Statistics Bennie Waller wallerbd@longwood.edu 434-395-2046 Longwood University 201 High Street Farmville, VA 23901 Bennie D Waller, Longwood University Analysis of variance ANOVA Bennie Waller wallerbd@longwood.edu 434-395-2046 Longwood University 201 High Street Farmville, VA 23901 Bennie D Waller, Longwood University ANOVA The F Distribution • It is – used to test whether two samples have equal variances – used to compare the means of more than two populations simultaneously. The simultaneous comparison of several population means is called analysis of variance(ANOVA). Bennie D Waller, Longwood University ANOVA The F Distribution H0: σ12 = σ22 H1: σ12 ≠ σ22 H0: µ1 = µ2 =…= µk H1: The means are not all equal Bennie D Waller, Longwood University ANOVA Test for Equal Variances - Example Step 1: The hypotheses are: H0: σ12 = σ22 H1: σ12 ≠ σ22 Step 2: The significance level is .10. Step 3: The test statistic is the F distribution. Bennie D Waller, Longwood University 12-5 ANOVA Test for Equal Variances - Example Step 4: State the decision rule. Reject H0 if F > F/2,v1,v2 F > F.10/2,7-1,8-1 F > F.05,6,7 Bennie D Waller, Longwood University 12-6 ANOVA Consider the following example of travel times on different routes F-Test Two-Sample for Variances Route-25 I-75 Mean 58.2857 59 Variance 80.9046 19.1426 Observations 7 8 df 6 7 F 4.22638 P(F<=f) one-tail 0.04037 F Critical one-tail 3.86599 See example in spreadsheet “VARanova” tab Bennie D Waller, Longwood University Variance B A Bennie D Waller, Longwood University ANOVA Comparing Means of Two or More Populations • The Null Hypothesis is that the population means are all the same. The Alternative Hypothesis is that at least one of the means is different. • The Test Statistic is the F distribution. • The Decision rule is to reject the null hypothesis if F (computed) is greater than F (table) with numerator and denominator degrees of freedom. • Hypothesis Setup and Decision Rule: H0: µ1 = µ2 =…= µk H1: The means are not all equal Reject H0 if F > F,k-1,n-k Bennie D Waller, Longwood University 12-9 ANOVA Analysis of Variance – F statistic • If there are k populations being sampled, the numerator degrees of freedom is k – 1. • If there are a total of n observations the denominator degrees of freedom is n – k. • The test statistic is computed by: F SST SSE k 1 n k Bennie D Waller, Longwood University 12-10 ANOVA Number of orders processed Andy 55 54 59 56 µ=56 Betty 66 76 67 71 µ=70 Cathy 47 51 46 48 µ=48 H0: µA = µB = µC H1: The means are not all equal Reject H0 if F > F,k−1,n−k F SST SSE Bennie D Waller, Longwood University k 1 n k Consider the following example comparing the difference in means of three groups Anova: Single Factor SUMMARY Groups Count Andy 4 Betty 4 Cathy 4 NOTICE THE DIFFERENCE IN VARIATION ACROSS GROUPS RELATIVE TO WITHIN GROUPS Sum Average Variance 224 56 4.666667 280 70 20.66667 192 48 4.666667 ANOVA Source of Variation Between Groups Within Groups Total F SS 992 90 1082 992 3 1 90 12 3 df 2 9 MS 496 10 F 49.6 P-value 1.38E-05 F crit 4.256495 11 496 / 10 49 . 6 See example in spreadsheet “ANOVAMeans” tab Bennie D Waller, Longwood University ANOVA Problem: A company compared the variance of salaries for employees who have been employed for 5 years or less with employees who have been employed for 10 years or more. They randomly selected 21 employees with 5 years or less experience and 15 employees with 10 years or more experience. The standard deviation for the group with 5 years or less experience was $2,225; the standard deviation for the group with 10 years or more experience is $1,875. Using the 0.05 significance level, what is the decision regarding the null hypothesis? Bennie D Waller, Longwood University ANOVA Given the following Analysis of Variance table for three treatments each with six observations. What is the decision regarding the null hypothesis? Bennie D Waller, Longwood University End Bennie D Waller, Longwood University