Texas: Demographic
Characteristics and Trends
SIIS 2011 Annual Conference
September 9, 2011
Dallas, TX
Growing States, 2000-2010
2000
Population*
United States
2010
Population*
Numerical
Change
2000-2010
Percent
Change
2000-2010
281,421,906
308,745,538
27,323,632
9.7%
Texas
20,851,820
25,145,561
4,293,741
20.6%
California
33,871,648
37,253,956
3,382,308
10.0%
Florida
15,982,378
18,801,310
2,818,932
17.6%
Georgia
8,186,453
9,687,653
1,501,200
18.3%
North Carolina
8,049,313
9,535,483
1,486,170
18.5%
Arizona
5,130,632
6,392,017
1,261,385
24.6%
15.7% of numerical
change in U.S.
Population values are decennial census counts for April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.
2
Total Population and Components of
Population Change in Texas, 1950-2009
Percent Change
Due to
Year*
Population
Numerical
Change
Natural
Increase
Net
Migration
--
--
Percent
Change
1950
7,711,194
--
1960
9,579,677
1,868,483
1,754,652
113,831
24.2
93.91
6.09
1970
11,196,730
1,617,053
1,402,683
214,370
16.9
86.74
13.26
1980
14,229,191
3,032,461
1,260,794 1,771,667
27.1
41.58
58.42
1990
16,986,510
2,757,319
1,815,670
941,649
19.9
65.85
34.15
2000
20,851,820
3,865,310
1,919,281 1,946,029
22.8
49.65
50.35
2009
24,782,302
3,930,484
2,124,124 1,781,785
18.8
54.04
45.33
--
Natural
Increase
--
Net
Migration
--
*All values for the decennial dates are for the indicated census year. Values for 2009 are for July 1 as estimated by the
U.S. Census Bureau.
Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center.
Note: Residual values are not presented in this table.
3
Texas Business-Cycle Index
4
Texas Total Nonfarm Employment
Quarterly Growth
5
Texas and U.S. Unemployment Rate
6
Texas Residential Permits
and Mortgage Rate, 1990-2010
7
Estimated Annual Net Migration to Texas,
2000-2009
250,000
International
State-to-State
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2000 to 2001 to 2002 to 2003 to 2004 to 2005 to 2006 to 2007 to 2008 to
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2009 Population Estimates.
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Percent of Migrants to Texas by
Race and Ethnicity, 2000-2009
52% of all migrants were
international
100%
5%
90%
80%
23%
18%
12%
8%
15%
70%
60%
67% of all
migrants
28%
50%
50%
40%
40%
Other
30%
Black
20%
10%
44%
24%
33%
Hispanic
White
0%
Net domestic
International
migration
migration
(848,702 migrants ) (933,083 migrants)
Total
Sources: Percentages of domestic and international migrants by race and ethnicity derived from the 2006-2008 American Community Survey. Total numbers of domestic and international
migrants between 2000-2009 are from Table 4. Cumulative Estimates of the Components of Resident Population Change for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 9
2000 to July 1, 2009, U.S. Census Bureau.
Estimated Domestic Migration (2000-2008)
as a Percentage of 2000 Population by County
Legend
-20 to -45%
-19 to -10%
-9 to -5%
-4 to 0%
1 to 5 %
6 to 20%
21 to 30%
31 to 65%
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, 2009.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
10
Estimated International Migration (2000-2008) as a
Percentage of 2000 Population by County
Legend
0-1%
1-2.5%
2.5-3.5%
3.5-5%
5-10%
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, 2009.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
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Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition,
2000 and 2010
2000
2010
Hispanic
or Latino
32%
Hispanic
or Latino
38%
NH
White
53%
NH
Other
4% NH Black
11%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.
NH
Other
6%
NH
White
45%
NH Black
11%
Projected Texas Population Pyramid
by Race and Ethnicity, 2010
Anglo Male
Hispanic Male
Black Male
Other Male
Anlgo Female
Hispanic Female
Black Female
Other Female
85+ yrs
80-84 yrs
75-79 yrs
70-74 yrs
65-69 yrs
60-64 yrs
55-59 yrs
50-54 yrs
45-49 yrs
40-44 yrs
35-39 yrs
30-34 yrs
25-29 yrs
20-24 yrs
15-19 yrs
10-14 yrs
5-9 yrs
0-4 yrs
1,200,000
800,000
400,000
Source: Texas State Data Center. 2009 Population Projections.
