Ch 6: Macroeconomic Measurements, Part II GDP and Real GDP James R. Russell, Ph.D., Professor of Economics & Management, Oral Roberts University ©2005 Thomson Business & Professional Publishing, A Division of Thomson Learning 1 Gross Domestic Product GDP: the total market value of all final goods and services produced annually within a country’s borders. Expenditure Approach: Add the money spent by buyers on final goods and services. Income Approach: Adding all wages and all profits. Value-Added Approach: Adding the values added to a product at all stages of production. 2 GDP? GNP? What’s different? Gross National Product: the total market value of all final goods and services provided annually by the citizens of a country. GDP: the final market value of all goods produced in a country, whether by citizens or not. 3 What GDP Omits What GDP Omits Certain non-market goods and services Underground activities, both legal and illegal Sales of used goods Financial transactions Government transfer payments. Leisure Not adjusted for “bads” Transfer Payment: a payment to a person that is not made in return for goods and services currently supplies. 4 Per Capita GDP Per Capita GDP: GDP divided by the population. GDP figures are useful for obtaining an estimate of the productive capabilities of an economy but they do not necessarily measure happiness or well being. 5 Exhibit 1: GDP and Per Capita GDP, Selected Countries, 2002 6 Self-Test Give an example that illustrates the difference between the U.S. GDP and the U.S. GNP. Suppose the GDP for a country is $0. Does this mean that there was no productive activity in the country? Explain your answer. 7 The Expenditures Approach to Computing GDP Expenditures Approach: Consumption: the sum of spending on durable goods, non-durable goods, and services. Investment: the sum of purchases of newly produced capital goods, changes in business inventories, and purchases of new residential housing. 8 Expenditures in a RealWorld Economy Government Purchases: federal, state, and local government purchases of goods and services and gross investment in highways, bridges, and so on. Net Exports: exports minus imports. 9 Exhibit 2: The Expenditure Approach to Computing GDP 10 Exhibit 3: Components of GDP (Expenditure Approach) 11 Exhibit 4: Gross State Product (GSP), 2001. GSP is the state equivalent of GDP 12 Exhibit 5: The Circular Flow: Total Purchases (Expenditures) Equal Total Income in a Simple Economy 13 The Income Approach to Computing GDP National Income: the total income earned by U.S. citizens and businesses, no matter where they reside or are located. Domestic Income: total income earned by the people and businesses within a country’s borders. 14 Computing National Income Compensation of Employees: Wages, salaries, employers’ contribution to social security and employee benefit plans, plus the monetary value of fringe benefits, tips, and paid vacations; plus Proprietors’ Income: all forms of income earned by self-employed individuals and the owners of unincorporated business, including unincorporated farmers; plus Corporate Profits: include all income earned by the stockholders of corporations; plus Rental Income of Persons: income received by individuals for the use of their non-monetary assets; 15 plus Computing National Income Part Net Interest: the interest income received by U.S. households and government minus the interest they paid out. National Income = Compensation of employees + Proprietors’ Income + Corporate Profits + Rental Income + Net Interest 16 Exhibit 6: The Income Approach to Computing GDP 17 From National Income to GDP: Making Some Adjustments GDP = National Income - income earned from the rest of the world. + income earned by the rest of the world. + indirect business taxes + capital consumption allowance + statistical discrepancy 18 Other National Income Accounting Measurements Net Domestic Product = GDP – capital consumption allowance Personal Income = National income – undistributed corporate profits – social insurance taxes – corporate profits taxes + transfer payments Disposable Income = Personal Income – personal taxes Per Capita Macroeconomic Measurements: divides these factors by the population. 19 Self-Test Describe the expenditure approach to computing GDP in a real-world economy. Will GDP be smaller than the sum of consumption, investment, and government purchases if net exports are negative? Explain your answer. If GDP is $400 billion, and the country’s population is 100 million, does it follow that each individual in the country has $40,000 worth of goods and services? 20 Real GDP Real GDP: GDP adjusted for price changes. Real GDP: equal to the sum of Base year prices multiplied by current year quantities. Annual economic growth has occurred if the Real GDP in one year is higher than the previous year. 21 If You Know the Price Index and GDP For A Year, You Can Compute Real GDP Real GDP = GDP x 100 Chain Weighted Price Index 22 What Does It Mean If Real GDP Is Higher In One Year Than In Another Year? Nominal GDP can rise from one year to the next if: Prices rise and output remains constant; Output rises and prices remain constant; Or prices and output rise. 23 Real GDP, Economic Growth, and Business Cycles Economic Growth: increases in Real GDP. 24 Ups and downs of the Business Cycle Peak: at the peak of the business cycle, Real GDP is at a temporary high. Contraction: A decline in the real GDP. If it falls for two consecutive quarters, it is said to be in a recession. Trough: The Low Point of the GDP, just before it begins to turn up. Recovery: When the GDP is rising from the trough. Expansion: when the real GDP expands beyond the recovery 25 Exhibit 7: The Phases of the Business Cycle 26 Recession Standard Definition: two consecutive quarter declines in Real GDP. NBER Definition: “ a significant decline in activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, visible in industrial production, employment, real income, and wholesale-retail trade.” 27 Self-Test Suppose GDP is $6 trillion in year 1 and $6.2 trillion in year 2. What has caused the rise in GDP? Suppose Real GDP is $5.2 trillion in year 1 and $5.3 trillion in year 2. What has caused a rise in the Real GDP? Can an economy be faced with endless business cycles and still have its Real GDP grow over time? Explain your answer. 28 Coming Up (Ch. 7): Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply 29