W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY PEARLS Ratios David Hewson – ILCU, Monitoring Dept National Supervisors Forum 2011 AGM 2011 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY What will be covered today 1. PEARLS background 2. Key PEARLS, worked examples 3. Your PEARLS report, what to look out for, trends, problems 4. How are you performing? Ranking your PEARLS 5. How can you improve your PEARLS? 6. Questions & answers 2 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY • Devised by WOCCU • In operation world wide since 1990 • ILCU adopted PEARLS ratios & added ratios tailored to the Irish Credit Union Movement • ILCU updated PEARLS in 2008, 2009 and June 2011 • In June 2011 we added E6c Net Capital Ratio (important solvency check) and A2b Fixed Assets ratio (recent issues on valuations of premises) 3 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY P • PROTECTION E • EFFECTIVE financial structure A • ASSET quality R • RATES of return L • LIQUIDITY S • SIGNS of growth 4 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY P • P1 Provisions, P3 Solvency E • E6c Net Capital/Assets A • A1 Arrears R • R5 Expense/Income L • L1 Liquidity S • S1 Growth in loans 5 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY PEARLS report 6 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY Why use PEARLS?-Credit Unions • PEARLS ratios provide supervisors with a snap shot of the financial health of the credit union • Focus on the key ratios (Provisions, Arreras,Solvency etc) • Review the other PEARLS ratios for detail (Loan Interest, Growth in Savings) • PEARLS report shows current status, and results for previous year 7 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY Why use PEARLS? ILCU • Monitoring use PEARLS as part of risk based approach to Monitoring. • Assists with assigning resources (eg Field Officer visits) • Monitoring score credit unions on Arrears, Provisions, Solvency, Reserves, Liquidity, Regulatory Requirements and other factors 8 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY Prudential Return & PEARLS • Prudential Returns are loaded onto the database in ILCU, the PEARLS ratios are calculated • Movement average and ROI/NI averages are calculated using the pooled Prudential data. • PEARLS results depend on accuracy of the Prudential Return 9 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY Prudential Return updates • Prudential Return in the Republic was substantially revised in December 2010. The new version is now a more detailed 8 page document (guidance note runs to 56 pages) • Prudential Return for Northern Ireland will be replaced by the FSA return in 2012 (first reports due quarter end Dec 2012) • Revised NI PEARLS will be developed for FSA reporting 10 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY 2 - Key PEARLS, worked examples Example (a) - P1 Provisions Ratio Formula: Bad Debt Provision Total per balance sheet divided by Res 49 provision minimum Res 49 provisions is generated from the arrears table Provision % increase as arrears become more long term 11 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY Example (a) - P1 Provisions Ratio Arrears category Min % Provision Example provision 10 -18 weeks 10% €5,000 19-26 weeks 20% €10,000 27-39 weeks 40% €20,000 40-52 weeks 60% €40,000 53+ weeks 100% €25,000 Total provision €100,000 12 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY Example (a) - P1 Provisions Ratio Total provision in balance sheet = Res 49 provision minimum = €150,000 €100,000 P1 Result = 150% This CU has a buffer of €50,000 Minimum is 100% Average is currently134% 13 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY Example (a) - P1 Provisions Ratio • Recent change to the ratio • With updated Res 49, credit unions can add provisions above the 10%, 20% minimums within Res 49 table • Your P1 ratio will take account of this and work off total provision / minimum provisions • If you adjust up provisions within Res 49, P1 ratio increases 14 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY Example (b) - P3 Solvency Ratio Measures cover for member savings in the event of a wind up/liquidation Formula: (a)Assets + (b)Provision minus (c) Res 49 Provision + (d) Short Term Liabs divided by (e) Total Savings 15 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY Example (b) P3 Solvency Ratio (a) Assets (b) Provision total €1,000,000 €150,000 (c) Res 49 provision (d) Short term liabilities €100,000 €5,000 €1,150,000 minus (e) Savings €105,000 divided by €900,000 P3 Result = 116% Minimum is 109% 16 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY Example (c) – E6c Capital Ratio This a new ROI Capital Ratio and measures Realised Reserves over