OECD GLOBAL INSURANCE STATISTICS: PRELIMINARY RESULTS FROM THE DATA COLLECTION EXERCISE FOR ASSAL MEMBERS AND THE WAY FORWARD OECD-Latin America Seminar on enhancing transparency and monitoring of insurance markets Montevideo, Uruguay 26-27 September 2013 Jean-Marc Salou Financial .Affairs Division Directorate for Financial and Enterprise Affairs OECD, Paris Questionnaire administration • • • Two documents to be returned before 30 May 2013: • Electronic Excel questionnaire (Sections 1.1 to 1.4) • Qualitative word questionnaire (Section 1.5) Full questionnaire to be received by 3 October 2013, including: • Sections 2.1 to 2.14 • Any updates or/and revisions from Sections 1.1 to 1.4 Section 2.15 + methodological notes by 1 November 2013 Provision of unaudited and/or estimated data is encouraged when data are not available 2 Level of participation In Latin America: • 1st Joint Seminar on Insurance Statistics in Latin America with ASSAL (Asociación de Supervisores de Seguros de América Latina), 26-27 September 2013 in Montevideo, Uruguay • Overall, electronic questionnaires sent to 59 OECD and nonOECD countries, • Excel questionnaires with 2012 data received so far for: • 19/34 OECD countries • 13/25 non-OECD key partners, of which: 1/7 Asian key partners 12/17 ASSAL key partners • Qualitative information was in most cases provided with Excel questionnaire 3 Data completeness can impede data comparability Data completeness of Section 1.2, about Business Written in the Reporting Country (by selected classes of life insurance), in Latin america, 2012 Mexico Argentina Bolivia Brazil Chile Colombia Costa Rica Dominican Republic Ecuador El Salvador Guatemala Honduras Nicaragua Panama Paraguay Peru Puerto Rico Uruguay Annuities Unit-linked Other Life Insurance P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P Total Of Which Pension Contracts P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P 4 Core outputs • “Insurance Statistics Yearbook: Edition 2013” (to be released in December) and a CD-ROM; • The OECD Global Insurance Market Trends (to be released in October) • Contribution to an OECD G20 report on Long Term Investments (initial work to start in October) • A one-stop statistics where historical data series presenting comparable statistics and indicators can be retrieved easily: http://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx 5 Direct access: http://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DatasetCode=INSIND All range of insurance statistics 6 Examining potential sources of discrepancies that can jeopardize data comparability • Check the valuation method used at national level across countries (i.e., mark-to-market vs. book value) and accounting standards (business vs. national accounting) • Identify where different compilation methods apply across countries, such as the look-through of certain instruments (e.g., mutual funds) across other asset classes • Timeliness (e.g., time lag calendar vs. fiscal year) • Sourcing (e.g., entire population of insurance undertakings vs. sample, primary vs. secondary sources) • Inclusion or exclusion of the business of branches and agencies of domestic insurance companies located abroad 7 Examining potential sources of discrepancies that can jeopardize data comparability (Cont.) • Inclusion or exclusion of reinsurance in submitted data – Premiums ceded by direct business are not available in some countries. Instead total premiums (reinsurance + retrocession) are provided. This might generate a double counting problem for users interested in direct cession rates. Retrocession Reinsurance Premium, P, ceded by the direct insurer P Reinsurer retrocedes a part of this premium – This is why it is very important to have both Premiums Ceded by Direct Insurers and Premiums Ceded by Reinsurers (reinsurance and retrocession) as separate series 8 Preliminary list of follow-up actions to the Seminar • Liaise bilaterally with countries that did not send back the questionnaire yet • Follow-up with countries in order