Economics of Process Aid use Asia Tyre & Rubber Conference December 2 – 3, 2011 Hari Chandra Quantum Polymer Cleveland, Ohio Contents GDP growth of fast growing economies Rubber output and price trends Options to ease pressure on NR demand Ecoreen and Ecorized Tire Rubber (ETR) Ecoreen use to reduce cost and NR consumption Findings and Recommendation Year 2010 2006 2002 1998 1994 1990 1986 1982 1978 1974 1970 1966 1962 1958 1954 1950 $ Billion US GDP 1950 - 2010 GDP-US 16000 14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 GDP Growth China & India Exchange: US$1 = 6.4 RMB Indian Rupee Conversion rate US$1:INR 50 China Automobile production by year Year Production (in million units) 1992 1.0 1999 1.2 2000 2.07 2001 2.33 2002 3.25 2003 4.44 2004 5.07 2005 5.71 2006 7.28 2007 8.88 2008 9.35 2009 13.79 2010 18.06 Indian automotive production Year Car Production 1999 533,149 2000 517,957 2001 654,557 2002 703,948 2003 907,968 2004 1,178,354 2005 1,264,000 2006 1,473,000 2007 1,713,479 2008 1,846,051 2009 2,175,220 2010 2,814,584 World Auto Output Year Units % change 1999 56,258,892 6.20% 2000 58,374,162 3.80% 2001 56,304,925 -3.50% 2002 58,994,318 4.80% 2003 60,663,225 2.80% 2004 64,496,220 6.30% 2005 66,482,439 3.10% 2006 69,222,975 4.10% 2007 73,266,061 5.80% 2008 70,520,493 -3.70% 2009 61,791,868 -12.40% 2010 77,857,705 26.00% Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1992 Cars Millions China's Car output 20 15 10 5 0 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 Year 20 09 20 07 20 05 20 03 20 01 500,000 0 19 99 Number of Cars Indian automotive output World Auto Output Global Auto Production 100,000,000 Year 80,000,000 60,000,000 40,000,000 20,000,000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Units Average Natural Rubber-SMR 20-Prices Year USCent/KG 2000 64.3 2001 54.5 2002 75.9 2003 100.5 2004 122.5 2005 139.4 2006 195.8 2007 216.7 2008 254.4 2009 183.8 2010 333.6 2011 470.7 Year 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 US Cents per KG SMR 20 average Prices 500 400 300 200 100 0 MRB FOB NOON PRICES FOR SMR 20 (US Cents/Kg) January - October 2011 World Rubber Output in ( X 000) tons Year NR SR Total 2000 6,762 870 17,632 2001 7,332 10,483 17,815 2002 7,326 10,877 18,203 2003 8,005 11,341 19,361 2004 8,774 11,961 20,707 2005 8,896 12,100 21,004 2006 9,706 12,653 22,444 2007 9,833 13,387 23,188 2008 10,042 12,743 22,779 2009 9,662 12,087 21,704 2010 10,291 14,002 24,293 30,000 25,000 20,000 NR 15,000 10,000 SR Total Year Source: Malaysian Rubber Board 20 10 20 08 20 06 20 04 20 02 5,000 0 20 00 Output Tons X 1000 World NR, SBR & Total Rubber output Growth of China & India Auto and NR& SR sectors for 2001 - 2010 Sector Growth Averages China auto output Average Annual Growth% India auto output 16% Natural Rubber (NR) output 4% Synthetic Rubber (SR) output 2% NR plus SR output 3% NR – SMR 20 price increase 19% China & India combined auto 19% 19 % Demand trend and price hike China's Car output Indian automotive output Year 20 09 19 99 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1992 0 20 07 5 20 05 10 20 03 15 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 20 01 Number of Cars Cars Millions 20 Year World NR, SBR & Total output 25,000 20,000 NR 15,000 10,000 SR Total 5,000 US Cents per KG 30,000 500 400 300 200 100 Year 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 20 10 20 08 20 04 20 02 20 06 Year 2000 0 0 20 00 Output Tons X 1000 SMR 20 average Prices Options to resolve scarcity Increase NR with planting Limits: speed and growth-gestation / Land Increase SR with investment in plants Limits due to fossil fuel raw