Competitive Labor Market Equilibrium Dollars Supply whigh w* wlow Demand EDS E* EE SD Employment In a competitive labor market, equilibrium is attained at the point where supply equals demand. Competitive Labor Market Equilibrium Dollars Supply wmin w* Demand E EEDE* S LF Employment U The minimum wage creates unemployment (u = U/LF). Competitive Labor Market Equilibrium • Two assumptions of the cobweb model: – Time is needed to produce skilled workers – Persons decide to become skilled workers by looking at conditions in the labor market at the time they enter school • A “cobweb” pattern forms around the equilibrium • The cobweb pattern arises when people are misinformed • The model implies naïve workers who do not form rational expectations • Rational expectations are formed if workers correctly perceive the future and understand the economic forces at work Competitive Labor Market Equilibrium Dollars S The Cobweb Model in the Market for New Engineers w1 w3 w* w2 w0 D D E0 E2 E*E3 E1 Employment initial equilibrium wage in produced the market is eventually w0. because The demand for engineers to engineering D, andinstantaneously the wage will increase tomight w*. Because new engineers areshifts not and students misforecast future opportunities in the market, a cobweb is created as the labor market adjusts to the increase in demand. Competitive Labor Market Equilibrium S0 Dollars We don’t observe all of the shifts S1 We observe only the first and the last equilibriums w0 w2 w1 D0 E0 E1 E2 D1 This looks like a demand curve but it is not. It is the equilibrium path Employment Competitive Labor Market Equilibrium • It is important to note the technical meaning of efficiency – If a change in policy can make any one better off without harming anyone else, the change is said to be “Pareto-improving” – Corollary: If the state of the world is Pareto Efficient, then improving a person’s welfare necessarily means another’s is decreased • The “single wage” property of a competitive equilibrium has important implications for efficiency. – Recall that in a competitive equilibrium the w = VPL = p∙MPL – As firms and workers move to the region that provides the best opportunities, they eliminate regional wage differentials. – Therefore, workers of given skills have the same value of marginal product of labor in all markets. Competitive Labor Market Equilibrium Dollars S (workers) P w* W D0 (firms) E* Employment In equilibrium, E* workers are employed at a wage of w*. All persons who are looking for work at that wage can find a job. Triangle P gives the producer surplus, Triangle W gives the worker surplus. A competitive market maximizes the gains from trade (sum P + W) Competitive Labor Market Equilibrium The Impact of a Payroll Tax Assessed on Firms Dollars S Total payroll tax paid by employers 15.50 (135m)(0.5) = $67.5m 15 $1 tax Total payroll tax paid by employees 14.50 14 D0 (135m)(0.5) = $67.5m D1 135 150 Employment (millions) A payroll tax of $1 assessed on employers shifts the demand curve down by $1. The payroll tax cuts the wage that workers receive from 15 to 14.50 and increases the cost of hiring a worker from 15 to 15.50 Competitive Labor Market Equilibrium The Impact of a Payroll Tax Assessed on Workers S1 S 16 $1 tax 15.50 Total payroll tax paid by employers (135m)(0.5) = $67.5m 15 Total payroll tax paid by employees 14.50 (135m)(0.5) = $67.5m D0 135 150 A $1 payroll tax assessed on workers shifts the supply curve to the left. The payroll tax has the same impact on w* and E* regardless who it is assessed on. Competitive Labor Market Equilibrium The Impact of a Payroll Tax Assessed on Firms and Workers S1 Total payroll tax paid by employers S 15.50 $1(120m)(1) tax = $120m 15 Total payroll tax paid by employees $1 tax 14.50 (120m)(1) = $120m D0 D1 120 150 A $1 payroll tax assessed on both firms and workers shifts the demand and supply curves to the left. Competitive Labor Market Equilibrium The Impact of Payroll Tax Assessed on Firms with Inelastic Labor Supply Dollars S Total payroll tax paid by employees 15 (140m)(1) = $140m 14 D0 D1 140 Employment The $1 payroll tax shifts the demand curve down, lowering w to $14 A payroll tax assessed on the firm is shifted completely to workers when the labor supply curve is perfectly inelastic. Competitive Labor Market Equilibrium The Impact of Employment Subsidies Dollars S Total subsidy received by employers $1 sub 15.50 (145m)(0.5) = $72.5m 15 14.50 D1 Total subsidy received by employees (145m)(0.5) = $72.5m D0 130 145 Employment (millions) An employment subsidy of $1 per worker hired shifts up the demand curve. The subsidy raises the wage that workers receive from 15 to only $15.50 and decreases the