Cost Behaviour: Part 2 of 2 Sections 1 and 2 Feb 1, 2013 Professor: Khim Kelly Office: HH386B Office Hours: Mon/Wed 11:30am – 12:30pm and Appointment Email: kokelly@uwaterloo.ca TA: Kun Huo Email: khuo@uwaterloo.ca 1 Feb 2013 Overview • Last lecture … – Fixed costs, variable costs, step variable costs, mixed costs – How to use costs behaviour to predict costs – Analyze mixed costs (High-Low Method) • Major topics for today… – Analyse mixed costs (Regression) – Another example of High-Low method – The contribution margin approach 2 Regression • High-Low method uses only two data points – Improve accuracy of results by considering more data points • Regression analysis – Uses all the available data points – “Fits” a line to the data points while attempting to minimize errors. – Develops a similar looking equation to High-Low method • Both assume linearity – Need to be aware of potential differences in cost behaviour outside of the relevant range – When predicting costs, you might want to limit analysis to a range around expected activity The next slides plot data (from last lecture Clicker Question #3) with activity on the X axis and the mixed cost on the Y axis. Last Lecture: Clicker Question #4: Answer Month Jan Feb March April May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Patient Days 3,700 3,200 4,400 5,000 2,700 2,500 3,600 1,800 4,650 3,900 2,100 4,500 Mixed Cost 27,750 22,000 31,000 34,500 28,000 22,500 26,500 18,750 36,500 24,000 22,500 26,750 $34,500 - $18,750 = 5,000 - 1,800 $15,750 = = 3,200 $4.92 per Patient-Day Then: $34,500 a D. = = a + ($4.92 * 5,000) $9,891 Answer: Y = $9,891 +$4.92X Scattergram Plot 40,000 35,000 Mixed Cost 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 - 1,000 2,000 3,000 Patient days 4,000 5,000 6,000 High-Low Method 40,000 35,000 Mixed Cost 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 HL method: y = $4.92x + $9,891 10,000 5,000 - 1,000 2,000 3,000 Patient days 4,000 5,000 6,000 Least Squares Regression Method 40,000 35,000 Mixed Cost 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 HL method: y = $4.92x + $9,891 LSR method: y = 4.10x + $12,346 10,000 5,000 - 1,000 2,000 3,000 Patient days 4,000 5,000 6,000 Least Squares Regression Method Outlier? Nonlinear? 40,000 35,000 Mixed Cost 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 LSR method: y = 4.10x + $12,346 (with outlier) 10,000 5,000 - 1,000 2,000 3,000 Patient days 4,000 5,000 6,000 Least Squares Regression Method Outlier? Nonlinear? 40,000 35,000 Mixed Cost 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 LSR method: y = 4.10x + $12,346 (with outlier) LSR method: y = 3.51x + $13,890 (without outlier) 10,000 5,000 - 1,000 2,000 3,000 Patient days 4,000 5,000 6,000 Example: High-Low Method and Predicting Cost (P6-15) Prince Company’s total OH costs at various levels of activity are presented below: Month DL Hours Total OH Cost September 100,000 $388,000 October 80,000 $340,400 November 135,000 $485,600 December 140,000 $483,200 Example: High-Low and Predicting Cost (P6-15) Assume OH costs consists of utilities, supervisory salary, depreciation, and maintenance. The breakdown for October at 80,000 DL hour level of activity is: OH Type OH Cost Utilities Variable $104,000 Salaries & Depreciation Fixed $120,000 Maintenance Mixed $116,400 Total OH Cost $340,400 The company wants the breakdown of costs into variable and fixed cost elements. Answer the following required: Example: High-Low and Predicting Cost (P6-15) 1. Estimate how much of the $483,200 of OH cost in December was maintenance cost Example: High-Low and Predicting Cost (P6-15) OH Type OH Cost December OH Mixed $483,200 December: Salaries & Depreciation Fixed ($120,000) The company wants the breakdown of costs into variable and Utilities Variable ($182,000) fixed cost elements. Answer the following required: Maintenance (Mixed Cost) $181,200 Variable Cost = $104,000/80,000 * 140,000 It is Clicker Time!! Feel Free to Work Together on Clicker Questions Clicker Question #1 (P6-15) LOW (October): 80,000 DL hours @ $116,400 HIGH (December): 140,000 DL hours @ $181,200 Q: Use the high-low method to develop the cost formula for maintenance cost (select option that is closest to your answer). A. B. C. D. E. Y = $15,000 + $23.80X Eggs + Plants = Eggplant Y = $30,000 + $3.12X Y = $30,000 + $1.08X Y = $15,000 + $2.38X Clicker Question #1 LOW (October): 80,000 DL hours @ $116,400 HIGH (December): 140,000 DL hours @ $181,200 $181,200 - $116,400 = 140,000 – 80,000 $64,800 = 60,000 = D. Answer: Y = $30,000+$1.08X $1.08 per DL hour Then: $116,400 = a + ($1.08 * 80,000) a = $30,000 Example: High-Low and Predicting Cost (P6-15) 3. Express the company’s total OH cost in the formula Y = a+ bX: Variable Costs: Utilities ($104,000/80,000 DL) $1.30/DL hour Maintenance $1.08/DL hour Total Variable $2.38/DL hour Fixed Costs: Salaries and depreciation $120,000 Maintenance $30,000 Total Fixed $150,000 Example: High-Low and Predicting Cost (P6-15) 3. Express the company’s total OH cost in the formula Y = a+ bX: Total Variable $2.38/DL hour Total Fixed $150,000 Y = $150,000 + $2.38X The Contribution Format • Utilizes our ability to analyze cost behavior – An income statement format that separates expenses into fixed costs and variable costs – Differs from traditional presentation of COGS and operating expenses – Total cost is the same under both methods but only subtotals vary • Contribution margin – The amount remaining from sales after all variable costs have been deducted Contribution Income Statement To Do: Analyze expense behaviour of the following and develop a contribution income statement: Cost Number of units sold Cost Formula 21,000 Sales revenue COGS Advertising Expense 1,050,000 $20 / unit $170,000 Sales Commissions Administrative Salaries Shipping Expense 5% of Sales revenue $80,000 $40,000 plus $7.50 / unit Depreciation $50,000 Contribution Income Statement Income Statement Revenue COGS ($20/unit * 21,000) Variable shipping expense ($7.50/unit * 21,000) Commission (5% of sales revenue) $1,050,00 0 $420,000 157,500 52,500 Total Variable Costs $630,000 Contribution Margin $420,000 Contribution Margin per Unit $20 Contribution Income Statement Income Statement Contribution Margin Fixed Shipping expense Advertising expense $420,000 40,000 170,000 Administrative salaries 80,000 Depreciation expense 50,000 Total Fixed Costs $340,000 Operating Income $80,000 It is Clicker Time! Feel Free to Work Together on Clicker Questions Clicker Question #2 Q: Contribution margin equals revenues minus _______? A. B. C. D. E. Product costs Period costs Variable costs Fixed costs 9 little monkeys jumping on the bed Clicker Question #2: Answer Q: Contribution margin equals revenues minus _______? Answer: C. Variable costs Clicker Question #3 Q: What is the contribution margin? Cost Sales Fixed Manufacturing Overhead Direct Labour Fixed Selling Expenses Variable Manufacturing Overhead Variable Administrative Expenses Direct Materials Fixed Administrative Expenses Variable Selling Expenses Amount $300,000 $ 55,000 $ 72,500 $ 46,250 $ 41,000 $ 48,000 $ 51,500 $ 44,500 $ 49,750 Clicker Question #3 Q: What is the contribution margin? A. B. C. D. E. $37,250 $100,000,000.23 $ 87,000 $176,000 $262,750 Clicker Question #3 - Solution Amount Sales $300,000 Direct Labour ($72,500) Direct Materials ($51,500) Variable Manufacturing Overhead Variable Administrative Expenses Variable Selling Expenses ($41,000) Total Variable Costs Contribution Margin ($48,000) ($49,750) ($262,750) ($262,750) $37,250 Clicker Question #3: Answer Q: What is the contribution margin? Answer: A. $37,250 UW … • UW is one of Canada’s leading research institution • The School of Accounting and Finance has one of the country’s premier PhD programs • Every year, I train PhD students in teaching. • So, the next 3 classes (Cost-Volume-Profit Relationships) will be taught by Kun Huo, one of our PhD students. • I will sit in the class as an observer. Summary • Major topics for today… – Another example of High-Low Method – Contribution margin approach • Next class … – Chapter 7 (Cost-Volume-Profit Relationships)