assets, and takes account of deficits. Formula: All realised reserves and surplus (less deficit) divided by Assets Minimum range is 8.5% - 10% (must be 10% by 2013) 17 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY Example (c) – E6c Capital Ratio Regulatory Reserve Undistributed surplus Current surplus Realised Reserves Assets €90,000 €5,000 €6,000 €3,000 €104,000 divided by €1,000,000 E6c Result = 10.4% (meeting requirement) 18 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY Example (c) – E6c Capital Ratio Regulatory Reserve Undistributed surplus Current deficit Realised Reserves €90,000 €5,000 (€6,000) €3,000 Assets €92,000 divided by €1,000,000 E6c Result = 9.2% (Borderline) 19 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY Example (d) - A1 Arrears Ratio Formula: Gross Loans 10 weeks+ in arrears divided by total Gross loans Gross loans 10 wks + in arrears = Total Gross Loans = €200,000 divided by €800,000 A1 Result = 25% Average is 17.8% Note the Goal for ratios is 5%! 20 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY Example(e) – R6 Wages/Income Formula: Salaries and related expenses divided by total income Wages= Total Gross Loans = €60,000 divided by €500,000 Result = 12% Average is 19% Goal is 15% 21 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY Example (e) - L1 Liquidity Ratio Formula: Cash + Investments less than 3 months duration divided by total unattached shares Cash + short term inv= Unattached shares = €100,000 divided by €400,000 L1 Result = 25% Average is 39% Goal is minimum 20%, up to 30% 22 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY Questions on PEARLS examples? AGM 2011 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY 3 – PEARLS report, what to look out for Q:What has changed this quarter? Jump in arrears? Q: Arrears up over several quarters? Q: Is the P1 ratio falling, or close to minimum 100% level? Q: Expense/income ratio now above norm? 24 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY 3 – PEARLS report, what to look out for Q: Are reserves ratios stable? Or falling? Q: Capital ratio below 10%? Q: Falling loan book? Q: Income ratios falling? 25 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY 4 – How are you performing? Peer Rankings: • As part of your PEARLS pack we include peer rankings on key ratios • Ranked against similar sized Cus • e.g: CU ranked 13th of 40 CUs on arrears in their peer group (assets of €25-€50m) • Last quarter we ranked on A1 Arrears and P1 Provisions W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY 4 – How are you performing? Peer Rankings checks: Q: Are we ranked in top half of our peer group? Q: Has our ranking slipped from last quarter? Q: Did our arrears increase exceed increase in movement? Q: Are we beating the average? (average for Peer Group, and average for Movement) W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY 5 – How can you improve your PEARLS? P1 Provisions Review Res 49 arrears report monthly If P1 has fallen, an adjustment to provisions is likely, and needs to be planned for Make adjustments to provisions quarterly Don’t leave it until year end 28 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY 5 – How can you improve your PEARLS? A1 Arrears- At Lending stage, ahead of the curve Update loan assessment techniques Stress testing – can borrower repay with higher mortgage rate? ICB What if member’s income falls? (inevitable) Security on loans 29 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY 5 – How can you improve your PEARLS? A1 Arrears- at credit control stage Take what you can get, but get something Positive tone – engage with members Preparation before contacting members Information – obtaining, confirming, storing, follow up 30 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY 5 – How can you improve your PEARLS? Income and Expenses ratios • Get detail on sharp changes in expense ratios • Apart from closely watching expenditure, can income be increased? • Should loan rates be increased? • Or credit control pulling in more recoveries? 31 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY Relevance of PEARLS 30.0% 26.1% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 13.5% 13.4% 11.1% 10.0% 9.7% Restricted lending Lending not restricted 4.5% 5.0% 0.0% A1 Arrears A1 Arrears 53 weeks E6 Capital 32 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY Help is available • ILCU training courses • ACCUP • ILCUbis (business intelligence) to keep on top of your financials. Monthly PEARLS, graphs etc • Contact the ILCU Monitoring Department for Guidance dhewson@creditunion.ie 33 W E LO O K AT TH I N G S D I F F E R E NTLY Thank you for your attention Questions? dhewson@creditunion.ie 34