cost of hiring a worker from 15 to 14.50 Competitive Equilibrium in Multiple Labor Markets Dollars SN Dollars SN SS SS wN w* w* wS DN Employment (a) The Northern Labor Market DS Employment (b) The Southern Labor Market Initially, the wage in the northern region exceeds the wage in the southern region. Southern workers want to move North, equating wages across regions at w*. Competitive Equilibrium in Multiple Labor Markets 5.7 P e r c e n t A n n u a l W a g e G ro w th LA GA NH ME 5.5 VT MS VA MD MA IA AR FL 5.3 NC SC KS MI CT TN AL DE NE 5.1 OK TXM O RI PM AN WI NJ WV IN OH IL CO UT WA NY KY AZ ND 4.9 SD M T CA NM NV 4.7 ID OR WY 4.5 .9 1.05 1.1 1.3 1.5 Manufacturing W age in 1950 1.7 1.9 1.85 Source: Olivier Jean Blanchard and Lawrence F. Katz, “Regional Evolutions,” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1 (1992): 1-61. Slope = (5.5 – 4.7)/(1.05 – 1.85) = –1 Short-Run Impact of Immigration (Immigrants and Natives Are Perfect Substitutes) Dollars S0 S1 10 7 50 million 60 80 D0 110 If 50 (million) immigrants cross the border to work, and they and native workers are perfect substitutes, LS increases by 50 (million) workers. Immigration increases overall employment but decreases w. Immigration decreases the number of natives working from 80 million to 60 million because w fell. Long-Run Impact of Immigration (Immigrants and Natives Are Perfect Substitutes) Dollars S0 S1 10 7 D0 80 D1 110 130 Immigration initially shifted out the supply curve, which raised E but lowered w. Over time, capital expands as firms take advantage of cheaper labor, shifting out the labor demand curve. The 20 million native workers reenter the labor market at the higher (previous) w Short-Run Impact of Immigration (Immigrants and Natives Are Perfect Complements) Dollars Dollars SI SI SN wN wI wN wI DI I0 I1 Immigrant E DN DN N0 N1 Native E If immigrants and natives are immigrant production w, complements, they don’tbecause More immigration lowers the increasing production compete inemployment the same labor market. immigrant increases Increased production shifts native labor demand out, increasing native w and E Decadal change in log weekly wage Wages versus immigrant share of population 0.2 0.1 0.032 0 –0.088 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 –.075 -0.05 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 .175 Decadal change in immigrant share Slope = [-.088 – .032] / [.175 – (-.075)] = -.48 0.2 Immigration Surplus Dollars S S A w0 w1 D 0 N N+I Employment Prior to immigration, N native in the economy and national income is Immigrants are paid athere total are salary given workers by the pink rectangle. given by the blue trapezoid. The immigration surplus is given by the pink triangle. This represents the increase in Immigration increases the labor supply to N + I, lowering w national income that accrues to natives. However, national income increases by the pink trapezoid. Noncompetitive labor markets Perfectly Discriminating Monopsonist Dollars S w* w30 VMPE w10 w1 1 10 30 E* Employment Firms in a competitive market hire a total of E*hires employees at wage w*, which maximizes The perfectly discriminating monopsonist the same number of workers as the profits of allmarket, firms in but the market. a competitive each worker gets paid his reservation wage. Worker surplus is given by of thethe greyworkers’ triangle, surplus. while the pink triangle gives firm surplus. This allows it to take all Noncompetitive labor markets Perfectly Nondiscriminating Monopsonist Dollars MCE LS w = 5 + 2E TCE = (w)(E) TCE = (5 + 2E)(E) VMPM TCE = 5E + 2E2 w* MCE = 5E1-1 + 2E2-1(2) wM MCE = 5E0 + 4E1 MCE = 5 + 4E VMP EM E* Employment A nondiscriminating monopsonist the samecost wage all workers Profit maximization occurs where pays the marginal of to hiring = VMP and has estimated their labor supply equation. Even though the monopsonist is willing to pay w equal to VMPM it only pays Hence, knows wage workers accept workersthe wMmonoposonist because it hires only the EM lowest of the workers since itare is willing the onlytogame in to work town.at the factory in a one-factory town. Noncompetitive labor markets Perfectly Nondiscriminating Monopolist Dollars VMP w = 25 – 3E LS RU = (w)(E) RU = (25 – 3E)(E) wM RU = 25E – 3E2 w* MRP = 25E1-1 – 3E2-1(2) MRPM MRP = 25E0 – 6E1 MRP = 25 – 6E MRP EM VMP E* Since the union has a pretty good idea how much firms value laborers, it can estimate the VMP of therestricts firms. the numbers of laborers it allows to become The monopolist (union) members so that it can negotiate up the wage up to VMP. Since the labor union “sells” laborers to firms, total earnings of its members can be thought of as the union’s revenue (RU)