to check outliers and further explain trends • Finalise the report “Stocktaking and Comparative Assessment of Insurance Statistics in Selected Latin American Countries: Preliminary Findings” • Circulate a list of future outputs and possible contributions for planning purposes 9 SELECTED CHARTS BASED ON PRELIMINARY FIGURES 10 Annual real gross premium growth: Life sector (2011-12) In percent Selected OECD countries Korea Chile (1) Norway Belgium (1) Poland (1) Ireland Mexico (1) United States Denmark (1) Switzerland OECD weighted average Iceland (1) OECD simple average Slovak Republic Slovenia (1) Czech Republic Sweden (1) Finland (1) Canada Estonia (1) Turkey (2) Australia Italy (3) Portugal Austria France Greece Spain Hungary (1) Netherlands Selected African and Asian countries Hong Kong (China) South Africa (4) Singapore Selected ASSAL (non-OECD) countries Costa Rica Uruguay Colombia El Salvador (4) Peru (1) -48.4 Panama (2) -60 -50 21.9 20.9 12.6 11.7 11.6 11.2 10.1 3.8 2.6 2.4 2.0 0.9 -0.5 -1.7 -1.8 -2.3 -2.3 -2.3 -3.1 -4.6 -5.8 -7.6 -7.6 -9.2 -9.3 -10.4 -10.5 -13.5 -13.8 -18.0 8.9 -0.3 -2.4 26.8 24.1 21.5 14.3 5.1 11 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 Annual real gross premium growth: Non-life sector (2011-12) In percent Selected OECD countries Korea Belgium (1) Turkey (2) Ireland Estonia (1) Canada Chile (1) Australia Norway Israel (1) Mexico (1) United States OECD weighted average Switzerland France Poland (1) OECD simple average Denmark (1) Iceland (1) Austria Finland (1) Slovenia (1) Spain Italy (3) Czech Republic Netherlands Slovak Republic Portugal United Kingdom Hungary (1) Greece -16.1 Sweden (1) -18.8 Selected African and Asian countries Singapore Hong Kong (China) South Africa (4) Selected ASSAL (non-OECD) countries Colombia Cuba Uruguay Costa Rica Peru El Salvador (4) Guatemala -25 -20 15.2 12.2 11.4 10.4 8.3 6.3 5.8 5.5 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.5 3.3 3.1 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 -2.3 -2.8 -3.6 -3.9 -4.5 -5.1 -5.5 -6.3 -7.9 -8.2 13.6 9.0 -7.0 14.5 11.8 10.5 9.2 8.3 1.9 -5.9 -15 -10 -5 0 12 5 10 15 20 Growth in gross claim payments: Non-Life sector (2011-12) Selected OECD countries Chile Greece Iceland Sweden Turkey Norway Poland Belgium Korea (1) Austria Switzerland United States Netherlands France (2,3) Mexico (3) Canada (3) Israel Czech Republic Hungary Spain Slovenia Slovak Republic Finland Portugal Denmark Italy (4) Estonia Ireland -31.3 Australia (5) Selected African and Asian countries Singapore Hong Kong (China) (1) South Africa Selected ASSAL (non-OECD) countries Uruguay Cuba Nicaragua Costa Rica Colombia Peru El Salvador Guatemala -60 -40 62.3 36.1 32.5 29.4 23.3 10.5 9.8 8.8 7.6 6.5 3.7 2.7 1.8 1.4 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.1 -0.2 -0.4 -1.0 -1.3 -1.4 -1.4 -7.1 -11.9 -12.1 -21.8 15.7 10.6 -7.2 32.6 22.4 20.7 20.3 16.7 16.7 11.4 -17.0 -20 13 0 20 40 60 80 100 50 96.5 82.7 67.8 61.3 59.0 72.7 200 240.3 193.6 Selected ASSAL (non-OECD) countries 141.0 116.5 2012 Selected African and Asian countries 169.2 156.5 131.4 124.1 119.6 119.3 114.5 109.0 109.0 108.6 108.2 98.8 97.4 95.1 94.8 94.5 93.8 93.5 88.6 84.0 81.8 78.8 78.1 77.9 76.6 74.6 73.2 67.2 49.4 150 Selected OECD countries Combined ratio (2011-2012) 2011 300 250 0 14 Investment portfolio allocation: Life insurers (2012) As a percentage of total investments Bonds Shares Real estate Other Costa Rica Mexico Colombia Puerto Rico Peru Uruguay Chile Argentina Bolivia El Salvador Panama 0 25 50 75 100 15 Investment portfolio allocation: Non-life insurers (2012) As a percentage of total investments Bonds Shares Real estate Other Costa Rica Mexico Colombia Uruguay Puerto Rico Chile Paraguay Guatemala Argentina Peru Bolivia El Salvador 0 25 50 75 100 16 Investment portfolio allocation: Composite insurers (2012) As a percentage of total investments Bonds Shares Real estate Other Uruguay Peru Costa Rica Mexico Guatemala Paraguay Argentina Panama El Salvador Nicaragua 0 25 50 75 100 17 THANK YOU 18