: Suppose there are 200 students here and 30 of them contribute £10 and the other 170 nothing. The public fund is thus £600 = £300 from the students and £300 from me. Every student gets £3. But note that the 30 students who contributed £10 end up £7 worse off than when they started, while the 170 who contributed nothing end up £3 better off than when they started. Second example: Suppose there are 200 students here and 70 of them contribute £10 and the other 130 nothing. The public fund is thus £1400 = £700 from the students and £700 from me. Every student gets £7. But note that the 70 students who contributed £10 end up £3 worse off than when they started, while the 130 who contributed nothing end up £7 better off than when they started. Two more (extreme) examples • Third example: • Suppose there are 200 students here and all of them contribute £10. • The public fund is thus £4000 = £2000 from the students and £2000 from me. • Every student gets £20. • So they are all £10 better off than at the beginning. • Fourth example: • Suppose there are 200 students here and all of them contribute nothing. • The public fund is thus zero. • Every student gets nothing – but no-one has paid anything. • Let us do it (but not for real). The Public Good problem the table shows the payoffs relative to the starting position (200 students) Me A: Contribute zero A B Each of 199 others A B (£19.90,£9.90) (£0,£0) (-£9.90,£0.10) (£10.00,£10.00) B: Contribute £10 Overview of the problem (suppose 100 people) • Everyone is invited to contribute to the public good. Total contributions are doubled and divided equally amongst the members of society. • Every £1 more that I contribute I get back 2p but I have spent £1 so I am a 98p out of pocket. • But if everyone contributes £1 more everyone is £1 better off (taking into account the contribution). • Similarly for every £1 less that I contribute I lose 2p and so I save 98p. • If everyone contributes £1 less then everyone is £1 worse off. Connection with public goods • We have portrayed the above problem as an all-ornothing problem for the individual but it is variable in total. • As we have seen, if contributions are voluntary, then everyone would prefer everyone else to pay and it might not get provided at all. • Depends upon the provision rules. • Let us look more at a variable-level public good. • This is where individuals can contribute varying amounts. But let us take a more general problem – with two goods - instead of just having money. • So all (both) citizens are deciding between two goods, a private one and a public one. • Let us go to Maple (skip the first section)... The next 9 slides In black and white, are shamelessly downloaded from Martin Cripps site at UCL. My thanks to him. Back to all-or-nothing. Reveals how clever economists (think they) are. Clark-Groves Mechanism This is a process that will get individuals to truthfully to reveal their preferences for the public good. Step 1 : Individuals report their value for the bridge (the public good) vi Note : they don’t have to report the truth vi ≠ vi* Clark-Groves Mechanism This is a process that will get individuals to truthfully to reveal their preferences for the public good. Step 1 : Individuals report their value for the bridge vi Step 2 : Add up the reported values. Clark-Groves Mechanism This is a process that will get individuals to truthfully to reveal their preferences for the public good. Step 1 : Individuals report their value for the bridge vi Step 2 : Add up the reported values. Step 3 : If Sum of reported values – Cost of Bridge > 0 then build the bridge. Clark-Groves Mechanism This is a process that will get individuals to truthfully to reveal their preferences for the public good. Step 1 : Individuals report their value for the bridge vi Step 2 : Add up the reported values. Step 3 : If Sum of reported values – Cost of Bridge > 0 Build Bridge If Sum of reported values – Cost of Bridge <0 Do not Build Clark-Groves Mechanism Step 1 : Individuals report their value for the bridge vi Step 2 : Add up the reported values. Step 3 : If Sum of reported values – Cost of Bridge >0 Build Bridge If Sum of reported values – Cost of Bridge <0 Don’t Build Step 4 : If the individual’s value was decisive, i.e. Sum of Others’ Reports < Cost of Bridge < Sum of all Reports Clark-Groves Mechanism Step 1 : Individuals report their value for the bridge vi Step 2 : Add up the reported values. Step 3 : If Sum of reported values – Cost of Bridge >0 Build Bridge If Sum of reported values – Cost of Bridge <0 Don’t Build Step 4 : If the individual’s value was decisive, i.e. Sum of Others’ Reports < Cost of Bridge < Sum of all Reported values Charge the individual = Cost of Bridge – Sum of others’ reported values Clark-Groves Mechanism Optimal to tell the truth. Let U be the sum of the other’s reports and let v be my value. If U>Cost: I don’t care what I say so reporting truthfully is fine. Clark-Groves Mechanism Optimal to tell the truth. If U+v > Cost > U: Then any report u such that U+u>Cost (or u>Cost-U) will get me utility v – (Cost –U) >0 . (independent of report!) But any report u < Cost – U will get me utility =0. Clark-Groves Mechanism Properties: (1)Optimal to tell the truth (2)Voter only pays when decisive. (3)Payments < benefits received (4)As population grows less of a problem with excess revenue. Groves-Clark mechanism – to decide whether an all-or-nothing public should be provided • Three flatmates – should they get a TV (costing £300)? • The share of the costs has already been decided and the only question is whether it should be bought. Person Cost share True Reservation value – stated as such Net value Clarke tax A £100 £50 -£50 £0 B £100 £50 -£50 £0 C £100 £250 £150 £100 • Note that the sum of reservation values > cost. • The pivotal person (here C) pays the tax – which would compensate the others if it were paid. But it cannot be – as it would destroy the incentive for everyone to reveal their true reservation values. Summary • A public good is a good that can be consumed simultaneously by more than one individual. • Whether with an all-or-nothing public good or a variable public good there are difficulties in deciding who will/should pay for the good. • There are clear individual incentives for individuals to free-ride. • The Nash Equilibrium is clearly Pareto inferior to the Social optimum. • Perhaps we should rely on state/public provision? • But what is the State for?! Lecture 33 • Goodbye!