Grenada Public Service Pension Arrangements July 2011 Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Agenda Current Benefits Data and Assumptions Existing Liabilities Post 1983 Officers Other issues arising Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Current Benefits Officer Categories Officers in established posts Appointed before 4 April 1983 Appointed on or after 4 April 1983 Officers in un-established posts Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Pre-April 1983 Officers Benefits set out in Pensions Acts Valuable retirement pension Target 2/3rds final salary Available from as early as age 50 (or 26 years and 8 months’ service) Retirement lump sum benefits Regular pension increases Non-contributory NIS in addition Total pension >100% salary? Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Post-April 1983 Officers No Pensions Act pension benefits NIS pension only Significantly lower benefits than PreApril 1983 officers Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Un-established post Officers Pension payable at Government discretion Irrespective of date of appointment Minimum 15 years’ service Lower pension benefit Pension = 1% x service x salary No retirement lump sum Non-contributory NIS pension in addition Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Issues of Note “Expensive” benefits for pre-April 1983 officers Inconsistencies between: Pre- and post-April 1983 officers Un-established post officers and post-April 1983 officers get nothing Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Our Terms of Reference Quantify existing liabilities Look at pension scheme options for public officers including Post-April 1983 officers Advise on financial aspects of possible new pension designs Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Officers’ Data Number of records Pre April 1983 Public Officers 955 Post April 1983 Public Officers 3,658 Un-established Post Officers 2,292 Retired Public Officers 1,239 Ex-gratia pensions Total 512 8,656 Ie lots of data records! Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Data Issues Results reliant on and findings limited by data accuracy Data items missing Only provided with basic salary “Completed” data set using estimates Results qualified Treat with caution Indicative only Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Financial Assumptions Discount rate %pa 7.0 Earnings increases 4.0 Pension increases 4.0 Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Demographic Assumptions Mortality rates Withdrawal Early retirement Ill-health Proportion married Earnings scales New hires Admin expenses Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Demographic Assumptions Little statistical data available Review experience data provided (patchy) Withdrawal rates low Early retirement rates low Use to set assumptions where possible discussed with HR where possible Otherwise use standard actuarial tables Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Payments Projection 70,000,000 60,000,000 50,000,000 PV = $637 m at 30 Nov 2007 40,000,000 30,000,000 discounting 20,000,000 10,000,000 2008 2013 2018 2023 2028 Pensioners 2033 Actives 2038 2043 2048 2053 2058 Future Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Present Value of Liabilities Present value of liabilities = $637 million If $637 million invested income and capital will exactly pay for pension benefits as they fall due All assumptions exactly borne out in practice $196 million of liability is for future pension increases Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Sensitivity of Results Early Retirements +$97 million if all eligible officers retire now Cash strain from lump sums Discount rate -13%/+16% for +1%pa/-1%pa change Earnings/pension inflation 16%/-13% for +1%pa/-1%pa change Mortality rate +8% for 25% rate reduction Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Un-Established officers Past Service Looked at accrued benefits Short service (higher turnover?) Present value is $31 million as at 30 Nov 2007 Future Service 1 year cost $3 million Equivalent to 10.2% of salaries Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Summary Total liabilities ~$668 million Future accruals mainly for un-established post officers Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Post-April 1983 Officers Pensions Act Benefits Modified Pensions Act Benefits Higher retirement age (65) Harmonised with NIS No guaranteed pension increases Different benefits Defined contribution, cash balance, career average Un-established post benefits Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Pensions Act benefits 4 50 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 4 0 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 3 50 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 3 0 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 2 50 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 Future Past 2 0 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 150 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 10 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 50 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 0 2008 2 0 13 2 0 18 2023 2028 2033 2038 2043 2048 2 0 53 Note: excludes retired Post 1983 officers Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Post 1983 Pensions Act Benefits Present value of past service liabilities is $377 million Future accrual cost of 25.6% of salaries (~$27.7 million next year) Could costs be managed by modifying benefits? Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Modified Benefits Past service liability Normal cost 4% pension increases No increases 4% pension increases No increases $ million $ million % salaries % salaries Past service liability for targeted Pensions Act benefits 377 265 25.6 18.0 - retirement age of 65 255 193 17.2 13.0 - inclusive of NIS pension 88 63 5.8 4.2 - retirement age of 65 and inclusive of NIS pension 71 55 4.9 3.8 Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Modified Benefits Helps meet cost considerations But, can it be administered? Harmonisation with NIS presents other issues: Early retirement benefits Retirement lump sum availability Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Un-established Post Benefits Past service liability Normal cost 4% pension increases No increases 4% pension increases No increases $ million $ million % salaries % salaries - retirement age of 60 146 97 10.1 6.7 - retirement age of 65 97 68 6.6 4.7 Past service liability for unestablished post benefits Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Advantages Easier to administer Consistent with un-established officers Fit to cost constraints by changing pension increases, contributions, early retirement etc Reasonable target pension when added to NIS, eg if 35 years’ service 35% pay from Government NIS pension in addition Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Other Issues Funding options Unfunded or PAYG Partial/full pre-funding Retirement age Leaving service benefits Officer contributions Death benefits Minimum pension Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Conclusions Objectives needed for complete advice Costs are indicative only due to data limitations Existing liabilities Accrued ~$668 million at 30 Nov 2007 Future accrual cost ~10.2% of salaries for un-established officers (mainly) Exposure to salary inflation, mortality and retirement experience Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd Conclusions Cont’d Options for Post-1983 Officers Pensions Act benefits expensive Administration challenges Offset costs by modifying benefits Harmonise Higher retirement age Lower pension increases Change benefits completely, eg as for unestablished posts Bacon Woodrow & de Souza Ltd