material scarcity Design lighter weight tires Possible Recycled rubber Feasible Recycled Rubber Abundant source: Used Tires Used Tires in US One tire per population per year At 350 Million there are 350 Million Tire The amount of Rubber compound 3.0 Million Tons 60% Polymer – mix of NR and SR 1.8 Million Tons Current Used Tire Disposal Use Ground Rubber Tire Derived Fuel Used Tire Civil Engineering Reclaimed Others Land Fill Percent 26.2 40.3 7.2 5.5 2.5 5.7 12.6 Current Used Tire Disposal Use Ground Rubber Percent & Rubber/Carbon Tons 26.2 % 786,000 Tons Tire Derived Fuel 40.3 % 1,209,120 Tons Used Tire Civil Engineering 7.2 % 5.5 % Reclaimed 2.5 % Others 5.7 % Land Fill 12.6 % Used Tire Disposal Civil Engineering Recalim ed Others Land Disposal Used Tire Ground Rubber Tire Derived Fuel Devulcanization & Set backs Low green strength Poor Tack Increased Viscosity Inability to hold fillers Possible solution: Use of Liquid (Depolymerized) NR Depolymerized Natural Rubber DPR® applications Rubber Process Aid – ML4 drops by 5- 20 units Rubber Performance Improvement Rheology modifier for lubricants Asphalt additive Has ability to bind large volumes (10X) of fillers Impediments to use of DPR® Liquid and difficult to handle Limited supply source High cost: When Natural Rubber was at $1.50 per LB DPR® was at $3.50 / LB Ecoreen Process Aids DPR® Substitute . • Composed of Virgin . polymers Pre cross-linked rubber (vulcanized Rubber)* • * Types: Tire Rubber (T), Butyl Rubber (B), EPDM (EP), NR (N) and others Ecoreen T for Tire Compounds Free Flowing Pellets Versus Liquid DPR® Function: Plasticizer to reduce mix cycle time and increases filler holding capacity Reactive: Cures with the rest of polymer matrix and non migrating Ecoreen T -Tire Rubber DP Applications Rubber Process Aid – ML4 drops by 20 units. Improves tack & Green Strength Rubber Performance Improvement Rheology modifier for lubricants Asphalt additive Thermoplastic Rubber base Has ability to bind large volumes of fillers Ecorized Tire Rubber (ETR) Tire Rubber Powder (Tire Crumb) is “ecorized” to different levels for use in various applications by treating ground tire powder with Ecoreen T process aid Tire Crumb after milling (Ecorized) with 10 PHR Ecoreen T & Curatives “Devulcanized” Tire Crumb with Curatives, no Ecoreen Clay Versus Ecorized Tire Rubber (ETR) Comparison SG of Clay and Tire Filled Mixes Mix # Clay Level Clay Mix SG Clay Mix Weight / Cu Ft. ETR Level Tire Crumb Mix SG 1 100 1.28 80 LB 100 1.12 2 200 1.44 90 LB 200 1.12 3 300 1.57 98 LB 300 1.12 4 400 1.68 105 LB 400 1.12 5 500 1.75 109 LB 500 1.12 6 600 1.82 114 LB 600 1.12 7 700 1.89 118 LB 700 1.12 8 800 1.95 122 LB 800 1.12 9 900 2.00 125 LB 900 1.12 10 1000 2.04 127 LB 1000 1.12 Weight of ETR filled at all levels: SG 1.12, weight 70 LB / Cu Ft SG of Ecoreen TC Vs Clay 2.20 Density 2.00 1.80 Clay 1.60 1.40 1.20 Ecoreen TR 1.00 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Loading PHR Cost of weight Vs Volume Fillers: Clay and E. Tire Crumb Weight per LB, Volume per Cu Ft – 6’ X 4’ X ½” Mat Filler Level Clay Filler Cost $/LB E.Tire Crumb Clay Filler $ per Cu Ft Cost / LB E.Tire Crumb $ per Cu.Ft 100 0.70 0.76 $ 55.94 $ 53.14 200 0.57 0.64 $ 51.24 $ 44.75 300 0.48 0.57 $ 47.05 $ 39.86 400 0.42 0.52 $ 44.05 $ 36.36 500 0.38 0.49 $ 41.52 $ 34.26 600 0.34 0.46 $ 38.63 $ 32.16 700 0.31 0.44 $ 36.58 $ 30.77 800 0.29 0.43 $ 35.30 $ 30.07 900 0.27 0.41 $ 33.71 $ 28.67 1000 0.26 0.40 $ 33.11 $ 27.97 Cost per LB Ecoreen TC Vs Clay 0.80 0.60 Ecoreen TR 0.50 0.40 Clay 0.30 Loading PHR 10 00 90 0 80 0 70 0 60 0 50 0 40 0 30 0 20 0 0.20 10 0 Cost / LB 0.70 $60.00 $55.00 $50.00 $45.00 $40.00 $35.00 $30.00 $25.00 $20.00 Clay Loading PHR 10 00 90 0 80 0 70 0 60 0 50 0 40 0 30 0 Ecoreen TR 20 0 10 0 Cost $ / Cu Ft Cost by Volume ECoreen TC Vs Clay per Cu Ft (6’ X 4’ X ½”) RHC Content in Clay and ETR Filled N 110 Black Mix Filler PHR 0 100 Mix with Clay 63% 38% Mix with ETR 63% 60% 200 300 400 500 28% 22% 18% 15% 58% 58% 57% 57% 600 700 13% 12% 57% 56% 800 10% 56% 900 1000 9% 9% 56% 56% RHC in Mix 9438 with Clay & ETR 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Clay Filler Level PHR 90 0 10 00 80 0 70 0 60 0 50 0 40 0 30 0 20 0 10 0 ETR 0 % RHC in Mix RHC: Rubber Hydro Carbon Advantages of ETR based Mix Lighter weight – constant SG at 1.12 at all levels Higher recycled content Releases pressure on demand for NR and SR Able to reduce costs substantially while meeting quality standard Tire Tread Mix – No Ecoreen TC Ref: 9340 Material $ per LB Rubber $ 2.00 100 53% $ 1.07 N 330 Black $ 0.45 60 32% $ 0.14 Zinc Oxide $ 0.93 5 3% $ 0.02 Stearic Acid $ 0.63 2 1% $ 0.01 Wax $ 0.45 2.5 1% $ 0.01 Antioxidant TQ $ 1.85 1 1% $ 0.01 6PPD $ 2.30 1.5 1% $ 0.02 N. Oil $ 0.53 15 8% $ 0.04 Ecoreen TR $ 0.43 0 0% $ - 187 1 $ Total Parts % $/ LB Mix 1.32 Tire Tread Mix with 200 PHR Ecoreen TC Ref: 9340 Material $ per LB Rubber N 330 Black $ $ 2.00 0.45 100 60 26% $ 16% $ 0.52 0.07 Zinc Oxide $ 0.93 5 1% $ 0.01 Stearic Acid $ 0.63 2 1% $ 0.00 Wax $ 0.45 2.5 1% $ 0.00 Antioxidant TQ $ 1.85 1 0% $ 0.00 6PPD $ 2.30 1.5 0% $ 0.01 N. Oil $ 0.53 15 4% $ 0.02 Ecoreen TR $ 0.43 200 52% $ 0.22 387 1 $ 0.86 Total Parts % $/ LB Mix Premium Tread Mixes Ref: 9338 / N 110 9339 / N 220 $/ LB Mix $ / LB % Material Material Parts Polymer 2.00 100 63 Black and Oil 0.68 48 30 Activators 0.84 7 Parts 9340 / N 330 $/ LB Mix % Parts % $/ LB Mix 100 57 1.15 100 53 $ 1.07 0.20 62 36 0.19 75 40 $ 0.19 4 0.04 7 4 0.03 7 4 $ 0.03 5 3 0.04 5 3 5 3 $ 0.03 ETR 0 0 - 0 0 - 0 0 $ Total 160 100 100 1.42 187 Anti Degradants 1.29 1.25 1.53 174 0.04 $ 1.32 Ecorized Tire Rubber effect on Cost $1.60 $1.50 $1.30 $1.20 9338 $1.10 9339 $1.00 9340 $0.90 $0.80 $0.70 $0.60 90 0 10 00 80 0 70 0 60 0 50 0 40 0 30 0 20 0 10 0 $0.50 0 Cost $ per LB $1.40 Ecorized Tire Rubber Loading ETR at loadings from 0 to 100 $1.60 $1.50 $1.40 $1.30 $1.20 $1.10 $1.00 $0.90 $0.80 9338 9339 0 10 80 60 40 20 9340 0 Cost per LB Ecorized Tire Rubber on cost Ecprized Tire Rubber PHR ETR cost: $0.43 per LB Ecoreen 2.0 level on Cost $1.60 Cost $ per LB $1.50 $1.40 $1.30 9338 $1.20 9339 $1.10 9340 $1.00 $0.90 $0.80 $0.70 0 200 400 600 Ecoreen PHR Ecoreen 2.0 costs $0.65 per LB 800 1000 Three Products 1. Ecoreen T Process Aid ($0.65) 1.6 Not made into product by itself 1.2 1.4 2. Ecoreen Master Batch 3. For blending and making products 0.8 by itself ($0.80) 0.6 Ecorized Tire Rubber (ETR) Polymer filler to reduce cost and 0.4 improve process / product 0.2 ($0.43) 1 0 Tread MB Ecoree n MB Ecoree nT ETR 9345 Ecoreen 50% $1.20 /LB 9343 Ecoreen 25% 9344 Ecoreen TR 500 PHR $1.40/LB Control 9346 $0.95 / LB $1.60 / LB 9342 Ecoreen TR 100 PHR $1.14 / LB Examples of poor flow in spider test Findings Ecorized Tire Rubber decreases cost of product through loading high levels in tire mixes and molded products while improving processing characteristics and final product performance Recommendation Ecorized Tire Rubber / Crumb can be used at high loadings (100 to 500 PHR) in tire tread and retread formulations. Quantum will provide anyone masterbatch samples upon request with specification ` Mix 2 Masterbatch Final compound with cure Mix 2 Tire Mix 1 Tire Mix 223 Tire Mix 2 Tire Thanks to Asia Tyre Rubber Conference 2011 Organizers for this opportunity