0
400,000
800,000
1,200,000
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Projected Texas Population Pyramids
by Race and Ethnicity, 2010
Anglo Male
Anlgo Female
Hispanic Male
Black Male
Other Male
Hispanic Female
Black Female
Other Female
85+ yrs
85+ yrs
80-84 yrs
80-84 yrs
75-79 yrs
75-79 yrs
70-74 yrs
70-74 yrs
65-69 yrs
65-69 yrs
60-64 yrs
60-64 yrs
55-59 yrs
55-59 yrs
50-54 yrs
50-54 yrs
45-49 yrs
45-49 yrs
40-44 yrs
40-44 yrs
35-39 yrs
35-39 yrs
30-34 yrs
30-34 yrs
25-29 yrs
25-29 yrs
20-24 yrs
20-24 yrs
15-19 yrs
15-19 yrs
10-14 yrs
10-14 yrs
5-9 yrs
5-9 yrs
0-4 yrs
0-4 yrs
800000
400000
0
400000
800000
Source: Texas State Data Center. 2009 Population Projections.
800000
400000
0
400000
800000
14
Total Population by County, 2010
Legend
co48_d00
'PROJECTIONS X$'.totpop10
82 - 10,000
10,001 - 50,000
50,001 - 100,001
100,001 - 500,001
500,001 - 1,000,000
1,000,001 - 4,100,000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Count.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
15
Numeric Change of Total Population
by County, 2000-2010
Legend
co48_d00
'PROJECTIONS X$'.totpopch0010
-3,200 - 0
1 - 10,000
10,001 - 50,000
50,001 - 100,000
100,001 - 700,000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
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Water
Percent Change of Total Population
by County, 2000-2010
'PROJECTIONS X$'.pctch0010
-20%-0%
1%-10%
10.1-25%
25.1%-50%
50.1%-82%
Physicians per 1,000 Population 2010
'PROJECTIONS X$'.difphys
-3 to -0.5
Population increase for
Texas was 20.6%-0.49 to -.001
during this period.0
.001 to .5
.51-2.1
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
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Numeric Change in Hispanic Population
Numeric Change Hispanic 2000-2010
by County, 2000-2010
nch_hsp0010
-1,200 - 0
1 - 1,000
1,001 - 5,000
5,001 - 15,000
15,001 - 25,000
25,001 - 56,000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
18
Numeric Change in Asian population
Numeric Change Asian 2000-2010
by County, 2000-2010
nch_asi0010
-198 - 0
1 - 500
501 - 10,000
10,001 - 50,000
50,001 - 77,000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
19
Percent of Population That Is Foreign Born
by County, 2005-2009
Percent Foreign Born
0-5%
5-10%
10-15%
15-25%
25-35%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey,
5-Year Sample 2005-2009.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
Percent of the Population 5 Years and Older Who
Speak Spanish at Home by County, 2005-2009
Percent aged 5 years plus who speak Spanish at
0-10%
10-25%
25-50%
50-75%
75-96%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey,
5-Year Sample 2005-2009.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
Percent of Population Less Than 18 Years of Age
Living Under Poverty During Past 12 Months
by County, 2005-2009
5-20%
20-30%
30-40%
40-55%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey,
5-Year Sample 2005-2009.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
Median Household Income
by County, 2005-2009
$18,000-30,000
$ 30,000-35,000
$ 35,000-40,000
$40,000-50,000
$ 50,000-76,000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey,
5-Year Sample 2005-2009.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
Natural Disaster Risk, The United States
Source: Matthew Ericson, Joe Burgess, & Bill Marsh.
The New York Times.
24
Natural Disaster Risk, Southern States
Source: Matthew Ericson, Joe Burgess,
& Bill Marsh. The New York Times.
25
Projected Increase of Obesity in Texas
by Ethnicity, 2006-2040
Source: Texas State Data Center. Population Projections, 2000-2004 Migration Scenario.
26
Projected Number of Adults with Diabetes by
Race and Ethnicity for Texas, 2010-2040
Projected Persons with Diabetes
8,000,000
6,000,000
Total
4,000,000
Latino
Anglo
African American
2,000,000
Other
0
Source: Office of the State Demographer. 2006 Population Projections, 2000-2004 Migration Scenario.
27
Projected Population Growth in Texas,
2000-2040
Year
Source: Texas State Data Center. 2008 Population Projections.
28
Projected Racial and Ethnic Population
Percentages for Texas, 2000-2040
70%
60%
50%
40%
Anglo
30%
Black
Hispanic
20%
Other
10%
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
2032
2034
2036
2038
2040
0%
Source: Texas State Data Center. 2008 Population Projections, 2000-2007 Migration Scenario.
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Projected Population
by Texas Counties, 2040
2040 Population
P_40
36 - 1000
1001 - 10000
10001 - 50000
50001 - 100000
100001 - 500000
500001 - 1000000
1000001 - 8000000
Source: Texas State Data Center. Vintage 2008 Population Projections,
2000-2007 Migration Scenario.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
Demographics and Destiny
31
Contact
Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.
Office: (512) 463-8390 or (210) 458-6530
Email: Lloyd.Potter@osd.state.tx.us
Internet: http://osd.state.tx.us
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